ZF Commercial
ZF Commercial
AutomobilesKey Fundamentals
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company is almost debt free.
Weaknesses
1- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -15.0%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd has a market capitalisation of about ₹26,608 crore. It trades at a P/E of 53.6x and 7.25x book value, and the company is almost debt free. Profit has compounded at 41% over 5 years and 16% over 3 years, but TTM growth has slowed to 8% for sales and 2% for profit. The stock's 3-year CAGR is -3%, and promoter holding has fallen by 15.0 percentage points over three years.
- The company is almost debt free, so its balance sheet can absorb the cyclical swings typical of commercial vehicle demand without leverage risk.
- Profit compounded at 41% over 5 years, well ahead of 5-year sales growth of 17%. This points to operating leverage and margin expansion over that period.
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 17% is about double the 10-year sales CAGR of 8%. The business has scaled up meaningfully in recent years.
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 16% is well above 3-year sales growth of 6%. Profitability kept improving even while top-line growth was modest.
- ROE has trended up, from 13% on a 5-year and 10-year average to 15% over 3 years. Capital efficiency has improved without the help of leverage.
- The stock has compounded at 15% over 5 years and 10% over the last year. Over longer periods, shareholders have been rewarded.
- A dividend yield of 0.17% shows the company returns some cash to shareholders while still keeping a debt-free balance sheet.
- A P/E of 53.6x is a steep valuation next to TTM profit growth of just 2%. That leaves little room for earnings disappointment.
- The stock trades at 7.25x book value while ROE is 14%. The market is paying a large premium relative to current returns on equity.
- Promoter holding has fallen by 15.0 percentage points over the last 3 years. This may create supply overhang and raises questions about the promoter's long-term stake.
- Growth has slowed sharply. TTM sales growth is 8% and TTM profit growth is 2%, against a 5-year profit CAGR of 41%, which suggests the high-growth phase may be fading.
- The stock's 3-year CAGR is -3% even though 3-year profit CAGR was 16%. The valuation multiple has contracted and price momentum has been weak over that period.
- 3-year compounded sales growth of only 6% points to muted top-line momentum, which is typical of a cyclical commercial vehicle end-market.
- ROE of 14% last year and 13% over 10 years is moderate for a company valued at 53.6x earnings. It does not clearly justify a premium multiple on its own.
- A dividend yield of 0.17% gives investors very little income support if the stock's valuation multiple compresses further.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Record FY26 revenue, profit growth Sep 21
FY26 revenue rose 9.2% to a record ₹4,302 crore and net profit rose 12% to ₹517 crore. Profit grew faster than revenue, which points to margin expansion.
- ITAT quashes ₹1.17 crore demand Sep 18
The ITAT Chennai bench set aside a ₹1.17 crore tax demand for AY 2022-23 and allowed the company's appeal against transfer pricing adjustments. The amount is small, but the ruling removes a contingent liability.
- Mumbai analyst and investor meet Sep 21
The company held an analyst and institutional investor meeting in Mumbai on September 21, 2026, covering operational updates. It said no unpublished price-sensitive information was shared.
TL;DR: ZF CVCS India posted record FY26 results, with revenue up 9.2% to ₹4,302 crore and net profit up 12% to ₹517 crore, so profitability is improving. The ₹1.17 crore ITAT win is a small but clean positive on the regulatory side. These articles show no specific headwinds, but the stock still depends on the commercial vehicle cycle and on transfer pricing scrutiny, which is common for MNC subsidiaries. The trend looks like it's improving, and the next things to watch are FY27 order momentum and whether margins hold if CV demand slows.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 961 | 981 | 887 | 956 | 938 | 907 | 956 | 1,003 | 963 | 902 | 1,058 | 1,133 | 1,042 |
| Expenses | 819 | 837 | 756 | 809 | 800 | 767 | 781 | 831 | 835 | 770 | 863 | 950 | 911 |
| Operating Profit | 141 | 144 | 131 | 147 | 138 | 139 | 175 | 172 | 128 | 132 | 195 | 183 | 130 |
| OPM % | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% |
| Other Income | 21 | 24 | 30 | 20 | 26 | 40 | 17 | 27 | 67 | 45 | 24 | 42 | 36 |
| Interest | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Depreciation | 28 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 |
| PBT | 134 | 140 | 134 | 137 | 133 | 147 | 160 | 167 | 161 | 144 | 185 | 190 | 134 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 100 | 104 | 100 | 101 | 99 | 109 | 125 | 125 | 120 | 106 | 139 | 141 | 99 |
| EPS in Rs | 8.77 | 9.17 | 8.75 | 8.88 | 8.72 | 9.61 | 10.98 | 11 | 10.56 | 9.36 | 12.19 | 12.42 | 8.71 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,347 | 1,832 | 2,067 | 2,573 | 2,854 | 1,930 | 1,864 | 2,543 | 3,445 | 3,784 | 3,804 | 4,055 | 4,134 |
| Expenses | 1,144 | 1,546 | 1,741 | 2,174 | 2,443 | 1,676 | 1,658 | 2,291 | 2,974 | 3,220 | 3,178 | 3,416 | 3,494 |
| Operating Profit | 203 | 287 | 326 | 399 | 411 | 254 | 206 | 253 | 470 | 563 | 626 | 639 | 640 |
| OPM % | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Other Income | 20 | 40 | 36 | 46 | 72 | 62 | 39 | 38 | 67 | 96 | 109 | 176 | 147 |
| Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Depreciation | 47 | 56 | 62 | 62 | 71 | 90 | 90 | 92 | 105 | 109 | 123 | 130 | 129 |
| PBT | 177 | 270 | 300 | 382 | 411 | 223 | 152 | 196 | 427 | 544 | 607 | 680 | 652 |
| Tax % | 32% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 121 | 203 | 213 | 273 | 282 | 159 | 104 | 142 | 318 | 405 | 459 | 507 | 486 |
| EPS in Rs | 10.6 | 17.87 | 18.76 | 23.97 | 24.8 | 13.96 | 9.12 | 12.48 | 27.91 | 35.57 | 40.3 | 44.52 | 42.68 |
| Div. Payout % | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 2% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Reserves | 854 | 1,058 | 1,257 | 1,516 | 1,770 | 1,885 | 1,987 | 2,105 | 2,400 | 2,779 | 3,201 | 3,667 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 55 |
| Other Liabilities | 250 | 455 | 471 | 643 | 556 | 286 | 500 | 523 | 611 | 581 | 484 | 637 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,113 | 1,523 | 1,737 | 2,169 | 2,336 | 2,181 | 2,496 | 2,637 | 3,020 | 3,369 | 3,760 | 4,368 |
| Fixed Assets | 324 | 335 | 318 | 359 | 440 | 471 | 432 | 536 | 586 | 669 | 729 | 720 |
| CWIP | 18 | 37 | 62 | 52 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 20 | 77 | 83 | 63 | 59 |
| Investments | 39 | 218 | 298 | 446 | 313 | 542 | 640 | 399 | 101 | 26 | 31 | 606 |
| Other Assets | 733 | 932 | 1,059 | 1,312 | 1,563 | 1,137 | 1,374 | 1,682 | 2,256 | 2,592 | 2,937 | 2,983 |
| Total Assets | 1,113 | 1,523 | 1,737 | 2,169 | 2,336 | 2,181 | 2,496 | 2,637 | 3,020 | 3,369 | 3,760 | 4,368 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 124 | 242 | 180 | 311 | 150 | 224 | 138 | 138 | 299 | 193 | 274 | 809 |
| Investing | -45 | -241 | -120 | -205 | -429 | -165 | -24 | -178 | -270 | -135 | -211 | -697 |
| Financing | -11 | -12 | -14 | -18 | -18 | -48 | -19 | -28 | -31 | -34 | -44 | -52 |
| Net Cash Flow | 68 | -10 | 46 | 88 | -297 | 11 | 96 | -69 | -2 | 23 | 18 | 60 |
| Free Cash Flow | 52 | 159 | 106 | 216 | 31 | 132 | 68 | -38 | 171 | 12 | 123 | 669 |
| CFO/OP | 88 | 112 | 86 | 105 | 69 | 115 | 87 | 82 | 87 | 66 | 65 | 148 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 81 | 87 | 91 | 92 | 81 | 69 | 115 | 96 | 80 | 90 | 107 | 82 |
| Inventory Days | 54 | 58 | 43 | 30 | 30 | 36 | 37 | 32 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 41 |
| Days Payable | 82 | 115 | 96 | 121 | 83 | 50 | 110 | 77 | 60 | 59 | 55 | 66 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 53 | 30 | 38 | 1 | 29 | 55 | 41 | 51 | 46 | 58 | 82 | 58 |
| Working Capital Days | 73 | 50 | 51 | 37 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 56 | 46 | 63 | 83 | 55 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 19% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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62 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY07–FY27.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about ZF Commercial
What does ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd do?
Where is ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd (ZFCVINDIA) listed?
Which sector does ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd belong to?
What is the market capitalisation of ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd?
What is the PE ratio of ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd?
What is the 52-week high and low of ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd?
Does ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd pay dividends?
What is the Return on Equity (ROE) of ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System India Ltd?
Company Information
Operating under the ZF WABCO brand and part of ZF Group Commercial Vehicle Control Systems Division, WABCO INDIA Limited is India’s market leader for advanced braking systems, conventional braking products and related air assisted technologies and systems in India. It also provides software development and other services. Its headquarter is in Chennai, India
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