Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
Industrials F&ORail Vikas Nigam Ltd was Incorporated in 2003 by the Govt. of India, it is engaged in the business of implementing various types of Rail infrastructure projects assigned by MoR including doubling, gauge conversion, new lines, railway electrification, major bridges, workshops, Production Units and sharing of freight revenue with Railways as per the concession agreement entered into with Ministry of Railway. [1] [2]
RVNL trades at a PE of 58.4x with declining profitability (TTM profit growth of -32%) and negligible sales growth of 2% TTM. With 50% of analysts rating it a sell and deteriorating working capital metrics, the risk-reward is unfavorable at current valuations.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapCivil ConstructionConstructionTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 32.4%
Weaknesses
7- Stock is trading at 5.09 times its book value
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.79% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 13.8% over last 3 years.
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.869 Cr.
- Debtor days have increased from 47.0 to 96.0 days.
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -5.36%
- Working capital days have increased from 57.1 days to 98.0 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
RVNL trades at a PE of 58.4x with declining profitability (TTM profit growth of -32%) and negligible sales growth of 2% TTM. With 50% of analysts rating it a sell and deteriorating working capital metrics, the risk-reward is unfavorable at current valuations.
- Strong 5-year stock CAGR of 50% reflecting sustained wealth creation for long-term holders
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 32.4% provides some income cushion despite modest 0.41% yield
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 16% demonstrates long-term revenue scaling ability backed by Indian railway capex
- 5-year average ROE of 16% indicates historically efficient use of shareholder equity
- Market cap of Rs.51,736 Cr reflects institutional confidence and liquidity in a government-backed infrastructure play
- 3-year stock CAGR of 26% outperformed broader indices despite recent correction
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 7% shows the company has a track record of eventual earnings expansion
- PE ratio of 58.4x is extremely stretched for a company with -32% TTM profit decline
- TTM sales growth of just 2% signals order execution slowdown or revenue recognition delays
- 3-year compounded profit growth is -13%, indicating a sustained earnings deterioration trend
- Debtor days nearly doubled from 47 to 96 days, signaling serious working capital stress and collection issues
- Working capital days expanded from 57 to 98 days, tying up more capital in operations
- Stock is trading at 5.18x book value which is expensive for an EPC/project management company with 13.8% 3-year ROE
- Promoter holding decreased by 5.36% over last 3 years, reducing government skin in the game
- 1-year stock return of -38% reflects sharp de-rating as market reprices growth expectations downward
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q4 profit plunges 60% YoY May 26
Consolidated net profit fell 58.9% YoY to ₹187 crore in Q4 FY26; EBITDA margin contracted from 6.8% to 4%, with EBITDA down 38% to ₹269 crore. Full-year FY26 standalone profit declined 33% to ₹800 crore.
- Shares crash 8% in two days May 27
Stock fell ~8% over two sessions post Q4 results to hit ₹251.30, nearing its 52-week low of ₹248. Stock is down 36% over one year and 26% YTD in 2026.
- Analyst downgrades and EPS cuts May 27
PL Capital maintained 'Sell' rating and cut target price; analysts reduced FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates by 15% and 5% respectively due to continued margin weakness.
- Other income and JV profits collapse May 26
Other income declined over 50% YoY to ₹85 crore in Q4; share of profit from JVs fell to just ₹4 crore from ₹48 crore a year ago. Kyrgyzstan JV closed.
- BSE fine for board non-compliance May 27
BSE imposed a ₹9.56 lakh fine on RVNL for Q4 FY26 board composition violations regarding composition of board and committees for quarter ended March 31, 2026.
- Stock down 64% from all-time high May 26
RVNL has fallen 64.6% from its June 2024 all-time high of ₹647, trading below key 50-day (₹280) and 200-day (₹300) moving averages with bearish technical structure.
- ₹2,977 Cr NMDC order won Jun 20
RVNL secured a ₹2,977 crore contract from NMDC for setting up buffer stockpiles in Vizag with a 42-month execution timeline.
- ₹968 Cr bridge project from ECR Jun 17
Received LOA worth ₹967.93 crore from East Coast Railway for constructing bridges on EPC mode.
- ₹221 Cr signalling contract won Jun 8
Secured ₹221.33 crore EPC contract from South East Central Railway for electronic interlocking upgrades across 15 stations in Bilaspur division, with 730-day execution period.
- Massive ₹99,262 Cr order book May 26
Order book stood at ₹99,262 crore as of March 31, 2026 (~4.9x FY26 revenue), with FY26 order inflows up 129% YoY to ₹58.75 billion. Railways dominates at ₹570 billion.
- Revenue growth remains resilient May 26
Q4 FY26 revenue rose 4.2% YoY to ₹6,696 crore; management guided for 15-20% revenue growth in FY27 with underlying profitability expected to improve.
- Railway stocks rally 4% on orders Jun 9
RVNL led railway sector rally, gaining 2.82% to ₹234.66 on fresh order momentum. Bajaj Broking maintains positive constructive outlook on medium to long-term growth.
- ₹30 Bn new order secured Jun 22
RVNL secured a new order valued at ₹30 billion (~₹3,000 crore); details regarding nature of work, awarding authority, and execution timeline were not disclosed.
- FY26 results and dividend declared May 25
Board recommended final dividend of ₹0.71 per share for FY26, bringing total FY26 dividend to ₹1.70 per share. Total assets grew to ₹20,588 crore from ₹19,485 crore in FY25.
TL;DR: RVNL faces severe near-term profitability headwinds with Q4 FY26 net profit down 60% and EBITDA margins compressing to 4%, triggering analyst downgrades and a 64% decline from all-time highs. However, the company continues to win large orders aggressively — securing multiple contracts worth ₹4,000+ crore in June alone — and maintains a robust ₹99,262 crore order book providing ~5x revenue visibility. The trend is mixed: revenue execution remains steady and order inflows are accelerating (up 129% YoY), but margin recovery in FY27 remains the key monitorable that will determine whether the stock stabilizes or continues to drift lower.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 5,720 | 5,572 | 4,914 | 4,689 | 6,714 | 4,074 | 4,855 | 4,567 | 6,427 | 3,909 | 5,123 | 4,684 | 6,696 |
| Expenses | 5,345 | 5,222 | 4,616 | 4,440 | 6,258 | 3,892 | 4,599 | 4,328 | 5,994 | 3,856 | 4,906 | 4,464 | 6,427 |
| Operating Profit | 374 | 349 | 298 | 249 | 456 | 182 | 256 | 239 | 433 | 53 | 217 | 221 | 269 |
| OPM % | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Other Income | 274 | 289 | 320 | 358 | 323 | 264 | 281 | 326 | 236 | 238 | 234 | 308 | 89 |
| Interest | 146 | 146 | 133 | 139 | 150 | 137 | 141 | 145 | 117 | 108 | 100 | 105 | 98 |
| Depreciation | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| PBT | 496 | 487 | 480 | 463 | 625 | 302 | 389 | 413 | 543 | 173 | 342 | 415 | 250 |
| Tax % | 28% | 30% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 22% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 359 | 343 | 394 | 359 | 478 | 224 | 287 | 312 | 455 | 134 | 231 | 324 | 182 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.72 | 1.64 | 1.89 | 1.72 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 1.38 | 1.49 | 2.18 | 0.65 | 1.1 | 1.55 | 0.9 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,147 | 4,540 | 5,915 | 7,597 | 10,069 | 14,531 | 15,404 | 19,382 | 20,282 | 21,879 | 19,923 | 20,412 |
| Expenses | 3,001 | 4,323 | 5,688 | 7,215 | 9,538 | 13,757 | 14,524 | 18,199 | 19,035 | 20,525 | 18,798 | 19,645 |
| Operating Profit | 146 | 217 | 228 | 382 | 531 | 773 | 880 | 1,183 | 1,246 | 1,354 | 1,125 | 767 |
| OPM % | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Other Income | 123 | 180 | 356 | 331 | 366 | 246 | 808 | 831 | 1,077 | 1,266 | 1,095 | 869 |
| Interest | 15 | 23 | 35 | 45 | 52 | 41 | 458 | 564 | 581 | 568 | 540 | 419 |
| Depreciation | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 31 | 36 |
| PBT | 248 | 370 | 543 | 664 | 839 | 958 | 1,207 | 1,430 | 1,719 | 2,030 | 1,650 | 1,181 |
| Tax % | 16% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 337 | 429 | 443 | 570 | 688 | 757 | 992 | 1,110 | 1,342 | 1,551 | 1,282 | 871 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.62 | 2.06 | 2.13 | 2.73 | 3.3 | 3.63 | 4.76 | 5.32 | 6.44 | 7.44 | 6.15 | 4.2 |
| Div. Payout % | 11% | 9% | 58% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 33% | 34% | 33% | 28% | 28% | 41% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 | 2,085 |
| Reserves | 975 | 1,337 | 1,472 | 1,839 | 2,311 | 3,034 | 3,551 | 4,240 | 5,161 | 6,637 | 7,486 | 7,737 |
| Borrowings | 2,514 | 2,624 | 2,437 | 2,259 | 3,024 | 4,257 | 5,931 | 6,643 | 6,441 | 6,033 | 5,419 | 4,818 |
| Other Liabilities | 10,561 | 16,169 | 2,866 | 2,101 | 4,669 | 3,019 | 2,654 | 7,097 | 4,656 | 4,822 | 5,492 | 7,062 |
| Total Liabilities | 16,135 | 22,216 | 8,860 | 8,284 | 12,089 | 12,395 | 14,221 | 20,066 | 18,344 | 19,577 | 20,482 | 21,702 |
| Fixed Assets | 6 | 6 | 8 | 249 | 279 | 305 | 292 | 380 | 355 | 367 | 1,027 | 1,025 |
| CWIP | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 25 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| Investments | 896 | 1,024 | 1,089 | 1,231 | 1,586 | 1,588 | 1,730 | 1,810 | 1,904 | 2,381 | 2,559 | 2,645 |
| Other Assets | 15,232 | 21,180 | 7,751 | 6,783 | 10,212 | 10,476 | 12,145 | 17,875 | 16,084 | 16,735 | 16,895 | 18,032 |
| Total Assets | 16,135 | 22,216 | 8,860 | 8,284 | 12,089 | 12,395 | 14,221 | 20,066 | 18,344 | 19,577 | 20,482 | 21,702 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 113 | 652 | 571 | -363 | -695 | -962 | 419 | 4,793 | -4,064 | 2,956 | 1,878 | -1,894 |
| Investing | -29 | 100 | -25 | 36 | 320 | 124 | 312 | -1,431 | 1,355 | -1,402 | 1,629 | 942 |
| Financing | -152 | -182 | -668 | -581 | 319 | 827 | 416 | -189 | -1,048 | -1,287 | -1,484 | -1,619 |
| Net Cash Flow | -68 | 570 | -123 | -908 | -56 | -11 | 1,148 | 3,173 | -3,757 | 267 | 2,023 | -2,571 |
| Free Cash Flow | 104 | 634 | 385 | -454 | -721 | -983 | 277 | 4,678 | -4,125 | 2,630 | 1,447 | -1,953 |
| CFO/OP | 112 | 543 | 372 | -66 | -101 | -105 | 65 | 430 | -295 | 252 | 208 | -209 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 22 | 39 | 30 | 34 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 27 | 96 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 22 | 39 | 30 | 34 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 27 | 96 |
| Working Capital Days | 267 | 50 | 21 | 70 | 99 | 122 | 129 | 15 | 49 | 34 | 39 | 98 |
| ROCE % | — | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 11% |
Documents
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Company Information
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd was Incorporated in 2003 by the Govt. of India, it is engaged in the business of implementing various types of Rail infrastructure projects assigned by MoR including doubling, gauge conversion, new lines, railway electrification, major bridges, workshops, Production Units and sharing of freight revenue with Railways as per the concession agreement entered into with Ministry of Railway. [1] [2]