Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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57 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY12–FY26.
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 28.5 days to 13.1 days
Weaknesses
3- Stock is trading at 4.17 times its book value
- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- Company has a low return on equity of 9.75% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd is a mid-cap auto-ancillary company with a market cap of ~₹13,374 crore trading at a PE of 125x. FY25 consolidated revenue grew 9% YoY to ~₹4,034 crore, but TTM profit declined 60% and the 3-year ROE stands at ~10%. The company is in a heavy capex phase with total forging capacity reaching 268,400 metric tons after major additions in FY25.
- FY25 revenue grew 9% YoY to ~₹4,034 crore, with 5-year sales CAGR of 27% demonstrating strong top-line compounding
- Significant capacity expansion in FY25 — added 25,000 tons cold forging and 14,250 tons hot/warm forging, bringing total installed capacity to 268,400 metric tons with further expansion to 311,400 tons planned by Q1FY26
- Working capital efficiency improved sharply from 28.5 days to 13.1 days, freeing up cash for operations and debt servicing
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 30% indicates the earnings decline is recent and the longer-term trend has been positive
- Stock has delivered a 10-year CAGR of 25% and 5-year CAGR of 31%, reflecting long-term value creation
- Export revenue share was 44.3% in Q1FY25 (up from 42.5% in FY24), providing geographic diversification and dollar-denominated earnings
- Management targets ₹10,000 crore revenue by FY30 with 15-20% annual volume growth, supported by a strong order book and new product lines including EV and non-automotive components
- FY25 PAT of ~₹332 crore was higher than FY24's ₹283 crore on a full-year basis, suggesting underlying profitability improvement despite quarterly volatility
- PE ratio of 125x is extremely elevated for a cyclical auto-ancillary company, implying very high growth expectations already priced in
- TTM profit declined 60% and 3-year compounded profit growth is -32%, indicating severe recent earnings deterioration
- Low interest coverage ratio signals that debt servicing is consuming a significant share of operating profits, elevating financial risk
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74x with heavy ongoing capex (₹170 crore additional expansion announced) could stretch the balance sheet further if margins stay compressed
- 3-year ROE of only 9.75-10% is below cost of equity for most investors, yet the stock trades at 4.05x book value — a significant premium for that level of return
- Last year ROE collapsed to 3%, indicating very poor capital efficiency in the most recent period
- Dividend yield of just 0.14% offers negligible income support to shareholders during periods of capital depreciation
- Export mix dropped from ~44% to ~32% due to tariff-related disruptions, exposing the company to geopolitical and trade policy risks
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- FY26 PAT crashes 78% Aug 5
PAT dropped 78.47% to ₹865 crore for FY26, driven by higher finance costs and export declines, despite a 15.75% rise in EBITDA to ₹566 crore.
- SMALLCAP World Fund exits stake Jul 17
SMALLCAP World Fund sold 4.56M shares on July 15, 2026 via open market, reducing its stake to 4.48%, signalling institutional concern.
- Q1FY27 profit surges 298% YoY Jul 27
Consolidated net profit jumped 298% YoY to ₹46.88 crore in Q1FY27, with revenue up 19.8% to ₹1,216.67 crore and EBITDA margin expanding to 17.96%.
- ₹170 crore capex for expansion Jul 27
Company announced ₹170.52 crore capex for a new 4000 MT press line, signalling capacity growth.
- Zero fatalities, emissions down 9.4% Aug 5
BRSR report shows zero workplace fatalities and a 9.40% reduction in Scope 1 & 2 emissions for FY26, with a net zero target by 2040.
- Promoter entity reclassified to public Aug 6
Maa Chandi Financial Advisory Services Pvt Ltd reclassified from promoter to public category after receiving NOCs from BSE and NSE under SEBI LODR Regulation 31A.
- 44th AGM on August 29 Aug 5
AGM scheduled for August 29, 2026 with key resolutions including re-appointing Naresh Jalan as MD and redesignating Chaitanya Jalan to Joint MD.
- Q1FY27 earnings call held Jul 25
Earnings conference call for Q1FY27 was held on July 24, 2026 at 4:30 PM IST with MD and CFO participation.
TL;DR: Ramkrishna Forgings is recovering from a brutal FY26 where PAT fell 78%, but Q1FY27 shows strong sequential improvement with 298% profit growth and margin expansion. The ₹170 crore capex signals management confidence in demand, though export weakness and elevated finance costs remain risks. Institutional selling by SMALLCAP World Fund adds near-term overhang. The trend appears to be improving operationally, but the stock needs sustained margin recovery and export stabilisation to rebuild confidence.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 892 | 899 | 996 | 974 | 959 | 1,054 | 1,074 | 947 | 1,015 | 908 | 1,099 | 1,217 | 1,217 |
| Expenses | 700 | 699 | 776 | 786 | 791 | 888 | 948 | 849 | 873 | 790 | 936 | 1,014 | 999 |
| Operating Profit | 192 | 200 | 220 | 188 | 169 | 165 | 126 | 98 | 142 | 118 | 162 | 203 | 218 |
| OPM % | 22% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% |
| Other Income | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 84 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 2 | 3 |
| Interest | 36 | 38 | 39 | 34 | 36 | 39 | 42 | 49 | 49 | 53 | 51 | 57 | 57 |
| Depreciation | 57 | 61 | 68 | 72 | 62 | 60 | 64 | 85 | 80 | 80 | 84 | 88 | 99 |
| PBT | 104 | 109 | 117 | 100 | 80 | 151 | 24 | -24 | 17 | -10 | 18 | 59 | 65 |
| Tax % | 24% | 24% | 25% | 34% | 32% | 7% | 12% | -945% | 32% | -8% | 25% | 5% | 28% |
| Net Profit | 79 | 82 | 87 | 66 | 55 | 140 | 21 | 200 | 12 | -10 | 14 | 56 | 47 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.91 | 5 | 4.8 | 3.66 | 3.03 | 7.72 | 1.16 | 11.04 | 0.65 | -0.52 | 0.75 | 3.08 | 2.57 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 754 | 908 | 921 | 1,491 | 1,931 | 1,216 | 1,289 | 2,320 | 3,193 | 3,705 | 4,034 | 4,238 | 4,440 |
| Expenses | 623 | 727 | 758 | 1,202 | 1,545 | 1,008 | 1,065 | 1,802 | 2,499 | 2,931 | 3,474 | 3,611 | 3,739 |
| Operating Profit | 131 | 181 | 163 | 289 | 386 | 209 | 224 | 518 | 694 | 774 | 561 | 627 | 701 |
| OPM % | 17% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 16% |
| Other Income | 12 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 109 | 2 | 2 |
| Interest | 32 | 55 | 78 | 73 | 84 | 80 | 81 | 97 | 122 | 147 | 167 | 212 | 219 |
| Depreciation | 32 | 53 | 75 | 85 | 121 | 121 | 117 | 169 | 202 | 257 | 271 | 333 | 353 |
| PBT | 79 | 75 | 17 | 135 | 184 | 15 | 32 | 253 | 374 | 406 | 231 | 84 | 131 |
| Tax % | 5% | 27% | 33% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 35% | 22% | 34% | 28% | -80% | 15% | — |
| Net Profit | 75 | 55 | 11 | 95 | 120 | 10 | 21 | 198 | 248 | 291 | 415 | 72 | 107 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.49 | 3.81 | 0.78 | 5.82 | 7.36 | 0.59 | 1.29 | 12.36 | 15.52 | 16.11 | 22.93 | 3.95 | 5.88 |
| Div. Payout % | 7% | 11% | 26% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 25% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 27 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
| Reserves | 383 | 442 | 440 | 726 | 840 | 843 | 851 | 1,046 | 1,290 | 2,598 | 3,001 | 3,254 |
| Borrowings | 735 | 882 | 957 | 845 | 912 | 993 | 1,233 | 1,618 | 1,333 | 1,207 | 2,126 | 2,449 |
| Other Liabilities | 297 | 332 | 433 | 452 | 417 | 361 | 587 | 785 | 1,076 | 1,422 | 1,364 | 1,423 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,442 | 1,685 | 1,858 | 2,056 | 2,201 | 2,230 | 2,703 | 3,481 | 3,731 | 5,262 | 6,528 | 7,162 |
| Fixed Assets | 532 | 947 | 1,024 | 1,076 | 1,114 | 1,175 | 1,240 | 1,473 | 1,693 | 2,428 | 2,992 | 3,762 |
| CWIP | 316 | 35 | 50 | 44 | 130 | 219 | 276 | 129 | 91 | 216 | 498 | 337 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 125 | 190 | 241 |
| Other Assets | 594 | 702 | 783 | 936 | 957 | 836 | 1,187 | 1,823 | 1,947 | 2,492 | 2,848 | 2,823 |
| Total Assets | 1,442 | 1,685 | 1,858 | 2,056 | 2,201 | 2,230 | 2,703 | 3,481 | 3,731 | 5,262 | 6,528 | 7,162 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 44 | 104 | 144 | 127 | 267 | 254 | 140 | 43 | 745 | 621 | 33 | 840 |
| Investing | -272 | -169 | -107 | -110 | -254 | -231 | -222 | -354 | -299 | -1,117 | -912 | -929 |
| Financing | 214 | 67 | -37 | -17 | -12 | -22 | 147 | 280 | -438 | 625 | 722 | 235 |
| Net Cash Flow | -14 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -31 | 8 | 129 | -157 | 146 |
| Free Cash Flow | -247 | -67 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 27 | -91 | -256 | 390 | 35 | -932 | -39 |
| CFO/OP | 45 | 66 | 91 | 52 | 81 | 125 | 63 | 17 | 117 | 99 | 30 | 136 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 145 | 136 | 176 | 126 | 96 | 103 | 162 | 140 | 89 | 84 | 88 | 68 |
| Inventory Days | 169 | 206 | 227 | 153 | 131 | 260 | 252 | 251 | 228 | 207 | 230 | 211 |
| Days Payable | 150 | 164 | 298 | 154 | 110 | 155 | 248 | 215 | 199 | 199 | 197 | 193 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 164 | 178 | 105 | 125 | 117 | 208 | 166 | 176 | 118 | 91 | 121 | 86 |
| Working Capital Days | -3 | -4 | -65 | 16 | 20 | -1 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 54 | 19 | 13 |
| ROCE % | 11% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
Documents
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Company Information
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd is primarily engaged in manufacturing and sale of forged components of automobiles, railway wagons & coaches and engineering parts. [1][2] It is the 2nd largest forging player in India.[3]