United Breweries
United Breweries
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Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 62.8%
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 45.6 days to 24.6 days
Weaknesses
3- Stock is trading at 6.95 times its book value
- Company has a low return on equity of 9.47% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
United Breweries Ltd has a market capitalisation of about Rs 33,156 crore and trades at a P/E of 85.1x and a P/B of 7.44x, even though TTM profit fell 26% and TTM sales grew only 1%. Return on equity is modest at 8% last year and about 9-10% over 3, 5 and 10 years. Working capital fell from 45.6 to 24.6 days and the dividend payout ratio is 62.8%. The stock has returned -30% over 1 year and -4% CAGR over 5 years.
- Working capital requirements fell from 45.6 days to 24.6 days, a drop of about 21 days. This points to better cash conversion and tighter management of receivables and inventory.
- The dividend payout ratio is 62.8%, so most earnings go back to shareholders. The dividend yield is 0.79%.
- Sales grew at a 17% CAGR and profit at a 24% CAGR over 5 years. This shows the business can grow strongly when demand and input costs are favourable.
- After a 30% fall in the share price over 1 year, the stock trades well below earlier levels. The 3-year stock CAGR is -7%, so part of the earnings slowdown may already be reflected in the price.
- Sales grew at a 7% CAGR over both 3 and 10 years. This steady top-line growth reflects the strength of the Kingfisher brand portfolio in India's beer category.
- The key metrics do not show any leverage figure. A market cap of about Rs 33,156 crore and a 62.8% payout suggest the company can fund dividends without relying heavily on debt, though the balance sheet should be checked directly.
- ROE has stayed in a narrow band of 8-10% across the 1, 3, 5 and 10-year periods. Profitability is low but stable, so margin recovery in a normal cost environment could lift returns from this base.
- The P/E of 85.1x implies an earnings yield of only about 1.2%. That is a steep multiple for a company whose TTM profit fell 26%.
- TTM profit fell 26% while TTM sales grew only 1%. This points to significant margin pressure, likely from input costs such as barley and packaging, along with pricing constraints.
- The stock trades at 7.44x book value while ROE was 8% last year and averaged about 9.47% over 3 years. That is a large premium to book for returns that are likely below the cost of equity.
- Profit grew at only a 2% CAGR over both 10 years and 3 years. Over the long run, earnings have barely compounded despite a 7% sales CAGR, which suggests margins have eroded over time.
- Shareholder returns have been weak: the stock returned -30% over 1 year, -7% CAGR over 3 years, -4% over 5 years and just 3% over 10 years.
- The company may be capitalising interest cost. This can flatter reported profit and warrants a closer look at the quality of earnings and capex accounting.
- The 0.79% dividend yield is low even with a 62.8% payout ratio. The high valuation leaves little income cushion if earnings stay under pressure.
- The alcobev sector is exposed to state-level excise duties, pricing approvals and distribution rules. This regulatory exposure helps explain why sales growth slowed to 1% TTM from a 17% CAGR over 5 years.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1 margins and profit decline Sep 4
Q1 FY27 EBITDA fell 9.1% YoY to ₹283 Cr and margin contracted to 9.2% from 10.9%. Standalone net profit dropped 9.5% to ₹166 Cr from ₹184 Cr.
- Stock hits 52-week low Sep 4
Shares hit a 52-week low of ₹1,251.60 after a 3.1% fall, the biggest single-day drop in eight months. The stock is down 9% in a month and 22% YTD, as investors were unimpressed by the EverGreen 2030 strategy.
- Input cost and war inflation Sep 14
War-related cost inflation is estimated at ₹300-500 Cr, and only about half has been offset so far. Gross margins are below 45%, versus a 54% average over FY13-FY22, with glass, cans, barley and logistics all getting more expensive.
- Weak execution track record Sep 14
Over the past three years, revenue grew just 6% a year and volumes 3%. JM Financial says gains in mainstream share and margin delivery have lagged expectations. HDFC Securities rates the stock 'reduce' with a ₹1,325 target, citing competition and a valuation of 64x the five-year average forward P/E.
- ₹54.83 Cr tax penalty Sep 29
The Income Tax Department issued penalty orders totalling ₹54.83 Cr covering AY 2013-14 to 2022-23. UBL plans to appeal, citing pending adjudications.
- Uneven state demand and pricing Sep 14
Beer sales fell 9% in Madhya Pradesh (blamed on a 30-40% supply cut), 8% in Himachal Pradesh and 4% in Uttar Pradesh. Government-controlled pricing in several states can delay payments and force discounts. Relying on contract brewers in low-profit states also weighs on margins.
- Industry beer volumes surge 17% Sep 14
Pan-India beer sales grew 17% YoY in Q1 FY27, the strongest in five quarters and up from 11% the previous quarter. BAI expects 13-14% growth for the full year, reaching 41-42 million hectolitres (about 530 million cases).
- Premium portfolio growing 20-25% Sep 2
UBL expects premium beer to grow 20-25% a year, roughly three times the broader market, and to make up 18-20% of sales by FY30, up from about 11% now. Premium volumes grew 34% in 2024 and 24% in 2025, led by Heineken Silver and Ultra.
- Q1 revenue growth, profit beat Sep 4
Q1 revenue rose 7.1% YoY to ₹3,067 Cr. Net profit of ₹166 Cr beat the ₹147 Cr poll estimate, and the 9.2% margin topped the Street's 9%.
- High Court tax win Sep 4
The Bombay High Court (Aurangabad Bench) dismissed the Revenue's appeal on a ₹21.92 Cr service tax demand, removing that contingent liability.
- ₹110 Cr Ellora canning line Sep 4
UBL will invest ₹110 Cr in the first canning line at its Ellora brewery in Maharashtra, with capacity of 40,000 cans an hour. It is expected to start in September 2026, subject to approvals.
- Strong key-state demand, Karnataka duty Sep 14
In the June quarter, beer sales rose 42% in Maharashtra, 35% in Karnataka and 33% in Andhra Pradesh. Karnataka's new duty structure, linked to alcohol content, favours lower-ABV premium beers.
- Anand Rathi maintains Buy Sep 14
Anand Rathi rates the stock 'buy' with a ₹1,600 target, valuing it at 60x FY28 earnings (down from 65x) on expectations of a volume upswing and margin recovery.
- EverGreen 2030 double-digit growth target Sep 4
UBL targets double-digit net sales growth and a low-to-mid-teen operating margin, up from 9.2% now. It plans to get there through premiumisation, a better state mix, localisation and productivity, and has raised its premium revenue share target to 20% from 10-11%.
- Localised sourcing, own brewery expansion Sep 4
UBL is targeting 100% domestic sourcing of malt and glass bottles to cushion against commodity shocks. New projects in Telangana, Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh should increase the share of revenue from its own breweries.
- Analyst and investor meet Sep 2
UBL held an analyst and investor meeting (Capital Markets Day) on September 3, where it set out its medium-term strategy.
TL;DR: UBL has strong industry tailwinds: beer volumes grew 17% in Q1 FY27, and its premium portfolio is growing 20-25% a year, backed by capacity spending such as the ₹110 Cr Ellora canning line. Profitability is still the weak spot. Q1 EBITDA fell 9.1% and margin dropped to 9.2%, gross margins are below 45%, war-related cost inflation runs ₹300-500 Cr, and a new ₹54.83 Cr tax penalty adds to the pressure. The stock is at 52-week lows, down 22% YTD, and analysts are split between HDFC's 'reduce' at ₹1,325 and Anand Rathi's 'buy' at ₹1,600. Demand is improving, but whether the stock re-rates will depend on visible margin recovery toward the low-teen target over the next few quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,275 | 1,890 | 1,824 | 2,133 | 2,475 | 2,117 | 2,000 | 2,323 | 2,864 | 2,053 | 2,073 | 2,250 | 3,067 |
| Expenses | 2,052 | 1,706 | 1,678 | 1,991 | 2,190 | 1,890 | 1,859 | 2,136 | 2,553 | 1,923 | 1,847 | 2,111 | 2,784 |
| Operating Profit | 223 | 184 | 146 | 143 | 285 | 227 | 141 | 187 | 311 | 130 | 226 | 139 | 283 |
| OPM % | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 9% |
| Other Income | 10 | 12 | 25 | 26 | 7 | 10 | -16 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -8 | 82 | 51 |
| Interest | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 29 | 23 |
| Depreciation | 51 | 51 | 52 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 61 | 57 | 63 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 86 |
| PBT | 180 | 144 | 117 | 110 | 233 | 178 | 61 | 132 | 248 | 66 | 132 | 116 | 224 |
| Tax % | 24% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 37% | 26% | 26% | 30% | 39% | 12% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 136 | 107 | 86 | 82 | 174 | 132 | 39 | 98 | 184 | 46 | 81 | 102 | 166 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.15 | 4.06 | 3.23 | 3.07 | 6.56 | 5 | 1.45 | 3.69 | 6.95 | 1.76 | 3.06 | 3.85 | 6.29 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,688 | 4,833 | 4,729 | 5,619 | 6,475 | 6,509 | 4,243 | 5,838 | 7,500 | 8,123 | 8,915 | 9,240 | 9,442 |
| Expenses | 4,066 | 4,136 | 4,087 | 4,716 | 5,337 | 5,633 | 3,862 | 5,142 | 6,884 | 7,426 | 8,074 | 8,434 | 8,665 |
| Operating Profit | 622 | 697 | 642 | 903 | 1,138 | 876 | 381 | 697 | 616 | 696 | 841 | 806 | 777 |
| OPM % | 13% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Other Income | 37 | 82 | 52 | 13 | 32 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 16 | 74 | 10 | 100 | 140 |
| Interest | 73 | 81 | 59 | 48 | 31 | 31 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 72 | 84 |
| Depreciation | 208 | 244 | 287 | 260 | 260 | 285 | 232 | 217 | 211 | 212 | 233 | 272 | 295 |
| PBT | 379 | 455 | 348 | 608 | 879 | 569 | 169 | 494 | 417 | 551 | 605 | 562 | 539 |
| Tax % | 31% | 34% | 34% | 35% | 36% | 25% | 33% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 260 | 299 | 230 | 395 | 563 | 428 | 114 | 366 | 305 | 411 | 442 | 413 | 396 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.83 | 11.28 | 8.68 | 14.91 | 21.29 | 16.18 | 4.28 | 13.82 | 11.5 | 15.51 | 16.71 | 15.63 | 14.96 |
| Div. Payout % | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 76% | 65% | 64% | 60% | 64% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| Reserves | 1,824 | 2,121 | 2,308 | 2,664 | 3,157 | 3,494 | 3,556 | 3,909 | 3,938 | 4,152 | 4,337 | 4,496 |
| Borrowings | 836 | 806 | 594 | 312 | 211 | 252 | 262 | 10 | 16 | 102 | 620 | 1,317 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,198 | 1,413 | 1,550 | 1,721 | 1,989 | 1,778 | 2,008 | 2,004 | 2,300 | 2,773 | 3,239 | 3,854 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,885 | 4,366 | 4,479 | 4,723 | 5,384 | 5,551 | 5,852 | 5,949 | 6,280 | 7,053 | 8,223 | 9,693 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,836 | 1,822 | 1,750 | 1,730 | 1,777 | 1,926 | 1,949 | 1,913 | 1,851 | 1,776 | 1,749 | 2,050 |
| CWIP | 90 | 61 | 137 | 72 | 190 | 199 | 129 | 110 | 77 | 173 | 253 | 512 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Other Assets | 1,959 | 2,483 | 2,591 | 2,921 | 3,417 | 3,425 | 3,768 | 3,918 | 4,344 | 5,097 | 6,213 | 7,123 |
| Total Assets | 3,885 | 4,366 | 4,479 | 4,723 | 5,384 | 5,551 | 5,852 | 5,949 | 6,280 | 7,053 | 8,223 | 9,693 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 841 | 539 | 544 | 563 | 643 | 508 | 620 | 900 | -120 | 70 | 214 | 435 |
| Investing | -329 | -245 | -234 | -197 | -430 | -402 | -152 | -160 | -121 | -148 | -238 | -408 |
| Financing | -572 | -297 | -301 | -364 | -196 | -95 | -88 | -287 | -292 | -122 | 237 | 92 |
| Net Cash Flow | -60 | -3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 380 | 453 | -533 | -201 | 213 | 118 |
| Free Cash Flow | 434 | 296 | 309 | 362 | 206 | 104 | 471 | 727 | -274 | -121 | -45 | 2 |
| CFO/OP | 158 | 100 | 107 | 90 | 91 | 80 | 184 | 148 | 3 | 30 | 48 | 81 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 75 | 84 | 100 | 97 | 85 | 76 | 120 | 78 | 68 | 104 | 117 | 116 |
| Inventory Days | 283 | 330 | 333 | 271 | 326 | 312 | 561 | 302 | 321 | 298 | 327 | 432 |
| Days Payable | 173 | 200 | 204 | 175 | 186 | 156 | 311 | 206 | 161 | 207 | 296 | 361 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 184 | 214 | 229 | 193 | 225 | 232 | 370 | 174 | 228 | 196 | 148 | 187 |
| Working Capital Days | 23 | 21 | 34 | 53 | 48 | 50 | 62 | 31 | 49 | 62 | 50 | 25 |
| ROCE % | 16% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY12–FY27.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about United Breweries
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Company Information
United Breweries Limited (UBL) is engaged in the business of manufacture and sale of beer and non-alcoholic beverages. [1]
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