Tata Chemicals Ltd
Tata Chemicals Ltd
CommoditiesIncorporated in 1939, Tata Chemicals Ltd manufactures and exports basic chemistry and specialty products [1]
Tata Chemicals trades at a negative PE of -10.9 with severely deteriorating profitability (3-year profit CAGR of -51%) and weak ROE of just 1% last year. While the stock trades below book value at 0.88x P/B, the fundamental deterioration and majority sell ratings from analysts (50% sell) make this a avoid until turnaround evidence emerges.
Key Fundamentals
Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Stock is trading at 0.88 times its book value
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 82.4%
Weaknesses
3- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.41% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 1.59% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Tata Chemicals trades at a negative PE of -10.9 with severely deteriorating profitability (3-year profit CAGR of -51%) and weak ROE of just 1% last year. While the stock trades below book value at 0.88x P/B, the fundamental deterioration and majority sell ratings from analysts (50% sell) make this a avoid until turnaround evidence emerges.
- Stock trades at 0.88x book value, offering a margin of safety below liquidation value for patient investors
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 82.4% with current dividend yield of 1.5%, providing income support during the downturn
- 10-year stock CAGR of 15% demonstrates long-term wealth creation capability through business cycles
- 10-year ROE average of 10% suggests the business has historically earned adequate returns on equity
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 7% indicates the core business has some underlying revenue momentum
- TTM profit growth turned positive at 3%, potentially signaling early stages of earnings recovery
- Market cap of Rs 18,783 Cr provides reasonable scale and liquidity for institutional participation
- Negative PE ratio of -10.9 indicates the company is currently loss-making at the consolidated level
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of -51% reflects catastrophic earnings destruction over a meaningful period
- 50% of analysts rate the stock a Sell with only 16.67% recommending Buy, reflecting deep professional skepticism
- Last year ROE of just 1% shows near-zero return generation on shareholder equity
- Stock has declined 19% over 1 year and delivered -9% CAGR over 3 years, signaling sustained value destruction
- Low interest coverage ratio indicates debt servicing strain on operating cash flows
- TTM sales growth of -2% shows the revenue base is now contracting
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 0% means the company has failed to grow its topline over a full decade in nominal terms
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Gujarat HC rejects wastewater claim May 28
Gujarat High Court rejected Tata Chemicals' claim over legacy wastewater channels at Mithapur on May 25, 2026. Gujarat Pollution Control Board ordered to determine remediation measures within three months; financial impact unquantified.
- Tata Sons listing uncertainty risk Jun 1
If Tata Sons successfully restructures to avoid listing, Tata Chemicals' estimated ₹21,000 crore stake value remains trapped in illiquid form. Noel Tata actively opposes listing, creating decision paralysis among trustees.
- Negative standalone business valuation Jun 1
Market cap of ₹19,311 crore is less than the estimated ₹21,000 crore Tata Sons stake, implying the core chemical business carries a negative valuation of ~₹1,000 crore with no fundamental floor on corrections.
- ₹11 per share dividend declared Jun 4
Tata Chemicals announced ₹11 per share dividend for FY26. The 87th AGM is scheduled for June 26, 2026.
- Tata Sons listing probability 70% Jun 1
RBI's April 2026 draft circular with ₹1 lakh crore asset threshold makes listing avoidance difficult for Tata Sons (₹1.75 lakh crore in assets). Probability-weighted analysis suggests 70% chance of listing within 2-3 years, which would unlock ₹21,000 crore stake value.
- Domestic margins expanding Jun 1
Core business reported steady Q4 FY26 performance with domestic margins expanding 120 basis points, showing operational improvement despite market focus on Tata Sons angle.
- Trading window closed for Q1FY26 Jun 22
Tata Chemicals shut trading window from June 24, 2026, ahead of Q1FY26 results. Window reopens 48 hours after results declaration.
- Investor meetings scheduled Jun 13
Tata Chemicals to meet Quantum Advisors and ICICI Prudential on June 17-18. No unpublished price sensitive information to be shared.
- BRSR filed for FY26 Jun 4
Filed Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for FY26 reporting total Scope 1 emissions of 48,50,029 metric tonnes.
- Stock acts as Tata Sons proxy Jun 1
Stock swung 15% in 60 days on Tata Sons listing rumors. A 10% shift in Tata Sons stake value translates to ~10% move in Tata Chemicals' market cap due to 103% valuation concentration.
TL;DR: Tata Chemicals is essentially a leveraged bet on a Tata Sons IPO, with its 3% stake (worth ~₹21,000 crore) exceeding its own market cap of ₹19,311 crore. The core chemical business is operationally stable with expanding domestic margins, and a ₹11 dividend provides modest income support. Key risks include regulatory/legal exposure from the Gujarat HC wastewater order and binary outcome risk on whether Tata Sons actually lists. With RBI regulatory pressure mounting and a 70% probability of listing within 2-3 years, the trend favors value unlocking but expect continued high volatility driven by corporate action news rather than sector fundamentals.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,407 | 4,218 | 3,998 | 3,730 | 3,475 | 3,789 | 3,999 | 3,590 | 3,509 | 3,719 | 3,877 | 3,550 | 3,438 |
| Expenses | 3,442 | 3,175 | 3,191 | 3,188 | 3,032 | 3,215 | 3,381 | 3,156 | 3,182 | 3,070 | 3,340 | 3,205 | 3,164 |
| Operating Profit | 965 | 1,043 | 807 | 542 | 443 | 574 | 618 | 434 | 327 | 649 | 537 | 345 | 274 |
| OPM % | 22% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Other Income | 86 | 67 | 187 | 98 | -861 | 116 | 152 | -10 | 29 | 138 | 128 | 21 | -1,760 |
| Interest | 133 | 123 | 145 | 132 | 130 | 133 | 145 | 148 | 137 | 147 | 144 | 146 | 153 |
| Depreciation | 234 | 229 | 234 | 246 | 271 | 273 | 277 | 280 | 293 | 280 | 285 | 293 | 343 |
| PBT | 684 | 758 | 615 | 262 | -819 | 284 | 348 | -4 | -74 | 360 | 236 | -73 | -1,982 |
| Tax % | -1% | 23% | 20% | 26% | 3% | 33% | 23% | 425% | -34% | 12% | 35% | -5% | 7% |
| Net Profit | 692 | 587 | 495 | 194 | -841 | 190 | 267 | -21 | -49 | 316 | 154 | -69 | -2,116 |
| EPS in Rs | 27.83 | 20.88 | 16.8 | 6.2 | -33.36 | 5.89 | 7.61 | -2.08 | -2.2 | 9.89 | 3.02 | -3.65 | -83.67 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 17,204 | 14,873 | 10,346 | 10,270 | 10,337 | 10,357 | 10,200 | 12,622 | 16,789 | 15,421 | 14,887 | 14,584 |
| Expenses | 15,305 | 12,777 | 8,249 | 6,926 | 8,538 | 8,411 | 8,693 | 10,303 | 12,969 | 12,574 | 12,934 | 12,779 |
| Operating Profit | 1,900 | 2,096 | 2,097 | 3,344 | 1,799 | 1,945 | 1,506 | 2,319 | 3,820 | 2,847 | 1,953 | 1,805 |
| OPM % | 11% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 12% |
| Other Income | 183 | 210 | 293 | 262 | 785 | 6,480 | 254 | 472 | 218 | -507 | 287 | -1,473 |
| Interest | 461 | 525 | 297 | 326 | 354 | 342 | 367 | 303 | 406 | 530 | 563 | 590 |
| Depreciation | 463 | 526 | 512 | 518 | 568 | 666 | 759 | 806 | 892 | 980 | 1,123 | 1,201 |
| PBT | 1,159 | 1,255 | 1,580 | 2,763 | 1,661 | 7,416 | 634 | 1,682 | 2,740 | 830 | 554 | -1,459 |
| Tax % | 30% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 31% | 16% | 11% | 46% | 30% | 18% |
| Net Profit | 802 | 1,006 | 1,234 | 2,702 | 1,387 | 7,228 | 436 | 1,405 | 2,434 | 435 | 387 | -1,715 |
| EPS in Rs | 23.41 | 30.24 | 38.98 | 95.49 | 45.37 | 275 | 10.06 | 49.36 | 90.93 | 10.52 | 9.22 | -74.41 |
| Div. Payout % | 53% | 33% | 28% | 23% | 28% | 4% | 99% | 25% | 19% | 143% | 119% | -15% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 | 255 |
| Reserves | 5,297 | 6,600 | 7,653 | 10,847 | 12,086 | 12,643 | 14,035 | 17,998 | 19,466 | 21,986 | 21,339 | 20,951 |
| Borrowings | 8,379 | 9,090 | 7,072 | 6,108 | 6,130 | 7,702 | 6,933 | 7,025 | 6,296 | 5,563 | 7,072 | 8,001 |
| Other Liabilities | 6,872 | 8,402 | 8,607 | 8,648 | 8,398 | 7,073 | 7,115 | 8,566 | 8,923 | 8,907 | 9,084 | 9,791 |
| Total Liabilities | 20,802 | 24,346 | 23,587 | 25,858 | 26,869 | 27,673 | 28,337 | 33,843 | 34,940 | 36,711 | 37,750 | 38,998 |
| Fixed Assets | 11,359 | 13,431 | 12,644 | 12,787 | 13,551 | 15,356 | 15,261 | 16,044 | 17,092 | 17,861 | 19,600 | 20,602 |
| CWIP | 189 | 350 | 333 | 409 | 774 | 835 | 1,094 | 1,667 | 2,410 | 2,217 | 1,913 | 1,038 |
| Investments | 443 | 2,188 | 2,787 | 2,840 | 5,615 | 4,285 | 5,816 | 7,683 | 7,448 | 9,739 | 9,144 | 9,886 |
| Other Assets | 8,811 | 8,377 | 7,822 | 9,822 | 6,929 | 7,198 | 6,167 | 8,449 | 7,990 | 6,894 | 7,093 | 7,472 |
| Total Assets | 20,802 | 24,346 | 23,587 | 25,858 | 26,869 | 27,673 | 28,337 | 33,843 | 34,940 | 36,711 | 37,750 | 38,998 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,274 | 2,332 | 3,531 | 1,870 | 1,581 | 1,780 | 2,037 | 1,644 | 2,971 | 3,016 | 1,761 | 1,269 |
| Investing | -663 | -463 | -985 | 2,714 | -1,927 | -2,285 | -1,147 | -817 | -1,149 | -605 | -1,667 | -766 |
| Financing | -1,087 | -1,802 | -2,341 | -2,089 | -1,712 | -129 | -1,456 | -755 | -2,076 | -2,494 | 29 | -670 |
| Net Cash Flow | -477 | 68 | 205 | 2,494 | -2,058 | -634 | -565 | 72 | -254 | -83 | 123 | -167 |
| Free Cash Flow | 709 | 1,645 | 2,888 | 1,140 | 502 | 611 | 804 | 379 | 1,427 | 1,193 | -191 | 129 |
| CFO/OP | 86 | 129 | 190 | 71 | 115 | 99 | 142 | 82 | 88 | 120 | 102 | 67 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 73 | 88 | 74 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 50 | 56 | 57 | 45 | 47 | 52 |
| Inventory Days | 137 | 119 | 244 | 304 | 315 | 347 | 257 | 317 | 282 | 341 | 324 | 353 |
| Days Payable | 138 | 99 | 232 | 307 | 269 | 302 | 256 | 338 | 289 | 320 | 318 | 293 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 72 | 107 | 86 | 43 | 97 | 100 | 51 | 35 | 50 | 66 | 53 | 113 |
| Working Capital Days | -4 | 31 | -4 | 27 | -2 | -102 | -28 | -29 | 29 | -22 | -21 | -17 |
| ROCE % | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 36% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1939, Tata Chemicals Ltd manufactures and exports basic chemistry and specialty products [1]