Adani Total Gas Ltd
Adani Total Gas Ltd
EnergyAGL is engaged in City Gas Distribution (CGD) business and supplies natural gas to domestic, commercial, industrial and vehicle users.
ATGL trades at a PE of 121.2x and 16.3x book value, which is extremely expensive despite solid 18% TTM sales growth. ROE has declined from 18% (5-year average) to 14% last year, and profit growth has turned negative at -2% TTM, making the current valuation hard to justify without a significant re-acceleration in earnings.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapGas SupplierOil & GasTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 16.4 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 4.26% of profits over last 3 years
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ATGL trades at a PE of 121.2x and 16.3x book value, which is extremely expensive despite solid 18% TTM sales growth. ROE has declined from 18% (5-year average) to 14% last year, and profit growth has turned negative at -2% TTM, making the current valuation hard to justify without a significant re-acceleration in earnings.
- Strong TTM revenue growth of 18% indicates continued volume expansion in city gas distribution
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 18% demonstrates a long and consistent growth runway in natural gas adoption
- 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 28% reflects accelerated expansion during the gas infrastructure buildout phase
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 22% shows the business model can deliver strong long-term earnings growth
- Market cap of Rs 80,198 Cr reflects institutional confidence in the CGD sector's structural tailwinds
- 5-year average ROE of 18% indicates efficient capital deployment over a meaningful period
- Stock price CAGR of 18% over 1 year shows renewed investor interest and momentum
- PE ratio of 121.2x is excessively high, pricing in years of flawless execution with no margin of safety
- Price-to-book of 16.3x means investors pay Rs 16.3 for every Rs 1 of book value, leaving significant downside risk
- TTM profit growth has turned negative at -2%, signaling margin pressure or cost headwinds
- ROE has declined from 20% (10-year average) to 14% last year, a 30% deterioration in return efficiency
- Dividend yield of just 0.03% with only 4.26% payout ratio offers negligible income support to investors
- 3-year stock CAGR of only 4% and 5-year CAGR of -12% show the stock has destroyed value for medium-term holders
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of only 6% versus 10-year CAGR of 22% indicates a sharp deceleration in earnings momentum
- Zero analyst coverage available suggests limited institutional scrutiny and potential liquidity risk for large positions
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- High customer complaints in FY26 May 29
BRSR report disclosed 98,726 customer complaints in FY26, indicating potential service quality challenges across the distribution network.
- 75% correction from peak levels May 29
Stock has corrected over 75% from its all-time peak of ₹4,000, and despite the recent rally at ₹860, remains well below historical highs.
- Stock surges 41% in 6 days May 29
ATGL hit a 52-week high of ₹859.70, soaring 41% over six consecutive trading sessions with average volumes jumping over two-fold to 20.11 million shares.
- Strong Q4FY26 revenue growth May 29
Q4FY26 revenue rose 16% YoY to ₹1,696 crore, EBITDA increased 13% YoY to ₹310 crore, and volumes grew 13% YoY to 297 MMSCM.
- 90% rally from March low May 29
Stock has zoomed 90% from its three-month low of ₹453.50 touched on March 2, 2026, demonstrating strong recovery momentum.
- Analyst target of ₹1,350 May 29
Mirae Asset Sharekhan projects a medium-term target of ₹1,350 with critical support at ₹610, noting the stock trades above all exponential moving averages.
- Dominant CGD network position May 29
ATGL is authorized in 34 of 53 geographical areas directly, plus 19 GAs via IOAGPL joint venture, positioning it for India's target of 15% natural gas share by 2030.
- BRSR filed for FY26 May 29
Adani Total Gas filed its Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for FY26, with 99.20% turnover from gas distribution.
- June 12 dividend record date May 27
Record date set for June 12, 2026 for final dividend eligibility; 21st AGM scheduled for June 25, 2026 via video conferencing.
- ₹17.80 crore block trade on NSE May 27
Institutional block trade of approximately 221,774 shares executed at ₹802.40 per share, totaling ₹17.80 crores on the NSE.
TL;DR: ATGL is in a powerful bullish phase, surging 41% in six days to a 52-week high on strong Q4FY26 fundamentals with 16% revenue growth and 13% volume expansion. The stock has recovered 90% from its March low, supported by analyst targets of ₹1,350. Key risks include the still-significant distance from historical peaks and elevated customer complaints. With technical momentum firmly positive and India's gas transition providing a structural tailwind, the near-term trend is clearly improving.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,115 | 1,056 | 1,095 | 1,155 | 1,166 | 1,144 | 1,216 | 1,291 | 1,336 | 1,372 | 1,444 | 1,499 | 1,549 |
| Expenses | 919 | 808 | 815 | 867 | 877 | 847 | 909 | 1,026 | 1,071 | 1,080 | 1,151 | 1,196 | 1,249 |
| Operating Profit | 195 | 248 | 279 | 288 | 289 | 296 | 307 | 264 | 265 | 292 | 293 | 303 | 299 |
| OPM % | 18% | 23% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 20% | 19% |
| Other Income | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Interest | 32 | 24 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 41 | 35 |
| Depreciation | 31 | 33 | 37 | 38 | 49 | 45 | 50 | 52 | 52 | 54 | 59 | 60 | 60 |
| PBT | 142 | 199 | 225 | 231 | 227 | 237 | 240 | 193 | 198 | 219 | 217 | 212 | 214 |
| Tax % | 27% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 104 | 148 | 168 | 172 | 165 | 177 | 178 | 143 | 149 | 162 | 162 | 157 | 156 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.95 | 1.34 | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.5 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 1.3 | 1.36 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.42 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,129 | 1,087 | 1,374 | 1,719 | 1,875 | 1,696 | 3,038 | 4,378 | 4,472 | 4,986 | 5,864 |
| Expenses | 921 | 809 | 1,008 | 1,264 | 1,280 | 991 | 2,265 | 3,508 | 3,368 | 3,849 | 4,675 |
| Operating Profit | 208 | 278 | 366 | 455 | 595 | 704 | 773 | 870 | 1,104 | 1,137 | 1,188 |
| OPM % | 18% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 32% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 20% |
| Other Income | 26 | -22 | 80 | 59 | 44 | 30 | 42 | 37 | 47 | 30 | 37 |
| Interest | 43 | 44 | 125 | 90 | 41 | 40 | 53 | 79 | 111 | 100 | 129 |
| Depreciation | 52 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 51 | 63 | 83 | 113 | 157 | 198 | 233 |
| PBT | 138 | 156 | 259 | 357 | 547 | 631 | 679 | 716 | 882 | 868 | 863 |
| Tax % | 41% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 81 | 101 | 165 | 229 | 436 | 472 | 505 | 530 | 653 | 648 | 637 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.17 | 3.94 | 6.41 | 2.08 | 3.97 | 4.29 | 4.59 | 4.82 | 5.94 | 5.89 | 5.79 |
| Div. Payout % | 54% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 257 | 257 | 257 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Reserves | 357 | 458 | 769 | 1,002 | 1,370 | 1,842 | 2,320 | 2,828 | 3,453 | 4,075 | 4,714 |
| Borrowings | 475 | 549 | 1,345 | 394 | 428 | 529 | 1,035 | 1,420 | 1,555 | 1,831 | 2,252 |
| Other Liabilities | 345 | 396 | 442 | 552 | 577 | 741 | 964 | 1,278 | 1,406 | 1,583 | 2,368 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,434 | 1,660 | 2,812 | 2,058 | 2,486 | 3,222 | 4,429 | 5,636 | 6,524 | 7,599 | 9,444 |
| Fixed Assets | 757 | 832 | 897 | 980 | 1,198 | 1,379 | 1,733 | 2,329 | 3,090 | 3,515 | 4,102 |
| CWIP | 157 | 87 | 102 | 190 | 342 | 696 | 1,171 | 1,612 | 1,476 | 1,803 | 1,919 |
| Investments | 49 | 91 | 189 | 186 | 291 | 436 | 648 | 683 | 704 | 993 | 1,928 |
| Other Assets | 471 | 651 | 1,624 | 701 | 655 | 711 | 878 | 1,013 | 1,254 | 1,288 | 1,495 |
| Total Assets | 1,434 | 1,660 | 2,812 | 2,058 | 2,486 | 3,222 | 4,429 | 5,636 | 6,524 | 7,599 | 9,444 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 255 | 258 | 277 | 356 | 492 | 654 | 732 | 846 | 971 | 980 | 1,150 |
| Investing | -413 | -303 | -988 | 791 | -461 | -770 | -1,133 | -1,163 | -769 | -956 | -1,231 |
| Financing | 39 | 50 | 779 | -1,077 | -102 | 39 | 422 | 295 | -77 | 58 | 117 |
| Net Cash Flow | -118 | 5 | 68 | 70 | -71 | -78 | 21 | -22 | 124 | 83 | 36 |
| Free Cash Flow | 168 | 134 | 137 | 115 | 51 | 47 | -218 | -312 | 227 | 145 | 247 |
| CFO/OP | 141 | 110 | 100 | 105 | 105 | 112 | 114 | 115 | 105 | 101 | 111 |
Ratios
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 13 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 33 | 31 | 26 |
| Inventory Days | 19 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 11 | — | — | — |
| Days Payable | 22 | 28 | 63 | 35 | 28 | 55 | 31 | 36 | — | — | — |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 10 | 11 | -6 | -2 | -2 | -8 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 31 | 26 |
| Working Capital Days | -9 | 95 | 52 | 5 | -24 | -128 | -137 | -142 | -98 | -65 | -97 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 21% | 24% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 15% |
Documents
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Company Information
AGL is engaged in City Gas Distribution (CGD) business and supplies natural gas to domestic, commercial, industrial and vehicle users.