Lupin Ltd
Lupin Ltd
Healthcare F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapPharmaceuticalsHealthcareInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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49 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY00–FY26.
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has delivered good profit growth of 37.0% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.1%
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 46.4 days to 28.0 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Lupin Ltd is a ₹1.10 lakh crore mid-large-cap pharmaceutical company trading at a PE of 20.6x with TTM sales growth of 23% and TTM profit growth of 76%. The company has delivered a 5-year profit CAGR of 37% and improved its ROE from 13% (5-year average) to 29% last year, though valuation at 4.92x book reflects substantial re-rating from its earlier underperformance cycle.
- TTM revenue growth of 23% significantly outpaces the Indian pharma sector average, with FY25 consolidated revenue reaching ~₹22,708 crore (13.5% YoY growth)
- TTM profit growth of 76% demonstrates strong operating leverage and margin expansion, with FY25 EBITDA margin improving to ~24%
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 37% reflects a sustained earnings recovery cycle from the regulatory setbacks of 2018-2021
- ROE has improved sharply from a 5-year average of 13% to 29% in the last year, indicating efficient capital deployment
- Working capital days reduced from 46.4 to 28.0 days, freeing up cash and improving return ratios
- PE of 20.6x is below peers like Sun Pharma (~36x) and in line with Dr. Reddy's (~23x), despite superior recent growth rates
- US business (36% of FY25 revenue) benefits from the company ranking 3rd by prescriptions in US generics, with a pipeline tilted toward complex generics
- Company achieved net-cash-positive balance sheet status, with net debt-equity turning negative, reducing financial risk
- Stock has already re-rated 31% CAGR over 3 years, with much of the earnings recovery potentially priced in at 4.92x price-to-book
- 10-year profit CAGR of only 10% and 10-year stock CAGR of only 4% reveal a long history of inconsistent execution prior to the current upcycle
- US generics market faces structural price erosion, with the overall market projected to grow at only 3.6% CAGR through 2033, limiting pricing power
- Dividend yield of just 0.75% (17.1% payout ratio) offers limited income cushion in a correction, especially relative to the sector average
- Q4 FY24 showed sequential revenue decline of 4.55% and profit decline of 41.38% QoQ, indicating potential quarter-to-quarter lumpiness
- Geographic concentration risk with US (36%) and India (34%) contributing 70% of revenue, both subject to regulatory and pricing pressure
- Pharma sector faces ongoing risks from intellectual property challenges, government pricing controls, and FDA compliance requirements that have historically impacted Lupin
- At a market cap of ₹1.10 lakh crore, maintaining 23% revenue growth becomes progressively harder on a larger base, with FY25 standalone growth already moderating to 13.5%
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- US competition from Mirabegron, Tolvaptan Aug 10
Increased competition from Mirabegron and Tolvaptan generics expected to partially offset US growth drivers, pressuring the $1.1B–$1.2B US revenue forecast.
- US growth delayed until FY28 Aug 10
Lupin's US business anticipated to return to growth only starting FY28, implying near-term headwinds in its largest international market.
- Q1 FY27 sales surge 33% Aug 6
Lupin reported Q1 FY27 consolidated revenue of ₹82,172–82,769 Mn (up 32–33% YoY) with net profit rising 16–27% YoY to ₹14,170–27,146 Mn, driven by strong US and emerging market performance.
- Sugammadex launched in US Jul 30
Lupin launched Sugammadex Injection in the US, competing with Merck's Bridion in the neuromuscular blockade reversal segment.
- ₹18 dividend, Deloitte appointed Aug 4
Shareholders approved ₹18 final dividend and reappointed MD Nilesh Gupta at the 44th AGM on August 4, 2026.
- Kaveri Therapeutics oncology acquisition Jul 21
Lupin Inc. acquired 82.2% stake in Kaveri Therapeutics for USD 1.6 million, gaining exclusive license to two oncology programs.
- 25% EBITDA margin guidance Aug 10
Management guided high single-digit revenue growth with ~25% EBITDA margins for the current year, supported by injectables and Pegfilgrastim launches.
- FDA approval for Pitolisant Tablets Aug 17
Lupin received final US FDA approval for generic Pitolisant Tablets (4.45 mg and 17.8 mg), bioequivalent to Wakix®, strengthening its CNS pipeline.
- FDA approval Sodium Zirconium Cyclosilicate Aug 10
Lupin secured US FDA approval for Sodium Zirconium Cyclosilicate Oral Suspension, expanding its US portfolio.
- FDA approval for Diazepam Injection Jul 31
Lupin received US FDA approval for Diazepam Injection USP, reinforcing its presence in the US injectables segment.
- ₹29 Cr block trade on NSE Aug 5
A block trade of ~1.22 lakh shares at ₹2,388.30/share (₹29.03 Cr) was executed on NSE, indicating institutional-level activity.
TL;DR: Lupin delivered a strong Q1 FY27 with 33% revenue growth and healthy profitability, supported by multiple US FDA approvals and new launches like Sugammadex. Management guides ~25% EBITDA margins and $1.1–1.2B US revenue, though increased generic competition from Mirabegron/Tolvaptan is a near-term drag. The US business is expected to return to growth only by FY28, with biosimilars and 505(B)(2) products as key catalysts. Overall trend is positive with a robust pipeline, but execution in the US market bears watching.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,814 | 5,039 | 5,197 | 4,961 | 5,600 | 5,673 | 5,768 | 5,667 | 6,268 | 7,048 | 7,168 | 7,475 | 8,277 |
| Expenses | 3,958 | 4,121 | 4,159 | 3,964 | 4,359 | 4,332 | 4,412 | 4,346 | 4,541 | 4,706 | 4,906 | 4,989 | 5,827 |
| Operating Profit | 856 | 918 | 1,038 | 997 | 1,241 | 1,340 | 1,356 | 1,321 | 1,727 | 2,341 | 2,262 | 2,486 | 2,450 |
| OPM % | 18% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Other Income | 23 | 40 | 29 | 29 | 68 | 42 | 54 | 57 | 79 | 90 | -312 | 9 | 130 |
| Interest | 86 | 81 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 71 | 67 | 89 | 92 | 108 | 115 | 120 | 110 |
| Depreciation | 235 | 248 | 257 | 457 | 248 | 257 | 271 | 393 | 299 | 317 | 313 | 447 | 453 |
| PBT | 559 | 630 | 736 | 498 | 993 | 1,055 | 1,071 | 896 | 1,416 | 2,007 | 1,522 | 1,928 | 2,017 |
| Tax % | 19% | 21% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 30% |
| Net Profit | 453 | 495 | 619 | 368 | 806 | 859 | 859 | 782 | 1,221 | 1,485 | 1,181 | 1,469 | 1,417 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.94 | 10.76 | 13.47 | 7.89 | 17.58 | 18.69 | 18.74 | 16.92 | 26.69 | 32.36 | 25.73 | 31.94 | 30.95 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 12,770 | 14,256 | 17,367 | 15,797 | 14,665 | 15,375 | 15,163 | 16,405 | 16,642 | 20,011 | 22,708 | 27,958 | 29,967 |
| Expenses | 9,146 | 10,564 | 12,865 | 12,649 | 12,104 | 13,020 | 12,596 | 16,187 | 14,921 | 16,211 | 17,430 | 19,798 | 20,428 |
| Operating Profit | 3,624 | 3,691 | 4,502 | 3,148 | 2,561 | 2,355 | 2,567 | 219 | 1,721 | 3,800 | 5,278 | 8,160 | 9,538 |
| OPM % | 28% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 1.3% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 32% |
| Other Income | 235 | 184 | 106 | -1,310 | 91 | -134 | 138 | 210 | 151 | 131 | 202 | 523 | -82 |
| Interest | 10 | 59 | 153 | 204 | 302 | 363 | 141 | 143 | 274 | 312 | 295 | 434 | 452 |
| Depreciation | 435 | 487 | 912 | 1,086 | 846 | 970 | 887 | 1,659 | 881 | 1,197 | 1,169 | 1,376 | 1,529 |
| PBT | 3,415 | 3,329 | 3,543 | 547 | 1,503 | 887 | 1,676 | -1,372 | 716 | 2,422 | 4,015 | 6,873 | 7,474 |
| Tax % | 28% | 32% | 28% | 53% | 59% | 130% | 27% | 10% | 38% | 20% | 18% | 22% | — |
| Net Profit | 2,444 | 2,270 | 2,565 | 258 | 615 | -270 | 1,228 | -1,528 | 448 | 1,936 | 3,306 | 5,355 | 5,551 |
| EPS in Rs | 53.47 | 50.17 | 56.63 | 5.56 | 13.4 | -5.95 | 26.81 | -33.62 | 9.45 | 42.01 | 71.88 | 117 | 121 |
| Div. Payout % | 14% | 15% | 13% | 90% | 37% | -101% | 24% | -12% | 42% | 19% | 17% | 15% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 |
| Reserves | 8,784 | 11,073 | 13,407 | 13,487 | 13,652 | 12,446 | 13,712 | 12,062 | 12,374 | 14,199 | 17,112 | 22,357 |
| Borrowings | 537 | 7,178 | 7,966 | 7,143 | 8,496 | 6,305 | 4,783 | 4,158 | 4,542 | 2,922 | 5,448 | 6,616 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,642 | 3,957 | 4,749 | 5,300 | 5,423 | 5,968 | 4,844 | 5,340 | 5,794 | 6,539 | 6,327 | 9,082 |
| Total Liabilities | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,368 | 8,717 | 11,033 | 10,362 | 11,087 | 7,938 | 7,881 | 7,382 | 8,355 | 8,878 | 9,719 | 10,994 |
| CWIP | 576 | 2,702 | 2,133 | 2,598 | 1,640 | 940 | 1,066 | 1,146 | 1,238 | 773 | 517 | 1,016 |
| Investments | 1,658 | 16 | 2,136 | 262 | 2,295 | 2,374 | 2,455 | 900 | 517 | 1,075 | 1,146 | 3,670 |
| Other Assets | 6,451 | 10,862 | 10,910 | 12,798 | 12,639 | 13,557 | 12,028 | 12,224 | 12,690 | 13,026 | 17,596 | 22,466 |
| Total Assets | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 2,733 | -382 | 4,114 | 1,751 | 1,666 | 1,469 | 1,822 | 367 | 1,897 | 3,648 | 3,000 | 7,334 |
| Investing | -1,034 | -6,769 | -2,527 | 470 | -3,282 | 1,107 | -1,240 | 1,292 | -1,287 | -1,712 | -4,172 | -3,865 |
| Financing | -197 | 5,836 | 433 | -1,492 | 744 | -891 | -1,885 | -1,572 | -337 | -2,184 | 1,732 | -846 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1,502 | -1,315 | 2,019 | 729 | -872 | 1,685 | -1,303 | 87 | 273 | -248 | 560 | 2,624 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,865 | -6,164 | 1,513 | 261 | 706 | 798 | 1,150 | -531 | 436 | 2,732 | 1,347 | 5,527 |
| CFO/OP | 101 | 21 | 117 | 73 | 102 | 84 | 99 | 146 | 124 | 105 | 74 | 105 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 76 | 116 | 91 | 120 | 128 | 129 | 108 | 95 | 98 | 86 | 88 | 86 |
| Inventory Days | 220 | 276 | 266 | 253 | 283 | 232 | 279 | 261 | 242 | 272 | 292 | 303 |
| Days Payable | 172 | 168 | 189 | 178 | 184 | 162 | 137 | 129 | 136 | 163 | 158 | 208 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 124 | 225 | 167 | 195 | 227 | 199 | 249 | 227 | 204 | 195 | 223 | 181 |
| Working Capital Days | 56 | 102 | 63 | 126 | 115 | 33 | 34 | 45 | 32 | 53 | 58 | 28 |
| ROCE % | 40% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | -7% | 6% | 16% | 21% | 30% |
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Company Information
Lupin is an innovation-led transnational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Mumbai. Lupin develops and commercializes a wide range of branded and generic formulations, biotechnology products, and APIs in over 100 markets in the U.S., India, South Africa, and across the Asia Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Europe, and Middle East regions.