Jubilant Foodworks Ltd
Jubilant Foodworks Ltd
Leisure Services F&OKey Fundamentals
SmallcapQuick Service RestaurantLeisure ServicesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 25.3%
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 12.2 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Jubilant Foodworks shows strong revenue momentum with 17% TTM sales growth and improving profitability at 88% TTM profit growth, but the stock trades at a steep 62.8x PE and 12.1x book value while delivering only 19% ROE. The 40% stock decline over the past year suggests the market is repricing this premium, making it a hold until valuation corrects further.
- Strong TTM sales growth of 17% indicates sustained demand momentum for Domino's and other QSR brands
- TTM profit growth of 88% shows significant margin expansion and operating leverage kicking in
- Consistent 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 23% demonstrates durable long-term revenue growth trajectory
- ROE has improved to 19% last year from 14% three-year average, indicating improving capital efficiency
- 62% of analysts rate the stock a Buy (18 out of 29 analysts), reflecting broad institutional confidence
- 10-year stock CAGR of 15% despite recent correction shows long-term wealth creation track record
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 25.3% with 0.28% yield signals management commitment to shareholder returns
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 16% outpacing sales growth of 15% demonstrates structural margin improvement
- Stock trades at 62.8x PE, which is extremely expensive even for a consumer discretionary compounder
- Price-to-book of 12.1x is excessively high and leaves no margin of safety for investors
- Stock has declined 40% over the past 1 year, indicating severe negative price momentum and sentiment
- 3-year stock CAGR of -5% and 5-year CAGR of -8% show prolonged value destruction for medium-term holders
- 3-year compounded profit growth of only 5% versus 23% sales growth suggests margins were compressed before recent recovery
- 13.79% of analysts (4 out of 29) rate the stock a Sell, signaling meaningful bearish dissent
- Dividend yield of just 0.28% provides negligible income cushion during periods of capital depreciation
- Market cap of Rs 27,539 crore at current earnings multiple implies the stock is pricing in flawless execution for years ahead
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Citi cuts target to ₹650 Jun 01
Citi slashed target price from ₹800 to ₹650, implying over 50% downside from current levels. FY27-28 revenue estimates cut 4-5% and EBITDA estimates cut 5-7% on slower same-store sales growth.
- Q4FY26 net profit down 13.9% Jun 01
Net profit declined 13.9% YoY to ₹42.6 crore in Q4FY26. Like-for-like revenue growth remained muted at just 0.2% YoY for the quarter.
- Valuation multiple de-rated Jun 01
Citi cut India business valuation multiple from 36x to 30x March 2028 estimated EV/EBITDA, reflecting the slower same-store sales growth trajectory.
- Order volumes up 10.4% YoY Jun 01
Q4FY26 order volumes grew 10.4% YoY, indicating strong customer demand. Full-year FY26 Domino's India like-for-like revenue growth was 6.5%.
- EBITDA margin expands to 20.5% Jun 01
EBITDA grew 11.5% YoY to ₹345 crore in Q4FY26 with margin expanding to 20.5% from 19.6% a year ago, showing improving operational efficiency.
- Lanka expansion investment Jun 15
Jubilant FoodWorks invested ₹19 crore (LKR 666.9 million) in its Sri Lankan subsidiary to support business expansion and capital expenditure.
- EUR 112.5M facility refinanced Jun 25
Jubilant FoodWorks Netherlands B.V. refinanced its EUR 112.5M facility used for acquiring DP Eurasia stake. Corporate guarantees worth EUR 116.085M were revoked.
- Block trades worth ₹235.65 Cr Jun 19
Three block trades totalling ~57.18 lakh shares worth ₹235.65 crore executed across BSE (₹421/share) and NSE (₹419/share), signalling institutional portfolio rebalancing.
TL;DR: Jubilant FoodWorks shows operational improvement with expanding EBITDA margins and healthy order volume growth, but same-store sales remain weak at 0.2% YoY in Q4FY26 and net profit declined. Citi's significant target price cut to ₹650 and valuation de-rating highlight near-term growth concerns. The trend is mixed — profitability and volumes are improving but top-line momentum at existing stores needs to accelerate for a sustained re-rating.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,270 | 1,335 | 1,369 | 1,378 | 1,574 | 1,933 | 1,955 | 2,151 | 2,095 | 2,261 | 2,340 | 2,429 | 2,499 |
| Expenses | 1,052 | 1,100 | 1,091 | 1,098 | 1,262 | 1,553 | 1,558 | 1,749 | 1,703 | 1,823 | 1,864 | 1,945 | 2,015 |
| Operating Profit | 218 | 235 | 277 | 280 | 311 | 380 | 396 | 402 | 392 | 438 | 476 | 484 | 485 |
| OPM % | 17% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 19% |
| Other Income | 20 | 9 | 42 | 20 | 196 | 14 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 102 | -18 | 13 |
| Interest | 53 | 54 | 57 | 62 | 114 | 134 | 138 | 133 | 116 | 111 | 106 | 103 | 117 |
| Depreciation | 132 | 136 | 142 | 152 | 169 | 184 | 201 | 208 | 210 | 220 | 230 | 247 | 269 |
| PBT | 53 | 54 | 121 | 86 | 224 | 77 | 82 | 67 | 71 | 126 | 242 | 116 | 111 |
| Tax % | 47% | 47% | 19% | 23% | 7% | 24% | 19% | 35% | 30% | 25% | 20% | 37% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 29 | 29 | 97 | 66 | 208 | 58 | 67 | 43 | 49 | 94 | 195 | 73 | 82 |
| EPS in Rs | 0.43 | 0.44 | 1.47 | 1 | 3.14 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 1.39 | 2.82 | 1.07 | 1.21 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,093 | 2,438 | 2,583 | 3,018 | 3,563 | 3,927 | 3,312 | 4,396 | 5,158 | 5,655 | 8,142 | 9,513 |
| Expenses | 1,836 | 2,173 | 2,339 | 2,576 | 2,961 | 3,045 | 2,532 | 3,290 | 4,022 | 4,496 | 6,560 | 7,625 |
| Operating Profit | 256 | 265 | 245 | 442 | 603 | 883 | 780 | 1,106 | 1,136 | 1,159 | 1,582 | 1,888 |
| OPM % | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
| Other Income | 6 | 10 | -1 | 21 | 44 | 38 | 64 | 26 | 40 | 211 | 42 | 106 |
| Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 163 | 176 | 201 | 288 | 523 | 436 |
| Depreciation | 101 | 128 | 155 | 160 | 157 | 352 | 375 | 393 | 486 | 598 | 807 | 959 |
| PBT | 161 | 147 | 88 | 303 | 490 | 403 | 306 | 563 | 489 | 485 | 294 | 599 |
| Tax % | 31% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 111 | 97 | 58 | 196 | 318 | 279 | 231 | 418 | 353 | 400 | 217 | 444 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.69 | 1.47 | 0.88 | 2.97 | 4.85 | 4.24 | 3.51 | 6.37 | 5.35 | 6.05 | 3.19 | 6.49 |
| Div. Payout % | 15% | 17% | 29% | 17% | 21% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 38% | 18% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 132 | 132 | 132 | 132 | 132 | 132 | 132 | 132 |
| Reserves | 581 | 696 | 739 | 902 | 1,128 | 990 | 1,295 | 1,813 | 1,906 | 2,039 | 1,971 | 2,160 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,670 | 1,620 | 2,106 | 2,554 | 4,207 | 4,372 | 4,902 |
| Other Liabilities | 429 | 460 | 485 | 529 | 596 | 578 | 720 | 731 | 791 | 1,660 | 1,929 | 2,366 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,075 | 1,222 | 1,291 | 1,497 | 1,856 | 3,370 | 3,767 | 4,782 | 5,382 | 8,038 | 8,404 | 9,561 |
| Fixed Assets | 737 | 828 | 800 | 789 | 809 | 2,189 | 2,146 | 2,737 | 3,488 | 6,184 | 6,434 | 7,402 |
| CWIP | 20 | 26 | 61 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 29 | 47 | 184 | 118 | 255 | 111 |
| Investments | 75 | 91 | 94 | 263 | 181 | 51 | 517 | 927 | 822 | 308 | 176 | 199 |
| Other Assets | 243 | 277 | 336 | 430 | 850 | 1,089 | 1,076 | 1,072 | 888 | 1,428 | 1,538 | 1,848 |
| Total Assets | 1,075 | 1,222 | 1,291 | 1,497 | 1,856 | 3,370 | 3,767 | 4,782 | 5,382 | 8,038 | 8,404 | 9,561 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 276 | 212 | 204 | 409 | 424 | 728 | 751 | 930 | 1,026 | 1,010 | 1,668 | 1,894 |
| Investing | -262 | -200 | -188 | -332 | -457 | -99 | -602 | -654 | -595 | -1,285 | -850 | -1,084 |
| Financing | 1 | -18 | -15 | -35 | -17 | -461 | -289 | -307 | -426 | 377 | -849 | -780 |
| Net Cash Flow | 15 | -6 | 0 | 42 | -51 | 168 | -140 | -31 | 5 | 102 | -32 | 29 |
| Free Cash Flow | -10 | -15 | 4 | 293 | 258 | 439 | 533 | 474 | 188 | 162 | 797 | 889 |
| CFO/OP | 121 | 94 | 98 | 121 | 100 | 98 | 107 | 97 | 101 | 95 | 112 | 108 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| Inventory Days | 30 | 35 | 35 | 31 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 59 | 52 | 112 | 65 | 42 |
| Days Payable | 168 | 186 | 182 | 185 | 173 | 166 | 268 | 198 | 164 | 251 | 145 | 142 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -136 | -150 | -144 | -153 | -139 | -129 | -199 | -137 | -110 | -122 | -65 | -86 |
| Working Capital Days | -49 | -43 | -43 | -44 | -42 | -52 | -71 | -55 | -51 | -66 | -52 | -95 |
| ROCE % | 27% | 21% | 13% | 34% | 44% | 30% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 15% |
Documents
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Company Information
Jubilant FoodWorks Limited (JFL/Company) is part of the Jubilant Bhartia Group and is one of the India’s largest food service Company. The Company holds the master franchise rights for two international brands, Domino’s Pizza and Popeyes in its food segment. The Company also launched its first homegrown brand – Hong’s Kitchen in Chinese cuisine segment. [1]