Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
Consumer DiscretionaryRamkrishna Forgings Ltd is primarily engaged in manufacturing and sale of forged components of automobiles, railway wagons & coaches and engineering parts. [1][2] It is the 2nd largest forging player in India.[3]
Ramkrishna Forgings trades at a PE of 149.6x with TTM profit declining 80% and ROE collapsing to 3% last year. With 50% sell and 50% hold analyst ratings and zero buy recommendations, the risk-reward is unfavorable at current valuations.
Key Fundamentals
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Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 28.6 days to 13.2 days
Weaknesses
4- Stock is trading at 3.15 times its book value
- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- Tax rate seems low
- Company has a low return on equity of 9.78% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Ramkrishna Forgings trades at a PE of 149.6x with TTM profit declining 80% and ROE collapsing to 3% last year. With 50% sell and 50% hold analyst ratings and zero buy recommendations, the risk-reward is unfavorable at current valuations.
- Strong 5-year stock CAGR of 37% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record
- Working capital days improved significantly from 28.6 days to 13.2 days, indicating better cash conversion efficiency
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 27% shows robust top-line expansion capability
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 31% indicates structural earnings power over a full cycle
- 10-year stock CAGR of 21% outperforms broader market indices over the long term
- Market cap of Rs 10,699 Cr provides reasonable liquidity and institutional participation
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 17% demonstrates sustained business expansion across cycles
- TTM compounded profit has declined 80%, signaling severe earnings deterioration
- PE ratio of 149.6x is excessively expensive with no earnings growth to justify the premium
- Zero analyst buy recommendations out of 4 total ratings with 50% issuing sell calls
- ROE collapsed to just 3% last year from 10% three-year average, indicating poor capital efficiency
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of -31% shows sustained earnings destruction, not a one-off
- Low interest coverage ratio indicates stretched debt servicing ability relative to operating profits
- 3-year ROE average of only 9.78% is below cost of equity for a cyclical industrial business
- Stock trading at 3.25x book value is unjustified given sub-10% ROE and declining profitability
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- IEPF dividend transfer deadline set Jun 10
Ramkrishna Forgings has set September 30, 2026, as the deadline for shareholders to claim unclaimed dividends. Unclaimed shares will be transferred to the IEPF after the deadline.
TL;DR: Limited recent news flow for Ramkrishna Forgings. The only development is a routine regulatory compliance notice regarding unclaimed dividends and IEPF transfer, which has no material impact on business fundamentals. With no fresh operational or financial updates, the near-term outlook remains unchanged pending upcoming earnings or order announcements.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 892 | 892 | 899 | 996 | 974 | 959 | 1,054 | 1,074 | 947 | 1,015 | 908 | 1,099 | 1,217 |
| Expenses | 698 | 700 | 699 | 776 | 786 | 791 | 888 | 948 | 849 | 873 | 790 | 936 | 1,014 |
| Operating Profit | 194 | 192 | 200 | 220 | 188 | 169 | 165 | 126 | 98 | 142 | 118 | 162 | 203 |
| OPM % | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 17% |
| Other Income | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 84 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
| Interest | 34 | 36 | 38 | 39 | 34 | 36 | 39 | 42 | 49 | 49 | 53 | 51 | 57 |
| Depreciation | 56 | 57 | 61 | 68 | 72 | 62 | 60 | 64 | 85 | 80 | 80 | 84 | 88 |
| PBT | 106 | 104 | 109 | 117 | 100 | 80 | 151 | 24 | -24 | 17 | -10 | 18 | 59 |
| Tax % | 36% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 34% | 32% | 7% | 12% | -945% | 32% | -8% | 25% | 5% |
| Net Profit | 68 | 79 | 82 | 87 | 66 | 55 | 140 | 21 | 200 | 12 | -10 | 14 | 56 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.28 | 4.91 | 5 | 4.8 | 3.66 | 3.03 | 7.72 | 1.16 | 11.04 | 0.65 | -0.52 | 0.75 | 3.08 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 754 | 908 | 921 | 1,491 | 1,931 | 1,216 | 1,289 | 2,320 | 3,193 | 3,705 | 4,034 | 4,238 |
| Expenses | 623 | 727 | 758 | 1,202 | 1,545 | 1,008 | 1,065 | 1,802 | 2,499 | 2,931 | 3,474 | 3,613 |
| Operating Profit | 131 | 181 | 163 | 289 | 386 | 209 | 224 | 518 | 694 | 774 | 561 | 625 |
| OPM % | 17% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 15% |
| Other Income | 12 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 109 | 2 |
| Interest | 32 | 55 | 78 | 73 | 84 | 80 | 81 | 97 | 122 | 147 | 167 | 210 |
| Depreciation | 32 | 53 | 75 | 85 | 121 | 121 | 117 | 169 | 202 | 257 | 271 | 333 |
| PBT | 79 | 75 | 17 | 135 | 184 | 15 | 32 | 253 | 374 | 406 | 231 | 84 |
| Tax % | 5% | 27% | 33% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 34% | 28% | -80% | 15% |
| Net Profit | 75 | 55 | 11 | 95 | 120 | 10 | 21 | 198 | 248 | 291 | 415 | 72 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.49 | 3.81 | 0.78 | 5.82 | 7.36 | 0.59 | 1.29 | 12.36 | 15.52 | 16.11 | 22.93 | 3.95 |
| Div. Payout % | 7% | 11% | 26% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 25% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 27 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
| Reserves | 383 | 442 | 440 | 726 | 840 | 843 | 851 | 1,046 | 1,290 | 2,598 | 3,001 | 3,254 |
| Borrowings | 735 | 882 | 957 | 845 | 912 | 993 | 1,233 | 1,618 | 1,333 | 1,207 | 2,126 | 2,449 |
| Other Liabilities | 297 | 332 | 433 | 452 | 417 | 361 | 587 | 785 | 1,076 | 1,422 | 1,364 | 1,439 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,442 | 1,685 | 1,858 | 2,056 | 2,201 | 2,230 | 2,703 | 3,481 | 3,731 | 5,262 | 6,528 | 7,178 |
| Fixed Assets | 532 | 947 | 1,024 | 1,076 | 1,114 | 1,175 | 1,240 | 1,473 | 1,693 | 2,428 | 2,992 | 3,761 |
| CWIP | 316 | 35 | 50 | 44 | 130 | 219 | 276 | 129 | 91 | 216 | 498 | 337 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 125 | 190 | 241 |
| Other Assets | 594 | 702 | 783 | 936 | 957 | 836 | 1,187 | 1,823 | 1,947 | 2,492 | 2,848 | 2,839 |
| Total Assets | 1,442 | 1,685 | 1,858 | 2,056 | 2,201 | 2,230 | 2,703 | 3,481 | 3,731 | 5,262 | 6,528 | 7,178 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 44 | 104 | 144 | 127 | 267 | 254 | 140 | 43 | 745 | 621 | 33 | 840 |
| Investing | -272 | -169 | -107 | -110 | -254 | -231 | -222 | -354 | -299 | -1,117 | -912 | -929 |
| Financing | 214 | 67 | -37 | -17 | -12 | -22 | 147 | 280 | -438 | 625 | 722 | 235 |
| Net Cash Flow | -14 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -31 | 8 | 129 | -157 | 146 |
| Free Cash Flow | -247 | -67 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 27 | -91 | -256 | 390 | 35 | -932 | -39 |
| CFO/OP | 45 | 66 | 91 | 52 | 81 | 125 | 63 | 17 | 117 | 99 | 30 | 136 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 145 | 136 | 176 | 126 | 96 | 103 | 162 | 140 | 89 | 84 | 88 | 68 |
| Inventory Days | 169 | 206 | 227 | 153 | 131 | 260 | 252 | 251 | 228 | 207 | 230 | 210 |
| Days Payable | 150 | 164 | 298 | 154 | 110 | 155 | 248 | 215 | 199 | 199 | 197 | 193 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 164 | 178 | 105 | 125 | 117 | 208 | 166 | 176 | 118 | 91 | 121 | 86 |
| Working Capital Days | -3 | -4 | -65 | 16 | 20 | -1 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 54 | 19 | 13 |
| ROCE % | 11% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
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Company Information
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd is primarily engaged in manufacturing and sale of forged components of automobiles, railway wagons & coaches and engineering parts. [1][2] It is the 2nd largest forging player in India.[3]