NCC Ltd
NCC Ltd
IndustrialsIncorporated in 1978, NCC Limited undertakes turnkey EPC contracts and BOT projects on Public-Private Partnership basis[1]
NCC Ltd trades at an undemanding PE of 13.2x with 73% analyst buy ratings, but recent TTM sales decline of -6% and profit decline of -12% signal near-term headwinds. The stock's -36% one-year correction makes valuation attractive for patient investors, though low promoter holding at 22.8% and subdued ROE of ~10.6% limit conviction.
Key Fundamentals
MicrocapCivil ConstructionConstructionTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 18.9%
Weaknesses
3- Promoter holding is low: 22.8%
- Company has a low return on equity of 10.6% over last 3 years.
- Company's cost of borrowing seems high
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NCC Ltd trades at an undemanding PE of 13.2x with 73% analyst buy ratings, but recent TTM sales decline of -6% and profit decline of -12% signal near-term headwinds. The stock's -36% one-year correction makes valuation attractive for patient investors, though low promoter holding at 22.8% and subdued ROE of ~10.6% limit conviction.
- Attractive valuation at PE of 13.2x and PB of 1.21x, well below infrastructure sector averages, offering margin of safety
- Strong analyst consensus with 72.73% buy ratings (8 out of 11 analysts recommend buy)
- Healthy 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 21% demonstrates proven ability to scale order book execution
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 22% shows operating leverage potential when revenue growth returns
- Dividend yield of 1.45% with consistent 18.9% payout ratio provides downside support
- Stock corrected -36% in one year while 5-year CAGR remains 13%, suggesting mean-reversion opportunity
- Market cap of Rs 9,585 Cr positions NCC as a mid-cap infra play with re-rating potential in capex upcycle
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 18% demonstrates long-term earnings compounding ability
- TTM sales growth turned negative at -6%, indicating order execution slowdown or project delays
- TTM profit declined -12%, showing margin compression alongside revenue weakness
- Promoter holding critically low at 22.8%, raising governance concerns and vulnerability to hostile actions
- 3-year ROE of only 10.6% is subpar for a capital-intensive business with high borrowing costs
- High cost of borrowing erodes margins in a sector already operating on thin net margins
- Stock down -36% in one year signals institutional selling and deteriorating market confidence
- 3-year profit CAGR of only 6% versus 10% sales CAGR implies margin dilution in recent periods
- Last year ROE dropped to 9% from 3-year average of 11%, showing declining capital efficiency
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Modest standalone net profit FY26 May 15
NCC reported standalone net profit of ₹576.76 Crore on consolidated turnover of ₹20944.40 Crore for FY2025-26, suggesting thin margins for an infrastructure company of this scale.
- Rs.1837 Crore orders in May May 31
NCC secured new orders worth Rs.1837.01 Crore in May 2026, with the Water Division contributing the largest share, indicating healthy order inflow momentum.
- Clean compliance report FY26 May 18
NCC filed its Annual Secretarial Compliance Report for FY2025-26 under SEBI LODR with zero deviations or non-compliances reported.
- ₹2.20 per share dividend declared May 15
The board recommended a dividend of ₹2.20 per share for FY2025-26, signaling confidence in cash flow generation.
- Share dematerialization window opened May 25
NCC opened a special window for transfer and dematerialization of physical securities until February 4, 2027, available to investors who purchased shares before April 1, 2019.
- Zero promoter share encumbrance May 9
Promoters confirmed no encumbrance on their 22.81% holding as on March 31, 2026, indicating no pledging risk.
- Q4FY26 analyst call scheduled May 9
NCC scheduled analyst/investor conference call for May 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM IST to discuss audited Q4 and full-year FY26 results.
TL;DR: NCC continues to win meaningful orders (Rs.1837 Crore in May alone) and maintains clean governance with zero compliance deviations and no promoter pledging. The key concern is margin compression implied by modest net profit relative to ₹20944 Crore turnover. Order inflow trend remains healthy, but investors should watch margin trajectory in upcoming quarters to confirm whether execution quality is translating into bottom-line growth.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,949 | 4,380 | 4,720 | 5,260 | 6,485 | 5,528 | 5,196 | 5,345 | 6,131 | 5,179 | 4,543 | 4,868 | 6,233 |
| Expenses | 4,484 | 3,971 | 4,416 | 4,755 | 5,934 | 5,050 | 4,753 | 4,904 | 5,576 | 4,723 | 4,150 | 4,432 | 5,682 |
| Operating Profit | 465 | 409 | 304 | 505 | 551 | 478 | 443 | 441 | 555 | 456 | 393 | 436 | 550 |
| OPM % | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Other Income | 24 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 48 | 58 | 31 | 44 | 0 | 21 |
| Interest | 143 | 132 | 153 | 156 | 153 | 155 | 167 | 166 | 193 | 164 | 172 | 196 | 213 |
| Depreciation | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 52 | 54 | 55 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 57 | 59 | 65 |
| PBT | 293 | 252 | 125 | 325 | 358 | 300 | 250 | 270 | 367 | 268 | 209 | 182 | 294 |
| Tax % | 31% | 27% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 30% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 20% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 203 | 184 | 86 | 231 | 239 | 223 | 175 | 206 | 265 | 205 | 167 | 135 | 217 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.04 | 2.76 | 1.23 | 3.51 | 3.81 | 3.34 | 2.6 | 3.08 | 4.04 | 3.06 | 2.46 | 1.95 | 3.28 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 9,513 | 9,527 | 9,001 | 8,391 | 12,896 | 8,901 | 7,949 | 11,138 | 15,553 | 20,845 | 22,199 | 20,823 |
| Expenses | 8,513 | 8,540 | 8,326 | 7,518 | 11,303 | 7,824 | 7,030 | 10,110 | 14,094 | 19,076 | 20,281 | 18,987 |
| Operating Profit | 1,000 | 987 | 675 | 873 | 1,592 | 1,077 | 919 | 1,028 | 1,459 | 1,769 | 1,918 | 1,836 |
| OPM % | 11% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Other Income | 127 | 71 | 87 | -23 | 17 | 63 | 105 | 272 | 144 | 99 | 165 | 96 |
| Interest | 737 | 643 | 513 | 460 | 522 | 554 | 480 | 478 | 515 | 595 | 680 | 745 |
| Depreciation | 277 | 248 | 203 | 172 | 193 | 199 | 181 | 187 | 203 | 212 | 216 | 235 |
| PBT | 113 | 167 | 46 | 219 | 894 | 387 | 363 | 635 | 885 | 1,061 | 1,187 | 952 |
| Tax % | 45% | 51% | 82% | 37% | 37% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 48 | 82 | 8 | 139 | 568 | 314 | 283 | 494 | 646 | 740 | 868 | 724 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.97 | 2.17 | 0.57 | 2.81 | 9.63 | 5.52 | 4.4 | 7.91 | 9.7 | 11.32 | 13.06 | 10.76 |
| Div. Payout % | 41% | 28% | 70% | 36% | 16% | 4% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 111 | 111 | 111 | 120 | 120 | 122 | 122 | 122 | 126 | 126 | 126 | 126 |
| Reserves | 3,291 | 3,281 | 3,336 | 3,962 | 4,475 | 4,784 | 5,049 | 5,481 | 6,041 | 6,514 | 7,198 | 7,743 |
| Borrowings | 3,390 | 3,208 | 2,572 | 2,061 | 2,691 | 2,181 | 2,062 | 1,302 | 974 | 980 | 1,594 | 3,457 |
| Other Liabilities | 5,753 | 5,721 | 5,090 | 6,265 | 7,374 | 6,724 | 6,307 | 7,553 | 9,409 | 10,475 | 12,083 | 14,680 |
| Total Liabilities | 12,545 | 12,321 | 11,109 | 12,408 | 14,660 | 13,812 | 13,540 | 14,458 | 16,550 | 18,095 | 21,000 | 26,006 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,446 | 1,674 | 1,099 | 1,158 | 1,551 | 1,413 | 1,417 | 1,443 | 1,503 | 1,565 | 1,650 | 2,056 |
| CWIP | 11 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 22 | 41 | 37 | 351 |
| Investments | 1,133 | 1,128 | 729 | 619 | 475 | 448 | 440 | 346 | 352 | 155 | 148 | 153 |
| Other Assets | 8,955 | 9,510 | 9,281 | 10,608 | 12,621 | 11,935 | 11,661 | 12,662 | 14,673 | 16,334 | 19,165 | 23,446 |
| Total Assets | 12,545 | 12,321 | 11,109 | 12,408 | 14,660 | 13,812 | 13,540 | 14,458 | 16,550 | 18,095 | 21,000 | 26,006 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 867 | 395 | 314 | 586 | 673 | 931 | 842 | 1,416 | 1,100 | 1,359 | 742 | -459 |
| Investing | -95 | 193 | 376 | -188 | -619 | 11 | -207 | -66 | -192 | -319 | -59 | -766 |
| Financing | -643 | -551 | -818 | -453 | 89 | -1,047 | -558 | -1,275 | -893 | -771 | -247 | 878 |
| Net Cash Flow | 129 | 37 | -129 | -56 | 143 | -105 | 77 | 75 | 16 | 270 | 436 | -346 |
| Free Cash Flow | 756 | 120 | 162 | 314 | 234 | 879 | 702 | 1,248 | 877 | 1,109 | 477 | -1,401 |
| CFO/OP | 91 | 50 | 53 | 82 | 57 | 100 | 94 | 156 | 96 | 98 | 45 | -7 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 64 | 141 | 167 | 216 | 97 | 112 | 126 | 83 | 75 | 55 | 55 | 66 |
| Inventory Days | 218 | 265 | 290 | 338 | 103 | 166 | 180 | 117 | 102 | 87 | 85 | 102 |
| Days Payable | 175 | 301 | 335 | 428 | 328 | 491 | 565 | 447 | 393 | 325 | 384 | 329 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 107 | 105 | 122 | 126 | -127 | -213 | -258 | -246 | -217 | -184 | -244 | -161 |
| Working Capital Days | 29 | 41 | 68 | 91 | 121 | 90 | 107 | 81 | 62 | 45 | 48 | 81 |
| ROCE % | 12% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 17% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1978, NCC Limited undertakes turnkey EPC contracts and BOT projects on Public-Private Partnership basis[1]