Jindal Stainless Ltd
Jindal Stainless Ltd
CommoditiesJindal Stainless Ltd is one of the largest manufacturers of Stainless Steel flat products, in Austenitic, Ferritic, Martensitic and Duplex grades in India used in a variety of industries like automobile, railways, construction, consumer goods etc. [1]
Jindal Stainless trades at a reasonable PE of 18.3x with strong 5-year profit CAGR of 55% and consistent ROE of 18%. With 86% analyst buy ratings and improving promoter confidence, the stock offers a compelling growth story in India's stainless steel space, though cyclicality and low dividend yield warrant monitoring.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapIron & SteelMetals & MiningTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Promoter holding has increased by 0.82% over last quarter.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Jindal Stainless trades at a reasonable PE of 18.3x with strong 5-year profit CAGR of 55% and consistent ROE of 18%. With 86% analyst buy ratings and improving promoter confidence, the stock offers a compelling growth story in India's stainless steel space, though cyclicality and low dividend yield warrant monitoring.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 55% demonstrates exceptional earnings expansion and operational leverage
- Consistent ROE averaging 18-21% over 3-5-10 year periods indicates disciplined capital allocation and sustainable returns
- Overwhelming analyst consensus with 85.71% buy ratings (12 out of 14 analysts) and zero sell ratings signals strong institutional conviction
- PE ratio of 18.3x is reasonable for a company delivering 29% TTM profit growth, implying a PEG ratio below 1.0
- Remarkable 5-year stock CAGR of 46% reflects sustained wealth creation and re-rating potential still intact
- Promoter holding increased by 0.82% in the last quarter, signaling insider confidence in the business outlook
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 20% demonstrates long-term demand tailwinds in India's stainless steel consumption story
- Market cap of Rs 57,932 crore provides adequate liquidity and index inclusion benefits for institutional investors
- Dividend yield of just 0.14% offers negligible income return, making the stock unsuitable for income-focused investors
- 3-year sales CAGR has decelerated to only 6% from the 5-year figure of 29%, indicating potential volume or pricing headwinds
- Price-to-book ratio of 2.95x suggests limited margin of safety if earnings disappoint in a commodity downcycle
- 1-year stock CAGR of just 4% indicates momentum fatigue after the multi-year re-rating from 46% 5-year CAGR
- As a commodities sector stock, JSL is inherently exposed to stainless steel price volatility and nickel/chromium input cost swings
- 3-year profit CAGR of 15% is significantly lower than the 5-year figure of 55%, showing earnings growth normalization
- 52-week high and low data unavailable, limiting technical risk assessment for entry timing
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Stock underperforms Nifty Metal index Jun 15
JSL gained only 1.03% over the past year versus 40.34% for Nifty Metal index, and dropped 5.27% in the last one month.
- Near-term macro concerns persist Jun 11
Prabhudas Lilladher notes market focus on falling LME nickel prices, elevated fuel costs, higher Chinese imports, and export market uncertainty as near-term headwinds.
- Stock corrected over 15% in month Jun 11
JSL corrected over 15% in one month prior to the Prabhudas Lilladher upgrade, reflecting selling pressure despite long-term fundamentals.
- Upgraded to BUY, ₹821 target Jun 11
Prabhudas Lilladher upgraded JSL from Accumulate to BUY with ₹821 target, citing attractive valuations at 8.8x/7.2x EV/EBITDA for FY27/28E and 13% EBITDA CAGR over FY26-28E.
- Indonesia melt shop commissioned Jun 11
The 1.2mtpa Indonesia melt shop has been commissioned, supporting volume growth visibility towards ~3.5mt by FY29E with a new Maharashtra project also planned.
- Three-session winning streak Jun 15
JSL traded at ₹709.2, up 2.11% on the day, gaining for the third straight session and outperforming the Nifty's 1.17% gain.
- CFO candidate Kunjal Mehta appointed Jun 1
Jindal Stainless appointed Kunjal Mehta as Senior Management Personnel effective June 1, 2026, with CFO candidature to be placed before the Board.
- Multiple investor meets attended Jun 8
Management participated in ICICI Securities India Investor Conference (Jun 8), Jefferies India Access Days in London (Jun 11), and 360 One virtual meet (Jun 19).
- 39,608 stock options granted Jun 23
Board approved grant of 39,608 options under ESOS 2023, including ESOPs at ₹349 and RSUs at face value.
- Trading window closed from Jul 1 Jun 23
Trading window closed from July 1, 2026 until Q1FY26 results are declared, per SEBI insider trading regulations.
TL;DR: Jindal Stainless has seen short-term price weakness with a 15%+ correction in one month and underperformance versus Nifty Metal, but the selloff prompted a broker upgrade to BUY with ₹821 target citing attractive valuations and strong volume growth visibility. Key positives include the commissioned 1.2mtpa Indonesia melt shop and a path to 3.5mt capacity by FY29E. Risks center on LME nickel weakness, Chinese import competition, and elevated fuel costs, but the trend appears to be stabilizing with a three-session recovery and active investor engagement suggesting management confidence ahead of Q1 results.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 9,765 | 10,184 | 9,797 | 9,127 | 9,454 | 9,430 | 9,777 | 9,907 | 10,198 | 10,207 | 10,893 | 10,518 | 11,337 |
| Expenses | 8,621 | 8,992 | 8,566 | 7,881 | 8,419 | 8,219 | 8,590 | 8,714 | 9,165 | 8,911 | 9,519 | 9,110 | 9,882 |
| Operating Profit | 1,144 | 1,192 | 1,231 | 1,246 | 1,035 | 1,210 | 1,186 | 1,193 | 1,033 | 1,296 | 1,374 | 1,408 | 1,455 |
| OPM % | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Other Income | 78 | 76 | 140 | 52 | 53 | 51 | 47 | 99 | 87 | 69 | 107 | 77 | 84 |
| Interest | 83 | 100 | 156 | 146 | 153 | 143 | 159 | 161 | 150 | 144 | 141 | 134 | 149 |
| Depreciation | 181 | 188 | 222 | 236 | 233 | 232 | 241 | 242 | 241 | 252 | 262 | 269 | 278 |
| PBT | 957 | 981 | 993 | 917 | 702 | 886 | 834 | 890 | 729 | 969 | 1,078 | 1,082 | 1,112 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 19% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 716 | 738 | 764 | 691 | 501 | 646 | 609 | 654 | 590 | 715 | 808 | 828 | 834 |
| EPS in Rs | 9.3 | 9.06 | 9.4 | 8.41 | 6.08 | 7.87 | 7.42 | 7.95 | 7.17 | 8.67 | 9.79 | 10.05 | 10.23 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 6,933 | 7,144 | 9,279 | 11,638 | 13,557 | 12,951 | 12,188 | 32,733 | 35,697 | 38,562 | 39,312 | 42,955 |
| Expenses | 6,564 | 6,571 | 8,113 | 10,294 | 12,392 | 11,819 | 10,764 | 27,642 | 32,111 | 34,052 | 34,844 | 37,394 |
| Operating Profit | 368 | 573 | 1,166 | 1,343 | 1,165 | 1,132 | 1,424 | 5,090 | 3,586 | 4,511 | 4,469 | 5,560 |
| OPM % | 5% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| Other Income | 1,238 | -14 | 63 | 62 | 45 | 44 | 148 | 171 | 236 | 515 | 438 | 310 |
| Interest | 942 | 1,030 | 788 | 566 | 637 | 586 | 480 | 344 | 325 | 554 | 612 | 568 |
| Depreciation | 411 | 316 | 325 | 320 | 352 | 425 | 403 | 759 | 724 | 879 | 956 | 1,060 |
| PBT | 253 | -788 | 116 | 520 | 222 | 165 | 690 | 4,159 | 2,774 | 3,592 | 3,339 | 4,242 |
| Tax % | 0% | -29% | 28% | 34% | 35% | 56% | 39% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 253 | -556 | 83 | 346 | 145 | 73 | 419 | 3,109 | 2,084 | 2,693 | 2,500 | 3,185 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.17 | -24.05 | 2.04 | 7.16 | 2.97 | 1.46 | 8.6 | 58.59 | 25.68 | 32.95 | 30.41 | 38.74 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 45 | 46 | 80 | 96 | 96 | 97 | 97 | 105 | 165 | 165 | 165 | 165 |
| Reserves | -214 | 1,666 | 1,734 | 2,369 | 2,495 | 2,620 | 3,108 | 9,718 | 11,766 | 14,193 | 16,523 | 19,626 |
| Borrowings | 11,289 | 10,347 | 5,888 | 5,015 | 4,388 | 3,903 | 3,230 | 4,007 | 3,958 | 6,052 | 6,402 | 7,460 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,898 | 2,798 | 3,208 | 3,354 | 3,736 | 4,057 | 4,300 | 8,746 | 11,226 | 10,355 | 12,827 | 13,452 |
| Total Liabilities | 14,018 | 14,858 | 10,909 | 10,834 | 10,715 | 10,678 | 10,735 | 22,576 | 27,115 | 30,765 | 35,917 | 40,704 |
| Fixed Assets | 7,552 | 6,863 | 6,609 | 6,342 | 6,345 | 6,181 | 5,855 | 8,646 | 9,961 | 13,254 | 14,800 | 18,233 |
| CWIP | 144 | 70 | 29 | 144 | 29 | 15 | 58 | 525 | 773 | 1,112 | 1,783 | 1,790 |
| Investments | 14 | 393 | 404 | 439 | 454 | 449 | 456 | 626 | 970 | 1,246 | 1,646 | 1,547 |
| Other Assets | 6,308 | 7,532 | 3,868 | 3,909 | 3,887 | 4,033 | 4,365 | 12,779 | 15,411 | 15,152 | 17,688 | 19,133 |
| Total Assets | 14,018 | 14,858 | 10,909 | 10,834 | 10,715 | 10,678 | 10,735 | 22,576 | 27,115 | 30,765 | 35,917 | 40,704 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 554 | 966 | 5,115 | 1,452 | 1,419 | 1,180 | 1,308 | 1,038 | 3,096 | 4,818 | 4,718 | 3,395 |
| Investing | -1 | 1,053 | -30 | -194 | -192 | -186 | -152 | -985 | -2,480 | -3,229 | -3,433 | -3,506 |
| Financing | -580 | -1,972 | -5,106 | -1,257 | -1,237 | -991 | -1,119 | 101 | -386 | -829 | -1,882 | -112 |
| Net Cash Flow | -28 | 47 | -21 | 1 | -11 | 4 | 37 | 154 | 229 | 760 | -597 | -223 |
| Free Cash Flow | 556 | 798 | 5,057 | 1,258 | 1,213 | 1,006 | 1,145 | 70 | 1,448 | 3,367 | 2,890 | 755 |
| CFO/OP | 139 | 166 | 441 | 107 | 122 | 104 | 91 | 37 | 107 | 123 | 119 | 79 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 57 | 48 | 35 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 43 | 37 | 27 | 29 | 26 |
| Inventory Days | 147 | 154 | 133 | 116 | 96 | 117 | 130 | 116 | 125 | 108 | 132 | 122 |
| Days Payable | 104 | 143 | 119 | 104 | 99 | 113 | 123 | 98 | 117 | 95 | 124 | 106 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 101 | 59 | 50 | 41 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 61 | 46 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| Working Capital Days | 29 | 75 | -77 | -20 | -19 | -24 | -2 | 33 | 30 | 23 | 12 | 5 |
| ROCE % | 0% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 44% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 19% |
Documents
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Company Information
Jindal Stainless Ltd is one of the largest manufacturers of Stainless Steel flat products, in Austenitic, Ferritic, Martensitic and Duplex grades in India used in a variety of industries like automobile, railways, construction, consumer goods etc. [1]