Hindalco Industries Ltd
Hindalco Industries Ltd
Metals & Mining F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapAluminiumMetals & MiningInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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57 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY14–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has delivered good profit growth of 35.2% CAGR over last 5 years
Weaknesses
2- Company has a low return on equity of 12.5% over last 3 years.
- Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Hindalco Industries is a ₹2.29 lakh crore metals conglomerate that delivered record consolidated revenue of ₹2,38,496 crore in FY25 (up 10% YoY) and record EBITDA of ₹35,496 crore (up 38% YoY), with Q4 FY25 PAT surging 66% YoY to ₹5,283 crore. The stock has compounded at 51% over the past year, though ROE remains moderate at ~13% and the business carries meaningful commodity-cycle and leverage risk.
- FY25 consolidated EBITDA hit an all-time high of ₹35,496 crore, up 38% YoY, signalling strong operating leverage across aluminium, copper, and Novelis segments
- Q4 FY25 consolidated PAT jumped 66% YoY to ₹5,283 crore, demonstrating accelerating profitability
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 35% significantly outpaces revenue CAGR of 16%, reflecting margin expansion and cost discipline
- Stock has delivered a 1-year CAGR of 51% and 10-year CAGR of 22%, indicating sustained wealth creation for long-term holders
- Net Debt-to-EBITDA improved to 1.21x in FY24 from 1.39x a year earlier, showing deleveraging progress despite large capex
- $10 billion capex plan over FY24-29 including ₹55,000 crore in India — with ₹21,000 crore smelter expansion adding 3.6 lakh TPA capacity and India's first battery-grade aluminium foil plant — positions the company in high-growth end markets like EVs
- Novelis contributes ~60% of consolidated revenue and targets long-term adjusted EBITDA of $600/tonne (vs $406 in Q3 FY25), providing visibility on margin uplift from Bay Minette ramp-up and beverage can contract repricing
- TTM revenue growth of 15% with record FY25 revenue of ₹2,38,496 crore demonstrates top-line momentum even in a mixed global demand environment
- ROE has averaged only ~13% over 3 and 5 years and was flagged at 12.5% over the trailing 3-year period — low for a cyclical business carrying significant debt
- Debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 0.71x (total debt ₹96,660 crore vs equity ₹1,36,600 crore), meaning the balance sheet is leveraged heading into a large capex cycle
- Aluminium and copper prices are subject to LME volatility; management guided aluminium in a $2,300-$2,600/tonne range, and any sustained dip below this would compress margins sharply
- Novelis Bay Minette plant cost has escalated to ~$5 billion and a fire at the Oswego unit required $750 million equity infusion, highlighting execution and event risk in the US subsidiary
- Trailing twelve-month profit growth has decelerated to just 5% compared to 19% over 3 years, suggesting base-effect normalization after the post-COVID profit surge
- Dividend yield of only 0.49% offers minimal income cushion, with dividend of ₹3.5/share in FY24 representing a low payout ratio relative to earnings
- Possible capitalisation of interest costs (as flagged in disclosures) may overstate reported asset values and understate true financing expenses, reducing earnings quality transparency
- PE of 17x, while not extreme, sits above the stock's historical average for a cyclical commodity producer — if aluminium enters a downcycle, earnings compression could make the valuation appear stretched
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- AluChem deal faces US delay Aug 7
CFIUS review for AluChem acquisition tolled by US federal shutdown. Finality now expected by September 2, 2026.
- Novelis shipments decline 5% Aug 10
Novelis Q1FY27 shipments fell 5% to 916 kt due to Oswego facility disruptions, despite strong profitability metrics.
- Q1FY26 profit surges 157% YoY Aug 7
Consolidated net profit rose 157% YoY to ₹7,013 crore for Q1FY26, driven by strong Novelis and Aluminium upstream performance.
- Record FY26 revenue and EBITDA Jul 23
Hindalco posted record consolidated revenue of ₹2,74,944 crore and EBITDA of ₹38,097 crore for FY26, declared ₹5 dividend, and outlined a $10 billion growth plan.
- Novelis net income surges 71% Aug 10
Novelis Q1FY27 net income jumped 71% YoY to $164 million, Adjusted EBITDA rose 24% to $516 million, and EBITDA/tonne improved 30% to $563.
- Kuppam 10 KTPA expansion approved Aug 7
Hindalco approved ₹768 crore capex to add 10 KTPA capacity at Kuppam unit by FY29, funded via internal accruals and debt.
- Novelis secures $500M loan facility Jul 27
Novelis entered a $500 million short-term unsecured term loan facility, strengthening liquidity for ongoing expansion including Bay Minette.
- Motilal Oswal conference participation Aug 11
Hindalco to present at Motilal Oswal 22nd Annual Global Investor Conference on August 17, 2026 in Mumbai. No UPSI to be shared.
- Q1 FY27 earnings call conducted Aug 7
Hindalco held its Q1 FY27 earnings conference call on August 7, 2026, and published the audio recording per SEBI Regulation 30.
- Top management reshuffle Aug 7
Kailash Pandey promoted to CEO - Aluminium Upstream effective August 7, 2026. Sameer Nayak ceases as Senior Management Personnel.
- AGM approves all resolutions Jul 23
Shareholders approved all six resolutions at the 67th AGM, including reappointment of Kumar Mangalam Birla and Ananyashree Birla as Non-Executive Directors.
- ₹62.51 crore block trade on BSE Jul 17
Approximately 6.64 lakh shares traded in a block deal at ₹941.50 per share, totaling ₹62.51 crore, indicating institutional activity.
TL;DR: Hindalco is delivering strong financial performance with record FY26 revenue/EBITDA, a 157% profit surge in Q1FY26, and robust Novelis profitability improvements. The $10 billion growth plan and Kuppam expansion signal aggressive capacity building. Key risks are limited to the US regulatory delay on AluChem and short-term Novelis shipment softness from Oswego disruptions. The trend is clearly improving, with earnings momentum and expansion visibility supporting a constructive outlook.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 52,991 | 54,169 | 52,808 | 55,994 | 57,013 | 58,203 | 58,390 | 64,890 | 64,232 | 66,058 | 66,521 | 78,133 | 84,825 |
| Expenses | 47,277 | 48,557 | 46,943 | 49,314 | 49,510 | 50,320 | 50,807 | 56,054 | 56,326 | 57,092 | 58,530 | 68,119 | 70,893 |
| Operating Profit | 5,714 | 5,612 | 5,865 | 6,680 | 7,503 | 7,883 | 7,583 | 8,836 | 7,906 | 8,966 | 7,991 | 10,014 | 13,932 |
| OPM % | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 16% |
| Other Income | 381 | 496 | 281 | 362 | 96 | 561 | 469 | 706 | 604 | 532 | -2,061 | -3,146 | -1,236 |
| Interest | 992 | 1,034 | 944 | 888 | 859 | 869 | 817 | 874 | 754 | 803 | 881 | 1,042 | 966 |
| Depreciation | 1,786 | 1,843 | 1,874 | 2,018 | 1,892 | 1,932 | 1,939 | 2,118 | 2,080 | 2,155 | 2,220 | 2,375 | 2,337 |
| PBT | 3,317 | 3,231 | 3,328 | 4,136 | 4,848 | 5,643 | 5,296 | 6,550 | 5,676 | 6,540 | 2,829 | 3,451 | 9,393 |
| Tax % | 26% | 32% | 30% | 23% | 37% | 31% | 29% | 19% | 29% | 28% | 28% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 2,454 | 2,196 | 2,331 | 3,174 | 3,074 | 3,909 | 3,735 | 5,284 | 4,004 | 4,741 | 2,049 | 2,597 | 7,013 |
| EPS in Rs | 10.92 | 9.77 | 10.37 | 14.12 | 13.68 | 17.39 | 16.62 | 23.51 | 17.82 | 21.1 | 9.12 | 11.56 | 31.21 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,04,281 | 98,759 | 1,00,184 | 1,15,183 | 1,30,542 | 1,18,144 | 1,32,008 | 1,95,059 | 2,23,202 | 2,15,962 | 2,38,496 | 2,74,944 | 2,95,537 |
| Expenses | 95,437 | 90,981 | 87,867 | 1,01,488 | 1,15,031 | 1,03,838 | 1,14,449 | 1,66,712 | 2,00,536 | 1,92,090 | 2,06,691 | 2,40,064 | 2,54,634 |
| Operating Profit | 8,844 | 7,778 | 12,317 | 13,695 | 15,511 | 14,306 | 17,559 | 28,347 | 22,666 | 23,872 | 31,805 | 34,880 | 40,903 |
| OPM % | 8% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Other Income | -832 | 1,500 | 1,198 | 2,879 | 1,127 | 906 | -987 | 1,253 | 1,307 | 1,519 | 1,832 | -4,074 | -5,911 |
| Interest | 4,178 | 5,134 | 5,742 | 3,911 | 3,778 | 4,197 | 3,738 | 3,768 | 3,646 | 3,858 | 3,419 | 3,480 | 3,692 |
| Depreciation | 3,493 | 4,347 | 4,457 | 4,506 | 4,777 | 5,091 | 6,628 | 6,729 | 7,086 | 7,521 | 7,881 | 8,830 | 9,087 |
| PBT | 340 | -203 | 3,315 | 8,157 | 8,083 | 5,924 | 6,206 | 19,103 | 13,241 | 14,012 | 22,337 | 18,496 | 22,213 |
| Tax % | 75% | 245% | 43% | 25% | 32% | 36% | 44% | 28% | 24% | 28% | 28% | 28% | — |
| Net Profit | 259 | -702 | 1,882 | 6,083 | 5,495 | 3,767 | 3,483 | 13,730 | 10,097 | 10,155 | 16,002 | 13,391 | 16,400 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.14 | -1.21 | 8.47 | 27.1 | 24.48 | 16.77 | 15.5 | 61.1 | 44.93 | 45.19 | 71.2 | 59.59 | 72.99 |
| Div. Payout % | 24% | -82% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 207 | 207 | 223 | 223 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 222 |
| Reserves | 38,122 | 40,402 | 45,836 | 54,629 | 57,279 | 58,095 | 66,311 | 77,969 | 94,584 | 1,05,924 | 1,23,487 | 1,36,361 |
| Borrowings | 68,468 | 67,552 | 63,817 | 52,074 | 52,415 | 68,399 | 67,206 | 64,486 | 60,291 | 56,356 | 65,642 | 99,165 |
| Other Liabilities | 34,950 | 32,986 | 36,268 | 40,088 | 42,056 | 41,902 | 55,083 | 79,178 | 68,392 | 68,221 | 74,949 | 1,08,933 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,41,746 | 1,41,146 | 1,46,144 | 1,47,014 | 1,51,972 | 1,68,618 | 1,88,822 | 2,21,855 | 2,23,489 | 2,30,723 | 2,64,300 | 3,44,681 |
| Fixed Assets | 71,959 | 85,648 | 84,687 | 85,088 | 85,860 | 89,195 | 1,00,269 | 1,06,874 | 1,10,626 | 1,11,810 | 1,16,556 | 1,30,251 |
| CWIP | 14,111 | 4,214 | 1,814 | 2,063 | 4,097 | 7,721 | 10,202 | 4,945 | 7,700 | 14,867 | 27,397 | 49,526 |
| Investments | 12,346 | 12,463 | 15,157 | 10,781 | 9,012 | 9,411 | 17,133 | 14,119 | 14,116 | 15,444 | 24,158 | 24,958 |
| Other Assets | 43,330 | 38,821 | 44,486 | 49,081 | 53,003 | 62,291 | 61,218 | 95,917 | 91,047 | 88,602 | 96,189 | 1,39,946 |
| Total Assets | 1,41,746 | 1,41,146 | 1,46,144 | 1,47,014 | 1,51,972 | 1,68,618 | 1,88,822 | 2,21,855 | 2,23,489 | 2,30,723 | 2,64,300 | 3,44,681 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 7,143 | 11,688 | 12,687 | 10,898 | 11,977 | 12,665 | 17,232 | 16,838 | 19,208 | 24,056 | 24,410 | 10,250 |
| Investing | -3,873 | -3,220 | -2,876 | 5,333 | -5,456 | -7,101 | -25,280 | -6,773 | -7,559 | -14,267 | -24,609 | -25,783 |
| Financing | -2,437 | -8,862 | -5,552 | -16,412 | -5,466 | 6,610 | -4,882 | -6,765 | -10,450 | -10,817 | -1,816 | 20,087 |
| Net Cash Flow | 833 | -394 | 4,259 | -181 | 1,055 | 12,174 | -12,930 | 3,300 | 1,199 | -1,028 | -2,015 | 4,554 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,427 | 7,636 | 9,818 | 7,942 | 6,009 | 5,933 | 11,715 | 11,483 | 9,571 | 8,378 | 4,006 | -19,508 |
| CFO/OP | 94 | 166 | 109 | 94 | 89 | 89 | 105 | 73 | 97 | 112 | 94 | 48 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 32 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| Inventory Days | 104 | 103 | 120 | 115 | 103 | 120 | 146 | 138 | 111 | 111 | 121 | 156 |
| Days Payable | 87 | 92 | 115 | 108 | 96 | 98 | 135 | 128 | 93 | 94 | 100 | 127 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 49 | 40 | 36 | 38 | 39 | 51 | 47 | 49 | 45 | 45 | 51 | 65 |
| Working Capital Days | -6 | 4 | -17 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 2 |
| ROCE % | 6% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 13% |
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1958, Hindalco Industries Ltd. is a flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group. The Co and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the production of Aluminium and Copper. It is also engaged in the manufacturing of aluminium sheet, extrusion and light gauge products for use in packaging markets like beverage and food, can and foil products, etc. [1]