Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd
Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd
IndustrialsTitagarh Rail Systems Ltd (Formerly Titagarh Wagons Limited), incorporated in 1997, is mainly engaged in the manufacturing and selling of Freight Wagons, Passenger Coaches, Metro Trains, Train Electricals, Steel Castings, Specialised Equipments & Bridges, Ships, etc. The company caters to both domestic and export markets.[1]
Titagarh Rail Systems commands a premium valuation at 102.3x PE despite a sharp TTM profit decline of -42% and sales contraction of -18%. While the long-term growth story remains intact with 76% stock CAGR over 5 years and strong analyst consensus (86% buy), near-term earnings deterioration and rich multiples warrant caution.
Key Fundamentals
MicrocapRailway WagonsCapital GoodsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Weaknesses
3- Company has a low return on equity of 11.3% over last 3 years.
- Dividend payout has been low at 6.53% of profits over last 3 years
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -7.38%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Titagarh Rail Systems commands a premium valuation at 102.3x PE despite a sharp TTM profit decline of -42% and sales contraction of -18%. While the long-term growth story remains intact with 76% stock CAGR over 5 years and strong analyst consensus (86% buy), near-term earnings deterioration and rich multiples warrant caution.
- Strong analyst consensus with 85.71% buy ratings (6 out of 7 analysts) and zero sell recommendations
- Exceptional 5-year stock CAGR of 76% reflecting sustained market confidence in the rail infrastructure theme
- Robust 10-year compounded sales growth of 13% indicating long-term revenue compounding ability
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 65% demonstrating significant earnings scale-up over the medium term
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 27% showing durable long-cycle earnings expansion
- Market cap of Rs 12,640 crore provides adequate liquidity and institutional ownership eligibility
- 3-year stock CAGR of 25% outperforming broader industrial sector returns
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 16% reflects order book conversion and capacity utilization improvement
- Extremely elevated PE ratio of 102.3x leaves no margin of safety and prices in near-perfect execution
- TTM compounded profit has declined -42%, signaling sharp near-term earnings deterioration
- TTM sales growth has contracted -18%, raising concerns about order execution and revenue visibility
- Low return on equity of 11.3% over 3 years (and just 6% last year) indicates poor capital efficiency
- Promoter holding has decreased by 7.38% over 3 years, signaling potential lack of insider confidence
- Dividend payout of only 6.53% of profits over 3 years offers negligible income support at 0.11% yield
- Price-to-book ratio of 5.11x is elevated for a capital goods company with sub-12% ROE
- Last year ROE dropped to just 6% from 3-year average of 11%, showing deteriorating return profile
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- FY26 profit turnaround, dividend May 31
Titagarh Rail Systems reported net profit of ₹150.70 crore for FY26, a turnaround from the previous year. Board recommended dividend of ₹1 per share.
- No new promoter share encumbrance Jun 6
Company confirmed no new encumbrance on promoter shares for FY26. A prior pledge of 32,000 shares by Vinita Bajoria continues to subsist.
- Morgan Stanley forum attendance May 28
Titagarh Rail will attend the Morgan Stanley India Investment Forum 2026 in Mumbai on June 2 for group and one-on-one investor meetings.
- Q4FY26 earnings call scheduled May 27
Earnings conference call for Q4 and FY26 held on June 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM IST featuring Vice Chairman and CFO.
TL;DR: Titagarh Rail Systems delivered a meaningful profit turnaround in FY26 with ₹150.70 crore net profit and initiated a ₹1 dividend, signaling improved financial health. No new headwinds are visible, with clean promoter holdings and active investor engagement at forums like Morgan Stanley. The absence of negative catalysts and return to profitability suggest an improving trend, though sustainability of earnings growth in coming quarters will be key to watch.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 974 | 911 | 935 | 955 | 1,052 | 903 | 1,057 | 902 | 1,006 | 679 | 799 | 832 | 875 |
| Expenses | 882 | 805 | 821 | 844 | 935 | 806 | 932 | 809 | 987 | 615 | 725 | 741 | 783 |
| Operating Profit | 92 | 106 | 115 | 111 | 118 | 97 | 125 | 94 | 18 | 64 | 74 | 91 | 92 |
| OPM % | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% |
| Other Income | 7 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 23 | -128 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| Interest | 22 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| Depreciation | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| PBT | 70 | 84 | 95 | 100 | 108 | 90 | 111 | 89 | -140 | 45 | 57 | 60 | 75 |
| Tax % | 31% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 27% | 29% | -12% | 32% | 35% | 25% | 28% |
| Net Profit | 48 | 62 | 71 | 75 | 79 | 67 | 81 | 63 | -124 | 31 | 37 | 45 | 54 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.03 | 5.17 | 5.55 | 5.56 | 5.86 | 4.98 | 5.99 | 4.66 | -9.09 | 2.29 | 2.74 | 3.35 | 4.01 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 761 | 959 | 1,714 | 1,268 | 1,559 | 1,766 | 1,521 | 1,468 | 2,780 | 3,853 | 3,868 | 3,186 |
| Expenses | 721 | 929 | 1,605 | 1,365 | 1,550 | 1,645 | 1,440 | 1,303 | 2,529 | 3,404 | 3,459 | 2,855 |
| Operating Profit | 40 | 30 | 108 | -97 | 9 | 121 | 81 | 165 | 251 | 449 | 409 | 331 |
| OPM % | 5% | 3% | 6% | -8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 10% |
| Other Income | 0 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 25 | -60 | 25 | -61 | 34 | 38 | 75 | -15 |
| Interest | 18 | 17 | 31 | 44 | 65 | 88 | 81 | 57 | 81 | 73 | 73 | 71 |
| Depreciation | 26 | 46 | 52 | 51 | 24 | 29 | 30 | 18 | 22 | 27 | 30 | 51 |
| PBT | -4 | -13 | 50 | -167 | -56 | -57 | -6 | 29 | 181 | 386 | 382 | 194 |
| Tax % | 177% | 52% | 45% | -12% | -59% | -36% | 237% | 102% | 31% | 26% | 28% | 37% |
| Net Profit | -10 | -20 | 27 | -147 | -23 | -36 | -19 | -1 | 126 | 286 | 275 | 123 |
| EPS in Rs | -0.33 | -1.69 | 2.33 | -12.43 | -2.47 | -2.96 | -1.26 | -0.03 | 10.89 | 21.25 | 20.52 | 9.13 |
| Div. Payout % | -48% | -47% | 34% | -2% | -12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 20 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| Reserves | 669 | 930 | 944 | 832 | 793 | 743 | 817 | 818 | 940 | 2,191 | 2,456 | 2,429 |
| Borrowings | 125 | 233 | 372 | 624 | 896 | 730 | 847 | 920 | 353 | 166 | 627 | 623 |
| Other Liabilities | 246 | 1,493 | 1,356 | 1,210 | 975 | 775 | 775 | 903 | 931 | 832 | 651 | 960 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,060 | 2,678 | 2,695 | 2,689 | 2,687 | 2,272 | 2,462 | 2,664 | 2,248 | 3,216 | 3,761 | 4,039 |
| Fixed Assets | 416 | 977 | 933 | 958 | 935 | 872 | 871 | 966 | 732 | 748 | 992 | 1,394 |
| CWIP | 27 | 13 | 15 | 27 | 36 | 0 | 41 | 61 | 12 | 174 | 122 | 72 |
| Investments | 1 | 21 | 82 | 83 | 87 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 198 | 299 | 279 |
| Other Assets | 616 | 1,666 | 1,665 | 1,621 | 1,630 | 1,371 | 1,518 | 1,607 | 1,472 | 2,097 | 2,348 | 2,295 |
| Total Assets | 1,060 | 2,678 | 2,695 | 2,689 | 2,687 | 2,272 | 2,462 | 2,664 | 2,248 | 3,216 | 3,761 | 4,039 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 102 | -154 | -177 | -121 | -124 | 154 | 68 | 55 | 41 | 86 | -97 | 322 |
| Investing | -25 | -50 | 44 | -45 | -49 | 4 | -60 | -73 | -61 | -537 | -579 | -133 |
| Financing | -69 | 216 | 111 | 191 | 214 | -227 | 43 | -53 | 67 | 724 | 372 | -52 |
| Net Cash Flow | 8 | 11 | -22 | 25 | 40 | -70 | 51 | -71 | 46 | 274 | -304 | 137 |
| Free Cash Flow | 61 | -176 | -199 | -150 | -188 | 129 | 9 | -41 | 4 | -78 | -328 | -45 |
| CFO/OP | 280 | -501 | -154 | 104 | -1,161 | 136 | 82 | 40 | 43 | 41 | 0 | 118 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 54 | 87 | 50 | 79 | 81 | 52 | 136 | 58 | 37 | 50 | 63 | 72 |
| Inventory Days | 176 | 471 | 182 | 213 | 203 | 119 | 142 | 176 | 78 | 64 | 65 | 92 |
| Days Payable | 75 | 248 | 150 | 148 | 209 | 111 | 146 | 153 | 55 | 39 | 29 | 52 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 155 | 310 | 82 | 145 | 75 | 60 | 131 | 81 | 60 | 75 | 99 | 113 |
| Working Capital Days | 55 | 57 | 38 | 3 | 62 | 96 | 90 | 48 | 20 | 61 | 58 | 76 |
| ROCE % | 5% | 2% | 6% | -8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 17% | 11% |
Documents
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Company Information
Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd (Formerly Titagarh Wagons Limited), incorporated in 1997, is mainly engaged in the manufacturing and selling of Freight Wagons, Passenger Coaches, Metro Trains, Train Electricals, Steel Castings, Specialised Equipments & Bridges, Ships, etc. The company caters to both domestic and export markets.[1]