Indian Oil Corporation Ltd
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd
Energy F&OIndian Oil Corporation Ltd is a Maharatna Company controlled by GOI[1] that has business interests straddling the entire hydrocarbon value chain - from Refining, Pipeline transportation and marketing of Petroleum products to R&D, Exploration & production, marketing of natural gas and petrochemicals. It has the leadership position in the Oil refining & petroleum marketing sector of India.[2]
IOC trades at a compelling PE of 4.6x and 0.92x book value with a 4.88% dividend yield, offering deep value characteristics. However, the government-owned oil marketing company faces structural headwinds from volatile crude prices, regulated margins, and flat revenue growth at 3% TTM, making aggressive upside limited despite cheap valuations.
Key Fundamentals
Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Stock is trading at 0.94 times its book value
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 24.7%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
IOC trades at a compelling PE of 4.6x and 0.92x book value with a 4.88% dividend yield, offering deep value characteristics. However, the government-owned oil marketing company faces structural headwinds from volatile crude prices, regulated margins, and flat revenue growth at 3% TTM, making aggressive upside limited despite cheap valuations.
- Extremely cheap valuation at PE of 4.6x, well below the sector and market average, offering significant margin of safety
- Trading below book value at 0.92x PB, indicating the stock is priced below its net asset value
- Attractive dividend yield of 4.88% provides strong income support and downside protection
- Robust compounded profit growth of 63% CAGR over 3 years demonstrates earnings recovery momentum
- TTM profit growth of 249% shows a massive earnings turnaround in the most recent period
- Healthy ROE of 21% in the last year indicates efficient capital utilization for a PSU energy company
- Majority analyst consensus is positive with 51.61% recommending Buy (16 out of 31 analysts)
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 14% shows long-term earnings consistency despite cyclicality
- Revenue has declined at -2% CAGR over 3 years, signaling stagnant topline growth in the core business
- Government ownership subjects IOC to political pricing decisions, subsidy burdens, and margin compression during elections
- 25.81% of analysts (8 out of 31) recommend Sell, indicating meaningful skepticism about the stock
- Stock CAGR of only 7% over 10 years reflects chronic underperformance versus broader market indices like Nifty
- TTM sales growth of only 3% despite high oil prices suggests volume and pricing constraints
- Dividend payout of only 24.7% is relatively low for a deep-value PSU, limiting shareholder returns
- 5-year stock CAGR of 14% lags the 5-year compounded sales growth of 17%, suggesting market de-rating
- Energy transition risk as India pushes EV adoption and renewables threatens long-term demand for petroleum products
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Commercial LPG price hike passed Jun 01
IOC raised 19-kg commercial LPG cylinder prices by ₹42-53.50 effective June 1, 2026, with Delhi price at ₹3,113.50. This modest pass-through follows steeper ₹900+ hikes in May, signaling ability to recover global product costs.
- VLGC tender for LPG imports Jun 18
IOC floated a tender to charter a Very Large Gas Carrier for LPG transport from Qatar, Kuwait, and UAE, securing dedicated shipping capacity for import requirements.
- Domestic LPG rates held stable Jun 01
Despite commercial hikes, 14.2-kg domestic LPG cylinder prices remain unchanged across cities, reducing subsidy burden risk and signaling government support for household energy affordability.
- No encumbrance on subsidiary shares Jun 20
IOC confirmed no encumbrance on CPCL and Petronet LNG shares for FY ended March 31, 2026, a routine annual disclosure.
- Govt nominee director appointed Jun 05
Shri A. Amarnath, IFS officer and OSD in Ministry of Petroleum, appointed as Government Nominee Director effective June 5, 2026.
- Senior management superannuations Jun 01
Four senior officials in LPG business and regional operations superannuated on May 31, 2026, leading to leadership changes in key roles.
- Unclaimed shares transfer to IEPF May 29
IOC will transfer shares with unclaimed dividends for 7 consecutive years to IEPF Authority; shareholders must claim by July 31, 2026.
- 30-day LPG reserve directive Jun 01
Government directed oil marketing companies to maintain minimum 30 days of LPG reserves amid West Asia supply disruption concerns, with no current fuel shortage reported.
TL;DR: IOC is demonstrating pricing power by passing through global LPG cost increases on commercial cylinders while keeping domestic rates stable, reducing margin pressure. No material headwinds emerged in this period, with news dominated by routine corporate governance updates and leadership changes. The government's 30-day LPG reserve directive may require incremental working capital but also signals strategic support for fuel security. The trend is stable with modest positive signals on cost recovery ability.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,03,872 | 1,98,551 | 1,79,246 | 1,99,906 | 1,98,650 | 1,93,845 | 1,74,976 | 1,94,014 | 1,95,270 | 1,92,341 | 1,78,628 | 2,05,157 | 2,08,289 |
| Expenses | 1,86,236 | 1,74,851 | 1,56,075 | 1,83,172 | 1,86,675 | 1,83,923 | 1,71,509 | 1,86,442 | 1,80,241 | 1,79,073 | 1,62,383 | 1,82,412 | 1,83,485 |
| Operating Profit | 17,637 | 23,700 | 23,171 | 16,733 | 11,975 | 9,921 | 3,467 | 7,573 | 15,029 | 13,267 | 16,245 | 22,745 | 24,804 |
| OPM % | 9% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% |
| Other Income | 1,368 | 970 | 829 | 1,916 | 1,686 | 1,102 | 2,556 | 1,936 | 1,519 | 1,732 | 1,356 | 1,627 | 2,424 |
| Interest | 1,957 | 1,743 | 1,977 | 1,958 | 2,147 | 2,080 | 2,546 | 2,458 | 2,178 | 2,070 | 2,270 | 2,088 | 1,880 |
| Depreciation | 3,288 | 3,476 | 3,610 | 4,686 | 4,094 | 4,103 | 4,065 | 4,284 | 4,325 | 4,179 | 4,227 | 4,457 | 5,557 |
| PBT | 13,759 | 19,450 | 18,413 | 12,005 | 7,420 | 4,841 | -589 | 2,766 | 10,045 | 8,750 | 11,104 | 17,827 | 19,791 |
| Tax % | 21% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 23% | -24% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 24% | 23% |
| Net Profit | 10,841 | 14,735 | 13,713 | 9,225 | 5,488 | 3,723 | -449 | 2,147 | 8,368 | 6,808 | 8,191 | 13,502 | 15,176 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.29 | 10.22 | 9.29 | 6.39 | 3.65 | 2.5 | -0.12 | 1.5 | 5.75 | 4.83 | 5.54 | 9.21 | 10.24 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,49,507 | 3,46,045 | 3,55,379 | 4,21,492 | 5,28,158 | 4,83,763 | 3,63,950 | 5,89,321 | 8,41,756 | 7,76,352 | 7,58,106 | 7,84,415 |
| Expenses | 4,38,932 | 3,24,007 | 3,21,230 | 3,79,834 | 4,92,896 | 4,67,710 | 3,24,021 | 5,41,563 | 8,11,073 | 7,00,702 | 7,22,063 | 7,07,354 |
| Operating Profit | 10,575 | 22,038 | 34,149 | 41,658 | 35,262 | 16,053 | 39,929 | 47,758 | 30,683 | 75,650 | 36,043 | 77,062 |
| OPM % | 2% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 10% |
| Other Income | 5,860 | 5,219 | 4,356 | 4,331 | 4,097 | -7,165 | 4,696 | 4,332 | 5,124 | 5,384 | 7,112 | 7,139 |
| Interest | 4,201 | 3,487 | 3,743 | 3,875 | 4,925 | 5,792 | 2,933 | 5,454 | 7,588 | 7,881 | 9,315 | 8,308 |
| Depreciation | 5,219 | 5,698 | 6,806 | 7,664 | 8,506 | 10,273 | 10,941 | 12,348 | 13,181 | 15,866 | 16,777 | 18,420 |
| PBT | 7,014 | 18,072 | 27,956 | 34,450 | 25,927 | -7,177 | 30,751 | 34,289 | 15,038 | 57,288 | 17,063 | 57,472 |
| Tax % | 31% | 31% | 27% | 34% | 33% | -74% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 4,872 | 12,413 | 20,385 | 22,626 | 17,274 | -1,876 | 21,762 | 25,727 | 11,704 | 43,161 | 13,789 | 43,677 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.37 | 8.25 | 13.63 | 15.23 | 12.31 | -0.63 | 15.32 | 17.78 | 6.93 | 29.55 | 9.63 | 29.81 |
| Div. Payout % | 33% | 28% | 45% | 90% | 49% | -437% | 51% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 30% | 4% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 2,428 | 2,370 | 4,739 | 9,479 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 13,772 | 13,772 | 13,772 | 13,772 |
| Reserves | 66,404 | 87,610 | 97,357 | 1,04,395 | 1,03,288 | 86,217 | 1,02,657 | 1,24,354 | 1,25,949 | 1,69,645 | 1,72,716 | 2,05,746 |
| Borrowings | 64,893 | 58,552 | 63,271 | 65,650 | 96,765 | 1,29,790 | 1,16,649 | 1,32,020 | 1,48,977 | 1,32,628 | 1,52,271 | 1,31,822 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,00,158 | 83,184 | 1,08,352 | 1,16,336 | 1,26,128 | 1,04,773 | 1,26,658 | 1,45,327 | 1,53,298 | 1,66,639 | 1,68,464 | 1,77,615 |
| Total Liabilities | 2,33,883 | 2,31,715 | 2,73,719 | 2,95,860 | 3,35,363 | 3,29,962 | 3,55,145 | 4,10,882 | 4,41,995 | 4,82,683 | 5,07,222 | 5,28,955 |
| Fixed Assets | 76,781 | 1,00,033 | 1,15,958 | 1,24,053 | 1,32,494 | 1,47,022 | 1,57,085 | 1,60,514 | 1,80,048 | 1,95,998 | 2,01,142 | 2,11,722 |
| CWIP | 40,378 | 26,219 | 16,778 | 19,130 | 28,281 | 32,845 | 36,291 | 47,469 | 51,133 | 61,032 | 77,921 | 82,897 |
| Investments | 16,069 | 31,185 | 43,687 | 44,806 | 44,112 | 35,571 | 44,717 | 52,352 | 52,190 | 65,542 | 67,218 | 73,298 |
| Other Assets | 1,00,655 | 74,278 | 97,295 | 1,07,871 | 1,30,476 | 1,14,524 | 1,17,053 | 1,50,546 | 1,58,624 | 1,60,111 | 1,60,940 | 1,61,039 |
| Total Assets | 2,33,883 | 2,31,715 | 2,73,719 | 2,95,860 | 3,35,363 | 3,29,962 | 3,55,145 | 4,10,882 | 4,41,995 | 4,82,683 | 5,07,222 | 5,28,955 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 46,092 | 25,624 | 28,216 | 29,115 | 12,747 | 7,146 | 49,650 | 25,747 | 29,644 | 71,146 | 34,699 | 76,142 |
| Investing | -10,215 | -13,610 | -17,684 | -17,119 | -22,569 | -29,101 | -22,935 | -21,294 | -28,030 | -31,512 | -31,848 | -22,274 |
| Financing | -38,283 | -11,890 | -10,937 | -12,007 | 10,436 | 22,456 | -27,369 | -4,058 | -1,794 | -39,385 | -3,425 | -52,672 |
| Net Cash Flow | -2,406 | 124 | -405 | -11 | 614 | 502 | -653 | 395 | -180 | 250 | -573 | 1,197 |
| Free Cash Flow | 33,680 | 9,576 | 14,388 | 11,086 | -12,748 | -24,277 | 27,904 | 2,290 | -2,524 | 34,453 | 421 | 48,881 |
| CFO/OP | 458 | 130 | 103 | 87 | 52 | 58 | 135 | 70 | 101 | 110 | 105 | 114 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| Inventory Days | 46 | 54 | 87 | 77 | 64 | 59 | 111 | 84 | 59 | 70 | 63 | 68 |
| Days Payable | 29 | 31 | 41 | 40 | 34 | 24 | 49 | 37 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 23 | 31 | 55 | 46 | 41 | 45 | 76 | 59 | 40 | 42 | 39 | 41 |
| Working Capital Days | -12 | -20 | -45 | -37 | -28 | -46 | -58 | -34 | -26 | -33 | -42 | -28 |
| ROCE % | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 19% |
Documents
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Company Information
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd is a Maharatna Company controlled by GOI[1] that has business interests straddling the entire hydrocarbon value chain - from Refining, Pipeline transportation and marketing of Petroleum products to R&D, Exploration & production, marketing of natural gas and petrochemicals. It has the leadership position in the Oil refining & petroleum marketing sector of India.[2]