Lupin
Lupin
Healthcare F&OKey Fundamentals
MidcapPharmaceuticalsHealthcareTapetide Score
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Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has delivered good profit growth of 37.0% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.1%
- Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 46.4 days to 28.0 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Lupin Ltd has a market capitalisation of about ₹95,447 crore. Its earnings have recovered sharply: profit grew at a 140% CAGR over 3 years, TTM profit growth is 61%, and TTM sales growth is 28%. Last-year ROE was 29%. The stock trades at 17.3x earnings and 4.27x book value. Over the longer run the record is weaker, with 10-year sales CAGR of 7%, profit CAGR of 10%, stock CAGR of 3%, and average ROE of 10%, so the key question is whether the current profitability can last.
- Profit has compounded at 37% CAGR over 5 years and 140% CAGR over 3 years, which reflects a strong earnings recovery from a low base.
- Momentum continues in the latest period, with TTM sales growth of 28% and TTM profit growth of 61%. That points to operating leverage as revenue scales.
- ROE has risen to 29% last year from a 10-year average of 10% and a 5-year average of 13%. This suggests a large improvement in capital efficiency.
- Working capital days have fallen from 46.4 to 28.0. This frees up cash and points to better receivables and inventory management.
- A P/E of 17.3 is modest compared with TTM profit growth of 61% and 3-year sales CAGR of 19%, so the valuation does not appear to fully price in recent growth.
- Sales growth has sped up from a 10-year CAGR of 7% to a 5-year CAGR of 13% and a 3-year CAGR of 19%, which suggests a structural shift in the growth trajectory.
- The company keeps a dividend payout of 17.1%, returning cash to shareholders while keeping most earnings for reinvestment.
- The stock has delivered a 23% CAGR over 3 years and 17% over 5 years, broadly in line with the improvement in fundamentals.
- The 10-year record is weak: sales CAGR of 7%, profit CAGR of 10%, and stock CAGR of only 3%. This suggests the business has been cyclical over the long run and has not compounded consistently.
- The 3-year profit CAGR of 140% comes off a depressed base. Growth rates like this are unlikely to continue and may overstate the underlying trend.
- Last-year ROE of 29% is well above the 10-year average of 10%. It could fall back if US generic pricing or product-specific opportunities fade.
- At a P/B of 4.27, the stock prices in continued high returns. If ROE falls back toward the 13% 5-year average, this multiple would be hard to justify.
- Stock returns have slowed to 9% over 1 year from a 23% CAGR over 3 years. This may mean much of the earnings recovery is already priced in.
- The dividend yield is low at 0.86%, so income investors get little cushion if earnings growth slows.
- Much of the 28% TTM sales growth depends on regulated export markets. There, FDA inspection outcomes and generic price erosion can quickly reverse gains, as the weak 10-year profit CAGR of 10% shows.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Tentative FDA nod: Apixaban suspension Sep 28
Lupin received tentative U.S. FDA approval for its novel Apixaban Oral Suspension, a liquid option for patients who cannot swallow tablets. A tentative approval means the product cannot launch commercially yet, so the revenue benefit comes later.
- US FDA approval for Modafinil Sep 7
Lupin received US FDA approval for Modafinil Tablets, a wakefulness-promoting agent used for narcolepsy, which adds to its US portfolio. Modafinil is a mature generic molecule, so the revenue impact is likely to be small.
- Philippines arm now wholly owned Oct 1
Multicare Pharmaceuticals Philippines completed a buyback of 30,559 shares and became a wholly owned subsidiary of Nanomi B.V. effective October 1, 2026, following an intimation dated July 1, 2026. This is a structural consolidation disclosed under SEBI LODR Regulation 30.
- Kotak, J.P. Morgan investor meets Sep 8
Lupin attended the Kotak Healthcare Conference on September 17, 2026 and a J.P. Morgan India Conference group meet on September 21, both in person with analysts and institutional investors. Presentations used only material already published on exchange websites, so no new disclosures were expected.
TL;DR: Lupin's recent news flow is steady and slightly positive. It received two US FDA approvals in September, including a tentative nod for a differentiated Apixaban oral suspension, and no negative developments were reported. The main limits are that the Apixaban approval is only tentative, so revenue depends on future final approval and launch timing, and that Modafinil is a crowded generic market with a small expected contribution. The trend looks stable to improving, and the next things to watch are a final Apixaban approval and growth in US generics in upcoming quarterly results.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,814 | 5,039 | 5,197 | 4,961 | 5,600 | 5,673 | 5,768 | 5,667 | 6,268 | 7,048 | 7,168 | 7,475 | 8,277 |
| Expenses | 3,958 | 4,121 | 4,159 | 3,964 | 4,359 | 4,332 | 4,412 | 4,346 | 4,541 | 4,706 | 4,906 | 4,989 | 5,827 |
| Operating Profit | 856 | 918 | 1,038 | 997 | 1,241 | 1,340 | 1,356 | 1,321 | 1,727 | 2,341 | 2,262 | 2,486 | 2,450 |
| OPM % | 18% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Other Income | 23 | 40 | 29 | 29 | 68 | 42 | 54 | 57 | 79 | 90 | -312 | 9 | 130 |
| Interest | 86 | 81 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 71 | 67 | 89 | 92 | 108 | 115 | 120 | 110 |
| Depreciation | 235 | 248 | 257 | 457 | 248 | 257 | 271 | 393 | 299 | 317 | 313 | 447 | 453 |
| PBT | 559 | 630 | 736 | 498 | 993 | 1,055 | 1,071 | 896 | 1,416 | 2,007 | 1,522 | 1,928 | 2,017 |
| Tax % | 19% | 21% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 30% |
| Net Profit | 453 | 495 | 619 | 368 | 806 | 859 | 859 | 782 | 1,221 | 1,485 | 1,181 | 1,469 | 1,417 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.94 | 10.76 | 13.47 | 7.89 | 17.58 | 18.69 | 18.74 | 16.92 | 26.69 | 32.36 | 25.73 | 31.94 | 30.95 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 12,770 | 14,256 | 17,367 | 15,797 | 14,665 | 15,375 | 15,163 | 16,405 | 16,642 | 20,011 | 22,708 | 27,958 | 29,967 |
| Expenses | 9,146 | 10,564 | 12,865 | 12,649 | 12,104 | 13,020 | 12,596 | 16,187 | 14,921 | 16,211 | 17,430 | 19,798 | 20,428 |
| Operating Profit | 3,624 | 3,691 | 4,502 | 3,148 | 2,561 | 2,355 | 2,567 | 219 | 1,721 | 3,800 | 5,278 | 8,160 | 9,538 |
| OPM % | 28% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 1.3% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 32% |
| Other Income | 235 | 184 | 106 | -1,310 | 91 | -134 | 138 | 210 | 151 | 131 | 202 | 523 | -82 |
| Interest | 10 | 59 | 153 | 204 | 302 | 363 | 141 | 143 | 274 | 312 | 295 | 434 | 452 |
| Depreciation | 435 | 487 | 912 | 1,086 | 846 | 970 | 887 | 1,659 | 881 | 1,197 | 1,169 | 1,376 | 1,529 |
| PBT | 3,415 | 3,329 | 3,543 | 547 | 1,503 | 887 | 1,676 | -1,372 | 716 | 2,422 | 4,015 | 6,873 | 7,474 |
| Tax % | 28% | 32% | 28% | 53% | 59% | 130% | 27% | 10% | 38% | 20% | 18% | 22% | — |
| Net Profit | 2,444 | 2,270 | 2,565 | 258 | 615 | -270 | 1,228 | -1,528 | 448 | 1,936 | 3,306 | 5,355 | 5,551 |
| EPS in Rs | 53.47 | 50.17 | 56.63 | 5.56 | 13.4 | -5.95 | 26.81 | -33.62 | 9.45 | 42.01 | 71.88 | 117 | 121 |
| Div. Payout % | 14% | 15% | 13% | 90% | 37% | -101% | 24% | -12% | 42% | 19% | 17% | 15% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 | 91 |
| Reserves | 8,784 | 11,073 | 13,407 | 13,487 | 13,652 | 12,446 | 13,712 | 12,062 | 12,374 | 14,199 | 17,112 | 22,357 |
| Borrowings | 537 | 7,178 | 7,966 | 7,143 | 8,496 | 6,305 | 4,783 | 4,158 | 4,542 | 2,922 | 5,448 | 6,616 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,642 | 3,957 | 4,749 | 5,300 | 5,423 | 5,968 | 4,844 | 5,340 | 5,794 | 6,539 | 6,327 | 9,082 |
| Total Liabilities | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
| Fixed Assets | 4,368 | 8,717 | 11,033 | 10,362 | 11,087 | 7,938 | 7,881 | 7,382 | 8,355 | 8,878 | 9,719 | 10,994 |
| CWIP | 576 | 2,702 | 2,133 | 2,598 | 1,640 | 940 | 1,066 | 1,146 | 1,238 | 773 | 517 | 1,016 |
| Investments | 1,658 | 16 | 2,136 | 262 | 2,295 | 2,374 | 2,455 | 900 | 517 | 1,075 | 1,146 | 3,670 |
| Other Assets | 6,451 | 10,862 | 10,910 | 12,798 | 12,639 | 13,557 | 12,028 | 12,224 | 12,690 | 13,026 | 17,596 | 22,466 |
| Total Assets | 13,054 | 22,298 | 26,212 | 26,020 | 27,661 | 24,810 | 23,430 | 21,651 | 22,800 | 23,751 | 28,978 | 38,146 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 2,733 | -382 | 4,114 | 1,751 | 1,666 | 1,469 | 1,822 | 367 | 1,897 | 3,648 | 3,000 | 7,334 |
| Investing | -1,034 | -6,769 | -2,527 | 470 | -3,282 | 1,107 | -1,240 | 1,292 | -1,287 | -1,712 | -4,172 | -3,865 |
| Financing | -197 | 5,836 | 433 | -1,492 | 744 | -891 | -1,885 | -1,572 | -337 | -2,184 | 1,732 | -846 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1,502 | -1,315 | 2,019 | 729 | -872 | 1,685 | -1,303 | 87 | 273 | -248 | 560 | 2,624 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,865 | -6,164 | 1,513 | 261 | 706 | 798 | 1,150 | -531 | 436 | 2,732 | 1,347 | 5,527 |
| CFO/OP | 101 | 21 | 117 | 73 | 102 | 84 | 99 | 146 | 124 | 105 | 74 | 105 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 76 | 116 | 91 | 120 | 128 | 129 | 108 | 95 | 98 | 86 | 88 | 86 |
| Inventory Days | 220 | 276 | 266 | 253 | 283 | 232 | 279 | 261 | 242 | 272 | 292 | 303 |
| Days Payable | 172 | 168 | 189 | 178 | 184 | 162 | 137 | 129 | 136 | 163 | 158 | 208 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 124 | 225 | 167 | 195 | 227 | 199 | 249 | 227 | 204 | 195 | 223 | 181 |
| Working Capital Days | 56 | 102 | 63 | 126 | 115 | 33 | 34 | 45 | 32 | 53 | 58 | 28 |
| ROCE % | 40% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | -7% | 6% | 16% | 21% | 30% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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Company Information
Lupin is an innovation-led transnational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Mumbai. Lupin develops and commercializes a wide range of branded and generic formulations, biotechnology products, and APIs in over 100 markets in the U.S., India, South Africa, and across the Asia Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Europe, and Middle East regions.
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