NMDC Steel Ltd
NMDC Steel Ltd
Metals & MiningKey Fundamentals
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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29 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY20–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has reduced debt.
- Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value
- Company is expected to give good quarter
Weaknesses
3- Company has low interest coverage ratio.
- Company has a low return on equity of -8.86% over last 3 years.
- Contingent liabilities of Rs.3,603 Cr.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NMDC Steel Ltd operates a 3 MTPA integrated steel plant at Nagarnar, Chhattisgarh, currently in its early ramp-up phase with FY26 revenue of approximately ₹13,642 crore (60% YoY growth). The stock trades at a P/B of 0.98 and a PE of ~220x, reflecting minimal profitability so far despite rapid top-line expansion. The company is a government-backed entity with captive iron ore access through parent NMDC, but carries a 3-year average ROE of -8.86% and low interest coverage.
- Revenue grew 60% YoY in FY26 to approximately ₹13,642 crore, indicating accelerating production ramp-up at the 3 MTPA Nagarnar plant
- Stock trades at 0.98x book value, below replacement cost for a greenfield integrated steel plant of this scale
- Company has reduced debt with debt-to-equity ratio declining to 0.35, improving balance sheet strength
- Profit growth of 102% TTM signals the plant is moving toward operational breakeven and potential profitability inflection
- Strategic location near NMDC's Bailadila iron ore mines provides captive raw material access and structural cost advantage
- FY25 was the first full year of commercial operations — capacity utilization still has significant headroom to scale toward 3 MTPA rated capacity
- Government-backed parentage (NMDC holds ~76.8% stake) provides financial support and reduces default risk during ramp-up phase
- Expected to deliver a good upcoming quarter per market expectations, suggesting continued operational momentum
- 3-year average ROE stands at -8.86%, indicating the plant has not yet generated meaningful returns on invested capital
- PE ratio of ~220x reflects negligible earnings relative to market cap of ₹12,930 crore — profitability remains unproven at scale
- Low interest coverage ratio suggests operating profits are barely sufficient to service debt obligations
- Zero dividend yield with no history of shareholder payouts, offering no income cushion during the ramp-up period
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 467% is misleading as it comes off a deeply negative base, masking continued operating losses in intervening years
- Stock has delivered -2% CAGR over 3 years and only 2% over 1 year, underperforming broader market indices significantly
- Current ratio of 0.53 indicates potential short-term liquidity stress, with current liabilities exceeding current assets
- Steel sector is cyclical and subject to global price volatility — any downturn in steel prices during ramp-up could delay breakeven further
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- EBITDA margin compression Aug 14
EBITDA margin slipped to 10.89% in Q1 from 12.11% YoY, indicating operating profitability pressure despite revenue growth of 8.8%.
- Net profit surges 116% YoY Aug 14
Q1 net profit rose 116% YoY to ₹552 million on revenue of ₹36.6 billion, showing strong bottom-line improvement.
- New Company Secretary appointed Jul 30
Paraj Kanti Saha appointed as Company Secretary and Compliance Officer effective July 30, 2026, replacing Aniket Kulshreshtha who resigned.
TL;DR: NMDC Steel is delivering strong profit growth with net profit more than doubling YoY, and revenue expanding at a healthy 8.8%. However, margin compression from 12.11% to 10.89% signals cost pressures that could weigh on earnings if not addressed. The leadership change at CS level is routine. The trend is cautiously positive, but investors should watch whether margin recovery materializes in coming quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 0 | 277 | 926 | 1,846 | 2,023 | 1,522 | 2,120 | 2,838 | 3,365 | 3,390 | 3,008 | 3,879 | 3,662 |
| Expenses | 0 | 350 | 1,335 | 2,801 | 2,424 | 1,963 | 2,776 | 3,129 | 2,958 | 3,183 | 2,910 | 3,073 | 3,262 |
| Operating Profit | 0 | -72 | -409 | -956 | -401 | -441 | -656 | -291 | 408 | 207 | 98 | 806 | 400 |
| OPM % | — | -26% | -44% | -52% | -20% | -29% | -31% | -10% | 12% | 6% | 3.2% | 21% | 11% |
| Other Income | 0 | 13 | 16 | 90 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 26 | 43 |
| Interest | 0 | 41 | 134 | 155 | 153 | 161 | 165 | 172 | 134 | 128 | 128 | 96 | 126 |
| Depreciation | 0 | 75 | 226 | 252 | 239 | 240 | 253 | 221 | 258 | 283 | 252 | 249 | 242 |
| PBT | 0 | -175 | -753 | -1,273 | -772 | -829 | -1,056 | -664 | 36 | -183 | -264 | 486 | 74 |
| Tax % | — | -25% | -25% | -32% | -29% | -28% | -28% | -29% | 29% | -37% | -8% | 19% | 32% |
| Net Profit | 0 | -131 | -568 | -861 | -547 | -595 | -758 | -473 | 26 | -115 | -244 | 392 | 51 |
| EPS in Rs | 0 | -0.45 | -1.94 | -2.94 | -1.87 | -2.03 | -2.59 | -1.62 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -0.83 | 1.34 | 0.17 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,049 | 8,503 | 13,642 | 13,938 |
| Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4,485 | 10,291 | 12,124 | 12,428 |
| Operating Profit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1,436 | -1,788 | 1,518 | 1,510 |
| OPM % | — | — | — | — | -47% | -21% | 11% | 11% |
| Other Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 72 | 86 | 109 |
| Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 331 | 652 | 487 | 479 |
| Depreciation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 553 | 953 | 1,042 | 1,026 |
| PBT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2,201 | -3,322 | 76 | 114 |
| Tax % | 0% | 0% | — | — | -29% | -29% | 23% | — |
| Net Profit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1,560 | -2,374 | 59 | 84 |
| EPS in Rs | — | — | — | 0 | -5.32 | -8.1 | 0.2 | 0.29 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | — | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 2,931 | 2,931 | 2,931 | 2,931 |
| Reserves | 0 | 0 | 17,049 | 14,118 | 12,558 | 10,184 | 10,243 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 1,691 | 3,842 | 6,662 | 5,909 | 4,613 |
| Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 1,765 | 4,678 | 7,218 | 9,446 | 10,451 |
| Total Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 20,504 | 25,568 | 29,368 | 28,470 | 28,237 |
| Fixed Assets | 0 | 0 | 1,132 | 1,118 | 20,273 | 20,131 | 19,452 |
| CWIP | 0 | 0 | 17,038 | 19,545 | 1,215 | 717 | 570 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Assets | 0 | 0 | 2,334 | 4,904 | 7,881 | 7,621 | 8,215 |
| Total Assets | 0 | 0 | 20,504 | 25,568 | 29,368 | 28,470 | 28,237 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 0 | 0 | 743 | 1,516 | -2,825 | 1,966 | 1,796 |
| Investing | 0 | 0 | -1,891 | -2,189 | -228 | -506 | 109 |
| Financing | 0 | 0 | 1,144 | 1,293 | 2,439 | -1,460 | -1,902 |
| Net Cash Flow | 0 | 0 | -4 | 620 | -614 | 0 | 2 |
| Free Cash Flow | 0 | 0 | -1,148 | -639 | -3,409 | 1,538 | 1,525 |
| CFO/OP | 100 | 100 | — | — | 196 | -110 | 118 |
Ratios
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | — | — | — | — | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| Inventory Days | — | — | — | — | 420 | 148 | 160 |
| Days Payable | — | — | — | — | 284 | 234 | 248 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | — | — | — | — | 141 | -77 | -83 |
| Working Capital Days | — | — | — | — | -92 | -213 | -175 |
| ROCE % | — | -200% | 0% | 0% | -9% | -13% | 3% |
Documents
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Company Information
National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC), a Navratna Public Sector Enterprise under the Ministry of Steel, Government of India is the single largest producer of iron ore in India. It owns and operates iron ore mines in Chhattisgarh and Karnataka and has its registered office at Hyderabad, Telangana.[1]