Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Ltd
Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation Ltd
Consumer Discretionary F&OIncorporated in 1999, IRCTC is a Navratna (Category 1, Central Public Sector Enterprises ) and the only company authorized by the Indian government to provide online railway tickets, catering services, and packaged drinking water at railway stations and trains in India[1]
IRCTC enjoys a debt-free monopoly with 37% 3-year ROE and healthy 49% dividend payout, but the stock trades at 9.63x book value and has delivered -32% returns over the past year. At a PE of 29.7x with single-digit profit growth (8% TTM), the risk-reward is balanced at current levels.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapTour & TravelLeisure ServicesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company is almost debt free.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 37.1%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 49.0%
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 9.57 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
IRCTC enjoys a debt-free monopoly with 37% 3-year ROE and healthy 49% dividend payout, but the stock trades at 9.63x book value and has delivered -32% returns over the past year. At a PE of 29.7x with single-digit profit growth (8% TTM), the risk-reward is balanced at current levels.
- Exceptional return on equity with 3-year average ROE of 37%, indicating highly efficient capital deployment for a services business
- Company is virtually debt-free, eliminating balance sheet risk and interest burden — debt-to-equity is negligible
- Monopoly business model with Indian Railways catering and ticketing, providing a durable competitive moat with no direct competitors
- Consistent dividend payout of 49% with current yield of 1.64%, rewarding shareholders while retaining enough for growth
- Compounded sales growth of 14% over 3 years and 12% TTM demonstrates steady revenue expansion despite a high base
- Compounded profit growth of 54% over 5 years reflects strong operating leverage as volumes scaled post-COVID
- 71.43% of analysts (5 out of 7) have a BUY rating, reflecting consensus confidence in the business fundamentals
- Market cap of Rs 41,164 crore provides adequate liquidity and institutional participation for a mid-to-large cap holding
- Stock has declined 32% over the past 1 year, indicating significant negative momentum and possible de-rating cycle
- Trading at 9.63x price-to-book value is expensive for a capital-light services company, leaving limited margin of safety
- TTM profit growth has decelerated sharply to just 8% versus 12% 3-year CAGR, signaling slowing earnings momentum
- PE ratio of 29.7x is not cheap given single-digit near-term earnings growth, implying a PEG ratio above 3x
- 3-year stock CAGR of -6% shows the stock has destroyed value for medium-term investors despite business growth
- Government ownership and regulatory risk — convenience fee revisions and policy changes can directly impact revenue streams
- 28.57% of analysts (2 out of 7) have a SELL rating, indicating meaningful disagreement on valuation
- Limited diversification — core revenue heavily dependent on Indian Railways passenger traffic volumes and government policies
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q4 profit drops 9% YoY May 26
Net profit fell 8.89% to ₹326.40 crore in Q4 FY26, first decline in 10 quarters. EBITDA margin contracted 319 bps to 27.3% due to rising costs and adverse mix shift toward low-margin catering.
- Stock at 5-year low, down 60% Jun 02
IRCTC shares hit ₹516.90, a 60% decline from ATH of ₹1,279.25. Market now views it as a mature, heavily regulated business rather than a high-growth digital platform.
- FSSAI notice over hygiene video May 29
FSSAI issued suo motu notice after viral video showed utensils being washed in train toilet area on Train No. 12223 (LTT ERS Duronto Express), demanding immediate explanation from IRCTC.
- Rail Neer 40% supply gap persists May 29
IRCTC cannot bridge 40% Rail Neer supply shortfall; efforts to partner with beverage brands have yielded no results. Only 2 of 4 planned greenfield plants have land secured.
- EBITDA margin eroding structurally Jun 02
EBITDA margin compressed from ~50% in FY22 to 38% in FY26 as growth comes from low-margin catering/tourism while high-margin ticketing (85-90% online penetration) remains stagnant.
- BSE/NSE fines for board non-compliance May 28
IRCTC fined ₹5.31 lakh each by BSE and NSE for Q4 FY26 non-compliance with board composition rules, specifically failure to appoint a woman director.
- IDBI Capital recommends sell Jun 10
IDBI Capital's Kshitija Salvi recommended sell at ₹516, citing continuous lower-low formation on charts with downside target of ₹500. Technical analysts warn close below ₹490 could trigger fresh selling.
- GST costs pressuring catering margins May 29
Rising Vande Bharat revenue creates margin pressure through 5% GST that IRCTC cannot claim input tax credit on, plus ₹3 crore in additional direct GST costs in Q4.
- FY26 PAT rises 6% to ₹1,393 cr May 26
Full-year net profit grew 5.97% to ₹1,393.45 crore on revenue of ₹5,474.97 crore, surpassing management guidance. Revenue nearly tripled from ₹1,876.6 crore in FY22 to ₹5,214.9 crore in FY26.
- Prabhudas Lilladher maintains buy May 27
Brokerage maintains buy with ₹712 target (35x FY28E EPS), citing debt-free balance sheet, healthy return ratios, and 8%/9% sales/PAT CAGR over FY26-28E.
- Bharat Gaurav train tours launched May 29
IRCTC unveiled comprehensive range of Bharat Gaurav tourist train tours for June-July 2026 across multiple circuits, priced from ₹15,600 onwards, targeting pilgrimage and heritage tourism.
- AI war room for food monitoring Jun 03
IRCTC deployed AI-enabled 24/7 monitoring system at Delhi HQ detecting 9 types of kitchen hygiene errors with automated ticketing, integrating RailMadad, CCTV, GPS, and social media feeds.
- Catering revenue surges 27% YoY May 27
Catering segment grew 26.7% to ₹671 crore in Q4, contributing 46% of total sales. Loyalty programme enrolments surged 167% in Q4, highlighting strong brand equity.
- Analysts see 34% upside potential May 27
Average analyst 1-year target of ₹706.85 implies 34.5% upside from ₹525.50, with highest target at ₹850 (61.75% upside). Overall analyst consensus remains 'Buy'.
- CMD Sanjay Kumar Jain resigns Jun 23
IRCTC CMD resigns effective July 20, 2026, approved by Ministry of Railways. Orders for additional charge to follow.
- CFO exits, Rajneesh Narain appointed Jun 16
CFO Sudhir Kumar relieved June 15, 2026 per Railway Board order. Rajneesh Narain appointed Additional Director (Finance) with 30+ years experience, serving until June 30, 2030.
- Promoter holds zero encumbered shares Jun 19
President of India holds 49,91,72,170 shares (62.4% promoter stake) in IRCTC with no encumbrance for FY ended March 31, 2026.
- Independent Director tenure ends Jun 04
Shri Devendra Pal Bharti ceased to be Independent Director on June 4, 2026 upon completion of tenure.
- Electric cooking in pantry coaches May 27
IRCTC permitted electric cooking in pantry coaches to address LPG shortages during Q4, ensuring uninterrupted onboard catering services.
- New Group GM for North Zone Jun 19
Shri Vivek Rawat appointed as Group General Manager (One Level Below Board) for North Zone effective June 19, 2026.
- Final dividend of ₹0.50/share declared May 26
Board recommended ₹0.50 final dividend for FY26, in addition to ₹5 first interim and ₹3.50 second interim dividends already paid in Dec 2025 and Mar 2026.
TL;DR: IRCTC delivered record FY26 revenue and 6% profit growth but faces structural margin compression as growth comes from low-margin catering while the high-margin ticketing business is near saturation. The stock trades at 5-year lows with a 60% drawdown from ATH, reflecting a market re-rating from growth to utility-like status. Leadership churn (CMD resignation, CFO change) adds near-term uncertainty. The forward outlook depends on whether Rail Neer expansion, AI-driven operational efficiency, and tourism growth can offset margin headwinds — analysts remain broadly bullish with ₹700+ targets, but technical patterns and sentiment remain bearish until proven otherwise.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 965 | 1,002 | 992 | 1,118 | 1,155 | 1,118 | 1,064 | 1,225 | 1,269 | 1,160 | 1,146 | 1,449 | 1,460 |
| Expenses | 640 | 659 | 626 | 724 | 792 | 743 | 691 | 808 | 883 | 762 | 742 | 984 | 1,061 |
| Operating Profit | 325 | 343 | 367 | 394 | 363 | 375 | 373 | 417 | 385 | 397 | 404 | 465 | 399 |
| OPM % | 34% | 34% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 34% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 32% | 27% |
| Other Income | 65 | -13 | 47 | 31 | 41 | 54 | 60 | 56 | 107 | 61 | 69 | 81 | 67 |
| Interest | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Depreciation | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| PBT | 375 | 312 | 395 | 406 | 382 | 412 | 417 | 457 | 472 | 442 | 457 | 529 | 447 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 279 | 232 | 295 | 300 | 284 | 308 | 308 | 341 | 358 | 330 | 342 | 394 | 327 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.48 | 2.9 | 3.68 | 3.75 | 3.55 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 4.27 | 4.47 | 4.13 | 4.27 | 4.93 | 4.08 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,059 | 1,367 | 1,520 | 1,466 | 1,870 | 2,264 | 777 | 1,879 | 3,541 | 4,260 | 4,675 | 5,215 |
| Expenses | 907 | 1,176 | 1,206 | 1,192 | 1,487 | 1,562 | 589 | 1,005 | 2,265 | 2,794 | 3,124 | 3,549 |
| Operating Profit | 152 | 190 | 314 | 274 | 383 | 703 | 188 | 874 | 1,276 | 1,466 | 1,551 | 1,666 |
| OPM % | 14% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 31% | 24% | 47% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 32% |
| Other Income | 82 | 139 | 67 | 99 | 126 | 77 | 124 | 72 | 148 | 106 | 276 | 277 |
| Interest | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| Depreciation | 20 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 29 | 40 | 46 | 49 | 54 | 57 | 53 | 50 |
| PBT | 214 | 309 | 355 | 346 | 479 | 730 | 258 | 885 | 1,354 | 1,496 | 1,757 | 1,875 |
| Tax % | 39% | 39% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 30% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 131 | 189 | 229 | 221 | 309 | 513 | 187 | 660 | 1,006 | 1,111 | 1,315 | 1,393 |
| EPS in Rs | 13.06 | 18.86 | 11.45 | 11.03 | 3.86 | 6.41 | 2.34 | 8.24 | 12.57 | 13.89 | 16.43 | 17.42 |
| Div. Payout % | 20% | 40% | 49% | 21% | 98% | 39% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 49% | 52% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 20 | 20 | 40 | 40 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 |
| Reserves | 424 | 522 | 747 | 915 | 911 | 1,154 | 1,296 | 1,710 | 2,318 | 3,070 | 3,503 | 4,148 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 105 | 84 | 60 | 90 | 81 |
| Other Liabilities | 718 | 895 | 1,040 | 1,365 | 1,523 | 1,928 | 1,618 | 1,909 | 2,526 | 2,801 | 3,046 | 3,190 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,162 | 1,437 | 1,826 | 2,319 | 2,594 | 3,241 | 3,153 | 3,884 | 5,089 | 6,091 | 6,799 | 7,579 |
| Fixed Assets | 155 | 159 | 170 | 190 | 182 | 285 | 311 | 335 | 351 | 343 | 813 | 839 |
| CWIP | 16 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 26 | 34 | 443 | 27 | 42 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 |
| Other Assets | 990 | 1,264 | 1,639 | 2,122 | 2,372 | 2,941 | 2,818 | 3,522 | 4,704 | 5,306 | 5,934 | 6,674 |
| Total Assets | 1,162 | 1,437 | 1,826 | 2,319 | 2,594 | 3,241 | 3,153 | 3,884 | 5,089 | 6,091 | 6,799 | 7,579 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 69 | 288 | 338 | 24 | 499 | 409 | 248 | 524 | 812 | 882 | 834 | 1,274 |
| Investing | -46 | 7 | 94 | 40 | -353 | 8 | -453 | -242 | -317 | -215 | -239 | -447 |
| Financing | -17 | -31 | -136 | -57 | -179 | -280 | -47 | -258 | -434 | -404 | -910 | -787 |
| Net Cash Flow | 6 | 263 | 296 | 7 | -33 | 137 | -252 | 23 | 61 | 262 | -316 | 39 |
| Free Cash Flow | -1 | 266 | 306 | -11 | 445 | 374 | 170 | 503 | 744 | 650 | 787 | 1,228 |
| CFO/OP | 91 | 208 | 152 | 55 | 173 | 95 | 167 | 92 | 97 | 91 | 80 | 109 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 51 | 43 | 70 | 137 | 115 | 125 | 245 | 111 | 118 | 118 | 135 | 132 |
| Inventory Days | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 50 | 27 | 18 | 16 | 15 | — |
| Days Payable | 62 | 80 | 237 | 218 | 568 | 451 | 4,492 | 2,391 | 1,595 | 1,483 | 1,371 | — |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 4 | -24 | -157 | -70 | -430 | -300 | -4,197 | -2,252 | -1,459 | -1,349 | -1,221 | 132 |
| Working Capital Days | -20 | -51 | -35 | -10 | -65 | -35 | -137 | -29 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 40 |
| ROCE % | — | 63% | 54% | 40% | 44% | 62% | 16% | 51% | 59% | 54% | 49% | 46% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1999, IRCTC is a Navratna (Category 1, Central Public Sector Enterprises ) and the only company authorized by the Indian government to provide online railway tickets, catering services, and packaged drinking water at railway stations and trains in India[1]