KEC International Ltd
KEC International Ltd
IndustrialsKEC International is a global infrastructure EPC major. It has presence in the verticals of Power Transmission and Distribution, Railways, Civil, Urban Infrastructure, Solar, Oil & Gas Pipelines, and Cables. It is the flagship Company of the RPG Group.[1]
KEC International enjoys strong analyst consensus with 82% buy ratings, consistent 11% sales CAGR over 10 years, and accelerating profit growth at 55% CAGR over 3 years. However, the sharp 40% stock decline in the past year and modest ROE of 10.9% warrant caution, making this a conviction buy only for patient investors with a 2-3 year horizon.
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapCivil ConstructionConstructionTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.5%
Weaknesses
1- Company has a low return on equity of 10.9% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
KEC International enjoys strong analyst consensus with 82% buy ratings, consistent 11% sales CAGR over 10 years, and accelerating profit growth at 55% CAGR over 3 years. However, the sharp 40% stock decline in the past year and modest ROE of 10.9% warrant caution, making this a conviction buy only for patient investors with a 2-3 year horizon.
- Overwhelming analyst consensus with 81.82% buy ratings (18 out of 22 analysts recommend buy)
- Compounded profit growth of 55% CAGR over 3 years indicates strong earnings momentum
- Consistent revenue compounder with 11% compounded sales CAGR over 10 years
- TTM profit growth of 15% shows continued earnings expansion in the most recent period
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 26.5% demonstrates shareholder-friendly capital allocation
- P/E of 23.1x is reasonable for an industrial compounder with double-digit earnings growth
- 10-year stock CAGR of 15% demonstrates long-term wealth creation track record
- P/B of 2.27x is moderate for an asset-heavy EPC company with improving profitability
- Stock has declined 40% over the past 1 year, indicating severe near-term sentiment deterioration
- Low return on equity of 10.9% over 3 years suggests suboptimal capital efficiency for an industrial company
- 3-year stock CAGR of -1% shows the market has not rewarded recent profit growth
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of only 3% reveals that recent profit surge follows years of stagnation
- 5-year stock CAGR of just 4% significantly lags broader market returns over the same period
- Dividend yield of only 1.05% provides limited downside cushion at current levels
- 5-year ROE average of only 10% is below cost of equity for most industrial firms
- TTM sales growth has decelerated to 8% from the 3-year CAGR of 11%, signaling potential slowdown
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Sharp stock decline over 12 months May 27
KEC International shares show -42.06% return over 1 year, -28.67% over 6 months, and -13.22% over 1 month, indicating sustained selling pressure despite order wins.
- Near-term price weakness persists May 27
Stock closed at ₹498.80 on May 26, down 1.72% on the day, with broader market decline (Nifty down 118 points to 23,913.70) adding pressure.
- ₹1,303 Cr multi-segment order win May 26
KEC secured ₹1,303 crore in orders across T&D (400/220 kV substations, towers in Americas), Civil (auto press shop), Renewables (150+ MW wind), and Cables, with cumulative orders exceeding ₹2,500 crore in the last 60 days.
- Americas expansion strengthens international book May 27
Supply orders for towers, hardware and poles in the Americas market demonstrate KEC's ability to compete in high-entry-barrier international markets, indicating a maturing international business model.
- Civil segment adds marquee auto client May 27
KEC won construction order for a press shop and facilities for a leading automobile manufacturer in Northern India, diversifying away from pure-play power transmission.
- Geojit issues buy recommendation May 26
Anand James of Geojit Investments recommended buying KEC at ₹507 with target ₹540 and stop-loss ₹489, citing inside bar formation and base-building near ₹496-510 demand zone.
- Renewables wind EPC portfolio grows May 27
KEC secured a 150+ MW wind project in Western India from a private developer, marking successive order wins in the renewables segment aligned with green energy transition.
- Citi India Conference attendance Jun 4 May 28
KEC International will attend the Citi India Conference 2026 in Mumbai on June 4 for a group meeting with analysts and institutional investors.
- Elastomeric cables launch Q2 FY27 May 26
KEC announced elastomeric cable production and E-Beam process to commence in Q2 FY27, with debt levels also expected to normalise further by Q2 FY27.
TL;DR: KEC International is winning orders at a strong pace with ₹2,500+ crore secured in the last 60 days across diversified segments including T&D, civil, renewables, and cables. The company is expanding internationally in the Americas and adding marquee clients in the auto sector. However, the stock has suffered severe erosion of -42% over one year despite healthy order inflows, suggesting the market is pricing in margin or execution concerns. The trend could improve if Q2 FY27 debt normalisation and new product launches translate into better earnings visibility.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 5,525 | 4,244 | 4,499 | 5,007 | 6,165 | 4,512 | 5,113 | 5,349 | 6,872 | 5,023 | 6,092 | 6,001 | 6,390 |
| Expenses | 5,242 | 3,999 | 4,225 | 4,699 | 5,777 | 4,242 | 4,793 | 4,975 | 6,333 | 4,673 | 5,661 | 5,571 | 5,942 |
| Operating Profit | 283 | 244 | 274 | 308 | 388 | 270 | 320 | 374 | 539 | 350 | 430 | 430 | 448 |
| OPM % | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Other Income | 6 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 8 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 5 | -49 | 30 |
| Interest | 162 | 159 | 178 | 164 | 154 | 155 | 168 | 170 | 170 | 151 | 171 | 171 | 170 |
| Depreciation | 42 | 42 | 47 | 49 | 48 | 47 | 45 | 45 | 47 | 46 | 51 | 50 | 51 |
| PBT | 86 | 47 | 66 | 121 | 193 | 112 | 113 | 160 | 342 | 159 | 213 | 160 | 258 |
| Tax % | 16% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 72 | 42 | 56 | 97 | 152 | 88 | 85 | 130 | 268 | 125 | 161 | 127 | 193 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.81 | 1.65 | 2.17 | 3.77 | 5.9 | 3.41 | 3.21 | 4.87 | 10.08 | 4.68 | 6.04 | 4.79 | 7.24 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,468 | 8,518 | 8,584 | 10,053 | 11,001 | 11,965 | 13,114 | 13,742 | 17,282 | 19,914 | 21,847 | 23,506 |
| Expenses | 7,889 | 7,733 | 7,673 | 8,957 | 9,764 | 10,635 | 11,874 | 12,742 | 16,362 | 18,556 | 20,164 | 21,847 |
| Operating Profit | 579 | 785 | 911 | 1,095 | 1,237 | 1,330 | 1,240 | 1,001 | 920 | 1,359 | 1,683 | 1,659 |
| OPM % | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| Other Income | 146 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 31 | 11 | 29 | -31 | 59 | 50 | 68 | -8 |
| Interest | 376 | 368 | 332 | 318 | 398 | 403 | 360 | 413 | 656 | 797 | 839 | 664 |
| Depreciation | 88 | 132 | 130 | 110 | 117 | 147 | 153 | 158 | 161 | 185 | 184 | 197 |
| PBT | 261 | 291 | 463 | 689 | 753 | 790 | 756 | 399 | 161 | 426 | 727 | 789 |
| Tax % | 38% | 49% | 34% | 33% | 34% | 28% | 27% | 17% | -9% | 19% | 22% | 23% |
| Net Profit | 161 | 148 | 305 | 460 | 496 | 566 | 553 | 332 | 176 | 347 | 571 | 606 |
| EPS in Rs | 6.26 | 5.75 | 11.86 | 17.91 | 19.28 | 22 | 21.5 | 12.92 | 6.85 | 13.49 | 21.44 | 22.75 |
| Div. Payout % | 14% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 31% | 44% | 30% | 26% | 24% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 53 | 53 |
| Reserves | 1,278 | 1,239 | 1,535 | 1,946 | 2,384 | 2,746 | 3,308 | 3,569 | 3,720 | 4,044 | 5,294 | 6,106 |
| Borrowings | 2,214 | 3,221 | 2,106 | 1,766 | 1,839 | 2,519 | 2,066 | 3,065 | 3,383 | 3,961 | 3,957 | 5,378 |
| Other Liabilities | 4,183 | 4,362 | 5,023 | 6,749 | 7,389 | 7,538 | 8,566 | 9,613 | 10,117 | 10,975 | 12,859 | 13,621 |
| Total Liabilities | 7,727 | 8,874 | 8,715 | 10,512 | 11,663 | 12,855 | 13,992 | 16,298 | 17,271 | 19,031 | 22,164 | 25,158 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,259 | 1,198 | 1,149 | 1,112 | 1,182 | 1,352 | 1,398 | 1,538 | 1,583 | 1,628 | 1,647 | 1,773 |
| CWIP | 16 | 8 | 5 | 78 | 7 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 114 |
| Investments | 0 | 25 | 130 | 39 | 13 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Assets | 6,452 | 7,643 | 7,431 | 9,283 | 10,460 | 11,396 | 12,575 | 14,745 | 15,677 | 17,389 | 20,479 | 23,271 |
| Total Assets | 7,727 | 8,874 | 8,715 | 10,512 | 11,663 | 12,855 | 13,992 | 16,298 | 17,271 | 19,031 | 22,164 | 25,158 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 153 | -75 | 1,662 | 660 | 199 | 87 | 840 | -284 | 614 | 311 | 419 | -414 |
| Investing | 125 | -7 | -182 | -4 | -67 | -113 | -134 | -204 | -139 | -243 | -46 | -242 |
| Financing | -216 | -28 | -1,379 | -638 | -150 | 3 | -659 | 496 | -401 | -145 | -32 | 511 |
| Net Cash Flow | 62 | -110 | 101 | 17 | -18 | -23 | 47 | 8 | 74 | -76 | 341 | -145 |
| Free Cash Flow | 269 | -99 | 1,595 | 524 | 90 | -115 | 726 | -425 | 451 | 78 | 270 | -691 |
| CFO/OP | 47 | 7 | 194 | 81 | 40 | 33 | 85 | 0 | 90 | 41 | 16 | -25 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 166 | 200 | 179 | 183 | 162 | 166 | 150 | 136 | 90 | 76 | 84 | 101 |
| Inventory Days | 38 | 32 | 35 | 45 | 43 | 51 | 54 | 65 | 59 | 53 | 41 | 50 |
| Days Payable | 266 | 248 | 278 | 331 | 324 | 327 | 395 | 420 | 433 | 401 | 380 | 351 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -62 | -17 | -64 | -103 | -119 | -111 | -191 | -219 | -284 | -272 | -255 | -201 |
| Working Capital Days | 7 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 43 | 34 | 37 | 35 | 27 | 25 | 42 | 57 |
| ROCE % | 15% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 14% |
Documents
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Company Information
KEC International is a global infrastructure EPC major. It has presence in the verticals of Power Transmission and Distribution, Railways, Civil, Urban Infrastructure, Solar, Oil & Gas Pipelines, and Cables. It is the flagship Company of the RPG Group.[1]