Vedanta Ltd
Vedanta Ltd
Commodities F&OVedanta Ltd is a diversified natural resource group engaged in exploring, extracting and processing minerals and oil & gas. The group engages in the exploration, production and sale of zinc, lead, silver, copper, aluminium, iron ore and oil & gas. It has presence across India, South Africa, Namibia, Ireland, Liberia & UAE. Its other businesses includes commercial power generation, steel manufacturing & port operations in India and manufacturing of glass substrate in South Korea and Taiwan.[1] Presently, India accounts for ~65% of total revenues, followed by Malaysia (9%), China (3%), UAE (1%) and others (22%).[2]
Vedanta trades at an extremely cheap PE of 4.4x with a massive 12.07% dividend yield, supported by 69% buy ratings from analysts. However, declining sales (TTM -49%) and deteriorating working capital (193 days) warrant caution despite the deep value proposition.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapDiversified MetalsMetals & MiningTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has reduced debt.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 31.0%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 150%
Weaknesses
4- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.28% over past five years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.14,186 Cr.
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -11.7%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Vedanta trades at an extremely cheap PE of 4.4x with a massive 12.07% dividend yield, supported by 69% buy ratings from analysts. However, declining sales (TTM -49%) and deteriorating working capital (193 days) warrant caution despite the deep value proposition.
- Exceptionally low PE ratio of 4.4x indicates deep value relative to sector peers in metals and mining
- Dividend yield of 12.07% is among the highest in Indian markets, with a payout ratio of 158% demonstrating shareholder-friendly capital allocation
- Strong analyst consensus with 69.23% buy ratings (9 out of 13 analysts recommending buy)
- Stock CAGR of 75% over 1 year and 41% over 3 years shows strong price momentum and re-rating
- Healthy ROE track record of 22% over 3 years and 24% over 5 years demonstrates consistent return generation
- Company has actively reduced debt, improving balance sheet quality and reducing financial risk
- Long-term stock CAGR of 21% over 10 years indicates sustained wealth creation for investors
- Price-to-book ratio of 2.22x is reasonable for a diversified natural resources company with significant asset base
- TTM sales declined sharply by -49%, indicating severe revenue contraction in the current cycle
- Working capital days ballooned from -5.18 days to 193 days, signaling serious deterioration in operational efficiency
- Promoter holding decreased by 11.7% over last 3 years, raising corporate governance concerns
- Compounded profit growth is negative at -38% TTM and -7% over 3 years, showing earnings weakness
- Other income of Rs.14,186 Cr inflates earnings quality — core operating profit may be significantly lower
- 5-year sales CAGR of -2.28% reflects structural inability to grow the topline organically
- Company might be capitalizing interest costs, potentially understating true operating expenses and flattering reported profits
- Only 1 sell rating but 3 holds (23.08%) suggest not all analysts are convinced of the upside narrative
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- MSCI index removal June 22 Jun 16
MSCI removed Vedanta from Global Standard and Large Cap indexes effective June 22 due to sharp market cap reduction post-demerger, triggering passive fund rebalancing and potential selling pressure.
- Zambia copper going-concern warning Jun 8
CopperTech Metals (Vedanta's Zambia unit) disclosed substantial doubt about Konkola Plc's ability to continue as a going concern in SEC filing, with operating losses of $302.4M in FY25 and $46.9M in FY26.
- Court-ordered fly ash probe Jun 8
Jharsuguda court directed police to file FIR against Vedanta Aluminium for alleged illegal fly ash dumping near Bheden river; Odisha govt also served ₹233.11 crore penalty notice for unauthorized water extraction.
- Demerged entities hit lower circuits Jun 16
Vedanta Aluminium fell 12% from listing price hitting 5% lower circuit two consecutive days; Vedanta Oil & Gas also hit 5% lower circuit with 56M pending sell orders on exchanges.
- Dividend yield structurally reduced Jun 5
Post-demerger dividend per share expected to fall from ₹34 (FY26) to ₹10-12 for residual Vedanta, compressing yield from 10-13% to 3-4% as cross-subsidization across businesses ends.
- Vedanta shares down 50% YTD Jun 8
Vedanta stock fell 50% year-to-date and 10% in one week as post-demerger price adjustment and structural changes weigh on the residual entity's valuation at ₹1.18 lakh crore market cap.
- $20B capex plan announced Jun 15
Chairman Anil Agarwal announced $20B capital expenditure over 3 years targeting 3x group size across aluminium (6 MTPA), steel (15 MT), power (20 GW), with debt reduced from $12B to ~$5B at Vedanta Resources.
- $5.4B refinancing at 300bps savings Jun 13
Vedanta Resources launched $5.4B refinancing ($3.6B bond buyback + $1.8B loan prepay) to cut borrowing costs from 9-10% to ~7%, saving ~$108M annually; S&P and Moody's upgraded to BB/Ba3 in May 2026.
- Demerger unlocks 20% value Jun 15
Combined value of five Vedanta entities reached ~₹933-943 per original share vs pre-demerger close of ₹773.25, representing 18-20% value creation; over ₹60,000 crore in shareholder value unlocked.
- Aluminium crowned jewel entity Jun 13
Vedanta Aluminium debuted at ₹527/share with ₹2.06 lakh crore market cap, ICRA rating upgraded to AA+, best-ever EBITDA of $1,512/tonne in Q4, plans to double capacity to 6 MTPA in 3 years.
- Rare earth diversification play Jun 11
Vedanta among ~10 companies expressing interest in rare earth processing facilities in Andhra Pradesh as India seeks to reduce China dependence; state targeting ₹500B in rare earth investments over a decade.
- Copper/nickel expansion targets Jun 8
Vedanta rebranded copper and nickel businesses under unified identities, targeting 460 KTPA copper capacity by end of next year and scaling nickel from 7 KTPA to 60 KTPA.
- New real estate subsidiary formed Jun 24
Vedanta incorporated wholly owned subsidiary Vedanta Property Platforms Limited on June 22 with ₹1 lakh authorized capital for real estate sector entry.
- Large block trades on NSE Jun 23
Six block trades executed spanning ₹283-292.90 per share, with largest at ₹1,916 crore (~6.55 crore shares at ₹292.55), indicating significant institutional repositioning.
- CEO transition underway Jun 15
Hindustan Zinc CEO Arun Misra set to become Vedanta Ltd group CEO by July 2026; HZL delivered 20% revenue growth to ₹40,844 crore and 34% profit growth to ₹13,832 crore in FY26.
- AGM scheduled July 14 Jun 18
Vedanta's 61st AGM set for July 14, 2026 via video conferencing at 3:00 PM IST.
- 15% emissions intensity cut Jun 5
Vedanta reduced metals emissions intensity from 6.45 to 5.44 tCO₂e/tm since FY21; renewable energy consumption rose 50% YoY to nearly 4 billion units in FY26.
- BRSR filed for FY26 Jun 19
Vedanta filed Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for FY2025-26 reporting improvements in GHG emissions and water intensity metrics.
- Analyst meet June 25 Jun 20
Vedanta scheduled sell-side analyst engagement event in Mumbai for June 25, 2026.
- No new share encumbrance Jun 12
Welter Trading confirmed no new encumbrance created on Vedanta shares during FY26 under SEBI takeover regulations.
TL;DR: Vedanta completed its landmark five-way demerger, unlocking 20% value premium for shareholders and creating independent sector-focused entities led by Vedanta Aluminium (₹2.06L cr market cap, AA+ rated). The positives are substantial — $20B growth capex, $5.4B refinancing at 300bps savings, and dual credit upgrades to BB/Ba3. However, risks include MSCI index deletion triggering passive outflows, structural dividend compression from 10%+ to 3-4% yield, environmental litigation in Odisha, and a going-concern warning at the Zambia copper unit. The trend is transformational rather than directional — near-term volatility from demerger mechanics and index rebalancing should fade as each entity establishes independent price discovery and investor bases over the next 2-3 quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 37,930 | 33,733 | 38,945 | 35,541 | 35,509 | 35,764 | 37,634 | 17,063 | 16,686 | 37,824 | 18,747 | 21,337 | 24,609 |
| Expenses | 28,471 | 27,313 | 27,466 | 27,010 | 26,741 | 25,819 | 27,806 | 12,050 | 11,440 | 27,906 | 13,832 | 14,816 | 17,050 |
| Operating Profit | 9,459 | 6,420 | 11,479 | 8,531 | 8,768 | 9,945 | 9,828 | 5,013 | 5,246 | 9,918 | 4,915 | 6,521 | 7,559 |
| OPM % | 25% | 19% | 29% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 26% | 26% | 31% | 31% |
| Other Income | -631 | 2,326 | 1,863 | 779 | 385 | 934 | 3,168 | 3,202 | 2,771 | 985 | 1,248 | 4,426 | 5,520 |
| Interest | 1,805 | 2,110 | 2,523 | 2,417 | 2,415 | 2,222 | 2,667 | 1,073 | 1,071 | 2,026 | 1,033 | 547 | 737 |
| Depreciation | 2,765 | 2,550 | 2,642 | 2,788 | 2,743 | 2,731 | 2,696 | 1,238 | 1,191 | 2,824 | 1,303 | 1,239 | 1,332 |
| PBT | 4,258 | 4,086 | 8,177 | 4,105 | 3,995 | 5,926 | 7,633 | 5,904 | 5,755 | 6,053 | 3,827 | 9,161 | 11,010 |
| Tax % | 26% | 19% | 111% | 30% | 43% | 14% | 27% | 17% | 14% | 26% | 9% | 15% | 15% |
| Net Profit | 3,132 | 3,308 | -915 | 2,868 | 2,275 | 5,095 | 5,603 | 4,876 | 4,961 | 4,457 | 3,479 | 7,807 | 9,352 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.06 | 7.1 | -4.8 | 5.42 | 3.68 | 9.7 | 11.13 | 9.07 | 8.91 | 8.14 | 4.6 | 14.6 | 17.13 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 73,710 | 64,262 | 72,225 | 91,866 | 92,048 | 84,447 | 88,021 | 1,32,732 | 1,47,308 | 1,43,727 | 62,717 | 78,437 |
| Expenses | 51,595 | 82,741 | 50,849 | 66,989 | 68,877 | 63,704 | 60,703 | 87,908 | 1,12,877 | 1,08,415 | 44,139 | 55,254 |
| Operating Profit | 22,114 | -18,479 | 21,376 | 24,877 | 23,171 | 20,743 | 27,318 | 44,824 | 34,431 | 35,312 | 18,578 | 23,183 |
| OPM % | 30% | -29% | 30% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 23% | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Other Income | -19,222 | 4,290 | 4,423 | 6,087 | 4,270 | -14,932 | 2,743 | 1,832 | 2,625 | 5,241 | 12,739 | 14,186 |
| Interest | 5,659 | 5,778 | 5,855 | 5,112 | 5,689 | 4,977 | 5,210 | 4,797 | 6,225 | 9,465 | 4,197 | 2,817 |
| Depreciation | 7,159 | 8,572 | 6,292 | 6,283 | 8,192 | 9,093 | 7,638 | 8,895 | 10,555 | 10,723 | 4,233 | 4,810 |
| PBT | -9,925 | -28,540 | 13,652 | 19,569 | 13,560 | -8,259 | 17,213 | 32,964 | 20,276 | 20,365 | 22,887 | 29,742 |
| Tax % | 15% | -37% | 17% | 30% | 28% | -43% | 13% | 28% | 28% | 63% | 10% | 16% |
| Net Profit | -11,369 | -17,862 | 11,316 | 13,692 | 9,698 | -4,744 | 15,032 | 23,710 | 14,503 | 7,539 | 20,535 | 25,096 |
| EPS in Rs | -52.77 | -41.39 | 23.47 | 27.82 | 19.01 | -17.93 | 31.21 | 50.58 | 28.45 | 11.4 | 38.33 | 44.47 |
| Div. Payout % | -8% | -8% | 83% | 76% | 99% | -22% | 30% | 89% | 357% | 259% | 113% | 76% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 296 | 296 | 297 | 372 | 372 | 372 | 372 | 372 | 372 | 372 | 391 | 391 |
| Reserves | 53,579 | 43,743 | 60,128 | 62,940 | 61,925 | 54,263 | 61,906 | 65,011 | 39,051 | 30,350 | 40,821 | 49,261 |
| Borrowings | 77,752 | 67,778 | 71,569 | 58,159 | 66,226 | 59,187 | 57,669 | 53,583 | 80,329 | 87,706 | 91,479 | 32,947 |
| Other Liabilities | 58,654 | 80,163 | 64,952 | 58,896 | 70,045 | 66,915 | 63,549 | 74,981 | 69,703 | 69,690 | 67,249 | 1,49,712 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,90,281 | 1,91,980 | 1,96,946 | 1,80,367 | 1,98,568 | 1,80,737 | 1,83,496 | 1,93,947 | 1,89,455 | 1,88,118 | 1,99,940 | 2,32,311 |
| Fixed Assets | 70,108 | 67,231 | 76,756 | 80,279 | 96,397 | 88,904 | 90,470 | 93,466 | 95,744 | 98,963 | 99,905 | 30,548 |
| CWIP | 38,748 | 38,461 | 27,557 | 32,055 | 24,959 | 18,585 | 16,314 | 15,879 | 19,529 | 22,889 | 33,896 | 10,531 |
| Investments | 39,606 | 53,386 | 46,962 | 28,700 | 33,065 | 24,753 | 16,660 | 17,291 | 13,150 | 11,869 | 14,532 | 15,418 |
| Other Assets | 41,819 | 32,903 | 45,671 | 39,333 | 44,147 | 48,495 | 60,052 | 67,311 | 61,032 | 54,397 | 51,607 | 1,75,814 |
| Total Assets | 1,90,281 | 1,91,980 | 1,96,946 | 1,80,367 | 1,98,568 | 1,80,737 | 1,83,496 | 1,93,947 | 1,89,455 | 1,88,118 | 1,99,940 | 2,32,311 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 17,805 | 20,377 | 18,083 | 17,366 | 23,754 | 19,300 | 23,980 | 34,963 | 33,065 | 35,654 | 39,562 | 39,499 |
| Investing | -4,133 | -7,868 | 2,681 | 15,480 | -10,594 | -5,925 | -6,678 | -2,243 | -668 | -13,676 | -19,158 | -24,134 |
| Financing | -13,956 | -11,303 | -12,425 | -39,255 | -10,242 | -15,547 | -17,565 | -28,903 | -34,142 | -26,092 | -19,223 | -13,549 |
| Net Cash Flow | -284 | 1,206 | 8,339 | -6,409 | 2,918 | -2,172 | -263 | 3,817 | -1,745 | -4,114 | 1,181 | 1,816 |
| Free Cash Flow | 7,231 | 14,965 | 12,648 | 10,070 | 14,937 | 11,631 | 17,262 | 24,658 | 19,411 | 19,097 | 22,848 | 18,747 |
| CFO/OP | 96 | -124 | 109 | 83 | 114 | 99 | 96 | 91 | 114 | 109 | 230 | 205 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 18 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| Inventory Days | 129 | 132 | 161 | 135 | 184 | 184 | 153 | 147 | 124 | 107 | 234 | 66 |
| Days Payable | 78 | 267 | 308 | 202 | 242 | 275 | 245 | 221 | 91 | 83 | 165 | 88 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 69 | -120 | -136 | -51 | -42 | -80 | -77 | -61 | 43 | 33 | 90 | -16 |
| Working Capital Days | -121 | -219 | -338 | -182 | -212 | -186 | -150 | -82 | -120 | -107 | -243 | -121 |
| ROCE % | 9% | -14% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 17% | 28% | 20% | 21% | 12% | 16% |
Documents
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Company Information
Vedanta Ltd is a diversified natural resource group engaged in exploring, extracting and processing minerals and oil & gas. The group engages in the exploration, production and sale of zinc, lead, silver, copper, aluminium, iron ore and oil & gas. It has presence across India, South Africa, Namibia, Ireland, Liberia & UAE. Its other businesses includes commercial power generation, steel manufacturing & port operations in India and manufacturing of glass substrate in South Korea and Taiwan.[1] Presently, India accounts for ~65% of total revenues, followed by Malaysia (9%), China (3%), UAE (1%) and others (22%).[2]