Tata Steel Ltd
Tata Steel Ltd
Commodities F&OTata Steel Ltd is Asia's first integrated private steel company setup in 1907.[1] The company has presence across the entire value chain of steel manufacturing from mining and processing iron ore and coal to producing and distributing finished products.[2] The company has a target to increase domestic steelmaking capacity to 30 MnTPA by 2025.[3]
Tata Steel trades at a PE of 23x with a 3-year ROE of only 7%, reflecting cyclical earnings recovery rather than sustained profitability. The stock has delivered a strong 31% return over the past year, but weak sales CAGR of -2% over 3 years and low return ratios suggest limited margin of safety at current valuations.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapIron & SteelMetals & MiningTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 25.4%
Weaknesses
2- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.21% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 7.44% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Tata Steel trades at a PE of 23x with a 3-year ROE of only 7%, reflecting cyclical earnings recovery rather than sustained profitability. The stock has delivered a strong 31% return over the past year, but weak sales CAGR of -2% over 3 years and low return ratios suggest limited margin of safety at current valuations.
- TTM profit growth of 217% signals a strong cyclical earnings recovery from depressed base
- Stock CAGR of 31% over 1 year outperforms broader market, showing strong momentum
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 24% demonstrates long-term earnings compounding ability
- Dividend yield of 1.99% with a healthy payout ratio of 25.4% provides income support
- Market cap of Rs 2,47,823 crore reflects large-cap stability and institutional ownership
- 10-year stock CAGR of 20% shows sustained long-term wealth creation
- 44% of analysts rate the stock a Buy, with 15 out of 34 analysts recommending purchase
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 8% and profit growth of 8% show baseline business expansion
- 3-year ROE of only 7% is poor for a capital-intensive steel business, indicating weak capital efficiency
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of -2% reflects revenue contraction amid global steel demand weakness
- PE of 23x is elevated for a cyclical commodity stock with volatile earnings
- Price-to-book of 2.49x is rich given the low ROE of 7%, implying overvaluation on asset basis
- 20.59% of analysts (7 out of 34) recommend selling, a notable bearish minority
- 5-year sales CAGR of only 8.21% is poor for a company of this scale in a growing economy
- Last year ROE of 12% still below 5-year average of 14%, suggesting recovery is incomplete
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Port Talbot fire halts production Jun 6
Fire on June 3 collapsed the pickle line (half of cold mill output), causing at least one month of production losses. Newport facility ramping to 24/7 operations to offset, targeting 20,000 tonnes/week.
- UK green steel delayed 6-8 months Jun 7
£1.25 billion EAF project at Port Talbot delayed from late 2027 to mid/late 2028 due to National Grid connectivity issues. UK subsidiary losing over £1 million per day during transition.
- UBS rates Tata Steel Neutral Jun 15
UBS initiated coverage with Neutral rating and ₹220 target price, citing limited steel price upside and European turnaround already priced in. Prefers aluminium producers Hindalco and NALCO.
- ₹3,000 crore bond issuance planned Jun 9
Tata Steel planning to raise ₹3,000 crore via five-year bonds after 15-month hiatus, with ₹1,000 crore bond maturing in October and over ₹15,000 crore in outstanding bonds.
- ₹4 final dividend declared Jun 11
Tata Steel declared ₹4 per share final dividend for FY26 (face value ₹1), ex-dividend date June 12, 2026, with payment scheduled on or after July 6, 2026.
- UK EBITDA losses narrowing Jun 6
UK subsidiary EBITDA loss improved to £217 million in FY26 from £385 million in FY25, with company guiding for EBITDA breakeven by end of FY27.
- Sector earnings growth 12-31% CAGR Jun 15
UBS expects metals sector earnings to grow at 12-31% CAGR between FY26 and FY28, with domestic steel demand remaining healthy and safeguard duties providing support.
- Trading window shut for Q1FY27 Jun 23
Tata Steel closed trading window from June 24, 2026, ahead of Q1FY27 results. Window reopens 48 hours after declaration.
- 119th AGM scheduled July 2 Jun 9
AGM set for July 2, 2026 via video conferencing. Shareholders to vote on related party transactions worth ₹27,475 crore.
- Block trade of ₹41.33 crore Jun 9
Approximately 2,036,669 shares traded at ₹202.94 per share on NSE, indicating continued institutional activity in the stock.
- Multiple investor conferences attended Jun 18
Tata Steel scheduled meetings at IIFL London (Jun 23-24), ICICI Mumbai (Jun 8), and Bank of America India Conference (Jun 1-2).
- BRSR filed for FY26 Jun 3
Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report filed detailing ESG performance including Net Zero targets and penalties at Dutch subsidiary.
- Newport operations ramped up Jun 8
Tata Steel scaled up Newport facility operations to maintain UK steel output continuity following Port Talbot fire damage.
TL;DR: Tata Steel faces near-term operational headwinds from the Port Talbot fire (one month production loss) and a 6-8 month delay on its £1.25 billion UK green steel project due to grid connectivity issues. On the positive side, UK losses are narrowing significantly (£385M to £217M) with breakeven guided by FY27-end, and the company is returning cash to shareholders via a ₹4 dividend. UBS's Neutral rating at ₹220 target suggests limited near-term upside, with the UK turnaround trajectory being the key swing factor over the next 12-18 months.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 62,962 | 59,490 | 55,682 | 55,312 | 58,687 | 54,771 | 53,905 | 53,648 | 56,218 | 53,178 | 58,689 | 57,002 | 63,270 |
| Expenses | 55,742 | 54,587 | 51,414 | 49,048 | 52,087 | 48,077 | 47,789 | 47,745 | 49,659 | 45,751 | 49,793 | 48,803 | 53,441 |
| Operating Profit | 7,219 | 4,903 | 4,268 | 6,264 | 6,601 | 6,694 | 6,116 | 5,903 | 6,559 | 7,428 | 8,897 | 8,200 | 9,829 |
| OPM % | 11% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 16% |
| Other Income | 277 | 1,190 | -6,568 | -33 | -382 | -6 | 617 | 142 | 149 | 236 | -6 | 465 | 42 |
| Interest | 1,794 | 1,825 | 1,959 | 1,881 | 1,842 | 1,777 | 1,971 | 1,804 | 1,789 | 1,852 | 1,775 | 1,747 | 1,792 |
| Depreciation | 2,382 | 2,412 | 2,480 | 2,422 | 2,568 | 2,535 | 2,597 | 2,569 | 2,720 | 2,744 | 2,893 | 3,049 | 3,268 |
| PBT | 3,321 | 1,855 | -6,739 | 1,928 | 1,809 | 2,377 | 2,164 | 1,672 | 2,200 | 3,067 | 4,222 | 3,869 | 4,810 |
| Tax % | 53% | 72% | -3% | 73% | 69% | 61% | 65% | 82% | 45% | 35% | 25% | 29% | 38% |
| Net Profit | 1,566 | 525 | -6,511 | 522 | 555 | 919 | 759 | 295 | 1,201 | 2,007 | 3,183 | 2,730 | 2,965 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.39 | 0.52 | -5.07 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 0.67 | 0.26 | 1.04 | 1.66 | 2.48 | 2.15 | 2.34 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,39,504 | 1,01,965 | 1,12,299 | 1,23,249 | 1,57,669 | 1,39,817 | 1,56,477 | 2,43,959 | 2,43,353 | 2,29,171 | 2,18,543 | 2,32,140 |
| Expenses | 1,36,095 | 1,02,590 | 99,156 | 1,01,816 | 1,28,351 | 1,22,354 | 1,25,973 | 1,80,469 | 2,11,053 | 2,06,923 | 1,93,244 | 1,97,788 |
| Operating Profit | 3,409 | -625 | 13,144 | 21,433 | 29,318 | 17,463 | 30,504 | 63,490 | 32,300 | 22,248 | 25,298 | 34,352 |
| OPM % | 2% | -1% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 15% |
| Other Income | 5,994 | 10,346 | -3,789 | 10,898 | 1,524 | -2,884 | 180 | 1,300 | 1,569 | -6,005 | 877 | 738 |
| Interest | 4,848 | 4,221 | 5,072 | 5,455 | 7,660 | 7,533 | 7,607 | 5,462 | 6,299 | 7,508 | 7,341 | 7,167 |
| Depreciation | 5,944 | 5,306 | 5,673 | 5,742 | 7,342 | 8,441 | 9,234 | 9,101 | 9,335 | 9,882 | 10,421 | 11,955 |
| PBT | -1,388 | 193 | -1,391 | 21,135 | 15,841 | -1,395 | 13,844 | 50,227 | 18,235 | -1,147 | 8,413 | 15,969 |
| Tax % | 185% | 358% | 200% | 16% | 42% | -184% | 41% | 17% | 56% | 328% | 62% | 32% |
| Net Profit | -3,939 | -497 | -4,169 | 17,743 | 9,122 | 1,174 | 8,190 | 41,749 | 8,075 | -4,910 | 3,174 | 10,886 |
| EPS in Rs | -3.48 | -0.34 | -3.76 | 11.93 | 9.07 | 1.38 | 6.26 | 32.88 | 7.17 | -3.55 | 2.74 | 8.65 |
| Div. Payout % | -20% | -203% | -23% | 9% | 15% | 74% | 40% | 16% | 50% | -101% | 131% | 46% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 971 | 970 | 970 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,198 | 1,221 | 1,221 | 1,247 | 1,247 | 1,247 |
| Reserves | 30,378 | 42,762 | 36,849 | 59,726 | 67,780 | 72,431 | 73,041 | 1,13,222 | 1,01,861 | 90,788 | 89,922 | 1,00,920 |
| Borrowings | 80,701 | 81,987 | 83,014 | 92,147 | 1,00,816 | 1,16,328 | 88,501 | 75,561 | 84,893 | 87,082 | 94,801 | 92,382 |
| Other Liabilities | 47,059 | 51,165 | 51,614 | 55,704 | 63,032 | 59,245 | 81,169 | 92,417 | 97,421 | 90,195 | 89,488 | 1,01,965 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
| Fixed Assets | 68,100 | 72,200 | 92,007 | 96,105 | 1,24,442 | 1,34,551 | 1,35,775 | 1,33,288 | 1,46,621 | 1,48,814 | 1,50,914 | 1,79,908 |
| CWIP | 28,678 | 35,996 | 15,784 | 16,614 | 18,641 | 19,497 | 19,007 | 22,046 | 31,213 | 34,356 | 41,622 | 28,497 |
| Investments | 3,455 | 10,714 | 12,457 | 17,899 | 5,738 | 6,285 | 10,682 | 13,140 | 8,410 | 6,258 | 6,194 | 7,089 |
| Other Assets | 58,876 | 57,974 | 52,200 | 78,103 | 83,952 | 88,816 | 78,445 | 1,13,948 | 99,151 | 79,885 | 76,728 | 81,021 |
| Total Assets | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 11,880 | 11,455 | 10,824 | 8,023 | 25,336 | 20,169 | 44,327 | 44,381 | 21,683 | 20,301 | 23,138 | 35,064 |
| Investing | -9,021 | -8,794 | -9,490 | -11,730 | -29,176 | -14,012 | -9,437 | -10,905 | -18,179 | -14,253 | -13,611 | -14,397 |
| Financing | -2,617 | -4,729 | -2,579 | 6,640 | -673 | -1,695 | -37,090 | -23,401 | -6,981 | -11,097 | -7,002 | -21,387 |
| Net Cash Flow | 241 | -2,068 | -1,245 | 2,933 | -4,513 | 4,462 | -2,200 | 10,075 | -3,477 | -5,049 | 2,524 | -720 |
| Free Cash Flow | -169 | 1,523 | 3,397 | 724 | 16,712 | 10,156 | 37,793 | 34,428 | 7,868 | 2,569 | 8,731 | 21,906 |
| CFO/OP | 420 | -2,078 | 96 | 51 | 104 | 128 | 148 | 89 | 84 | 115 | 103 | 115 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 35 | 43 | 38 | 37 | 27 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Inventory Days | 165 | 180 | 230 | 224 | 190 | 197 | 215 | 213 | 175 | 176 | 171 | 184 |
| Days Payable | 126 | 167 | 172 | 161 | 130 | 136 | 167 | 161 | 122 | 108 | 113 | 136 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 74 | 56 | 96 | 99 | 87 | 82 | 69 | 71 | 66 | 78 | 67 | 56 |
| Working Capital Days | -6 | -47 | -32 | -31 | -18 | -38 | -55 | -34 | -42 | -59 | -50 | -56 |
| ROCE % | 1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 6% | 12% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 13% |
Documents
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Company Information
Tata Steel Ltd is Asia's first integrated private steel company setup in 1907.[1] The company has presence across the entire value chain of steel manufacturing from mining and processing iron ore and coal to producing and distributing finished products.[2] The company has a target to increase domestic steelmaking capacity to 30 MnTPA by 2025.[3]