ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd
ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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43 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY12–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company is almost debt free.
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 8.12 times its book value
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -15.0%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd is a nearly debt-free auto components company with a market cap of ~₹29,783 crore trading at a PE of 59.7x and 8.07x book value. Revenue growth has moderated to 8% TTM after a 17% five-year CAGR, while profit growth has slowed to 2% TTM despite a strong 41% five-year profit CAGR. Promoter holding has declined by ~15 percentage points over three years as parent ZF Group divested stakes totalling ~11.8% in 2024.
- Virtually debt-free balance sheet provides financial flexibility and resilience through economic cycles
- Five-year compounded profit growth of 41% demonstrates strong operating leverage and margin expansion over the medium term
- ROE has been consistently in the 13-15% range over three, five, and ten years, indicating stable return generation on equity
- Q3 FY2025-26 revenue grew 12.8% YoY to ₹1,105 crore, indicating recent re-acceleration after a flat FY25
- Q1 FY2025-26 PAT rose 23.2% YoY to ₹122.4 crore, showing profit growth picking up after a sluggish 2% TTM period
- India's MHCV industry is entering a cyclical upcycle with estimated 8% volume growth in FY26 and 10% in FY27, directly benefiting the company as a key CV component supplier
- Five-year revenue CAGR of 17% significantly outpaced the 10-year CAGR of 8%, reflecting market share gains and content-per-vehicle expansion
- Stock has delivered a 16% CAGR over five years, outperforming its 10-year CAGR of 10%, supported by improving fundamentals
- PE ratio of 59.7x is significantly elevated relative to the auto components sector average, leaving limited margin of safety
- Price-to-book of 8.07x is expensive and implies very high growth expectations are already priced in
- Promoter holding has declined ~15 percentage points over three years, including a 7.6% stake sale in June 2024 and a 4.3% stake sale in November 2024 for a combined ~₹3,300 crore
- TTM profit growth has decelerated sharply to just 2% versus the five-year CAGR of 41%, signalling near-term earnings pressure
- TTM revenue growth of 8% and near-flat FY25 sales growth of 0.27% suggest limited top-line momentum in the most recent fiscal year
- Dividend yield of only 0.15% offers negligible income return to shareholders at current valuations
- Company is heavily dependent on the Indian CV cycle — MHCV volumes declined 2.7% in FY25 due to election disruptions and lower infra spending, highlighting cyclical vulnerability
- Parent ZF Group explicitly selling down its stake from ~75% to ~63% over 2024 may signal reduced long-term commitment or capital allocation priorities elsewhere
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1FY27 profit drops 18% YoY Jul 25
Consolidated net profit declined 17.5% YoY to ₹104.48 crore in Q1FY27, driven by lower revenue from operations.
- ₹27.99 Cr GST demand notice Aug 12
GST authorities issued a show cause notice proposing ₹27.99 crore demand for FY21-FY24. Company states no material impact on financials or operations.
- ESC nominations from three OEMs Jul 28
Received Electronic Stability Control business nominations from three major truck manufacturers ahead of India's upcoming mandatory truck safety regulations, positioning ZF well for compliance-driven demand.
- AGM approves ₹4 dividend, appointments Jul 28
Shareholders approved ₹4 per share dividend and board appointments at the 22nd AGM held July 24, 2026. All five resolutions passed with majority support.
- New CFO and CS appointed Jul 24
Board appointed new CFO and Company Secretary at July 24 meeting alongside Q1FY27 standalone PAT of ₹9,910.13 lakhs.
- Q1FY27 earnings call hosted Jul 28
Company held Q1 FY27 earnings call on July 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM IST via conference call organized by 360 ONE Capital Market. Audio recording uploaded per SEBI Regulation 30.
TL;DR: ZF Commercial faces near-term earnings pressure with Q1FY27 profit down 18% YoY on weaker revenue, compounded by a ₹27.99 Cr GST demand. On the positive side, ESC business nominations from three major OEMs ahead of India's new mandatory truck safety norms provide strong medium-term revenue visibility. The company maintains shareholder returns with a ₹4 dividend. The trend is mixed short-term but improving structurally as regulatory tailwinds in commercial vehicle safety should drive growth in coming quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 961 | 981 | 887 | 956 | 938 | 907 | 956 | 1,003 | 963 | 902 | 1,058 | 1,133 | 1,042 |
| Expenses | 819 | 837 | 756 | 809 | 800 | 767 | 781 | 831 | 835 | 770 | 863 | 950 | 911 |
| Operating Profit | 141 | 144 | 131 | 147 | 138 | 139 | 175 | 172 | 128 | 132 | 195 | 183 | 130 |
| OPM % | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% |
| Other Income | 21 | 24 | 30 | 20 | 26 | 40 | 17 | 27 | 67 | 45 | 24 | 42 | 36 |
| Interest | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Depreciation | 28 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 |
| PBT | 134 | 140 | 134 | 137 | 133 | 147 | 160 | 167 | 161 | 144 | 185 | 190 | 134 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 100 | 104 | 100 | 101 | 99 | 109 | 125 | 125 | 120 | 106 | 139 | 141 | 99 |
| EPS in Rs | 8.77 | 9.17 | 8.75 | 8.88 | 8.72 | 9.61 | 10.98 | 11 | 10.56 | 9.36 | 12.19 | 12.42 | 8.71 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,347 | 1,832 | 2,067 | 2,573 | 2,854 | 1,930 | 1,864 | 2,543 | 3,445 | 3,784 | 3,804 | 4,055 | 4,134 |
| Expenses | 1,144 | 1,546 | 1,741 | 2,174 | 2,443 | 1,676 | 1,658 | 2,291 | 2,974 | 3,220 | 3,178 | 3,416 | 3,494 |
| Operating Profit | 203 | 287 | 326 | 399 | 411 | 254 | 206 | 253 | 470 | 563 | 626 | 639 | 640 |
| OPM % | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Other Income | 20 | 40 | 36 | 46 | 72 | 62 | 39 | 38 | 67 | 96 | 109 | 176 | 147 |
| Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Depreciation | 47 | 56 | 62 | 62 | 71 | 90 | 90 | 92 | 105 | 109 | 123 | 130 | 129 |
| PBT | 177 | 270 | 300 | 382 | 411 | 223 | 152 | 196 | 427 | 544 | 607 | 680 | 652 |
| Tax % | 32% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 121 | 203 | 213 | 273 | 282 | 159 | 104 | 142 | 318 | 405 | 459 | 507 | 486 |
| EPS in Rs | 10.6 | 17.87 | 18.76 | 23.97 | 24.8 | 13.96 | 9.12 | 12.48 | 27.91 | 35.57 | 40.3 | 44.52 | 42.68 |
| Div. Payout % | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 2% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Reserves | 854 | 1,058 | 1,257 | 1,516 | 1,770 | 1,885 | 1,987 | 2,105 | 2,400 | 2,779 | 3,201 | 3,667 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 55 |
| Other Liabilities | 250 | 455 | 471 | 643 | 556 | 286 | 500 | 523 | 611 | 581 | 484 | 637 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,113 | 1,523 | 1,737 | 2,169 | 2,336 | 2,181 | 2,496 | 2,637 | 3,020 | 3,369 | 3,760 | 4,368 |
| Fixed Assets | 324 | 335 | 318 | 359 | 440 | 471 | 432 | 536 | 586 | 669 | 729 | 720 |
| CWIP | 18 | 37 | 62 | 52 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 20 | 77 | 83 | 63 | 59 |
| Investments | 39 | 218 | 298 | 446 | 313 | 542 | 640 | 399 | 101 | 26 | 31 | 606 |
| Other Assets | 733 | 932 | 1,059 | 1,312 | 1,563 | 1,137 | 1,374 | 1,682 | 2,256 | 2,592 | 2,937 | 2,983 |
| Total Assets | 1,113 | 1,523 | 1,737 | 2,169 | 2,336 | 2,181 | 2,496 | 2,637 | 3,020 | 3,369 | 3,760 | 4,368 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 124 | 242 | 180 | 311 | 150 | 224 | 138 | 138 | 299 | 193 | 274 | 809 |
| Investing | -45 | -241 | -120 | -205 | -429 | -165 | -24 | -178 | -270 | -135 | -211 | -697 |
| Financing | -11 | -12 | -14 | -18 | -18 | -48 | -19 | -28 | -31 | -34 | -44 | -52 |
| Net Cash Flow | 68 | -10 | 46 | 88 | -297 | 11 | 96 | -69 | -2 | 23 | 18 | 60 |
| Free Cash Flow | 52 | 159 | 106 | 216 | 31 | 132 | 68 | -38 | 171 | 12 | 123 | 669 |
| CFO/OP | 88 | 112 | 86 | 105 | 69 | 115 | 87 | 82 | 87 | 66 | 65 | 148 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 81 | 87 | 91 | 92 | 81 | 69 | 115 | 96 | 80 | 90 | 107 | 82 |
| Inventory Days | 54 | 58 | 43 | 30 | 30 | 36 | 37 | 32 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 41 |
| Days Payable | 82 | 115 | 96 | 121 | 83 | 50 | 110 | 77 | 60 | 59 | 55 | 66 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 53 | 30 | 38 | 1 | 29 | 55 | 41 | 51 | 46 | 58 | 82 | 58 |
| Working Capital Days | 73 | 50 | 51 | 37 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 56 | 46 | 63 | 83 | 55 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 19% |
Documents
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Company Information
Operating under the ZF WABCO brand and part of ZF Group Commercial Vehicle Control Systems Division, WABCO INDIA Limited is India’s market leader for advanced braking systems, conventional braking products and related air assisted technologies and systems in India. It also provides software development and other services. Its headquarter is in Chennai, India