Tata Steel
Tata Steel
Metals & Mining F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapIron & SteelMetals & MiningTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 25.4%
Weaknesses
2- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.21% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 7.44% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Tata Steel has a market capitalisation of about Rs 2,36,675 crore and trades at a P/E of 20.9x and a P/B of 2.34x, with a dividend yield of 2.13%. Trailing-twelve-month profit is up 147% and sales are up 11%, which suggests earnings are recovering. Over three years, however, sales have fallen at a -2% compounded rate and ROE has averaged just 7%, reflecting a weak phase in the steel cycle and pressure on its European operations.
- TTM compounded profit growth of 147% shows a sharp earnings recovery from a depressed base, well ahead of the 3-year profit CAGR of 10%.
- TTM sales growth of 11% reverses the 3-year sales decline of -2% CAGR, which suggests volumes and pricing are improving.
- Last-year ROE of 12% is well above the 3-year average of 7%, showing that returns on capital are normalising.
- The 10-year compounded profit growth of 24% shows the company can deliver strong earnings expansion across full steel cycles.
- A dividend yield of 2.13% and a payout ratio of 25.4% provide steady cash returns, which is uncommon for a capital-intensive cyclical business.
- Stock CAGR of 18% over 10 years and 14% over 3 years shows long-term value creation for shareholders despite commodity volatility.
- The 5-year ROE of 14% shows that returns can reach mid-teens levels when the cycle is favourable.
- With a market cap of about Rs 2,36,675 crore, Tata Steel is one of India's largest integrated steelmakers, with scale advantages in a steel market still growing on infrastructure spending.
- The 3-year average ROE of 7.44% is low for a company trading at 2.34x book value, which suggests the market is pricing in a recovery that has not fully shown up yet.
- Sales have shrunk at a -2% compounded rate over 3 years, showing revenue stagnation through the recent downcycle.
- 5-year sales growth of 8.21% is modest for a capital-heavy business, and 10-year sales CAGR is only 9%.
- A P/E of 20.9x is relatively rich for a cyclical commodity producer, where earnings can reverse quickly if steel prices or spreads weaken.
- The 147% TTM profit growth comes off a low base. The 3-year profit CAGR of just 10% suggests earnings have been volatile rather than growing steadily.
- The 5-year stock CAGR of 8% lags the 10-year figure of 18%, meaning shareholders who bought during the prior peak saw subdued returns.
- The debt-to-equity figure is not available (null) in the data, which limits assessment of balance-sheet leverage. This matters for a capital-intensive group running expansion and European restructuring capex.
- The gap between ROE of 7% over 3 years and 14% over 5 years shows how exposed returns are to commodity price swings, import competition and European operating losses.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- European green steel projects slipping Sep 21
The Dutch Green Steel JLoI has been extended by five months to March 1, 2027, with up to €2 billion in potential state backing still non-binding, and Tata Steel Nederland is exploring closure of its coke and gas plants. The 3.2 mtpa UK EAF project (about £1.25 billion, with £500 million in government support) faces worsening economics as timelines slip, and Dutch prosecutors have summoned executives over alleged pollution.
- Technical sell call from ShareKhan Sep 8
Mirae Asset ShareKhan recommended selling at ₹185.70-185.60 with a stop loss of ₹193 and a target of ₹177. It cited repeated rejections from the 20-week and 40-week EMAs and a breakdown below the neckline.
- ESC spending cut 23% YoY Sep 11
Spending on environment, safety and compliance projects fell to ₹802.17 crore in FY26 from ₹1,036.25 crore in FY25, even as the company scales up AI-led safety systems.
- Hydrogen steelmaking not yet viable Sep 11
A blast furnace hydrogen injection trial was technically feasible, but hydrogen at USD 4-6/kg needs to fall to about USD 1.5-2/kg for commercial use. This constrains the path to Net Zero by 2045.
- ITAT relief cuts tax exposure Sep 29
A favourable ITAT order for FY2009 (dated Sep 18, received Sep 28) allowed the Corus acquisition interest deduction under Section 36(1)(iii). This cut tax exposure by ₹427 crore to about ₹1,259 crore, down from ₹1,901 crore before the FY2008 relief. The stock closed up 1.05% at ₹187.95, and the order may help the pending FY2010-FY2015 cases.
- Q1 FY27 profit up 19% Sep 11
Consolidated net profit rose 19% YoY to ₹2,385.24 crore, driven by India operations. Total income grew to ₹61,026.97 crore from ₹53,466.79 crore a year earlier.
- India's first COG injection project Sep 10
Tata Steel commissioned coke oven gas injection (over 55% hydrogen and methane) at its Meramandali blast furnace in Odisha with Paul Wurth-SMS and Kobelco. This reduces coke and coal use and carbon intensity from the FY26 level of 2.22 tCO2/tcs.
- Calcutta HC shields ₹2,970 cr SDF deposit Sep 18
An interim injunction bars the JPC from using or disbursing the ₹2,970 crore Tata Steel paid under protest in FY26 until its SDF loan waiver appeal is decided. The stock fell 1.73% to ₹184.75 that day.
- $340M infusion into Singapore arm Sep 29
Tata Steel acquired equity in T Steel Holdings Pte. Ltd for $340 million (₹3,260.32 crore), as part of a plan to raise aggregate investment limits to $26.21 billion.
- Investor meets across Asia Sep 17
Management scheduled analyst and investor meetings on Sep 21, in Singapore on Sep 23, and in Hong Kong on Sep 24 (33rd CITIC CLSA Forum) and Sep 25.
- AI-driven safety scale-up Sep 11
The company uses more than 10,000 AI-enabled CCTV cameras, remote operation centres and fatigue monitoring for the 8,000-10,000 trucks entering its plants daily. Its LTIFR has fallen 38% over 15 years.
- SES ESG score Grade B Sep 18
SES ESG gave an unsolicited 2026 rating of 68.3 (Grade B) based on FY25-26 data.
TL;DR: Tata Steel is doing well in India, with Q1 FY27 profit up 19% to ₹2,385 crore, and recent ITAT rulings have cut its Corus-related tax exposure to about ₹1,259 crore. The main risks are in Europe, where Dutch and UK decarbonisation projects face delays, rising costs and regulatory pressure, plus a bearish technical setup around ₹185 with lower ESC spending. On balance the trend is stable to slightly improving on legal and domestic operations. Near-term direction likely depends on clarity on European funding and the final investment decision before the March 2027 JLoI deadline.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 59,490 | 55,682 | 55,312 | 58,687 | 54,771 | 53,905 | 53,648 | 56,218 | 53,178 | 58,689 | 57,002 | 63,270 | 60,794 |
| Expenses | 54,587 | 51,414 | 49,048 | 52,087 | 48,077 | 47,789 | 47,745 | 49,659 | 45,751 | 49,793 | 48,803 | 53,441 | 51,530 |
| Operating Profit | 4,903 | 4,268 | 6,264 | 6,601 | 6,694 | 6,116 | 5,903 | 6,559 | 7,428 | 8,897 | 8,200 | 9,829 | 9,264 |
| OPM % | 8% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 15% |
| Other Income | 1,190 | -6,568 | -33 | -382 | -6 | 617 | 142 | 149 | 236 | -6 | 465 | 42 | -17 |
| Interest | 1,825 | 1,959 | 1,881 | 1,842 | 1,777 | 1,971 | 1,804 | 1,789 | 1,852 | 1,775 | 1,747 | 1,792 | 1,771 |
| Depreciation | 2,412 | 2,480 | 2,422 | 2,568 | 2,535 | 2,597 | 2,569 | 2,720 | 2,744 | 2,893 | 3,049 | 3,268 | 3,640 |
| PBT | 1,855 | -6,739 | 1,928 | 1,809 | 2,377 | 2,164 | 1,672 | 2,200 | 3,067 | 4,222 | 3,869 | 4,810 | 3,838 |
| Tax % | 72% | -3% | 73% | 69% | 61% | 65% | 82% | 45% | 35% | 25% | 29% | 38% | 38% |
| Net Profit | 525 | -6,511 | 522 | 555 | 919 | 759 | 295 | 1,201 | 2,007 | 3,183 | 2,730 | 2,965 | 2,385 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.52 | -5.07 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 0.67 | 0.26 | 1.04 | 1.66 | 2.48 | 2.15 | 2.34 | 1.86 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,39,504 | 1,01,965 | 1,12,299 | 1,23,249 | 1,57,669 | 1,39,817 | 1,56,477 | 2,43,959 | 2,43,353 | 2,29,171 | 2,18,543 | 2,32,140 | 2,39,756 |
| Expenses | 1,36,095 | 1,02,590 | 99,156 | 1,01,816 | 1,28,351 | 1,22,354 | 1,25,973 | 1,80,469 | 2,11,053 | 2,06,923 | 1,93,244 | 1,97,788 | 2,03,567 |
| Operating Profit | 3,409 | -625 | 13,144 | 21,433 | 29,318 | 17,463 | 30,504 | 63,490 | 32,300 | 22,248 | 25,298 | 34,352 | 36,189 |
| OPM % | 2.4% | -0.6% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% |
| Other Income | 5,994 | 10,346 | -3,789 | 10,898 | 1,524 | -2,884 | 180 | 1,300 | 1,569 | -6,005 | 877 | 738 | 485 |
| Interest | 4,848 | 4,221 | 5,072 | 5,455 | 7,660 | 7,533 | 7,607 | 5,462 | 6,299 | 7,508 | 7,341 | 7,167 | 7,085 |
| Depreciation | 5,944 | 5,306 | 5,673 | 5,742 | 7,342 | 8,441 | 9,234 | 9,101 | 9,335 | 9,882 | 10,421 | 11,955 | 12,850 |
| PBT | -1,388 | 193 | -1,391 | 21,135 | 15,841 | -1,395 | 13,844 | 50,227 | 18,235 | -1,147 | 8,413 | 15,969 | 16,739 |
| Tax % | 185% | 358% | 200% | 16% | 42% | -184% | 41% | 17% | 56% | 328% | 62% | 32% | — |
| Net Profit | -3,939 | -497 | -4,169 | 17,743 | 9,122 | 1,174 | 8,190 | 41,749 | 8,075 | -4,910 | 3,174 | 10,886 | 11,264 |
| EPS in Rs | -3.48 | -0.34 | -3.76 | 11.93 | 9.07 | 1.38 | 6.26 | 32.88 | 7.17 | -3.55 | 2.74 | 8.65 | 8.83 |
| Div. Payout % | -20% | -203% | -23% | 9% | 15% | 74% | 40% | 16% | 50% | -101% | 131% | 46% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 971 | 970 | 970 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,145 | 1,198 | 1,221 | 1,221 | 1,247 | 1,247 | 1,247 |
| Reserves | 30,378 | 42,762 | 36,849 | 59,726 | 67,780 | 72,431 | 73,041 | 1,13,222 | 1,01,861 | 90,788 | 89,922 | 1,00,920 |
| Borrowings | 80,701 | 81,987 | 83,014 | 92,147 | 1,00,816 | 1,16,328 | 88,501 | 75,561 | 84,893 | 87,082 | 94,801 | 92,382 |
| Other Liabilities | 47,059 | 51,165 | 51,614 | 55,704 | 63,032 | 59,245 | 81,169 | 92,417 | 97,421 | 90,195 | 89,488 | 1,01,965 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
| Fixed Assets | 68,100 | 72,200 | 92,007 | 96,105 | 1,24,442 | 1,34,551 | 1,35,775 | 1,33,288 | 1,46,621 | 1,48,814 | 1,50,914 | 1,79,908 |
| CWIP | 28,678 | 35,996 | 15,784 | 16,614 | 18,641 | 19,497 | 19,007 | 22,046 | 31,213 | 34,356 | 41,622 | 28,497 |
| Investments | 3,455 | 10,714 | 12,457 | 17,899 | 5,738 | 6,285 | 10,682 | 13,140 | 8,410 | 6,258 | 6,194 | 7,089 |
| Other Assets | 58,876 | 57,974 | 52,200 | 78,103 | 83,952 | 88,816 | 78,445 | 1,13,948 | 99,151 | 79,885 | 76,728 | 81,021 |
| Total Assets | 1,59,109 | 1,76,884 | 1,72,447 | 2,08,722 | 2,32,773 | 2,49,149 | 2,43,909 | 2,82,422 | 2,85,396 | 2,69,312 | 2,75,459 | 2,96,515 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 11,880 | 11,455 | 10,824 | 8,023 | 25,336 | 20,169 | 44,327 | 44,381 | 21,683 | 20,301 | 23,138 | 35,064 |
| Investing | -9,021 | -8,794 | -9,490 | -11,730 | -29,176 | -14,012 | -9,437 | -10,905 | -18,179 | -14,253 | -13,611 | -14,397 |
| Financing | -2,617 | -4,729 | -2,579 | 6,640 | -673 | -1,695 | -37,090 | -23,401 | -6,981 | -11,097 | -7,002 | -21,387 |
| Net Cash Flow | 241 | -2,068 | -1,245 | 2,933 | -4,513 | 4,462 | -2,200 | 10,075 | -3,477 | -5,049 | 2,524 | -720 |
| Free Cash Flow | -169 | 1,523 | 3,397 | 724 | 16,712 | 10,156 | 37,793 | 34,428 | 7,868 | 2,569 | 8,731 | 21,906 |
| CFO/OP | 420 | -2,078 | 96 | 51 | 104 | 128 | 148 | 89 | 84 | 115 | 103 | 115 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 35 | 43 | 38 | 37 | 27 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Inventory Days | 165 | 180 | 230 | 224 | 190 | 197 | 215 | 213 | 175 | 176 | 171 | 184 |
| Days Payable | 126 | 167 | 172 | 161 | 130 | 136 | 167 | 161 | 122 | 108 | 113 | 136 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 74 | 56 | 96 | 99 | 87 | 82 | 69 | 71 | 66 | 78 | 67 | 56 |
| Working Capital Days | -6 | -47 | -32 | -31 | -18 | -38 | -55 | -34 | -42 | -59 | -50 | -56 |
| ROCE % | 1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 6% | 12% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 13% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY08–FY27.
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Company Information
Tata Steel Ltd is Asia's first integrated private steel company setup in 1907.[1] The company has presence across the entire value chain of steel manufacturing from mining and processing iron ore and coal to producing and distributing finished products.[2] The company has a target to increase domestic steelmaking capacity to 30 MnTPA by 2025.[3]
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