Bharat Forge Ltd
Bharat Forge Ltd
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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42 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY09–FY27.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has delivered good profit growth of 38.6% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 41.6%
Weaknesses
3- Stock is trading at 10.4 times its book value
- Company has a low return on equity of 12.2% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Bharat Forge Ltd trades at a market cap of ₹99,768 Cr with a PE of 138.8x and PB of 10.37x, reflecting premium valuations. The company has delivered strong 5-year profit CAGR of ~39% and maintains a 41.6% dividend payout, but ROE remains modest at 12% and TTM profit growth has turned negative at -2%.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 39% CAGR demonstrates earnings power across cycles
- Stock has delivered 76% returns over the past 1 year, reflecting strong momentum and investor confidence
- TTM sales growth of 18% indicates continued top-line expansion and demand visibility
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 41.6% signals management commitment to shareholder returns
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 33% shows sustained earnings trajectory beyond a single year
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 22% reflects structural demand tailwinds in auto and industrial segments
- 10-year stock CAGR of 18% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record
- PE ratio of 138.8x is significantly elevated, leaving little room for execution misses
- TTM profit growth has turned negative at -2%, suggesting near-term earnings pressure
- ROE of 12% over 3 years and 5 years is modest for a stock trading at 10.37x book value
- Stock trades at 10.4x price-to-book, a premium valuation that demands consistently high growth to justify
- 10-year compounded profit growth of only 5% highlights cyclicality and inconsistent long-term earnings
- Potential capitalization of interest costs may overstate reported profitability and asset quality
- Dividend yield of just 0.41% offers minimal income cushion at current elevated valuations
- 10-year sales CAGR of 9% suggests top-line growth has been lumpy and not consistently high
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1FY27 net loss from restructuring Aug 11
Consolidated net loss of ₹899 million in Q1FY27 driven by ₹330 million in German subsidiary restructuring charges, despite revenue rising 18.7% YoY to ₹47,000 million.
- Sharp drop in Class 8 orders Aug 5
Significant decline in Class 8 truck orders signals demand softness in the heavy commercial vehicle segment, a key revenue vertical for Bharat Forge.
- Global manufacturing strategy under review Aug 10
Co-MD flagged ongoing review of global manufacturing strategy amid profitability challenges in international operations, with no specific timelines provided.
- Defense & aerospace growth targets Aug 11
Company targets 22-23% defense margins, plans to double aerospace revenue from ₹400 crore within two years, and expects semiconductor business to grow $30-40 million.
- Q2 margins guided at 27-28% Aug 10
Management guided for margin recovery to 27-28% range in Q2, signaling confidence in near-term operational improvement after restructuring-hit Q1.
- ₹25,000 crore fundraising mandate Aug 12
Postal ballot issued seeking shareholder approval to raise up to ₹25,000 million to finance growth plans, capex, and debt repayment.
- Heavy-lift airship MoU signed Jul 22
Strategic MoU with FLYING WHALES to develop and manufacture LCA60T heavy-lift airships (60-tonne capacity) in India for defence and national security applications.
- ₹1,800 crore organic capex planned Aug 11
Organic capex plan of around ₹1,800 crore approved, with energy and data center business expected to double over four years.
- 65th AGM concludes, dividend declared Aug 11
Shareholders approved FY26 financials, declared final dividend, and re-appointed Ashish Bharat Ram as Non-Executive Non-Independent Director at the 65th AGM on August 11, 2026.
- Kalyani sells REFU Drive stake Jul 23
Kalyani Powertrain sold its 50% stake in REFU Drive GmbH for EUR 12,500, ending the joint venture relationship.
TL;DR: Bharat Forge is navigating a transitional quarter with Q1FY27 reporting a net loss due to German restructuring costs, but underlying revenue growth of 18.7% YoY remains strong. The company is aggressively positioning for future growth through defence, aerospace, semiconductors, and data center verticals with substantial capex plans. Key risks include Class 8 truck demand weakness and unresolved global manufacturing profitability. The trend is cautiously improving as restructuring nears completion and management guides for margin normalization in Q2.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,877 | 3,774 | 3,866 | 4,164 | 4,106 | 3,689 | 3,476 | 3,853 | 3,909 | 4,032 | 4,343 | 4,528 | 4,640 |
| Expenses | 3,282 | 3,153 | 3,169 | 3,521 | 3,365 | 3,042 | 2,853 | 3,174 | 3,239 | 3,308 | 3,597 | 3,751 | 3,942 |
| Operating Profit | 595 | 621 | 698 | 643 | 741 | 647 | 623 | 679 | 670 | 724 | 746 | 777 | 698 |
| OPM % | 15% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 15% |
| Other Income | 67 | 51 | 58 | 45 | -99 | 62 | 38 | 57 | 50 | 54 | -13 | -46 | -301 |
| Interest | 114 | 124 | 137 | 116 | 124 | 110 | 96 | 88 | 82 | 80 | 77 | 84 | 90 |
| Depreciation | 206 | 211 | 224 | 207 | 218 | 213 | 218 | 224 | 226 | 241 | 249 | 255 | 263 |
| PBT | 341 | 337 | 395 | 366 | 300 | 385 | 347 | 424 | 411 | 457 | 407 | 392 | 44 |
| Tax % | 37% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 42% | 37% | 39% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 40% | 302% |
| Net Profit | 214 | 215 | 254 | 227 | 175 | 243 | 213 | 283 | 284 | 299 | 273 | 233 | -90 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.8 | 4.88 | 5.68 | 5.07 | 4.36 | 5.23 | 4.45 | 5.9 | 5.93 | 6.26 | 5.53 | 4.86 | -1.88 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,622 | 6,809 | 6,396 | 8,358 | 10,146 | 8,056 | 6,336 | 10,461 | 12,910 | 15,682 | 15,123 | 16,812 | 17,543 |
| Expenses | 6,232 | 5,397 | 5,276 | 6,635 | 8,098 | 6,984 | 5,504 | 8,478 | 11,174 | 13,121 | 12,431 | 13,894 | 14,597 |
| Operating Profit | 1,390 | 1,413 | 1,121 | 1,723 | 2,048 | 1,072 | 832 | 1,983 | 1,737 | 2,562 | 2,692 | 2,917 | 2,946 |
| OPM % | 18% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| Other Income | 226 | 148 | 391 | 46 | 199 | 109 | -138 | 288 | 124 | 217 | 55 | 44 | -306 |
| Interest | 136 | 116 | 100 | 107 | 127 | 171 | 108 | 160 | 299 | 491 | 417 | 323 | 331 |
| Depreciation | 362 | 453 | 452 | 467 | 521 | 548 | 612 | 730 | 736 | 848 | 874 | 971 | 1,008 |
| PBT | 1,118 | 992 | 960 | 1,196 | 1,599 | 462 | -25 | 1,381 | 827 | 1,439 | 1,456 | 1,667 | 1,301 |
| Tax % | 32% | 32% | 26% | 37% | 35% | 24% | 399% | 22% | 39% | 37% | 37% | 35% | — |
| Net Profit | 760 | 675 | 711 | 754 | 1,033 | 349 | -127 | 1,077 | 508 | 910 | 913 | 1,089 | 716 |
| EPS in Rs | 16.38 | 14.57 | 15.13 | 16.38 | 22.17 | 7.51 | -2.71 | 23.23 | 11.35 | 20.43 | 19.69 | 22.58 | 14.77 |
| Div. Payout % | 23% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 23% | 47% | -74% | 30% | 62% | 44% | 43% | 38% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 47 | 47 | 47 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 96 | 96 |
| Reserves | 3,398 | 3,367 | 4,070 | 4,559 | 5,283 | 5,127 | 5,322 | 6,478 | 6,612 | 7,077 | 9,158 | 9,484 |
| Borrowings | 2,546 | 3,375 | 3,124 | 3,257 | 4,029 | 4,469 | 5,271 | 5,972 | 7,313 | 7,948 | 6,698 | 7,309 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,245 | 1,504 | 1,600 | 2,068 | 2,173 | 1,793 | 2,402 | 2,950 | 4,216 | 4,066 | 4,017 | 5,350 |
| Total Liabilities | 8,236 | 8,292 | 8,841 | 9,977 | 11,578 | 11,482 | 13,088 | 15,492 | 18,235 | 19,184 | 19,968 | 22,238 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,629 | 3,134 | 3,277 | 3,500 | 3,625 | 4,002 | 4,750 | 4,870 | 6,161 | 6,309 | 6,627 | 8,215 |
| CWIP | 870 | 409 | 453 | 344 | 831 | 1,143 | 900 | 1,125 | 701 | 991 | 1,732 | 1,298 |
| Investments | 496 | 886 | 1,192 | 1,501 | 1,524 | 1,618 | 2,607 | 2,604 | 2,569 | 1,849 | 2,063 | 1,738 |
| Other Assets | 4,242 | 3,863 | 3,919 | 4,632 | 5,599 | 4,720 | 4,831 | 6,893 | 8,804 | 10,034 | 9,547 | 10,987 |
| Total Assets | 8,236 | 8,292 | 8,841 | 9,977 | 11,578 | 11,482 | 13,088 | 15,492 | 18,235 | 19,184 | 19,968 | 22,238 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,035 | 1,356 | 1,052 | 967 | 911 | 1,522 | 1,020 | 506 | 1,294 | 1,664 | 1,796 | 1,487 |
| Investing | -467 | -888 | -737 | -722 | -1,196 | -1,114 | -1,511 | -690 | -1,666 | -665 | -1,964 | -1,038 |
| Financing | -360 | -448 | -401 | -314 | 368 | -381 | 578 | 310 | 280 | -203 | -570 | -442 |
| Net Cash Flow | 208 | 19 | -86 | -69 | 83 | 26 | 87 | 126 | -91 | 796 | -738 | 6 |
| Free Cash Flow | 326 | 465 | 408 | 399 | -220 | 565 | 129 | -459 | 325 | 164 | 352 | 374 |
| CFO/OP | 104 | 118 | 118 | 79 | 71 | 164 | 134 | 43 | 99 | 85 | 89 | 70 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 41 | 75 | 77 | 85 | 77 | 68 | 81 | 75 | 87 | 74 | 70 | 85 |
| Inventory Days | 131 | 142 | 161 | 151 | 160 | 177 | 249 | 235 | 191 | 159 | 198 | 195 |
| Days Payable | 144 | 119 | 127 | 148 | 118 | 105 | 167 | 141 | 132 | 112 | 130 | 144 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 28 | 98 | 111 | 88 | 119 | 140 | 163 | 169 | 147 | 121 | 138 | 136 |
| Working Capital Days | 40 | 11 | -8 | 6 | 15 | -15 | -49 | -24 | -39 | -46 | -27 | -12 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 13% |
Documents
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Company Information
Bharat Forge is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of forged and machined Compoundant for auto and industry sector.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 123)