Jupiter Wagons Ltd
Jupiter Wagons Ltd
IndustrialsCommercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Ltd (CEBBCO) is primarily involved in the business of manufacturing metal fabrication comprising load bodies for commercial vehicles, rail freight wagons, and components. [1]
Jupiter Wagons trades at a steep PE of 72.1x while TTM sales declined 26% and profits fell 52%, signaling near-term earnings deterioration. The 5-year profit CAGR of 28% and strong long-term stock CAGR of 53% over 5 years reflect past momentum, but current fundamentals and deteriorating working capital warrant caution until a clear earnings recovery emerges.
Key Fundamentals
MicrocapRailway WagonsCapital GoodsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Weaknesses
3- Debtor days have increased from 73.0 to 94.7 days.
- Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -6.31%
- Working capital days have increased from 73.5 days to 114 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Jupiter Wagons trades at a steep PE of 72.1x while TTM sales declined 26% and profits fell 52%, signaling near-term earnings deterioration. The 5-year profit CAGR of 28% and strong long-term stock CAGR of 53% over 5 years reflect past momentum, but current fundamentals and deteriorating working capital warrant caution until a clear earnings recovery emerges.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 28% CAGR demonstrates long-term earnings scalability in the wagon and rail mobility space
- 5-year stock CAGR of 53% reflects sustained investor confidence and wealth creation over a meaningful period
- 10-year stock CAGR of 34% indicates the company has compounded shareholder value across multiple market cycles
- 3-year compounded sales growth of 12% shows the business has scaled revenue meaningfully from a smaller base
- Market cap of Rs 11,874 Cr positions JWL as a mid-cap with potential for re-rating if order inflows recover
- 3-year ROE average of 14% indicates reasonable capital efficiency relative to asset-heavy industrials peers
- Dividend yield of 0.36% while modest provides some income floor and signals management confidence in cash flows
- TTM compounded profit decline of 52% signals severe near-term earnings compression and possible margin pressure
- TTM sales decline of 26% indicates a sharp revenue slowdown possibly due to order execution delays or lumpy ordering patterns
- PE ratio of 72.1x is extremely elevated for an industrial company with declining earnings, leaving no margin of safety
- Working capital days have increased sharply from 73.5 to 114 days, tying up more capital and straining cash flows
- Debtor days have increased from 73 to 94.7 days indicating slower collections and potential customer payment stress
- Promoter holding has decreased by 6.31% over 3 years, raising questions about insider confidence and potential dilution
- Last year ROE fell to just 6% from a 3-year average of 14%, confirming the sharp deterioration in return on equity
- Analyst consensus is unfavorable with 0% buy ratings, 66.67% hold and 33.33% sell across 3 analysts covering the stock
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q4 profit crashes 73.5% YoY May 30
Consolidated net profit fell to ₹27 crore from ₹103 crore YoY, with revenue down 25% to ₹790 crore and EBITDA declining 45.5% to ₹83 crore. EBITDA came in 32% below Jefferies estimates due to wagon volumes falling 43% YoY.
- Jefferies rates Underperform, ₹210 target May 30
Jefferies maintained Underperform rating with target of ₹210 (23% downside from ₹275.50) and cut FY27-FY28 earnings estimates by 4-9% to reflect the Q4 miss.
- Full-year FY26 revenue down 26% May 30
FY26 revenue from operations fell to ₹2,961 crore from ₹3,963 crore, while full-year PAT declined 56% to ₹166 crore with margins narrowing to 5.7% from 9.6%.
- Wheelset shortage and LPG disruptions May 30
Management cited an industry-wide wheelset shortage in H1 FY26 constraining wagon production, and LPG supply disruptions in Q4 linked to geopolitical tensions hitting manufacturing operations.
- Odisha plant delayed to Q4 FY27 May 30
Wheel manufacturing project in Odisha now expected to begin interim operations only in Q4 FY27 versus earlier Q2 guidance, with full commissioning pushed to end of FY28.
- Stock down 30% over past year May 30
Shares fell 5.25% to ₹275.50 post results, trading at PE of 71 and down 30% over the past year and 18% YTD, significantly underperforming Nifty 500.
- 10-year Tatravagonka export deal signed May 27
Subsidiary JTRWF signed a 10-year supply agreement with Slovakia-based Tatravagonka a.s. for 20,000-30,000 wheelsets annually, with commercial supplies commencing by end of CY2027. Shares surged 6.47% to ₹308.50 on the news.
- ₹1,000-1,500 crore export revenue target May 27
MD Vivek Lohia expects exports of ~50,000 wheelsets annually to add ₹1,000-1,500 crore in revenue, positioning JTRWF as India's first rail wheel manufacturer exporting wheelsets globally.
- Odisha plant: 1 lakh wheelset capacity May 27
Greenfield Odisha facility with ₹3,000 crore investment planned at 100,000 wheelsets annual capacity, with 40-50% of output directed to export markets over the long term.
- Wheelset subsidiary crosses ₹500 crore May 30
Jupiter Tatravagonka Railwheel Factory crossed ₹500 crore in revenue at 16% EBITDA margin, demonstrating the components vertical is scaling meaningfully.
- Order book at ₹4,675 crore May 30
Order book stood at ₹4,675 crore as of March 31, 2026 with orders for ~7,400 wagons providing earnings visibility for FY27.
- 110 MWh BESS MoUs signed May 27
Jupiter Electric Mobility signed MoUs with Chalukya Power and Pickrenew Energy for 110 MWh of Battery Energy Storage System deployments, targeting ₹1,000 crore battery segment revenue over 3-4 years.
- Board met May 30 for results May 26
Jupiter Wagons board meeting held on May 30, 2026 to consider audited financial results for Q4 and FY26, with trading window closed until 48 hours post declaration.
- Stone India freight brake approved May 30
Subsidiary Stone India received RDSO approval for its freight brake system, with production scheduled to begin in July 2026.
TL;DR: Jupiter Wagons faces severe near-term earnings pressure with Q4 FY26 profit crashing 73% on supply chain disruptions and weak wagon volumes, leading to a full-year 56% PAT decline. The strategic pivot to wheelset exports via the 10-year Tatravagonka deal and ₹3,000 crore Odisha plant offers a credible long-term growth path targeting ₹1,000-1,500 crore in export revenue. However, the Odisha plant is delayed to Q4 FY27 for interim operations, component JVs are nascent, and Jefferies sees 23% further downside. The trend is deteriorating operationally in the short term, with the stock's re-rating hinging on Odisha commissioning and wagon order execution in FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 712 | 753 | 879 | 896 | 1,115 | 880 | 1,009 | 1,030 | 1,045 | 459 | 786 | 890 | 780 |
| Expenses | 620 | 657 | 759 | 773 | 970 | 743 | 870 | 887 | 898 | 400 | 683 | 778 | 701 |
| Operating Profit | 91 | 97 | 121 | 123 | 146 | 137 | 139 | 143 | 147 | 59 | 103 | 113 | 79 |
| OPM % | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% |
| Other Income | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| Interest | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| Depreciation | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| PBT | 78 | 84 | 110 | 110 | 139 | 120 | 119 | 130 | 127 | 44 | 68 | 87 | 46 |
| Tax % | 49% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 28% | 41% |
| Net Profit | 39 | 63 | 82 | 81 | 105 | 92 | 89 | 96 | 103 | 31 | 45 | 62 | 27 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.01 | 1.57 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 2.55 | 2.23 | 2.11 | 2.29 | 2.43 | 0.77 | 1.1 | 1.47 | 0.67 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 996 | 1,178 | 2,068 | 3,644 | 3,963 | 2,916 |
| Expenses | 889 | 1,065 | 1,819 | 3,157 | 3,398 | 2,562 |
| Operating Profit | 106 | 114 | 249 | 487 | 566 | 354 |
| OPM % | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
| Other Income | 2 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 44 | 28 |
| Interest | 21 | 18 | 29 | 41 | 60 | 70 |
| Depreciation | 21 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 54 | 67 |
| PBT | 66 | 76 | 200 | 442 | 496 | 245 |
| Tax % | 19% | 34% | 40% | 25% | 23% | 32% |
| Net Profit | 53 | 50 | 121 | 331 | 380 | 166 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.97 | 5.55 | 3.12 | 8.04 | 9 | 4 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 25% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 387 | 387 | 387 | 412 | 424 | 427 |
| Reserves | 246 | 295 | 416 | 1,204 | 2,330 | 2,551 |
| Borrowings | 138 | 139 | 288 | 349 | 502 | 996 |
| Other Liabilities | 220 | 250 | 543 | 975 | 743 | 738 |
| Total Liabilities | 991 | 1,072 | 1,634 | 2,940 | 3,999 | 4,712 |
| Fixed Assets | 418 | 428 | 464 | 831 | 972 | 1,119 |
| CWIP | 21 | 22 | 27 | 54 | 66 | 266 |
| Investments | 2 | 8 | 11 | 93 | 164 | 236 |
| Other Assets | 550 | 615 | 1,131 | 1,962 | 2,797 | 3,092 |
| Total Assets | 991 | 1,072 | 1,634 | 2,940 | 3,999 | 4,712 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 67 | 60 | 78 | -19 | 104 | 9 |
| Investing | -60 | -49 | -122 | -464 | -628 | -688 |
| Financing | 22 | -17 | 121 | 489 | 842 | 454 |
| Net Cash Flow | 30 | -6 | 76 | 5 | 318 | -224 |
| Free Cash Flow | 37 | 23 | 9 | -143 | -403 | -524 |
| CFO/OP | 67 | 54 | 35 | 18 | 39 | 28 |
Ratios
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 26 | 22 | 38 | 49 | 75 | 95 |
| Inventory Days | 120 | 130 | 114 | 127 | 94 | 188 |
| Days Payable | 70 | 58 | 46 | 71 | 50 | 69 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 77 | 94 | 106 | 105 | 119 | 213 |
| Working Capital Days | 34 | 44 | 25 | 44 | 62 | 114 |
| ROCE % | — | 12% | 24% | 31% | 21% | 9% |
Documents
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Company Information
Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Ltd (CEBBCO) is primarily involved in the business of manufacturing metal fabrication comprising load bodies for commercial vehicles, rail freight wagons, and components. [1]