NTPC Ltd
NTPC Ltd
Utilities F&ONTPC (National Thermal Power Corporation) Ltd along with its subsidiaries/ associates & JVs is primarily involved in generation and sale of bulk power to State power utilities. Other business of the group includes providing consultancy, project management & supervision, energy trading, oil & gas exploration and coal mining.[1]
NTPC trades at a compelling PE of 12.9x with 92% analyst buy ratings and strong profit CAGR of 17% over 3 years. While sales growth remains muted at 2% (3-year CAGR), the stock's 25% CAGR over 3-5 years reflects market confidence in its capacity expansion and energy transition strategy.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapPower GenerationPowerTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 34.3%
Weaknesses
4- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 10.9% over past five years.
- Tax rate seems low
- Company has a low return on equity of 13.5% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NTPC trades at a compelling PE of 12.9x with 92% analyst buy ratings and strong profit CAGR of 17% over 3 years. While sales growth remains muted at 2% (3-year CAGR), the stock's 25% CAGR over 3-5 years reflects market confidence in its capacity expansion and energy transition strategy.
- Overwhelming analyst consensus with 92.31% buy ratings (24 out of 26 analysts recommend buy)
- Attractive valuation at PE of 12.9x, well below broader market multiples for a utility giant with Rs 3.57 lakh crore market cap
- Strong compounded profit growth of 17% over 3 years and 20% TTM, indicating improving operational efficiency
- Consistent ROE improvement from 12% (10-year average) to 14% (last year and 3-year average), showing capital efficiency gains
- Healthy dividend payout of 34.3% with current yield of 1.5%, providing income stability for long-term investors
- Stock CAGR of 25% over both 3-year and 5-year periods demonstrates sustained wealth creation and re-rating
- Price-to-book of 1.75x is reasonable for a company with improving return ratios and massive asset base
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 10% provides a long track record of earnings delivery through multiple cycles
- Poor sales growth of only 2% CAGR over 3 years and near-flat 0% TTM revenue growth raises demand concerns
- Low return on equity of 13.5% over 3 years is suboptimal for the capital deployed in the business
- 5-year sales CAGR of only 10.9% is weak for a company undergoing massive capex expansion
- Potential interest cost capitalization may be flattering reported profits and understating true financing costs
- Low effective tax rate raises sustainability concerns — normalization could compress earnings by 5-10%
- Dividend yield of 1.5% is modest relative to peers in the utility space and barely beats fixed deposit rates
- Debt-heavy business model inherent to utilities sector exposes NTPC to rising interest rate environments
- Stock has delivered only 10% 1-year CAGR suggesting re-rating momentum may be slowing after the 25% multi-year run
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Bearish short-term outlook at ₹366.80 Jun 04
Univest analysts flagged bearish-to-sideways prediction with support at ₹360 and resistance at ₹375. Elevated crude oil prices and IT weakness drove broader market sell-off.
- Coal PLF moderation to 72% May 26
Coal plant load factor fell to 72% in FY26 from 77.4% in FY25. Thermal capacity addition targets reduced to 1,070 MW/1,460 MW for FY27/FY28 versus earlier guidance of 1,600 MW/2,120 MW.
- Exchange fine for non-compliance May 28
BSE and NSE fined NTPC Rs 5.31 lakh each for Q4FY26 non-compliance with Regulation 17(1) regarding Independent Directors.
- Renewable curtailment hits NGEL earnings May 26
NTPC Green disclosed that renewable generation curtailment during FY26 reduced EBITDA by approximately ₹90 crore. Only 57% of FY27 renewable projects have firm transmission connectivity.
- 800 MW Patratu unit goes commercial Jun 23
PVUNL declared commercial operation of Unit#2 (800 MW) at Patratu STPP Phase-1, lifting NTPC group's total installed capacity to 90,857 MW.
- 9.6 GW capacity addition target FY27 May 26
NTPC targets nearly 9.6 GW additions in FY27 and 10.4 GW in FY28, with renewable energy contributing close to 8 GW annually. Motilal Oswal set target price at ₹393.
- Strong FY26 profit and dividend Jun 04
Standalone PAT rose to ₹23,162 crore from ₹19,649 crore in FY25. Total FY26 dividend stood at ₹9 per share. Consolidated regulated equity grew to ₹1.20 lakh crore.
- Multiple broker Buy ratings Jun 16
JM Financial maintains Buy with ₹450 target, Nuvama retains Buy at ₹445, Axis Securities reiterates Buy at ₹430. Mirae Asset Sharekhan also recommends Buy at ₹355.55 levels.
- Meja Stage-II capacity expansion signed Jun 04
NTPC and UPRVUNL signed SJVA-III to enhance Meja Stage-II capacity from 2x660 MW to 3x800 MW, adding significant future thermal generation.
- NGEL solar CODs in Rajasthan Jun 12
NTPC Green declared COD for 50 MW solar in Rajasthan and 105 MW at Khavda-II, raising NGEL's total commercial capacity to 10,671 MW. NGEL generation grew 114% YoY in FY26.
- Nuclear expansion accelerates Jun 10
NTPC plans to float tender exceeding ₹10,000 crore for Rajasthan nuclear project. Work commenced on 2.8 GW Mahi Banswara project with ₹50,000 crore capex, targeting first criticality by FY32E.
- Grid flexibility EOI for 150-250 MW Jun 06
NTPC issued EOI for thermal units operating at 25% minimum technical load versus current 55%, positioning itself as enabler of higher renewable integration as India targets grid stability.
- Trading window closed for Q1FY26 Jun 23
NTPC closed its insider trading window from July 1, 2026, until 48 hours after Q1FY26 results are declared.
- Institutional block trades recorded Jun 11
NTPC saw ₹88.43 crore block trade at ₹351.85 per share (2.5M shares) on Jun 11 and ₹31.55 crore block trade at ₹383.15 on Jun 1, indicating institutional activity.
- Defence Ministry 250 MW solar approved Jun 09
Defence Ministry approved a 250 MW solar project with battery storage at Sitapur Cantonment, UP, with NTPC associated with the initiative.
- 34 Executive Directors appointed Jun 08
NTPC appointed 34 officials as Executive Director (Senior Management) effective June 8, 2026, under SEBI Listing Regulations.
- EOI for flexible thermal solutions Jun 08
NTPC invited Expressions of Interest from technology partners for flexible thermal power solutions to support renewable energy integration into India's power grid.
- Physical share transfer window open Jun 07
NTPC opened a special window until February 4, 2027 for transfer and dematerialisation of physical securities sold before April 1, 2019.
- Executive Director S K Suar retires May 29
NTPC Executive Director S K Suar ceased duties due to superannuation on May 31, 2026.
TL;DR: NTPC is executing well on its multi-pronged growth strategy with 90,857 MW installed capacity, strong FY26 financials (PAT up 18%), and ambitious 9.6 GW FY27 addition targets across thermal, renewables, and nuclear. Key risks include coal PLF moderation to 72%, renewable curtailment impacting NGEL earnings, and only 57% firm connectivity for FY27 projects. Multiple brokerages maintain Buy ratings with targets of ₹393-450, well above current levels around ₹350-366. The trend is constructive with capacity commissioning accelerating, though execution on renewable connectivity and nuclear timelines bears watching.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 44,253 | 43,075 | 44,983 | 42,820 | 47,628 | 48,529 | 44,706 | 45,069 | 49,834 | 47,065 | 44,786 | 45,846 | 49,688 |
| Expenses | 32,311 | 30,664 | 32,303 | 31,458 | 33,638 | 35,091 | 33,041 | 31,729 | 35,080 | 34,485 | 31,970 | 31,276 | 41,181 |
| Operating Profit | 11,942 | 12,411 | 12,680 | 11,362 | 13,990 | 13,438 | 11,665 | 13,341 | 14,754 | 12,580 | 12,816 | 14,570 | 8,507 |
| OPM % | 27% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 30% | 30% | 27% | 29% | 32% | 17% |
| Other Income | 1,084 | 994 | 1,024 | 2,532 | 1,400 | 1,187 | 3,218 | 986 | 4,180 | 3,240 | 2,734 | 1,738 | 1,917 |
| Interest | 2,860 | 2,922 | 2,921 | 3,250 | 2,955 | 3,136 | 3,621 | 2,764 | 3,648 | 3,468 | 3,432 | 3,164 | 3,737 |
| Depreciation | 3,848 | 3,821 | 4,038 | 4,074 | 4,271 | 4,204 | 4,216 | 4,318 | 4,663 | 4,587 | 4,816 | 5,093 | 5,134 |
| PBT | 6,318 | 6,661 | 6,746 | 6,571 | 8,164 | 7,284 | 7,046 | 7,245 | 10,623 | 7,765 | 7,301 | 8,050 | 1,553 |
| Tax % | 23% | 26% | 30% | 21% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 21% | 28% | 30% | -584% |
| Net Profit | 4,872 | 4,907 | 4,726 | 5,209 | 6,490 | 5,506 | 5,380 | 5,170 | 7,897 | 6,108 | 5,225 | 5,597 | 10,615 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.01 | 5.03 | 4.76 | 5.32 | 6.36 | 5.65 | 5.44 | 5.22 | 7.85 | 6.2 | 5.23 | 5.66 | 10.81 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 79,957 | 73,396 | 82,042 | 88,083 | 1,00,287 | 1,09,464 | 1,11,531 | 1,32,669 | 1,76,207 | 1,78,525 | 1,88,138 | 1,87,385 |
| Expenses | 62,605 | 54,829 | 60,445 | 65,598 | 77,576 | 77,878 | 77,487 | 92,307 | 1,28,611 | 1,27,056 | 1,33,783 | 1,34,563 |
| Operating Profit | 17,352 | 18,568 | 21,598 | 22,485 | 22,710 | 31,586 | 34,044 | 40,362 | 47,596 | 51,469 | 54,355 | 52,822 |
| OPM % | 22% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 29% | 31% | 30% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 28% |
| Other Income | 2,338 | 1,188 | 1,592 | 5,576 | 2,818 | 8,209 | 5,021 | 4,809 | 2,561 | 5,177 | 8,526 | 5,278 |
| Interest | 3,669 | 3,366 | 3,753 | 4,447 | 5,605 | 8,189 | 9,224 | 9,376 | 11,447 | 12,301 | 13,282 | 13,801 |
| Depreciation | 5,565 | 5,771 | 6,010 | 7,460 | 8,669 | 10,356 | 12,450 | 13,788 | 14,792 | 16,204 | 17,401 | 19,629 |
| PBT | 10,456 | 10,618 | 13,426 | 16,154 | 11,255 | 21,250 | 17,390 | 22,007 | 23,917 | 28,142 | 32,198 | 24,669 |
| Tax % | 4% | -2% | 20% | 35% | -25% | 44% | 14% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 26% | -12% |
| Net Profit | 9,992 | 10,781 | 10,714 | 10,502 | 14,034 | 11,902 | 14,969 | 16,960 | 17,121 | 21,332 | 23,953 | 27,546 |
| EPS in Rs | 10.09 | 10.92 | 10.83 | 10.66 | 13.88 | 11.72 | 15.09 | 17.2 | 17.44 | 21.46 | 24.16 | 27.9 |
| Div. Payout % | 21% | 26% | 37% | 40% | 44% | 27% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 36% | 35% | 32% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 8,245 | 8,245 | 8,245 | 8,245 | 9,895 | 9,895 | 9,697 | 9,697 | 9,697 | 9,697 | 9,697 | 9,697 |
| Reserves | 73,849 | 83,330 | 89,593 | 95,318 | 1,01,462 | 1,08,945 | 1,16,042 | 1,25,677 | 1,37,326 | 1,51,013 | 1,74,374 | 1,93,479 |
| Borrowings | 1,02,252 | 99,424 | 1,13,773 | 1,30,049 | 1,73,058 | 2,00,630 | 2,10,208 | 2,10,707 | 2,22,913 | 2,37,131 | 2,50,096 | 2,71,005 |
| Other Liabilities | 35,366 | 33,666 | 36,990 | 48,880 | 62,509 | 58,202 | 62,075 | 69,751 | 77,253 | 81,437 | 89,330 | 84,463 |
| Total Liabilities | 2,19,712 | 2,24,665 | 2,48,601 | 2,82,492 | 3,46,923 | 3,77,671 | 3,98,022 | 4,15,831 | 4,47,189 | 4,79,278 | 5,23,497 | 5,58,644 |
| Fixed Assets | 91,853 | 92,929 | 1,04,532 | 1,28,245 | 1,50,985 | 1,87,803 | 2,03,245 | 2,24,923 | 2,40,424 | 2,58,934 | 2,71,437 | 3,18,821 |
| CWIP | 67,555 | 75,046 | 86,896 | 83,386 | 1,18,397 | 98,508 | 97,506 | 91,126 | 89,179 | 87,664 | 1,00,859 | 84,833 |
| Investments | 1,902 | 6,473 | 7,614 | 8,876 | 8,132 | 9,307 | 10,589 | 10,626 | 13,935 | 15,885 | 19,704 | 24,180 |
| Other Assets | 58,403 | 50,217 | 49,560 | 61,985 | 69,409 | 82,053 | 86,681 | 89,156 | 1,03,651 | 1,16,795 | 1,31,498 | 1,30,810 |
| Total Assets | 2,19,712 | 2,24,665 | 2,48,601 | 2,82,492 | 3,46,923 | 3,77,671 | 3,98,022 | 4,15,831 | 4,47,189 | 4,79,278 | 5,23,497 | 5,58,644 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 14,889 | 24,125 | 20,167 | 19,670 | 18,686 | 24,583 | 32,444 | 41,788 | 47,152 | 40,099 | 50,436 | 50,902 |
| Investing | -15,977 | -19,162 | -24,480 | -20,678 | -24,063 | -30,322 | -21,034 | -22,891 | -26,145 | -31,456 | -45,800 | -37,578 |
| Financing | -1,474 | -3,899 | 3,138 | 1,028 | 4,927 | 6,004 | -11,049 | -19,172 | -21,217 | -8,246 | -4,073 | -11,328 |
| Net Cash Flow | -2,563 | 1,064 | -1,176 | 19 | -451 | 266 | 360 | -274 | -210 | 398 | 563 | 1,995 |
| Free Cash Flow | -4,431 | 3,110 | -4,161 | 912 | -2,842 | 6,521 | 9,162 | 17,457 | 22,432 | 9,358 | 9,431 | 6,895 |
| CFO/OP | 97 | 137 | 106 | 79 | 98 | 89 | 104 | 109 | 108 | 85 | 101 | 103 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 42 | 41 | 40 | 37 | 45 | 68 | 92 | 77 | 62 | 68 | 67 | 71 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 42 | 41 | 40 | 37 | 45 | 68 | 92 | 77 | 62 | 68 | 67 | 71 |
| Working Capital Days | -47 | -39 | -52 | -44 | -106 | -35 | -61 | -62 | -43 | -45 | -38 | -55 |
| ROCE % | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 8% |
Documents
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Company Information
NTPC (National Thermal Power Corporation) Ltd along with its subsidiaries/ associates & JVs is primarily involved in generation and sale of bulk power to State power utilities. Other business of the group includes providing consultancy, project management & supervision, energy trading, oil & gas exploration and coal mining.[1]