TVS Motor Company Ltd
TVS Motor Company Ltd
Consumer Discretionary F&OTVS Motor Company Ltd (TVSM) is engaged in manufacturing two-wheelers and its accessories; it currently manufactures a wide range of two-wheelers and three-wheelers. [1]
TVS Motor delivers exceptional growth with 38% profit CAGR over 5 years and 34% ROE, backed by strong analyst consensus (71% Buy). However, the stock trades at a demanding 51.3x PE and 17.1x PB, warranting a high-conviction but valuation-aware accumulation strategy.
Key Fundamentals
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Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has delivered good profit growth of 38.3% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 30.0%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.9%
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 17.1 times its book value
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
TVS Motor delivers exceptional growth with 38% profit CAGR over 5 years and 34% ROE, backed by strong analyst consensus (71% Buy). However, the stock trades at a demanding 51.3x PE and 17.1x PB, warranting a high-conviction but valuation-aware accumulation strategy.
- Compounded profit growth of 38% CAGR over 5 years significantly outpaces the two-wheeler industry average
- Return on equity of 34% in the last year demonstrates excellent capital efficiency and improving profitability
- Strong analyst consensus with 71.43% Buy ratings (25 out of 35 analysts) signals institutional confidence
- Revenue growth of 27% TTM indicates robust demand momentum and market share gains
- Stock CAGR of 41% over 5 years reflects consistent wealth creation for long-term shareholders
- 3-year ROE average of 30% shows sustained high-quality earnings rather than one-off performance
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 20.9% indicates shareholder-friendly capital allocation despite high reinvestment needs
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 17% demonstrates a long runway of consistent business expansion
- PE ratio of 51.3x is expensive even for a high-growth consumer discretionary name, leaving limited margin of safety
- Price-to-book of 17.1x implies the market is pricing in near-perfect execution for years ahead
- Dividend yield of just 0.35% offers negligible income support during potential market corrections
- Potential capitalization of interest costs raises questions about true operating profitability and earnings quality
- Only 14.29% Sell ratings but the 14.29% Hold ratings suggest some analysts see limited upside from current levels
- Market cap of Rs 1,64,380 crore demands sustained 25%+ earnings growth for several years to justify valuation
- 10-year profit CAGR of 23% is lower than recent 5-year rate of 38%, indicating acceleration that may not sustain indefinitely
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- May sales beat estimates widely Jun 1
TVS Motor recorded 566,585 units in May vs 431,275 YoY, beating market estimate of 508,500 units by a significant margin.
- #1 global shareholder value ranking May 25
Ranked #1 globally in Durable Consumer Goods by WirtschaftsWoche and BCG, delivering 51% annual shareholder return from 2021-25.
- TVS HLX crosses 5M sales Jun 6
TVS HLX series surpassed 5 million global sales, strengthening leadership in Africa, Middle East, and Latin America.
- Nigeria tricycle distribution expansion Jun 19
Expanded Nigeria distribution via new tricycle partnership. Africa contributes 25% of FY25 sales and nearly 70% of total export volumes.
- TVS Paddock premium channel launch Jun 6
Introduced TVS Paddock, a bespoke premium retail channel for its motorcycle portfolio, launching in Q2 FY27.
- Ronin variants launched in Nepal May 30
Launched Ronin Monotone and Agonda variants in Nepal priced at NPR 4,29,900 and NPR 4,39,900 respectively.
- New independent director appointed Jun 20
Ravindran Shanmugam appointed as Non-Executive Independent Director for five years with 99.81% shareholder approval.
- Multiple NSE block trades noted Jun 22
Recorded block trades totalling ~₹121 crores across sessions in June, including ₹72.50 crores and ₹15.78 crores on Jun 22 and ₹32.67 crores on Jun 3, reflecting sustained institutional interest.
- 34th AGM scheduled July 22 Jun 3
TVS Motor will hold its 34th AGM on July 22, 2026 via video conferencing.
- Morgan Stanley investor meetings May 30
Company officials to attend India Investment Forum 2026 on June 3 for analyst and investor meetings organized by Morgan Stanley.
TL;DR: TVS Motor is firing on all cylinders with strong volume growth (May sales up 31% YoY, beating estimates), expanding international distribution particularly in Africa (25% of FY25 sales), and delivering exceptional shareholder returns (51% CAGR over 2021-25). No material headwinds are visible in recent news flow. The trend is clearly positive with premium channel launches and global milestone achievements suggesting continued momentum into FY26-27.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,031 | 9,056 | 9,933 | 10,114 | 9,942 | 10,314 | 11,302 | 11,035 | 11,542 | 12,210 | 14,051 | 14,756 | 15,053 |
| Expenses | 6,982 | 7,852 | 8,588 | 8,639 | 8,487 | 8,884 | 9,678 | 9,402 | 9,638 | 10,407 | 11,941 | 12,488 | 12,881 |
| Operating Profit | 1,049 | 1,204 | 1,345 | 1,475 | 1,455 | 1,431 | 1,624 | 1,633 | 1,904 | 1,803 | 2,110 | 2,267 | 2,172 |
| OPM % | 13% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% |
| Other Income | 67 | 87 | 51 | 12 | -34 | 48 | 32 | 70 | -57 | 40 | -14 | -60 | 7 |
| Interest | 398 | 437 | 483 | 494 | 511 | 500 | 509 | 536 | 551 | 551 | 552 | 561 | 566 |
| Depreciation | 232 | 227 | 237 | 242 | 263 | 241 | 259 | 258 | 292 | 315 | 320 | 323 | 315 |
| PBT | 486 | 627 | 676 | 750 | 647 | 738 | 888 | 908 | 1,004 | 977 | 1,223 | 1,323 | 1,298 |
| Tax % | 31% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 34% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 33% | 37% |
| Net Profit | 336 | 441 | 416 | 510 | 412 | 485 | 588 | 609 | 698 | 643 | 833 | 891 | 820 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.07 | 9.14 | 8.13 | 10.08 | 8.15 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 11.91 | 13.64 | 12.84 | 16.74 | 17.71 | 16.24 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 10,256 | 11,377 | 12,463 | 16,340 | 20,160 | 18,849 | 19,421 | 24,355 | 31,974 | 38,779 | 44,089 | 56,070 |
| Expenses | 9,650 | 10,558 | 11,591 | 14,769 | 17,997 | 16,585 | 17,189 | 21,601 | 27,947 | 33,344 | 37,514 | 47,717 |
| Operating Profit | 605 | 819 | 871 | 1,571 | 2,163 | 2,264 | 2,232 | 2,755 | 4,027 | 5,435 | 6,575 | 8,352 |
| OPM % | 6% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% |
| Other Income | 80 | 93 | 163 | 71 | 25 | 12 | 36 | -5 | 136 | 131 | 99 | -28 |
| Interest | 62 | 70 | 60 | 338 | 663 | 855 | 881 | 940 | 1,368 | 1,917 | 2,093 | 2,230 |
| Depreciation | 179 | 262 | 317 | 374 | 442 | 556 | 565 | 743 | 859 | 956 | 1,046 | 1,273 |
| PBT | 444 | 580 | 658 | 931 | 1,083 | 865 | 822 | 1,067 | 1,936 | 2,693 | 3,535 | 4,822 |
| Tax % | 28% | 26% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 32% | 34% | 33% | 34% |
| Net Profit | 328 | 429 | 509 | 665 | 725 | 647 | 608 | 731 | 1,309 | 1,779 | 2,380 | 3,186 |
| EPS in Rs | 6.91 | 9.03 | 10.76 | 13.73 | 14.83 | 13.15 | 12.51 | 15.93 | 27.97 | 35.5 | 47.06 | 63.53 |
| Div. Payout % | 28% | 28% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 19% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 |
| Reserves | 1,277 | 1,771 | 2,169 | 2,630 | 3,123 | 3,235 | 3,779 | 4,352 | 5,457 | 6,736 | 8,456 | 9,517 |
| Borrowings | 1,119 | 1,091 | 1,311 | 6,928 | 9,298 | 11,591 | 12,179 | 15,827 | 22,376 | 26,006 | 28,609 | 32,791 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,126 | 2,236 | 2,601 | 3,586 | 4,228 | 4,399 | 5,859 | 6,692 | 7,144 | 9,235 | 10,539 | 14,145 |
| Total Liabilities | 4,570 | 5,146 | 6,128 | 13,190 | 16,696 | 19,272 | 21,865 | 26,919 | 35,025 | 42,024 | 47,651 | 56,501 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,637 | 2,038 | 2,362 | 3,094 | 3,367 | 3,811 | 4,221 | 5,975 | 5,748 | 5,891 | 7,644 | 10,200 |
| CWIP | 93 | 47 | 64 | 313 | 745 | 1,006 | 1,041 | 552 | 743 | 1,033 | 1,465 | 974 |
| Investments | 539 | 943 | 1,155 | 421 | 440 | 371 | 468 | 605 | 967 | 1,123 | 1,247 | 1,147 |
| Other Assets | 2,301 | 2,118 | 2,547 | 9,362 | 12,145 | 14,085 | 16,135 | 19,788 | 27,566 | 33,977 | 37,294 | 44,181 |
| Total Assets | 4,570 | 5,146 | 6,128 | 13,190 | 16,696 | 19,272 | 21,865 | 26,919 | 35,025 | 42,024 | 47,651 | 56,501 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 83 | 936 | 689 | 354 | -918 | 373 | 1,151 | -1,575 | -4,405 | -1,253 | 3,503 | 1,867 |
| Investing | -415 | -605 | -709 | -1,095 | -1,104 | -1,090 | -882 | -1,471 | -1,308 | -1,481 | -2,899 | -2,964 |
| Financing | 261 | -319 | -59 | 897 | 2,210 | 1,619 | 264 | 2,918 | 6,118 | 3,239 | 1,155 | 909 |
| Net Cash Flow | -71 | 12 | -79 | 156 | 188 | 902 | 532 | -128 | 406 | 505 | 1,759 | -189 |
| Free Cash Flow | -261 | 424 | 65 | -727 | -2,048 | -617 | 227 | -2,531 | -5,724 | -2,363 | 1,044 | -1,280 |
| CFO/OP | 40 | 134 | 95 | 43 | -28 | 27 | 63 | -44 | -94 | -5 | 71 | 42 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 15 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| Inventory Days | 51 | 40 | 47 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 39 | 37 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 26 |
| Days Payable | 76 | 74 | 80 | 86 | 83 | 94 | 121 | 105 | 89 | 100 | 103 | 103 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -11 | -18 | -12 | -28 | -21 | -31 | -63 | -50 | -41 | -49 | -56 | -60 |
| Working Capital Days | -11 | -20 | -24 | -37 | -1 | -27 | -38 | -40 | -49 | -20 | -17 | -36 |
| ROCE % | 21% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 17% |
Documents
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Company Information
TVS Motor Company Ltd (TVSM) is engaged in manufacturing two-wheelers and its accessories; it currently manufactures a wide range of two-wheelers and three-wheelers. [1]