NMDC Ltd
NMDC Ltd
Metals & Mining F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapIndustrial MineralsMetals & MiningInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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47 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY14–FY26.
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company is expected to give good quarter
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 23.6%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 41.3%
Weaknesses
1- Working capital days have increased from 43.8 days to 67.4 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NMDC Ltd is India's largest iron ore producer with a market cap of ~₹74,062 crore, trading at a PE of 10x with a 3-year ROE of ~24% and dividend yield of 2.94%. The company achieved record production of 53.15 MT in FY26 with FY26 net profit of ₹7,421 crore (up 10% YoY) on revenue of ₹33,017 crore (up 31% YoY), while pursuing an ambitious capacity expansion to 100 MT by 2030.
- Record iron ore production of 53.15 MT in FY26, up from 44.07 MT in FY25 — a 21% year-on-year volume growth demonstrating strong operational execution
- Consistent 3-year ROE of ~24% and 5-year ROE of 26%, indicating efficient capital deployment well above cost of equity
- Attractive valuation at PE of 10x compared to broader market multiples, with TTM sales growth of 27% and FY26 revenue up 31% YoY to ₹33,017 crore
- Ambitious but credible capacity expansion plan to 100 MT by 2030 from current ~53 MT, backed by ₹2,200 crore capex for slurry pipelines, beneficiation and pellet plants
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 41.3% with current yield of 2.94%, providing income support; recent dividend of ₹3.50/share with annualized yield above 4%
- FY26 PAT grew 10% to ₹7,421 crore while PBT before exceptional items rose 12% to ₹9,296 crore, showing sustained profitability improvement
- India's steel production capacity targeted to reach 300 MTPA by 2030 under the National Steel Policy, driving structural demand for domestic iron ore
- Government of India holds 60.79% stake, providing sovereign backing and strategic importance as a Navratna PSU with pricing power in domestic markets
- Working capital days increased significantly from 43.8 days to 67.4 days, indicating deteriorating cash conversion efficiency and potential receivables buildup
- Iron ore prices are inherently cyclical and subject to global demand fluctuations, particularly from China which consumes ~70% of global seaborne iron ore
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of only 4% versus 16% sales CAGR, suggesting margin compression over longer periods and limited pricing power in downturns
- Government ownership of 60.79% creates overhang risk from potential disinvestment, which could pressure stock price if large stake sales are announced
- Scaling from 53 MT to 100 MT by 2030 requires massive capital investment of potentially ₹40,000 crore over multiple years, creating execution and capex overrun risk
- As a PSU, NMDC faces constraints on operational flexibility including government-mandated pricing interventions during periods of high iron ore prices
- Q1 FY27 profit grew only 2% YoY to ₹2,007 crore despite 26% production surge, indicating volume growth not fully translating to bottom-line due to price or cost pressures
- Environmental and mining regulatory clearances remain a perennial risk for expansion projects, potentially delaying the 100 MT target timeline
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Iron ore production surges 31% Aug 1
NMDC reported 31% jump in iron ore production to 4.06 million MT in July 2026, with cumulative FY27 production reaching 19.16 million MT driven by strong Chhattisgarh output.
- New iron ore prices effective Aug 8
NMDC fixed lump ore at ₹5,250/ton and fines at ₹4,500/ton effective August 8, 2026.
- New Company Secretary appointed Jul 30
Aniket Kulshreshtha (FCS-7795) appointed as Company Secretary replacing Pravin Shekhar, effective July 30, 2026.
TL;DR: NMDC is delivering strong operational momentum with a 31% production surge in July 2026 and healthy cumulative output for FY27. No material headwinds are visible in recent news. The pricing revision is neutral without clear directional signal. The trend is improving on the volume front, and sustained production growth could support earnings if iron ore demand holds.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 5,395 | 4,014 | 5,410 | 6,489 | 5,414 | 4,919 | 6,568 | 7,005 | 6,739 | 6,378 | 7,611 | 11,343 | 6,795 |
| Expenses | 3,401 | 2,824 | 3,403 | 4,388 | 3,074 | 3,533 | 4,196 | 4,953 | 4,260 | 4,385 | 5,467 | 8,700 | 4,327 |
| Operating Profit | 1,994 | 1,190 | 2,007 | 2,102 | 2,340 | 1,386 | 2,372 | 2,051 | 2,478 | 1,993 | 2,144 | 2,644 | 2,468 |
| OPM % | 37% | 30% | 37% | 32% | 43% | 28% | 36% | 29% | 37% | 31% | 28% | 23% | 36% |
| Other Income | 294 | 321 | 84 | 389 | 365 | 361 | 375 | 492 | 300 | 383 | 372 | 432 | 347 |
| Interest | 6 | 19 | 32 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 61 | 65 | 27 | 8 | 35 | 51 | 22 |
| Depreciation | 69 | 89 | 82 | 111 | 74 | 103 | 103 | 141 | 109 | 110 | 107 | 152 | 103 |
| PBT | 2,212 | 1,404 | 1,977 | 2,359 | 2,608 | 1,614 | 2,584 | 2,338 | 2,643 | 2,259 | 2,375 | 2,873 | 2,691 |
| Tax % | 25% | 27% | 26% | 40% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 37% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 30% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 1,653 | 1,026 | 1,482 | 1,410 | 1,969 | 1,205 | 1,880 | 1,477 | 1,968 | 1,698 | 1,757 | 2,027 | 1,976 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.88 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.61 | 2.24 | 1.38 | 2.14 | 1.68 | 2.24 | 1.93 | 2 | 2.31 | 2.25 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 12,356 | 6,456 | 8,828 | 11,615 | 12,153 | 11,699 | 15,370 | 25,965 | 17,667 | 21,308 | 23,906 | 32,071 | 32,127 |
| Expenses | 4,591 | 3,771 | 5,233 | 5,812 | 5,228 | 5,697 | 6,580 | 13,338 | 11,613 | 14,014 | 15,755 | 22,811 | 22,878 |
| Operating Profit | 7,765 | 2,685 | 3,595 | 5,803 | 6,925 | 6,003 | 8,790 | 12,626 | 6,054 | 7,294 | 8,150 | 9,260 | 9,249 |
| OPM % | 63% | 42% | 41% | 50% | 57% | 51% | 57% | 49% | 34% | 34% | 34% | 29% | 29% |
| Other Income | 2,155 | 1,682 | 910 | 667 | 588 | 416 | 351 | 716 | 2,004 | 1,087 | 1,591 | 1,488 | 1,535 |
| Interest | 0 | 66 | 21 | 37 | 40 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 75 | 78 | 178 | 121 | 116 |
| Depreciation | 173 | 218 | 197 | 257 | 279 | 295 | 229 | 288 | 336 | 351 | 420 | 477 | 472 |
| PBT | 9,747 | 4,084 | 4,287 | 6,176 | 7,194 | 6,114 | 8,896 | 13,016 | 7,646 | 7,952 | 9,143 | 10,149 | 10,197 |
| Tax % | 34% | 34% | 40% | 38% | 36% | 41% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 28% | 27% | — |
| Net Profit | 6,351 | 2,544 | 2,543 | 3,808 | 4,617 | 3,573 | 6,276 | 9,429 | 5,601 | 5,567 | 6,520 | 7,450 | 7,459 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.34 | 2.14 | 2.68 | 4.01 | 5.03 | 3.89 | 7.14 | 10.72 | 6.37 | 6.34 | 7.43 | 8.47 | 8.49 |
| Div. Payout % | 53% | 171% | 64% | 36% | 37% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 35% | 38% | 44% | 41% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 396 | 396 | 316 | 316 | 306 | 306 | 293 | 293 | 293 | 293 | 879 | 879 |
| Reserves | 31,870 | 28,784 | 22,266 | 24,101 | 25,738 | 27,367 | 29,591 | 17,725 | 22,328 | 25,363 | 28,817 | 33,183 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 1,497 | 0 | 500 | 364 | 566 | 1,994 | 1,800 | 2,128 | 3,359 | 4,276 | 6,407 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,197 | 2,079 | 3,201 | 3,774 | 3,483 | 3,056 | 5,051 | 5,094 | 5,204 | 6,646 | 7,035 | 7,851 |
| Total Liabilities | 34,464 | 32,756 | 25,784 | 28,691 | 29,891 | 31,294 | 36,930 | 24,912 | 29,953 | 35,661 | 41,007 | 48,320 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,468 | 2,058 | 2,095 | 3,457 | 3,512 | 3,810 | 3,933 | 3,662 | 3,199 | 3,377 | 5,038 | 5,856 |
| CWIP | 7,801 | 9,747 | 11,855 | 12,545 | 13,819 | 15,530 | 17,158 | 1,333 | 1,998 | 3,235 | 4,737 | 6,749 |
| Investments | 319 | 592 | 612 | 673 | 859 | 910 | 875 | 895 | 940 | 956 | 978 | 1,372 |
| Other Assets | 24,876 | 20,359 | 11,221 | 12,016 | 11,701 | 11,045 | 14,964 | 19,022 | 23,816 | 28,094 | 30,253 | 34,344 |
| Total Assets | 34,464 | 32,756 | 25,784 | 28,691 | 29,891 | 31,294 | 36,930 | 24,912 | 29,953 | 35,661 | 41,007 | 48,320 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 3,999 | 2,502 | 2,109 | 3,376 | 4,002 | 2,126 | 7,266 | 6,942 | 1,838 | 7,394 | 1,894 | 4,996 |
| Investing | -517 | 3,645 | 5,171 | -1,865 | -789 | -313 | -4,316 | -3,214 | 202 | -6,076 | 306 | -3,842 |
| Financing | -3,449 | -6,290 | -7,249 | -1,557 | -3,201 | -1,753 | -2,591 | -4,067 | -2,067 | -1,302 | -2,225 | -1,092 |
| Net Cash Flow | 33 | -144 | 31 | -46 | 11 | 60 | 359 | -339 | -28 | 16 | -25 | 63 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,185 | -1,073 | -211 | 1,318 | 1,996 | -278 | 5,644 | 5,743 | 590 | 5,547 | -1,336 | 1,826 |
| CFO/OP | 91 | 157 | 102 | 99 | 95 | 73 | 111 | 89 | 65 | 126 | 54 | 85 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 52 | 45 | 43 | 46 | 43 | 69 | 51 | 42 | 90 | 60 | 118 | 105 |
| Inventory Days | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 170 |
| Days Payable | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 52 | 45 | 43 | 46 | 43 | 69 | 51 | 42 | 90 | 60 | 118 | 247 |
| Working Capital Days | 101 | 7 | 3 | -4 | 9 | 53 | -19 | 30 | 94 | 9 | 55 | 67 |
| ROCE % | 32% | 14% | 16% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 50% | 29% | 31% | 30% | 28% |
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Company Information
NMDC is engaged in exploration and production of Iron Ore along with Diamond, production and sale of Sponge Iron and generation and sale of Wind Power.(Source : 202003 Annual Report Page No:119)