Indian Oil Corporation Ltd
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd
Petroleum Products F&OKey Fundamentals
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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35 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY12–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value
- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.87%.
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 32.3%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Indian Oil Corporation is India's largest refiner with 80.75 MMTPA capacity, trading at a P/E of 5.6x and P/B of 0.90x with a dividend yield of 5.87%. The company reported FY26 revenue of ₹8,86,224 crore and record net profit of ₹36,802 crore (up 184% YoY), but faces significant regulatory risk from government-controlled fuel pricing and volatile refining margins that fell from $12.05/bbl in FY24 to $4.80/bbl in FY25.
- Trades at just 0.90x book value — well below replacement cost for India's largest refiner with 80.75 MMTPA installed capacity
- Attractive dividend yield of 5.87% with a consistent payout ratio of 32.3%, providing steady income in a low-PE stock
- Deeply discounted valuation at P/E of 5.6x despite delivering 20% ROE in the last year and 16-17% average ROE over 5-10 years
- Record FY26 net profit of ₹36,802 crore — a 184% increase over prior year — driven by improved refining margins and throughput
- Operating at 107.4% capacity utilization with highest-ever crude throughput of 75.45 MMT in FY26, demonstrating operational efficiency
- Massive capacity expansion underway — refining capacity set to increase from 80.75 MMTPA to 98.05 MMTPA, with ₹75,000 crore investment across three units
- Petrochemical diversification in progress with plans to expand capacity from 4.5 MMTPA to 13.2 MMTPA by 2030, reducing pure refining cyclicality
- Compounded profit growth of 111% TTM and 62% over 3 years reflects strong earnings recovery from pandemic-era lows
- Government fuel price controls create unpredictable under-recoveries — OMCs collectively bled ₹30,000 crore in under-recoveries in just weeks during 2026 energy disruption
- GRM highly volatile — collapsed from $12.05/bbl in FY24 to $4.80/bbl in FY25 before recovering, making earnings extremely cyclical and unpredictable
- Daily under-recoveries reached ₹700-1,000 crore per day during fuel price freeze periods, with blended losses of ₹25/litre even after partial price hikes
- Revenue CAGR of negative 2% over 3 years despite 13% TTM growth indicates structural top-line volatility tied to commodity prices
- Stock CAGR of just 5% over 10 years and negative 1% over 1 year, significantly underperforming broader market indices
- Estimated debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.60x with heavy ongoing capex of ~₹32,700 crore annually could strain balance sheet if margins compress again
- Capex plans trimmed 6% for FY27 to ₹32,700 crore suggesting limited financial flexibility versus peers like BPCL which raised capex 35%
- Energy transition risk — India's push toward EVs, natural gas, and renewables poses long-term structural demand threat to petroleum refining and marketing
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1FY27 net loss ₹2,661 crore Aug 7
Indian Oil posted a standalone net loss of ₹2,661.37 crore in Q1FY27, driven by declining EBITDA and higher debt. Governance concerns around independent directors were also flagged.
- $500M raised via forex facility Jul 31
IOC raised $500 million through RBI's special forex credit facility and plans to seek more funds via the same route, indicating continued reliance on external financing for crude purchases.
- FY26 net profit surges 184% Aug 7
Indian Oil reported FY26 net profit of ₹36,802 crore, up 184% YoY, driven by higher throughput and improved margins. Board recommended a final dividend of ₹1.25 per share.
- Paradip Refinery record throughput Jul 29
IndianOil Paradip processed a record 16.35 MMT crude in FY26 with ₹43,359 crore invested to date. Future expansion includes a ₹13,805 crore PX-PTA project and SAF production JVs.
- Strong ESG and net worth position Aug 7
BRSR filing shows CSR turnover of ₹8,86,224.41 crore and net worth of ₹1,73,883.32 crore for FY25-26, reflecting a solid balance sheet foundation.
- AGM set for Aug 31, 2026 Aug 1
67th AGM scheduled for August 31 with remote voting from August 27-30. Record date for final dividend of ₹1.25/share fixed at August 14.
- Saudi crude via African route Jul 31
IOC announced plans to import Saudi crude through an African route, signaling strategic realignment in supply chain logistics. No timeline or financial details disclosed.
- 45-day crude supply confirmed Jul 31
A company executive confirmed adequate crude oil supplies for 45 days, providing near-term operational continuity assurance.
- Three executives superannuate Aug 1
Three Executive Directors in Construction, CP&ES, and H,S&E superannuated on July 31, 2026, creating leadership transitions in key operational functions.
- Q1FY27 earnings call on Aug 1 Jul 29
IOC hosted its Q1FY27 earnings conference call on August 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM IST to discuss quarterly financials with analysts.
TL;DR: IOC delivered an exceptional FY26 with 184% profit growth and record refinery throughput at Paradip, but Q1FY27 swung to a ₹2,661 crore loss signaling margin pressure has returned sharply. The company is actively managing crude supply logistics and financing through RBI facilities. The trend has deteriorated in the near term despite strong annual numbers, and investors should watch whether margins recover in Q2FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,98,551 | 1,79,246 | 1,99,906 | 1,98,650 | 1,93,845 | 1,74,976 | 1,94,014 | 1,95,270 | 1,92,341 | 1,78,628 | 2,05,157 | 2,08,289 | 2,66,407 |
| Expenses | 1,74,851 | 1,56,075 | 1,83,172 | 1,86,675 | 1,83,923 | 1,71,509 | 1,86,442 | 1,80,241 | 1,79,073 | 1,62,383 | 1,82,412 | 1,83,485 | 2,62,345 |
| Operating Profit | 23,700 | 23,171 | 16,733 | 11,975 | 9,921 | 3,467 | 7,573 | 15,029 | 13,267 | 16,245 | 22,745 | 24,804 | 4,062 |
| OPM % | 12% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 3.9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 1.5% |
| Other Income | 970 | 829 | 1,916 | 1,686 | 1,102 | 2,556 | 1,936 | 1,519 | 1,732 | 1,356 | 1,627 | 2,424 | 1,143 |
| Interest | 1,743 | 1,977 | 1,958 | 2,147 | 2,080 | 2,546 | 2,458 | 2,178 | 2,070 | 2,270 | 2,088 | 1,880 | 1,730 |
| Depreciation | 3,476 | 3,610 | 4,686 | 4,094 | 4,103 | 4,065 | 4,284 | 4,325 | 4,179 | 4,227 | 4,457 | 5,557 | 4,408 |
| PBT | 19,450 | 18,413 | 12,005 | 7,420 | 4,841 | -589 | 2,766 | 10,045 | 8,750 | 11,104 | 17,827 | 19,791 | -933 |
| Tax % | 24% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 23% | -24% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 22% |
| Net Profit | 14,735 | 13,713 | 9,225 | 5,488 | 3,723 | -449 | 2,147 | 8,368 | 6,808 | 8,191 | 13,502 | 15,176 | -1,141 |
| EPS in Rs | 10.22 | 9.29 | 6.39 | 3.65 | 2.5 | -0.12 | 1.5 | 5.75 | 4.83 | 5.54 | 9.21 | 10.24 | -1.15 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 4,49,507 | 3,46,045 | 3,55,379 | 4,21,492 | 5,28,158 | 4,83,763 | 3,63,950 | 5,89,336 | 8,41,756 | 7,76,352 | 7,58,106 | 7,84,415 | 8,58,482 |
| Expenses | 4,38,932 | 3,24,007 | 3,21,230 | 3,79,834 | 4,92,896 | 4,67,710 | 3,24,021 | 5,42,717 | 8,11,073 | 7,00,702 | 7,22,066 | 7,07,308 | 7,90,626 |
| Operating Profit | 10,575 | 22,038 | 34,149 | 41,658 | 35,262 | 16,053 | 39,929 | 46,619 | 30,683 | 75,650 | 36,040 | 77,108 | 67,856 |
| OPM % | 2.4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3.3% | 11% | 8% | 3.6% | 10% | 4.8% | 10% | 8% |
| Other Income | 5,860 | 5,219 | 4,356 | 4,331 | 4,097 | -7,165 | 4,696 | 4,318 | 5,124 | 5,384 | 7,112 | 7,139 | 6,550 |
| Interest | 4,201 | 3,487 | 3,743 | 3,875 | 4,925 | 5,792 | 2,933 | 4,301 | 7,588 | 7,881 | 9,311 | 8,354 | 7,967 |
| Depreciation | 5,219 | 5,698 | 6,806 | 7,664 | 8,506 | 10,273 | 10,941 | 12,348 | 13,181 | 15,866 | 16,777 | 18,420 | 18,650 |
| PBT | 7,014 | 18,072 | 27,956 | 34,450 | 25,927 | -7,177 | 30,751 | 34,289 | 15,038 | 57,288 | 17,063 | 57,472 | 47,789 |
| Tax % | 31% | 31% | 27% | 34% | 33% | -74% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 24% | — |
| Net Profit | 4,872 | 12,413 | 20,385 | 22,626 | 17,274 | -1,876 | 21,762 | 25,727 | 11,704 | 43,161 | 13,789 | 43,677 | 35,728 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.37 | 8.25 | 13.63 | 15.23 | 12.31 | -0.63 | 15.32 | 17.78 | 6.93 | 29.55 | 9.63 | 29.81 | 23.84 |
| Div. Payout % | 33% | 28% | 45% | 90% | 49% | -437% | 51% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 30% | 27% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 2,428 | 2,370 | 4,739 | 9,479 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 9,181 | 13,772 | 13,772 | 13,772 | 13,772 |
| Reserves | 66,404 | 87,610 | 97,357 | 1,04,395 | 1,03,288 | 86,217 | 1,02,657 | 1,24,354 | 1,25,949 | 1,69,645 | 1,72,716 | 2,05,746 |
| Borrowings | 64,893 | 58,552 | 63,271 | 65,650 | 96,765 | 1,29,790 | 1,16,649 | 1,32,020 | 1,48,977 | 1,32,628 | 1,52,271 | 1,31,822 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,00,158 | 83,184 | 1,08,352 | 1,16,336 | 1,26,128 | 1,04,773 | 1,26,658 | 1,45,327 | 1,53,298 | 1,66,639 | 1,68,796 | 1,78,012 |
| Total Liabilities | 2,33,883 | 2,31,715 | 2,73,719 | 2,95,860 | 3,35,363 | 3,29,962 | 3,55,145 | 4,10,882 | 4,41,995 | 4,82,683 | 5,07,554 | 5,29,352 |
| Fixed Assets | 76,781 | 1,00,033 | 1,15,958 | 1,24,053 | 1,32,494 | 1,47,022 | 1,57,085 | 1,60,514 | 1,80,048 | 1,95,998 | 2,01,142 | 2,08,569 |
| CWIP | 40,378 | 26,219 | 16,778 | 19,130 | 28,281 | 32,845 | 36,291 | 47,469 | 51,133 | 61,032 | 77,921 | 86,049 |
| Investments | 16,069 | 31,185 | 43,687 | 44,806 | 44,112 | 35,571 | 44,717 | 52,352 | 52,190 | 65,542 | 67,218 | 73,298 |
| Other Assets | 1,00,655 | 74,278 | 97,295 | 1,07,871 | 1,30,476 | 1,14,524 | 1,17,053 | 1,50,546 | 1,58,624 | 1,60,111 | 1,61,272 | 1,61,436 |
| Total Assets | 2,33,883 | 2,31,715 | 2,73,719 | 2,95,860 | 3,35,363 | 3,29,962 | 3,55,145 | 4,10,882 | 4,41,995 | 4,82,683 | 5,07,554 | 5,29,352 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 46,092 | 25,624 | 28,216 | 29,115 | 12,747 | 7,146 | 49,650 | 24,570 | 29,644 | 71,146 | 34,452 | 76,142 |
| Investing | -10,215 | -13,610 | -17,684 | -17,119 | -22,569 | -29,101 | -22,935 | -21,178 | -28,030 | -31,512 | -31,641 | -22,274 |
| Financing | -38,283 | -11,890 | -10,937 | -12,007 | 10,436 | 22,456 | -27,369 | -2,997 | -1,794 | -39,385 | -3,421 | -52,672 |
| Net Cash Flow | -2,406 | 124 | -405 | -11 | 614 | 502 | -653 | 395 | -180 | 250 | -610 | 1,197 |
| Free Cash Flow | 33,680 | 9,576 | 14,388 | 11,086 | -12,748 | -24,277 | 27,904 | 1,533 | -2,524 | 34,453 | 83 | 48,881 |
| CFO/OP | 458 | 130 | 103 | 87 | 52 | 58 | 135 | 69 | 101 | 110 | 104 | 114 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| Inventory Days | 46 | 54 | 87 | 77 | 64 | 59 | 111 | 84 | 59 | 70 | 63 | 68 |
| Days Payable | 29 | 31 | 41 | 40 | 34 | 24 | 49 | 37 | 27 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 23 | 31 | 55 | 46 | 41 | 45 | 76 | 59 | 40 | 42 | 39 | 41 |
| Working Capital Days | -12 | -20 | -45 | -37 | -28 | -46 | -58 | -34 | -26 | -33 | -41 | -30 |
| ROCE % | 6% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 19% |
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Company Information
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd is a Maharatna Company controlled by GOI[1] that has business interests straddling the entire hydrocarbon value chain - from Refining, Pipeline transportation and marketing of Petroleum products to R&D, Exploration & production, marketing of natural gas and petrochemicals. It has the leadership position in the Oil refining & petroleum marketing sector of India.[2]