NHPC Ltd
NHPC Ltd
Utilities F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapPower GenerationPowerTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 53.3%
- Debtor days have improved from 140 to 82.6 days.
Weaknesses
6- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 3.78% over past five years.
- Tax rate seems low
- Company has a low return on equity of 8.72% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.2,057 Cr.
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -3.55%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NHPC trades at a PE of 18.6x with modest 3% sales CAGR over 5 years but offers a healthy 53.3% dividend payout and improving debtor days. The 62.5% buy rating from analysts is encouraging, but weak ROE of 8.72% and declining promoter holding warrant caution at current valuations.
- Strong analyst consensus with 62.5% buy ratings (5 out of 8 analysts recommend buy)
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 53.3% with current dividend yield of 1.79%, providing steady income
- TTM profit growth of 28% indicates strong near-term earnings momentum
- Debtor days improved significantly from 140 to 82.6 days, reflecting better working capital management
- 10-year stock CAGR of 13% demonstrates consistent long-term wealth creation
- TTM sales growth of 12% shows acceleration from the 5-year CAGR of just 4%
- Market cap of Rs.78,904 Cr provides large-cap stability with government backing as a PSU hydropower company
- PB ratio of 1.9x is reasonable for an asset-heavy utility with long-life hydro assets
- Poor 5-year compounded sales growth of only 3.78%, indicating limited topline expansion
- Low 3-year average ROE of 8.72% suggests inefficient capital utilization for shareholders
- Promoter holding decreased by 3.55% over last 3 years, signaling potential government disinvestment overhang
- Other income of Rs.2,057 Cr inflates earnings quality, masking weaker core operating performance
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of just 2% shows earnings have largely stagnated over medium term
- Stock has delivered negative 1-year return of -8%, underperforming broader markets
- Company may be capitalizing interest costs, which flatters reported profits and understates true expenses
- PE of 18.6x is elevated for a utility with single-digit ROE of 9% and low growth profile
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Govt OFS at 8% discount Jun 01
Government selling 6% stake (up to 60.27 crore shares) via OFS at Rs 71 floor price, an 8% discount to closing price of Rs 77.19. Stock near 52-week low with -11.35% returns over past year.
- Subansiri cost escalation 4x Jun 01
Flagship 2,000 MW Subansiri Lower project costs ballooned from Rs 6,285 crore (2002) to approximately Rs 26,000 crore due to delays and interest during construction.
- 3097 MW Etalin project signed Jun 16
NHPC signed MoA with Arunachal Pradesh government for the 3097 MW Etalin Hydro Electric Project on BOOT basis for 40 years, significantly expanding capacity pipeline.
- Rs 2,000 crore bond raise May 29
NHPC raised Rs 2,000 crore through 7.67% AI Series Bonds due 2041, demonstrating strong capital market access for funding 9,704 MW under-construction pipeline.
- 9,704 MW expansion pipeline Jun 01
NHPC has 14 projects totaling 9,704 MW under construction with board-approved borrowing of up to Rs 8,000 crore for FY27 through bonds, loans, and ECBs.
- Trading window closed for Q1 Jun 23
NHPC shuts trading window from July 1, 2026, until 48 hours after Q1FY27 results are declared, per SEBI regulations.
- Govt retains 61.4% post-OFS Jun 01
Government holding drops from 67.40% to ~61.40% post-OFS, well above 51% control threshold. Public float rises to 38.60%, improving liquidity.
- JM Financial conference attendance Jun 10
NHPC participated in JM Financial Virtual PSU Conference on June 15, 2026, and held Mumbai investor meet on June 12. No UPSI shared.
- Director Personnel retires May 29
Shri Uttam Lal, Director (Personnel), ceased office on May 31, 2026, upon superannuation.
- No promoter share encumbrance Jun 09
President of India confirmed no encumbrance on NHPC promoter shares in FY26 under SEBI SAST Regulations.
- Special window for share transfer Jun 01
NHPC opened special window for transferring and dematerializing physical shares per SEBI circular dated January 30, 2026.
TL;DR: NHPC is executing an aggressive capacity expansion with 9,704 MW under construction and the newly signed 3,097 MW Etalin project, backed by strong bond market access. Key near-term overhang is the government's 6% OFS at an 8% discount near 52-week lows, which pressures stock price but improves float and liquidity. Project execution risk remains elevated given Subansiri's 4x cost escalation history. Trend is constructive on fundamentals but near-term supply pressure from OFS may cap upside until absorbed.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,029 | 2,757 | 2,931 | 2,056 | 1,887 | 2,694 | 3,052 | 2,287 | 2,347 | 3,214 | 3,365 | 2,221 | 2,816 |
| Expenses | 1,141 | 1,253 | 1,163 | 1,303 | 735 | 1,085 | 1,247 | 1,272 | 1,142 | 1,412 | 1,338 | 2,009 | 2,179 |
| Operating Profit | 888 | 1,505 | 1,768 | 752 | 1,152 | 1,609 | 1,805 | 1,015 | 1,205 | 1,802 | 2,027 | 212 | 637 |
| OPM % | 44% | 55% | 60% | 37% | 61% | 60% | 59% | 44% | 51% | 56% | 60% | 10% | 23% |
| Other Income | 425 | 292 | 261 | 587 | 623 | 431 | 454 | 365 | 265 | 413 | 448 | 1,449 | 306 |
| Interest | 111 | 109 | 116 | 133 | 365 | 244 | 308 | 649 | -12 | 261 | 278 | 310 | 574 |
| Depreciation | 304 | 294 | 295 | 296 | 299 | 296 | 285 | 297 | 315 | 436 | 441 | 457 | 642 |
| PBT | 898 | 1,394 | 1,618 | 909 | 1,111 | 1,500 | 1,666 | 434 | 1,167 | 1,518 | 1,755 | 894 | -274 |
| Tax % | 17% | 21% | -5% | 31% | 46% | 27% | 36% | 24% | 21% | 26% | 31% | 64% | -666% |
| Net Profit | 745 | 1,095 | 1,693 | 623 | 605 | 1,102 | 1,060 | 330 | 920 | 1,131 | 1,219 | 321 | 1,549 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.65 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 1.02 | 0.9 | 0.23 | 0.85 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 0.22 | 1.45 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,221 | 8,354 | 8,623 | 7,755 | 8,983 | 10,008 | 9,648 | 9,144 | 10,607 | 9,631 | 10,380 | 11,615 |
| Expenses | 3,087 | 3,571 | 3,739 | 3,508 | 4,002 | 5,152 | 4,371 | 5,131 | 4,423 | 4,695 | 4,957 | 6,379 |
| Operating Profit | 5,134 | 4,783 | 4,884 | 4,248 | 4,981 | 4,856 | 5,277 | 4,013 | 6,184 | 4,936 | 5,423 | 5,236 |
| OPM % | 62% | 57% | 57% | 55% | 55% | 49% | 55% | 44% | 58% | 51% | 52% | 45% |
| Other Income | 1,597 | 1,174 | 2,245 | 1,185 | 1,733 | 901 | 1,087 | 981 | 743 | 2,030 | 1,726 | 2,057 |
| Interest | 1,296 | 1,160 | 1,133 | 924 | 896 | 877 | 577 | 586 | 475 | 767 | 1,189 | 1,423 |
| Depreciation | 1,715 | 1,432 | 1,462 | 1,469 | 1,658 | 1,614 | 1,292 | 1,190 | 1,215 | 1,184 | 1,193 | 1,976 |
| PBT | 3,718 | 3,365 | 4,535 | 3,040 | 4,159 | 3,266 | 4,495 | 3,217 | 5,237 | 5,015 | 4,767 | 3,894 |
| Tax % | 25% | 30% | 23% | 8% | 32% | -2% | 20% | -17% | 19% | 20% | 28% | -8% |
| Net Profit | 2,798 | 2,365 | 3,480 | 2,785 | 2,836 | 3,345 | 3,600 | 3,774 | 4,261 | 4,000 | 3,412 | 4,220 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.25 | 1.85 | 2.95 | 2.45 | 2.58 | 2.87 | 3.26 | 3.51 | 3.89 | 3.58 | 2.99 | 3.75 |
| Div. Payout % | 27% | 81% | 61% | 57% | 56% | 52% | 49% | 52% | 48% | 53% | 64% | 43% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 11,071 | 11,071 | 10,259 | 10,259 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 | 10,045 |
| Reserves | 19,687 | 20,572 | 18,756 | 19,782 | 20,753 | 21,336 | 23,008 | 24,876 | 26,916 | 28,624 | 29,623 | 31,392 |
| Borrowings | 20,584 | 19,938 | 19,227 | 18,602 | 19,066 | 23,226 | 23,365 | 26,096 | 29,540 | 32,561 | 39,557 | 52,327 |
| Other Liabilities | 10,094 | 11,242 | 11,946 | 14,290 | 16,870 | 16,669 | 16,717 | 16,271 | 19,710 | 21,037 | 23,455 | 26,247 |
| Total Liabilities | 61,436 | 62,823 | 60,187 | 62,933 | 66,734 | 71,277 | 73,136 | 77,288 | 86,211 | 92,267 | 1,02,680 | 1,20,011 |
| Fixed Assets | 27,916 | 22,610 | 22,227 | 21,201 | 24,977 | 24,402 | 21,993 | 21,825 | 22,137 | 21,474 | 22,168 | 50,494 |
| CWIP | 16,378 | 16,742 | 17,588 | 19,087 | 15,037 | 17,180 | 19,167 | 22,522 | 31,357 | 39,798 | 50,601 | 34,744 |
| Investments | 1,020 | 606 | 1,020 | 1,125 | 1,283 | 1,398 | 1,842 | 2,386 | 499 | 479 | 444 | 440 |
| Other Assets | 16,123 | 22,866 | 19,352 | 21,520 | 25,437 | 28,297 | 30,133 | 30,554 | 32,218 | 30,516 | 29,467 | 34,333 |
| Total Assets | 61,436 | 62,823 | 60,187 | 62,933 | 66,734 | 71,277 | 73,136 | 77,288 | 86,211 | 92,267 | 1,02,680 | 1,20,011 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 4,061 | 5,971 | 8,329 | 4,696 | 3,824 | 2,993 | 5,070 | 4,590 | 4,705 | 7,252 | 5,026 | 3,294 |
| Investing | -768 | -746 | -1,864 | -886 | -1,182 | -2,987 | -1,607 | -3,084 | -4,191 | -5,940 | -7,550 | -11,139 |
| Financing | -2,494 | -4,000 | -7,812 | -3,863 | -2,637 | 12 | -3,058 | -638 | -795 | -924 | 1,904 | 8,928 |
| Net Cash Flow | 798 | 1,224 | -1,347 | -53 | 5 | 17 | 405 | 867 | -281 | 388 | -620 | 1,082 |
| Free Cash Flow | 2,335 | 3,824 | 6,742 | 3,133 | 2,464 | -639 | 3,012 | 888 | -269 | 285 | -3,823 | -8,274 |
| CFO/OP | 95 | 143 | 193 | 130 | 94 | 79 | 110 | 135 | 92 | 165 | 109 | 80 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 129 | 83 | 78 | 63 | 115 | 131 | 194 | 207 | 212 | 168 | 169 | 83 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 129 | 83 | 78 | 63 | 115 | 131 | 194 | 207 | 212 | 168 | 169 | 83 |
| Working Capital Days | -1 | 109 | -29 | -120 | -18 | 57 | 36 | 11 | -1 | -51 | -58 | -97 |
| ROCE % | 9% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
Documents
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Company Information
NHPC, a Navratna Ratna public sector utility, is Government of India’s flagship hydroelectric generation company. The company is primarily involved in the generation and sale of bulk power to various Power Utilities. Its other business includes providing project management / construction contracts/ consultancy assignment services and trading of power. [1][2]