Radico Khaitan Ltd
Radico Khaitan Ltd
Fast Moving Consumer GoodsKey Fundamentals
MidcapBreweries & DistilleriesBeveragesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has reduced debt.
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 15.2 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Radico Khaitan demonstrates exceptional growth with 79% TTM profit growth and 25% sales CAGR over 3 years, supported by 90% buy ratings from analysts. However, the stock trades at a PE of 81.8x and 15.2x book value, leaving limited margin of safety at the current market cap of Rs 49,560 Cr.
- Compounded profit growth of 79% TTM signals a sharp earnings inflection, far outpacing the 10-year CAGR of 23%
- Analyst consensus is overwhelmingly positive with 90% buy ratings (18 out of 20 analysts recommending buy)
- Sales CAGR of 25% over 3 years indicates sustained revenue momentum well above the 10-year average of 14%
- ROE has improved from a 5-year average of 14% to 20% in the last year, showing improving capital efficiency
- Stock CAGR of 45% over 10 years demonstrates long-term consistent wealth creation for shareholders
- Company has reduced debt, strengthening the balance sheet and reducing financial risk
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 17% accelerating to 41% over 3 years shows improving operating leverage
- Dividend yield of 0.24% while modest, indicates the company is returning cash while still reinvesting for growth
- PE ratio of 81.8x is extremely elevated for an FMCG company, pricing in years of perfect execution
- Stock trades at 15.2x book value, leaving significant downside risk if growth decelerates
- 1-year stock CAGR of 43% suggests much of the near-term growth is already priced in at current levels
- Market cap of Rs 49,560 Cr relative to the earnings implied by 81.8x PE suggests annual profit of only ~Rs 606 Cr, demanding sustained high growth to justify valuation
- Dividend yield of just 0.24% offers negligible income cushion during potential market corrections
- 10-year sales CAGR of only 14% suggests the current 25% growth rate may not be sustainable long-term
- ROE of 20% while improving is not exceptional enough to justify a PB ratio of 14.91x compared to FMCG peers
- Zero analyst sell ratings out of 20 total can indicate consensus crowding, raising contrarian risk if any growth miss occurs
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Stock dips 4% post Q4 results May 28
Despite strong Q4 numbers, shares fell over 4% (₹145) to ₹3,438.55, suggesting results were already priced in at a PE of 78.68x.
- Stretched valuation near 52-week high May 28
Stock trading at ₹3,572, only 2.9% below its 52-week high of ₹3,679, with a PE ratio of 78.68x leaving limited room for disappointment.
- FY26 EBITDA surges 52.4% May 28
Radico reported FY26 net revenue of ₹6,050 crore (up 24.7% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹1,018.5 crore (up 52.4%), driven by premium brand momentum.
- Nuvama reiterates Buy, ₹4,285 target May 28
Nuvama maintained a Buy call with a target price of ₹4,285 based on FY29E earnings, implying ~25% upside from current levels. Company expected to turn nearly debt-free by FY27E.
- After Dark Blue grows 60% to 3.1M cases Jun 13
After Dark Blue Grain Whisky volume grew over 60% in FY26 to 3.1 million cases from 0.9 million in FY24, with a new premium avatar launched starting in UP.
- NCLT approves 8-subsidiary amalgamation Jun 5
NCLT approved Radico's amalgamation with eight subsidiaries on June 1, 2026, streamlining corporate structure without requiring shareholder/creditor meetings.
- Q4 EBITDA jumps 62.2% YoY May 28
Q4 FY26 net sales rose 15.3% to ₹1,503.71 crore and EBITDA surged 62.2% to ₹290.30 crore from ₹178.99 crore in Q4 FY25.
- ₹21.66 crore block trade on NSE Jun 17
Approximately 60,373 shares traded in a block deal at ₹3,587.10 per share, totaling ₹21.66 crore, likely an institutional position adjustment.
- FY26 dividend of ₹9 per share Jun 22
Radico announced tax deduction details for a proposed ₹9 per share dividend for FY26, with document submission deadline of July 24, 2026.
- Investor meet at Citi India tour Jun 15
Senior management scheduled to interact with investors at Citi's India Consumption Tour on June 18, 2026, with no UPSI to be discussed.
TL;DR: Radico Khaitan is firing on all cylinders operationally — FY26 EBITDA grew 52.4% with premiumisation driving both volume and margin expansion. The After Dark Blue brand tripling volumes in two years validates the strategy. Key risk is the elevated valuation at ~79x PE, which leaves the stock vulnerable to any growth deceleration. If quarterly PAT growth sustains above 20% and the company turns debt-free by FY27E as expected, further re-rating toward Nuvama's ₹4,285 target remains plausible.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 832 | 954 | 925 | 1,161 | 1,079 | 1,137 | 1,116 | 1,294 | 1,304 | 1,506 | 1,494 | 1,547 | 1,504 |
| Expenses | 753 | 834 | 804 | 1,018 | 959 | 990 | 955 | 1,111 | 1,127 | 1,274 | 1,256 | 1,280 | 1,219 |
| Operating Profit | 79 | 120 | 121 | 143 | 120 | 147 | 162 | 183 | 178 | 232 | 238 | 267 | 284 |
| OPM % | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 19% |
| Other Income | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| Interest | 9 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| Depreciation | 20 | 24 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 42 |
| PBT | 57 | 89 | 86 | 99 | 74 | 100 | 110 | 129 | 123 | 175 | 187 | 206 | 237 |
| Tax % | 25% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 43 | 68 | 65 | 75 | 54 | 75 | 81 | 95 | 92 | 131 | 140 | 155 | 179 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.19 | 5.11 | 4.85 | 5.62 | 4.03 | 5.64 | 6.03 | 7.14 | 6.88 | 9.75 | 10.42 | 11.57 | 13.4 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 580 | 1,643 | 1,657 | 1,797 | 2,063 | 2,395 | 2,374 | 2,859 | 3,133 | 4,106 | 4,843 | 6,050 |
| Expenses | 499 | 1,452 | 1,444 | 1,526 | 1,713 | 2,023 | 1,965 | 2,457 | 2,775 | 3,599 | 4,169 | 5,029 |
| Operating Profit | 81 | 191 | 214 | 270 | 351 | 372 | 409 | 402 | 359 | 507 | 674 | 1,021 |
| OPM % | 14% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Other Income | 30 | 41 | 18 | 27 | 13 | -15 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 |
| Interest | 39 | 85 | 81 | 69 | 36 | 32 | 22 | 13 | 22 | 60 | 74 | 64 |
| Depreciation | 16 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 42 | 53 | 54 | 65 | 71 | 114 | 140 | 153 |
| PBT | 57 | 103 | 109 | 188 | 286 | 273 | 347 | 332 | 291 | 348 | 465 | 805 |
| Tax % | 20% | 24% | 26% | 34% | 34% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 45 | 78 | 80 | 124 | 194 | 229 | 277 | 263 | 220 | 262 | 346 | 604 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.94 | 5.87 | 6.03 | 9.3 | 14.55 | 17.16 | 20.75 | 19.69 | 16.48 | 19.61 | 25.83 | 45.14 |
| Div. Payout % | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 20% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 19 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| Reserves | 166 | 951 | 1,018 | 1,130 | 1,309 | 1,516 | 1,766 | 2,000 | 2,181 | 2,413 | 2,727 | 3,289 |
| Borrowings | 690 | 960 | 799 | 592 | 337 | 400 | 288 | 202 | 754 | 818 | 750 | 498 |
| Other Liabilities | 133 | 390 | 392 | 498 | 581 | 540 | 543 | 555 | 762 | 846 | 1,163 | 1,157 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,007 | 2,327 | 2,235 | 2,247 | 2,253 | 2,483 | 2,624 | 2,784 | 3,724 | 4,104 | 4,668 | 4,972 |
| Fixed Assets | 285 | 729 | 704 | 685 | 714 | 743 | 810 | 821 | 1,234 | 1,700 | 1,811 | 1,911 |
| CWIP | 44 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 327 | 54 | 23 | 75 |
| Investments | 10 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 176 | 178 | 184 | 175 | 191 | 198 | 198 | 240 |
| Other Assets | 668 | 1,376 | 1,309 | 1,321 | 1,347 | 1,543 | 1,592 | 1,757 | 1,971 | 2,152 | 2,635 | 2,746 |
| Total Assets | 1,007 | 2,327 | 2,235 | 2,247 | 2,253 | 2,483 | 2,624 | 2,784 | 3,724 | 4,104 | 4,668 | 4,972 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | — | -36 | 250 | 316 | 309 | 60 | 370 | 222 | 239 | 166 | 363 | 743 |
| Investing | — | 81 | 5 | -21 | -7 | -67 | -76 | -108 | -705 | -226 | -171 | -266 |
| Financing | — | -87 | -234 | -293 | -226 | 9 | -183 | -134 | 487 | 24 | -237 | -446 |
| Net Cash Flow | — | -42 | 21 | 2 | 76 | 2 | 111 | -20 | 21 | -36 | -46 | 30 |
| Free Cash Flow | — | -4 | 232 | 272 | 237 | -20 | 241 | 86 | -466 | -60 | 189 | 504 |
| CFO/OP | — | -8 | 124 | 130 | 110 | 39 | 109 | 78 | 87 | 47 | 67 | 90 |
Ratios
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 96 | 136 | 137 | 128 | 114 | 125 | 107 | 96 | 96 | 87 | 89 | 72 |
| Inventory Days | 155 | 113 | 199 | 231 | 270 | 209 | 283 | 234 | 292 | 211 | 246 | 129 |
| Days Payable | 160 | 72 | 0 | 159 | 183 | 148 | 151 | 102 | 112 | 123 | 148 | 36 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 91 | 176 | 336 | 201 | 201 | 187 | 239 | 228 | 277 | 175 | 187 | 164 |
| Working Capital Days | 221 | 36 | 20 | 44 | 76 | 85 | 104 | 109 | 75 | 67 | 72 | 70 |
| ROCE % | 14% | — | 10% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 24% |
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Radico Khaitan Ltd
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Company Information
Incorporated in the year 1943, Radico Khaitan is one of the most recognised IMFL (Indian Made Foreign Liquor) brands in India. [1] The company was initially known as Rampur Distillery Company and was focussed on distillation and bottling for branded players and canteen stores of armed forces. Later on in the year 1997, Radico Khaitan ventured into its own branded IMFL products and launched its first brand 8PM whisky which became its millionarie brand within a year of its launch. [2]