Adani Total Gas
Adani Total Gas
Oil & GasKey Fundamentals
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Key Insights
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 13.3 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 4.26% of profits over last 3 years
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Adani Total Gas Ltd (ATGL) is a city gas distribution company with a market capitalisation of about ₹66,918 crore. It trades at 106.5x earnings and 13.84x book value. Revenue grew 20% over the trailing twelve months (TTM), but profit fell 4% over the same period, and return on equity (ROE) has slipped from a 10-year average of 20% to 14% last year. The stock has returned -6%, -1% and -15% on a compounded annual basis over 1, 3 and 5 years respectively.
- TTM sales growth of 20% is double the 3-year sales CAGR of 10%, which suggests volume and revenue momentum is picking up.
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 28% and 10-year sales CAGR of 18% show a long record of expanding the business as city gas networks and CNG/PNG connections scaled up.
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 22% shows the business has historically turned revenue growth into long-term earnings growth.
- ROE has stayed in double digits over every period shown: 20% over 10 years, 18% over 5 years, 17% over 3 years and 14% last year. That points to a structurally profitable, regulated-style infrastructure model.
- A low dividend payout of 4.26% of profits over 3 years means almost all earnings go back into network expansion, which could support future volume growth in a capital-intensive sector.
- At a market cap of about ₹66,918 crore, ATGL is one of the larger listed city gas distribution players. That scale helps with access to capital for rolling out infrastructure.
- Over 5 years, the stock's CAGR (-15%) has trailed the business's sales CAGR (28%), so part of the earlier valuation premium has already come off.
- A P/E of 106.5x is very high for a gas utility with 3-year profit growth of just 6%. It implies a long period of fast earnings growth is already priced in.
- A price-to-book of 13.84x is steep next to last year's ROE of 14%. The market is paying about 13.8 times book value for a business earning roughly 14% on equity.
- TTM profit fell 4% while sales rose 20%. That gap points to margin compression, likely from higher gas sourcing costs, and pricing power looks limited.
- ROE has declined steadily: 20% over 10 years, 18% over 5 years, 17% over 3 years and 14% last year. Returns on capital appear to be weakening as the company expands.
- 3-year and 5-year compounded profit growth of only 6% each lags well behind 5-year sales growth of 28%. Growth in the top line has not carried through to earnings.
- Shareholder returns have been negative over every period shown: -6% over 1 year, -1% over 3 years and -15% over 5 years.
- A dividend yield of 0.04% and a 3-year payout of 4.26% give investors almost no income while they wait for growth to show up.
- Governance and group-level risk has hung over Adani group stocks since the January 2023 short-seller report. Any fresh group-level development could hit the valuation, regardless of how the business itself is doing.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Valuation stretched above 100x P/E Sep 21
ATGL trades at over 100x FY26 earnings with a ~₹70,000 crore market cap, versus ₹20,800 crore for IGL and ₹10,600 crore for MGL. Its FY26 net profit of ₹656 crore is below IGL's ₹1,390 crore and MGL's ₹850 crore.
- Gross margin at nine-quarter low Sep 21
ATGL's blended gas cost in Q1FY27 was ₹48/scm, against ₹43 for IGL and ₹40 for MGL. That pushed its gross margin down to ₹14.6/scm, the lowest in at least nine quarters.
- Stock drops 5% amid rally Sep 21
ATGL led Adani Group declines with a 5% fall to ₹629.30 even though the Sensex rose 478 points to 74,773. The drop gave back part of Friday's 13% surge.
- Revenue lags despite wider footprint Sep 21
ATGL covers 53 geographies across 125 districts, compared with IGL's 12 areas. Even so, its revenue is less than half of IGL's in FY26 and Q1FY27.
- 13% surge on record volume Sep 21
The stock jumped nearly 13% to ₹660.7 on Friday on 39 million shares, the highest volume since May 27, 2026, which points to strong buying interest. It was also among the top NSE stocks by traded value at ₹2,565 crore.
- Long growth runway in underpenetrated markets Sep 21
ATGL operates in less-saturated areas across 53 geographies, 19 of them through JVs with IOC. Delhi-NCR's shift from CNG to EVs could hurt IGL while ATGL's growth catches up.
- Backing from TotalEnergies on LNG sourcing Sep 21
Adani Group and TotalEnergies each own 37.4%. TotalEnergies, the world's second-largest private LNG player, should help ATGL source imported gas.
- Preyash Jhaveri confirmed as CFO Sep 3
Preyash Jhaveri was appointed CFO effective September 3, 2026, after serving as interim CFO since December 2025. He brings over 30 years of finance experience and gives the finance function stable leadership.
- SEBI probe settled for ₹9.75 lakh Sep 22
ATGL settled a SEBI probe into a Regulation 33(1)(d) violation for ₹9.75 lakh. The company says there is no material financial impact.
- EHS vice president resigns Sep 23
Pranab Kumar Ghosh resigned as VP of Environment, Health & Safety effective close of business on September 23, 2026, citing other opportunities.
TL;DR: ATGL drew strong speculative interest, with a 13% surge on its highest volume since May. It also has structural strengths: a wide, underpenetrated CGD footprint and TotalEnergies backing for LNG sourcing. The main risks are a P/E above 100, rising gas costs that cut gross margin to a nine-quarter low of ₹14.6/scm, and profits below smaller-valued peers IGL and MGL. The 5% reversal right after the spike suggests the move isn't holding, so investors should watch for margin recovery and volume growth in Q2FY27 to see whether the premium valuation is justified.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,056 | 1,095 | 1,155 | 1,166 | 1,144 | 1,216 | 1,291 | 1,336 | 1,372 | 1,444 | 1,499 | 1,549 | 1,743 |
| Expenses | 808 | 815 | 867 | 877 | 847 | 909 | 1,026 | 1,071 | 1,080 | 1,151 | 1,196 | 1,249 | 1,476 |
| Operating Profit | 248 | 279 | 288 | 289 | 296 | 307 | 264 | 265 | 292 | 293 | 303 | 299 | 268 |
| OPM % | 23% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 15% |
| Other Income | 8 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| Interest | 24 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 41 | 35 | 39 |
| Depreciation | 33 | 37 | 38 | 49 | 45 | 50 | 52 | 52 | 54 | 59 | 60 | 60 | 64 |
| PBT | 199 | 225 | 231 | 227 | 237 | 240 | 193 | 198 | 219 | 217 | 212 | 214 | 178 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 148 | 168 | 172 | 165 | 177 | 178 | 143 | 149 | 162 | 162 | 157 | 156 | 133 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.34 | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.5 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 1.3 | 1.36 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.21 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,129 | 1,087 | 1,374 | 1,719 | 1,875 | 1,696 | 3,038 | 4,378 | 4,472 | 4,986 | 5,864 | 6,235 |
| Expenses | 921 | 809 | 1,008 | 1,264 | 1,280 | 991 | 2,265 | 3,508 | 3,368 | 3,849 | 4,675 | 5,072 |
| Operating Profit | 208 | 278 | 366 | 455 | 595 | 704 | 773 | 870 | 1,104 | 1,137 | 1,188 | 1,163 |
| OPM % | 18% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 32% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 19% |
| Other Income | 26 | -22 | 80 | 59 | 44 | 30 | 42 | 37 | 47 | 30 | 37 | 42 |
| Interest | 43 | 44 | 125 | 90 | 41 | 40 | 53 | 79 | 111 | 100 | 129 | 141 |
| Depreciation | 52 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 51 | 63 | 83 | 113 | 157 | 198 | 233 | 243 |
| PBT | 138 | 156 | 259 | 357 | 547 | 631 | 679 | 716 | 882 | 868 | 863 | 822 |
| Tax % | 41% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 81 | 101 | 165 | 229 | 436 | 472 | 505 | 530 | 653 | 648 | 637 | 608 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.17 | 3.94 | 6.41 | 2.08 | 3.97 | 4.29 | 4.59 | 4.82 | 5.94 | 5.89 | 5.79 | 5.53 |
| Div. Payout % | 54% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 257 | 257 | 257 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Reserves | 357 | 458 | 769 | 1,002 | 1,370 | 1,842 | 2,320 | 2,828 | 3,453 | 4,075 | 4,714 |
| Borrowings | 475 | 549 | 1,345 | 394 | 428 | 529 | 1,035 | 1,420 | 1,555 | 1,831 | 2,252 |
| Other Liabilities | 345 | 396 | 442 | 552 | 577 | 741 | 964 | 1,278 | 1,406 | 1,583 | 2,368 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,434 | 1,660 | 2,812 | 2,058 | 2,486 | 3,222 | 4,429 | 5,636 | 6,524 | 7,599 | 9,444 |
| Fixed Assets | 757 | 832 | 897 | 980 | 1,198 | 1,379 | 1,733 | 2,329 | 3,090 | 3,515 | 4,102 |
| CWIP | 157 | 87 | 102 | 190 | 342 | 696 | 1,171 | 1,612 | 1,476 | 1,803 | 1,919 |
| Investments | 49 | 91 | 189 | 186 | 291 | 436 | 648 | 683 | 704 | 993 | 1,928 |
| Other Assets | 471 | 651 | 1,624 | 701 | 655 | 711 | 878 | 1,013 | 1,254 | 1,288 | 1,495 |
| Total Assets | 1,434 | 1,660 | 2,812 | 2,058 | 2,486 | 3,222 | 4,429 | 5,636 | 6,524 | 7,599 | 9,444 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 255 | 258 | 277 | 356 | 492 | 654 | 732 | 846 | 971 | 980 | 1,150 |
| Investing | -413 | -303 | -988 | 791 | -461 | -770 | -1,133 | -1,163 | -769 | -956 | -1,231 |
| Financing | 39 | 50 | 779 | -1,077 | -102 | 39 | 422 | 295 | -77 | 58 | 117 |
| Net Cash Flow | -118 | 5 | 68 | 70 | -71 | -78 | 21 | -22 | 124 | 83 | 36 |
| Free Cash Flow | 168 | 134 | 137 | 115 | 51 | 47 | -218 | -312 | 227 | 145 | 247 |
| CFO/OP | 141 | 110 | 100 | 105 | 105 | 112 | 114 | 115 | 105 | 101 | 111 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 13 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 33 | 31 | 26 |
| Inventory Days | 19 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 11 | — | — | — |
| Days Payable | 22 | 28 | 63 | 35 | 28 | 55 | 31 | 36 | — | — | — |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 10 | 11 | -6 | -2 | -2 | -8 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 31 | 26 |
| Working Capital Days | -9 | 95 | 52 | 5 | -24 | -128 | -137 | -142 | -98 | -65 | -97 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 21% | 24% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 15% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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61 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY15–FY27.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Adani Total Gas
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Company Information
AGL is engaged in City Gas Distribution (CGD) business and supplies natural gas to domestic, commercial, industrial and vehicle users.
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