Nestle India Ltd
Nestle India Ltd
Fast Moving Consumer Goods F&ONestle India Limited is a subsidiary of Nestle which is a Swiss MNC. The company operates in the Food segment.
Nestle India is a high-quality compounder with 92% 3-year ROE and consistent 11% sales CAGR over 10 years, but at 77.2x PE and 52.4x price-to-book, the stock prices in perfection. With only 42.86% analyst buy ratings and modest 11% TTM profit growth, risk-reward is unfavorable for fresh entry at current levels.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapPackaged FoodsFood ProductsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
4- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is almost debt free.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 92.3%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 74.3%
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 50.2 times its book value
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.6% over past five years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Nestle India is a high-quality compounder with 92% 3-year ROE and consistent 11% sales CAGR over 10 years, but at 77.2x PE and 52.4x price-to-book, the stock prices in perfection. With only 42.86% analyst buy ratings and modest 11% TTM profit growth, risk-reward is unfavorable for fresh entry at current levels.
- Exceptional return on equity of 92% over 3 years demonstrates superior capital efficiency and brand moat
- Consistent compounded sales growth of 11% over 10 years reflects durable demand for FMCG portfolio
- Company is virtually debt-free, providing financial flexibility and resilience during economic downturns
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 74.3% signals shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy
- TTM sales growth of 15% shows acceleration from the 5-year CAGR of 12%, indicating improving demand trends
- 10-year stock CAGR of 16% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record for patient investors
- Compounded profit growth of 15% over 10 years outpaces sales growth, reflecting margin expansion and operating leverage
- Market cap of Rs 2,70,350 crore provides institutional liquidity and index inclusion benefits
- PE ratio of 77.2x is excessively stretched even for a quality FMCG name, leaving no margin of safety
- Price-to-book of 52.4x implies the market is paying an extreme premium over tangible asset value
- 20% of analysts recommend selling the stock, with only 42.86% giving buy ratings — a lukewarm consensus
- 5-year sales CAGR of only 11.6% is modest for a stock commanding a 77x earnings multiple
- TTM profit growth of 11% has decelerated compared to the 3-year CAGR of 13%, suggesting margin pressure
- Dividend yield of just 0.86% offers minimal income support despite the high payout ratio
- 1-year stock return of 20% has front-loaded gains, compressing forward return expectations at current valuations
- ROE declined from 98% (5-year) to 73% (last year), indicating possible normalization of return profile
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- FSSAI notice on Maggi safety Jun 12
FSSAI issued notice to Nestle India over alleged insect infestation in Maggi noodles; stock fell 3.29% to ₹1,375.70. Base case revenue impact estimated at ₹800-1,200 crores if concerns persist, with Maggi contributing ~30% of company revenue.
- Elevated input cost pressure Jun 8
ICICI Direct flagged input cost volatility may pressure margins in H1 FY27, with EBITDA margins already at multi-year lows of 21.7-21.9% due to elevated edible oil and milk prices.
- Premium valuation limits upside Jun 10
Stock trades at ~80x P/E, which Goldman Sachs notes fully prices in quality and growth prospects, leaving little room for error or unforeseen headwinds.
- Royalty outflow rises 14% to ₹1,024cr Jun 5
Nestle India paid ₹1,024.5 crore in royalty fees to parent Nestle S.A. in FY26, up 13.91% YoY, representing 4.5% of net sales that directly reduces profitability.
- Exceptional Q4 FY26 results Jun 10
Revenue grew 22.6% YoY to ₹6,748 crore, EBITDA at ₹1,772 crore with margins expanding to 26.3% vs 24.2% expected, and net profit of ₹1,114 crore significantly beat estimates of ₹926 crore.
- Strong volume-led growth in FY26 Jun 5
Total FY26 sales reached ₹23,071.5 crore with double-digit volume-led growth; chocolates grew 33% YoY aided by GST cut from 18% to 5%, and rural distribution expanded to 216,000 villages.
- Goldman Sachs raises target to ₹1,450 Jun 10
Goldman maintained Neutral rating but raised target from ₹1,425 to ₹1,450 citing improved free cash flow, peak capex cycle with FY26 capex falling to ₹8.2 billion from cumulative ₹39 billion in FY24-25, and inventory days reduced from 52 to 41.
- Four-pronged growth strategy outlined Jun 8
Management detailed strategy focused on consumer centricity, out-of-home expansion via 1,000 kiosks, rural penetration across 216,000 villages, and highest-ever operational cost savings reinvested into brand-building.
- 67th AGM set for July 3 May 27
Nestle India will hold AGM on July 3, 2026 via video conferencing with record date of July 10 for final dividend of ₹5.00 per share.
- FY26 BRSR sustainability report Jun 5
Company reported 68% sustainable sourcing, 100% plastic neutrality, reasonable assurance for BRSR Core indicators, and zero data breaches in FY26.
- Investor conference participation May 27
Nestle India attended Bank of America and Citi India conferences in Mumbai on June 2-3, 2026 with no unpublished price-sensitive information shared.
TL;DR: Nestle India delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with 22.6% revenue growth and margin expansion, backed by robust volume growth and rural expansion to 216,000 villages. The key near-term risk is the FSSAI notice on Maggi food safety allegations, which echoes the damaging 2015 crisis though the company has strong scientific evidence and no confirmed violations. Margins face pressure from elevated input costs in H1 FY27 while the stock's ~80x P/E offers limited margin of safety. The trajectory depends on swift regulatory resolution of the Maggi issue and commodity cost stabilization in H2 FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,831 | 4,659 | 5,037 | 4,600 | 5,268 | 4,814 | 5,104 | 4,780 | 5,504 | 5,096 | 5,644 | 5,667 | 6,748 |
| Expenses | 3,735 | 3,603 | 3,812 | 3,505 | 3,918 | 3,700 | 3,936 | 3,677 | 4,116 | 3,996 | 4,407 | 4,466 | 4,976 |
| Operating Profit | 1,095 | 1,056 | 1,225 | 1,095 | 1,350 | 1,114 | 1,168 | 1,103 | 1,388 | 1,100 | 1,237 | 1,201 | 1,772 |
| OPM % | 23% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 26% |
| Other Income | 34 | 24 | 140 | -77 | 37 | 39 | 298 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 170 | -18 |
| Interest | 37 | 33 | 31 | 23 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 47 | 46 | 28 | 37 |
| Depreciation | 102 | 107 | 111 | 109 | 110 | 113 | 122 | 150 | 155 | 157 | 163 | 174 | 205 |
| PBT | 990 | 939 | 1,222 | 886 | 1,251 | 1,009 | 1,312 | 922 | 1,205 | 900 | 1,029 | 1,168 | 1,513 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 737 | 698 | 908 | 656 | 934 | 747 | 986 | 696 | 885 | 659 | 753 | 1,018 | 1,114 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.82 | 3.62 | 4.71 | 3.4 | 4.84 | 3.87 | 5.12 | 3.61 | 4.59 | 3.42 | 3.91 | 5.28 | 5.78 |
Profit & Loss
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2016 | Dec 2017 | Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | Dec 2020 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 15m | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,175 | 9,141 | 10,010 | 11,292 | 12,369 | 13,350 | 14,741 | 16,897 | 19,126 | 24,394 | 20,202 | 23,155 |
| Expenses | 6,620 | 7,292 | 7,913 | 8,675 | 9,443 | 10,149 | 11,178 | 13,191 | 14,655 | 18,551 | 15,430 | 17,848 |
| Operating Profit | 1,555 | 1,850 | 2,097 | 2,618 | 2,926 | 3,202 | 3,562 | 3,706 | 4,471 | 5,843 | 4,771 | 5,307 |
| OPM % | 19% | 20% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 23% |
| Other Income | -391 | 140 | 177 | 259 | 247 | 146 | -112 | 107 | 116 | 159 | 352 | 160 |
| Interest | 3 | 91 | 92 | 112 | 129 | 164 | 202 | 155 | 119 | 145 | 136 | 158 |
| Depreciation | 347 | 354 | 342 | 336 | 370 | 370 | 391 | 403 | 429 | 568 | 540 | 699 |
| PBT | 814 | 1,545 | 1,839 | 2,429 | 2,673 | 2,813 | 2,857 | 3,256 | 4,038 | 5,289 | 4,447 | 4,610 |
| Tax % | 31% | 35% | 33% | 34% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% |
| Net Profit | 563 | 1,001 | 1,225 | 1,607 | 1,968 | 2,082 | 2,118 | 2,391 | 2,999 | 3,933 | 3,314 | 3,545 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.92 | 5.19 | 6.35 | 8.33 | 10.21 | 10.8 | 10.99 | 12.4 | 15.55 | 20.4 | 17.19 | 18.38 |
| Div. Payout % | 83% | 61% | 68% | 69% | 168% | 93% | 91% | 89% | 56% | 79% | 79% | 65% |
Balance Sheet
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2016 | Dec 2017 | Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | Dec 2020 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 193 |
| Reserves | 2,721 | 3,186 | 3,324 | 3,577 | 1,822 | 1,923 | 1,850 | 2,363 | 2,363 | 3,244 | 4,021 | 5,116 |
| Borrowings | 18 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 189 | 147 | 266 | 271 | 271 | 345 | 1,167 | 444 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,251 | 3,495 | 3,907 | 4,379 | 5,065 | 5,733 | 6,021 | 6,249 | 6,249 | 6,838 | 7,040 | 7,604 |
| Total Liabilities | 6,086 | 6,810 | 7,363 | 8,088 | 7,173 | 7,900 | 8,234 | 8,979 | 8,979 | 10,523 | 12,324 | 13,357 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,898 | 2,730 | 2,616 | 2,401 | 2,341 | 2,179 | 2,995 | 3,044 | 3,044 | 3,460 | 5,474 | 6,290 |
| CWIP | 231 | 188 | 94 | 105 | 143 | 639 | 246 | 358 | 358 | 1,742 | 1,173 | 507 |
| Investments | 1,325 | 1,756 | 1,979 | 2,658 | 1,751 | 1,464 | 774 | 778 | 778 | 464 | 706 | 706 |
| Other Assets | 1,633 | 2,136 | 2,673 | 2,924 | 2,937 | 3,618 | 4,219 | 4,799 | 4,799 | 4,857 | 4,972 | 5,854 |
| Total Assets | 6,086 | 6,810 | 7,363 | 8,088 | 7,173 | 7,900 | 8,234 | 8,979 | 8,979 | 10,523 | 12,324 | 13,357 |
Cash Flow
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2016 | Dec 2017 | Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | Dec 2020 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,098 | 1,466 | 1,818 | 2,052 | 2,295 | 2,454 | 2,236 | 2,737 | 3,392 | 4,175 | 2,935 | 5,048 |
| Investing | -70 | -126 | -131 | -52 | 83 | -321 | -1,920 | -392 | -927 | -1,237 | -1,811 | -624 |
| Financing | -498 | -666 | -997 | -1,317 | -3,602 | -1,956 | -2,020 | -2,123 | -2,436 | -3,135 | -1,846 | -3,179 |
| Net Cash Flow | 529 | 674 | 691 | 683 | -1,223 | 177 | -1,704 | 223 | 29 | -198 | -723 | 1,244 |
| Free Cash Flow | 949 | 1,353 | 1,622 | 1,890 | 2,143 | 1,980 | 1,505 | 2,197 | 2,028 | 2,296 | 930 | 4,221 |
| CFO/OP | 93 | 106 | 116 | 112 | 101 | 99 | 83 | 97 | 100 | 94 | 82 | 115 |
Ratios
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2016 | Dec 2017 | Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | Dec 2020 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Inventory Days | 103 | 107 | 91 | 92 | 107 | 107 | 111 | 110 | 83 | 83 | 139 | 105 |
| Days Payable | 94 | 91 | 99 | 118 | 124 | 115 | 122 | 121 | 92 | 112 | 128 | 129 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 12 | 20 | -5 | -22 | -14 | -3 | -7 | -7 | -5 | -24 | 18 | -19 |
| Working Capital Days | -21 | -10 | -15 | -21 | -20 | -22 | -20 | -16 | -10 | -19 | -19 | -24 |
| ROCE % | 46% | 54% | 57% | 71% | 96% | 139% | 150% | 138% | 153% | 169% | 96% | 84% |
Documents
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Company Information
Nestle India Limited is a subsidiary of Nestle which is a Swiss MNC. The company operates in the Food segment.