Oil & Natural Gas Corpn Ltd
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn Ltd
Energy F&OONGC is the largest crude oil and natural gas Company in India, contributing around 71 per cent to Indian domestic production
ONGC trades at an attractive PE of 6.2x and 0.83x book value with a 4.97% dividend yield, offering deep value in the energy space. While ROE at ~13% is modest, 63% analyst buy ratings and 5-year profit CAGR of 21% support a buy case for patient investors comfortable with commodity cyclicality.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapOil Exploration & ProductionOil & GasTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is trading at 0.81 times its book value
- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.10%.
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 38.0%
Weaknesses
1- Company has a low return on equity of 12.7% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
ONGC trades at an attractive PE of 6.2x and 0.83x book value with a 4.97% dividend yield, offering deep value in the energy space. While ROE at ~13% is modest, 63% analyst buy ratings and 5-year profit CAGR of 21% support a buy case for patient investors comfortable with commodity cyclicality.
- Stock trades at PE of 6.2x, significantly below market average, indicating deep value for a large-cap PSU energy company
- Price-to-book ratio of 0.83x means the stock is available below its book value, providing a margin of safety
- Dividend yield of 4.97% with a consistent payout ratio of 38%, offering reliable income in a volatile market
- 63.3% of analysts (19 out of 30) rate the stock a Buy, reflecting broad institutional confidence
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 21% demonstrates strong earnings recovery and operational leverage
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 17% shows sustained top-line expansion driven by higher realizations
- 3-year stock CAGR of 16% indicates the market has been re-rating the stock from historically depressed levels
- Market cap of Rs 3.1 lakh crore provides high liquidity and index weight, attracting passive fund flows
- Return on equity of only 12-13% over 3-5 years is below the 15% threshold typically expected from quality compounders
- 1-year stock CAGR of -2% signals near-term price weakness and possible earnings headwinds ahead
- 3-year compounded profit growth of just 1% reveals earnings stagnation in the medium term despite recent TTM recovery
- 16.67% of analysts (5 out of 30) have a Sell rating, indicating meaningful disagreement on the outlook
- 3-year compounded sales growth of only 2% suggests revenue plateaued after the initial post-COVID recovery
- 10-year stock CAGR of just 6% has significantly underperformed broader indices like Nifty 50, reflecting chronic PSU discount
- As a government-controlled entity, ONGC faces subsidy burden risks and policy unpredictability that can erode shareholder value
- TTM sales growth of 8% is modest for a commodity producer in a period of elevated crude prices, raising efficiency concerns
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q4 profit misses, production drops May 27
Q4 FY26 standalone net profit fell 20.6% QoQ to ₹6,650 crore, missing estimates by 11%. Crude oil production declined 3% QoQ and 6% YoY due to geological complexities at 98/2 field and DUDP project issues.
- Exploration write-offs surge May 27
ONGC wrote off ₹4,877 crore in Q4 FY26 on dry wells, up from ₹4,173 crore YoY. Full-year FY26 write-offs rose to ₹8,236 crore from ₹7,480 crore in FY25.
- Lower crude realisations in FY26 Jun 12
Full-year FY26 realised crude oil price fell to $60.09/barrel from $70.23/barrel in FY25, driving standalone turnover decline to ₹8,443 crore from ₹9,160 crore.
- KG Basin project delays persist May 27
The KG Basin deepwater project now targets FY28 for plateau production versus the original FY24 target. Domestic production has stagnated at 55-58 MMTOE for over five years despite heavy capex.
- Mixed broker ratings, target cuts May 28
Prabhudas Lilladher cut target to ₹297 from ₹309; Motilal Oswal issued 'Neutral' with ₹265 target. Only Jefferies (₹360) and Macquarie (₹300) remain bullish.
- BP partnership for 24% output boost May 25
ONGC expanded its BP technical services contract to all Western Offshore fields (ex-Mumbai High), targeting 24.1% increase in O+OEG production to ~160 MMTOE over 10 years, with gains from FY27 and full impact by FY30.
- Morgan Stanley overweight, ₹363 target May 26
Morgan Stanley maintains overweight rating with ₹363 target, citing 11% oil production growth to 51 MMT over 10 years and 32% gas production growth to 109 BCM via BP engagement.
- Consolidated profit up 53% YoY in Q4 May 26
Consolidated Q4 net profit surged 53% YoY to ₹13,678 crore; full-year FY26 consolidated profit rose 29.9% to ₹49,793 crore, driven by strong subsidiary performance from HPCL and MRPL.
- Record dividend of ₹13.25/share May 26
ONGC declared highest-ever annual dividend of ₹13.25 per share (₹16,669 crore total payout) for FY26, representing ~51% payout ratio and 5-6% dividend yield.
- Oil & gas stocks rally on fuel hikes May 27
Oil & gas stocks gained 3-7% after fuel price hikes of up to ₹7.50/litre since May 15. ICICI Securities estimates reduced annualised losses by over ₹1 trillion for OMCs.
- ₹2,000 cr wind energy contract awarded Jun 11
ONGC awarded a ₹2,000+ crore contract to Prozeal Green Energy for 250 MW captive ISTS-connected wind power projects with a 10-year O&M contract, signaling renewable energy transition.
- Reserve replacement ratio above 1x May 27
ONGC achieved 2P reserve replacement ratio of 1.17 in FY26 with reserve accretion of 99.17 MMT oil equivalent, up sharply from 34.46 MMT in FY25.
- ₹147 cr block trade at ₹245 Jun 23
A block trade of ~60 lakh shares worth ₹147 crore executed on BSE at ₹245/share. Buyer and seller identities undisclosed.
- OPaL approves ₹4,471 cr NCD issue Jun 12
ONGC subsidiary OPaL's board approved raising up to ₹4,471 crore via private placement of NCDs in one or more tranches, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.
- Mozambique project seeks $5.5B approval Jun 3
ONGC seeks shareholder approval for material related party transactions worth USD 5.5 billion for its Area-1 Offshore Mozambique Project.
- GoI holds 58.89% stake, unencumbered Jun 20
Government of India holds 58.89% promoter stake in ONGC as of March 31, 2026, with no encumbrance on shares.
- Multiple leadership appointments Jun 3
Anupam Agarwal appointed Finance Director (Jun 3), Satyan Kumar as Strategy Director (May 27), and Vikram Saxena given additional charge of Director (Production) from Jul 1.
- Three executive directors retire Jun 1
Three Executive Directors superannuated on June 1, 2026, disclosed under SEBI LODR Regulation 30.
TL;DR: ONGC delivered strong consolidated FY26 profit growth (+30% YoY to ₹49,793 crore) and a record dividend, but standalone Q4 disappointed with production declines and elevated dry-well write-offs. The expanded BP partnership targeting 24% production uplift from Western Offshore is the key long-term catalyst, though execution history (KG Basin delays) warrants caution. Near-term, falling crude prices ($60/bbl in FY26 vs $70 in FY25) and stagnant domestic output remain headwinds, but the production trajectory should improve from FY27 as BP-led initiatives and Daman project ramp up.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,64,067 | 1,63,824 | 1,47,614 | 1,67,357 | 1,72,137 | 1,68,968 | 1,59,331 | 1,67,213 | 1,67,749 | 1,63,108 | 1,57,911 | 1,67,423 | 1,73,805 |
| Expenses | 1,43,527 | 1,33,029 | 1,19,534 | 1,46,996 | 1,48,913 | 1,47,183 | 1,38,757 | 1,42,858 | 1,45,983 | 1,37,429 | 1,31,390 | 1,42,088 | 1,48,449 |
| Operating Profit | 20,539 | 30,795 | 28,080 | 20,360 | 23,224 | 21,785 | 20,574 | 24,354 | 21,766 | 25,679 | 26,521 | 25,335 | 25,356 |
| OPM % | 13% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 15% |
| Other Income | -4,786 | 3,069 | 3,673 | 4,299 | 3,375 | 3,535 | 4,162 | 2,415 | 3,548 | 2,555 | 3,447 | 3,450 | 5,699 |
| Interest | 2,068 | 2,364 | 3,243 | 3,203 | 3,608 | 3,694 | 3,827 | 3,750 | 3,264 | 3,341 | 3,411 | 3,207 | 3,070 |
| Depreciation | 6,744 | 7,078 | 7,079 | 7,494 | 8,420 | 8,501 | 8,254 | 9,539 | 8,912 | 9,384 | 9,273 | 9,388 | 9,345 |
| PBT | 6,941 | 24,422 | 21,431 | 13,962 | 14,570 | 13,125 | 12,655 | 13,480 | 13,137 | 15,509 | 17,284 | 16,190 | 18,640 |
| Tax % | 7% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 6,478 | 17,893 | 16,171 | 10,511 | 11,096 | 9,776 | 9,841 | 9,747 | 8,965 | 11,554 | 12,615 | 11,946 | 13,678 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.57 | 11.64 | 10.89 | 8.51 | 7.97 | 7.93 | 8.14 | 6.82 | 5.91 | 7.79 | 8.57 | 7.96 | 8.6 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,60,923 | 1,24,036 | 2,82,506 | 3,22,706 | 4,21,624 | 3,96,728 | 3,03,849 | 4,91,246 | 6,32,291 | 6,01,581 | 6,12,065 | 6,62,247 |
| Expenses | 1,18,610 | 84,901 | 2,29,702 | 2,65,817 | 3,46,805 | 3,44,623 | 2,54,375 | 4,11,373 | 5,56,764 | 4,99,198 | 5,23,205 | 5,59,128 |
| Operating Profit | 42,312 | 39,135 | 52,804 | 56,889 | 74,819 | 52,105 | 49,473 | 79,874 | 75,527 | 1,02,383 | 88,861 | 1,03,120 |
| OPM % | 26% | 32% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 16% |
| Other Income | 5,955 | 1,067 | 12,724 | 10,429 | 9,567 | 982 | 11,271 | 6,797 | -30 | 14,712 | 13,278 | 14,923 |
| Interest | 2,864 | 3,766 | 3,591 | 4,999 | 5,837 | 7,489 | 5,079 | 5,696 | 7,889 | 13,026 | 14,535 | 13,029 |
| Depreciation | 18,033 | 16,384 | 20,219 | 23,112 | 23,704 | 26,635 | 25,538 | 26,883 | 24,557 | 30,440 | 35,206 | 37,391 |
| PBT | 27,370 | 20,052 | 41,718 | 39,208 | 54,846 | 18,962 | 30,126 | 54,091 | 43,051 | 73,629 | 52,398 | 67,623 |
| Tax % | 35% | 35% | 30% | 34% | 38% | 40% | 29% | 9% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 17,703 | 13,102 | 29,169 | 26,068 | 33,938 | 11,456 | 21,360 | 49,294 | 32,778 | 55,273 | 38,329 | 49,793 |
| EPS in Rs | 14.29 | 10.03 | 19.03 | 17.23 | 24.28 | 8.59 | 12.96 | 36.19 | 28.17 | 39.06 | 28.8 | 32.93 |
| Div. Payout % | 44% | 56% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 58% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 31% | 43% | 40% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 4,278 | 4,278 | 6,417 | 6,417 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 | 6,290 |
| Reserves | 1,76,177 | 1,93,536 | 1,87,969 | 1,97,602 | 2,10,644 | 1,98,814 | 2,14,691 | 2,53,213 | 2,74,357 | 3,32,779 | 3,37,150 | 3,65,478 |
| Borrowings | 53,944 | 45,500 | 80,029 | 1,06,550 | 1,07,742 | 1,29,473 | 1,33,187 | 1,21,986 | 1,42,255 | 1,91,195 | 1,87,817 | 1,74,316 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,03,448 | 98,459 | 1,70,111 | 1,48,664 | 1,67,667 | 1,73,787 | 1,87,580 | 2,01,771 | 1,90,212 | 2,06,357 | 2,21,398 | 2,45,821 |
| Total Liabilities | 3,37,847 | 3,41,772 | 4,44,525 | 4,59,232 | 4,92,343 | 5,08,364 | 5,41,748 | 5,83,260 | 6,13,115 | 7,36,621 | 7,52,656 | 7,91,905 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,79,933 | 1,66,277 | 2,11,125 | 2,26,058 | 2,30,391 | 2,43,892 | 2,43,746 | 2,54,402 | 2,50,819 | 3,17,183 | 3,36,810 | 3,69,684 |
| CWIP | 63,393 | 57,668 | 59,042 | 61,512 | 69,056 | 83,832 | 1,00,309 | 1,06,719 | 1,13,945 | 1,18,729 | 1,15,724 | 91,478 |
| Investments | 4,749 | 33,387 | 70,746 | 67,335 | 66,909 | 56,755 | 60,320 | 66,642 | 78,873 | 1,00,862 | 95,617 | 1,01,084 |
| Other Assets | 89,771 | 84,440 | 1,03,612 | 1,04,328 | 1,25,987 | 1,23,884 | 1,37,372 | 1,55,496 | 1,69,478 | 1,99,847 | 2,04,504 | 2,29,659 |
| Total Assets | 3,37,847 | 3,41,772 | 4,44,525 | 4,59,232 | 4,92,343 | 5,08,364 | 5,41,748 | 5,83,260 | 6,13,115 | 7,36,621 | 7,52,656 | 7,91,905 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 33,950 | 46,292 | 45,780 | 56,792 | 61,458 | 70,593 | 47,185 | 78,248 | 84,211 | 98,847 | 90,868 | 1,12,719 |
| Investing | -30,058 | -38,256 | -43,815 | -66,798 | -37,132 | -53,159 | -39,141 | -41,197 | -72,799 | -57,423 | -42,901 | -57,676 |
| Financing | -10,641 | -8,972 | -1,867 | 9,909 | -23,324 | -16,726 | -8,239 | -35,790 | -12,916 | -45,009 | -47,908 | -56,331 |
| Net Cash Flow | -6,749 | -935 | 99 | -97 | 1,001 | 708 | -195 | 1,261 | -1,504 | -3,586 | 59 | -1,287 |
| Free Cash Flow | 17,053 | 31,199 | 25,445 | 29,061 | 35,697 | 28,735 | 15,147 | 45,158 | 47,758 | 60,965 | 50,154 | 59,510 |
| CFO/OP | 102 | 138 | 105 | 119 | 103 | 155 | 111 | 115 | 132 | 111 | 118 | 128 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 43 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| Inventory Days | 65 | 105 | 65 | 56 | 48 | 46 | 85 | 90 | 61 | 87 | 99 | 59 |
| Days Payable | 175 | 290 | 51 | 48 | 41 | 31 | 51 | 66 | 46 | 61 | 64 | 43 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -67 | -161 | 30 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 54 | 39 | 27 | 38 | 47 | 28 |
| Working Capital Days | -30 | -59 | -85 | -61 | -44 | -54 | -50 | -24 | -30 | -46 | -37 | -33 |
| ROCE % | 13% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 14% |
Documents
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Company Information
ONGC is the largest crude oil and natural gas Company in India, contributing around 71 per cent to Indian domestic production