United Breweries Ltd
United Breweries Ltd
Fast Moving Consumer GoodsUnited Breweries Limited (UBL) is engaged in the business of manufacture and sale of beer and non-alcoholic beverages. [1]
UBL trades at a PE of 85.8x with declining profits (TTM profit growth of -19%) and a 1-year stock CAGR of -31%, making it expensive on fundamentals. However, its dominant market position in Indian beer, healthy dividend payout of 62.8%, and improving working capital efficiency (reduced from 45.5 to 24.6 days) provide a floor. The stock is best held for existing investors but not attractive for fresh entry at current valuations.
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapBreweries & DistilleriesBeveragesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 62.8%
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 45.5 days to 24.6 days
Weaknesses
3- Stock is trading at 7.81 times its book value
- Company has a low return on equity of 9.73% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
UBL trades at a PE of 85.8x with declining profits (TTM profit growth of -19%) and a 1-year stock CAGR of -31%, making it expensive on fundamentals. However, its dominant market position in Indian beer, healthy dividend payout of 62.8%, and improving working capital efficiency (reduced from 45.5 to 24.6 days) provide a floor. The stock is best held for existing investors but not attractive for fresh entry at current valuations.
- Dominant market leader in Indian beer with a large market cap of Rs 35,933 Cr providing institutional liquidity and index inclusion benefits
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 62.8% demonstrates shareholder-friendly capital allocation and management confidence in cash flows
- Working capital efficiency improved significantly from 45.5 days to 24.6 days, freeing up capital and improving cash conversion
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 17% shows strong top-line momentum driven by premiumization and volume recovery post-COVID
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 26% indicates operating leverage potential when input costs normalize
- 10-year stock CAGR of 6% despite recent correction shows long-term wealth creation track record
- 10-year average ROE of 10% is consistent and reflects stable franchise economics in an oligopolistic market
- Dividend yield of 0.75% provides modest income support during periods of capital stagnation
- PE of 85.8x is extremely elevated for an FMCG company with single-digit profit growth, implying stretched valuations with limited margin of safety
- Stock has declined 31% over the past 1 year, indicating severe institutional selling and negative momentum
- TTM profit growth of -19% signals margin compression from elevated barley prices or higher excise duties
- 3-year ROE of only 9.73% is below cost of equity, indicating the company is not generating adequate returns for shareholders
- Price-to-book ratio of 7.85x is very high for a company earning sub-10% ROE, suggesting poor capital efficiency relative to market pricing
- 42.86% of analysts rate the stock a SELL (9 out of 21 analysts), reflecting bearish consensus on near-term prospects
- 3-year stock CAGR of -4% means investors have lost money over a meaningful holding period despite broader market gains
- Possible capitalization of interest costs raises concerns about true profitability and quality of reported earnings
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- No new encumbrances in FY26 Jun 22
United Breweries confirmed no new encumbrances beyond prior disclosures for FY26, in compliance with SEBI takeover regulations.
TL;DR: Limited news flow for United Breweries this period with only a routine regulatory compliance disclosure. No material headwinds or positive catalysts emerged. The absence of negative developments is mildly reassuring, but investors should watch for upcoming quarterly results and any regulatory changes in the alcoholic beverages space for directional cues.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,766 | 2,275 | 1,890 | 1,824 | 2,133 | 2,475 | 2,117 | 2,000 | 2,323 | 2,864 | 2,053 | 2,073 | 2,250 |
| Expenses | 1,712 | 2,052 | 1,706 | 1,678 | 1,991 | 2,190 | 1,890 | 1,859 | 2,136 | 2,553 | 1,923 | 1,847 | 2,111 |
| Operating Profit | 54 | 223 | 184 | 146 | 143 | 285 | 227 | 141 | 187 | 311 | 130 | 226 | 139 |
| OPM % | 3% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 6% |
| Other Income | 12 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 26 | 7 | 10 | -16 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -8 | 82 |
| Interest | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 29 |
| Depreciation | 51 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 61 | 57 | 63 | 64 | 69 | 76 |
| PBT | 13 | 180 | 144 | 117 | 110 | 233 | 178 | 61 | 132 | 248 | 66 | 132 | 116 |
| Tax % | 27% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 37% | 26% | 26% | 30% | 39% | 12% |
| Net Profit | 10 | 136 | 107 | 86 | 82 | 174 | 132 | 39 | 98 | 184 | 46 | 81 | 102 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.37 | 5.15 | 4.06 | 3.23 | 3.07 | 6.56 | 5 | 1.45 | 3.69 | 6.95 | 1.76 | 3.06 | 3.85 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,688 | 4,833 | 4,729 | 5,619 | 6,475 | 6,509 | 4,243 | 5,838 | 7,500 | 8,123 | 8,915 | 9,240 |
| Expenses | 4,066 | 4,136 | 4,087 | 4,716 | 5,337 | 5,633 | 3,862 | 5,142 | 6,884 | 7,426 | 8,074 | 8,434 |
| Operating Profit | 622 | 697 | 642 | 903 | 1,138 | 876 | 381 | 697 | 616 | 696 | 841 | 806 |
| OPM % | 13% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Other Income | 37 | 82 | 52 | 13 | 32 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 16 | 74 | 10 | 100 |
| Interest | 73 | 81 | 59 | 48 | 31 | 31 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 72 |
| Depreciation | 208 | 244 | 287 | 260 | 260 | 285 | 232 | 217 | 211 | 212 | 233 | 272 |
| PBT | 379 | 455 | 348 | 608 | 879 | 569 | 169 | 494 | 417 | 551 | 605 | 562 |
| Tax % | 31% | 34% | 34% | 35% | 36% | 25% | 33% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 260 | 299 | 230 | 395 | 563 | 428 | 114 | 366 | 305 | 411 | 442 | 413 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.83 | 11.28 | 8.68 | 14.91 | 21.29 | 16.18 | 4.28 | 13.82 | 11.5 | 15.51 | 16.71 | 15.63 |
| Div. Payout % | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 76% | 65% | 64% | 60% | 64% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| Reserves | 1,824 | 2,121 | 2,308 | 2,664 | 3,157 | 3,494 | 3,556 | 3,909 | 3,938 | 4,152 | 4,337 | 4,496 |
| Borrowings | 836 | 806 | 594 | 312 | 211 | 252 | 262 | 10 | 16 | 102 | 620 | 1,317 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,198 | 1,413 | 1,550 | 1,721 | 1,989 | 1,778 | 2,008 | 2,004 | 2,300 | 2,773 | 3,239 | 3,854 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,885 | 4,366 | 4,479 | 4,723 | 5,384 | 5,551 | 5,852 | 5,949 | 6,280 | 7,053 | 8,223 | 9,693 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,836 | 1,822 | 1,750 | 1,730 | 1,777 | 1,926 | 1,949 | 1,913 | 1,851 | 1,776 | 1,749 | 2,050 |
| CWIP | 90 | 61 | 137 | 72 | 190 | 199 | 129 | 110 | 77 | 173 | 253 | 512 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Other Assets | 1,959 | 2,483 | 2,591 | 2,921 | 3,417 | 3,425 | 3,768 | 3,918 | 4,344 | 5,097 | 6,213 | 7,123 |
| Total Assets | 3,885 | 4,366 | 4,479 | 4,723 | 5,384 | 5,551 | 5,852 | 5,949 | 6,280 | 7,053 | 8,223 | 9,693 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 841 | 539 | 544 | 563 | 643 | 508 | 620 | 900 | -120 | 70 | 235 | 435 |
| Investing | -329 | -245 | -234 | -197 | -430 | -402 | -152 | -160 | -121 | -148 | -239 | -409 |
| Financing | -572 | -297 | -301 | -364 | -196 | -95 | -88 | -287 | -292 | -122 | 217 | 92 |
| Net Cash Flow | -60 | -3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 380 | 453 | -533 | -201 | 213 | 117 |
| Free Cash Flow | 434 | 296 | 309 | 362 | 206 | 104 | 471 | 727 | -274 | -121 | -23 | 2 |
| CFO/OP | 158 | 100 | 107 | 90 | 91 | 80 | 184 | 148 | 3 | 30 | 51 | 81 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 75 | 84 | 100 | 97 | 85 | 76 | 120 | 78 | 68 | 104 | 117 | 116 |
| Inventory Days | 283 | 330 | 333 | 271 | 326 | 312 | 561 | 302 | 321 | 298 | 327 | 152 |
| Days Payable | 173 | 200 | 204 | 175 | 186 | 156 | 311 | 206 | 161 | 207 | 232 | 127 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 184 | 214 | 229 | 193 | 225 | 232 | 370 | 174 | 228 | 196 | 211 | 141 |
| Working Capital Days | 23 | 21 | 34 | 53 | 48 | 50 | 62 | 31 | 49 | 62 | 50 | 25 |
| ROCE % | 16% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about United Breweries Ltd
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Company Information
United Breweries Limited (UBL) is engaged in the business of manufacture and sale of beer and non-alcoholic beverages. [1]