Happy Forgings Ltd
Happy Forgings Ltd
Industrial ProductsKey Fundamentals
SmallcapCastings & ForgingsIndustrial ProductsInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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48 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY18–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 8.45 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 12.9% of profits over last 3 years
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Happy Forgings Ltd is a mid-cap industrial products company with a market cap of Rs 16,287 crore, trading at a PE of 49.2x. The company has delivered compounded profit growth of 28% over 5 years and sales growth of 21% over the same period, though recent growth has moderated to 16% TTM sales growth and the stock trades at 8.06x book value.
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 28%, indicating robust earnings expansion over a meaningful period
- Healthy 5-year compounded sales growth of 21%, demonstrating consistent revenue scale-up in the industrial forging space
- TTM profit growth of 22% outpacing TTM sales growth of 16%, suggesting improving margins and operating leverage
- Stock has delivered 87% returns over the past 1 year, reflecting strong market confidence and momentum
- 5-year average ROE of 18% indicates efficient capital deployment and strong return generation for shareholders
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 13% maintained even through post-pandemic industrial cycles, showing resilience
- Market cap of Rs 16,287 crore places the company in a sweet spot for institutional interest while retaining mid-cap growth potential
- PE ratio of 49.2x is significantly elevated for an industrial products company, leaving limited margin of safety
- Stock is trading at 8.06x book value, well above typical industrial sector valuations, indicating premium pricing
- Dividend payout has been low at just 12.9% of profits over the last 3 years, limiting income returns for shareholders
- ROE has declined from 18% (5-year average) to 15% in the last year, suggesting potential dilution of return efficiency
- Sales growth has decelerated from 21% (5-year CAGR) to 9% (3-year CAGR) to 16% TTM, showing uneven momentum
- 3-year compounded profit growth of 13% is notably lower than the 5-year figure of 28%, indicating growth rate normalization
- Dividend yield of only 0.23% provides negligible income cushion against potential capital depreciation at current valuations
- 87% stock price appreciation in 1 year has significantly outpaced fundamental earnings growth of 22% TTM, creating a valuation gap
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Record Q1FY27 revenue, PAT up 39% Aug 4
Happy Forgings reported record Q1FY27 revenue of ₹449 crore (up 27% YoY) with PAT rising 39.2% to ₹91.6 crore and EBITDA margin above 30%.
- Strong volume growth outlook Aug 5
Management expects strong volume growth for FY27 while targeting EBITDA margins consistent with FY26 levels, with potential for further margin improvement beyond FY26 benchmarks.
- ₹4 dividend, key directors reappointed Jul 27
AGM on July 27 approved ₹4 per share final dividend for FY26 and reappointed MD Ashish Garg and WTD Megha Garg, signaling management continuity.
- Q1FY27 earnings call posted Aug 5
Audio recording of the earnings conference call held on August 5, 2026 discussing June quarter results has been made available on the company website.
- Earnings call scheduled Aug 5 Jul 28
Happy Forgings announced it would host its Q1FY27 earnings conference call on August 5, 2026 to discuss financial and operational performance.
TL;DR: Happy Forgings is firing on all cylinders with record revenue, 39% profit growth, and EBITDA margins above 30% in Q1FY27. No material headwinds are visible — management guidance points to continued volume expansion with stable-to-improving margins. Leadership continuity and shareholder returns via dividend add to the positive picture. The trend is clearly improving, though sustaining 27% revenue growth rates will be the key monitorable going forward.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 330 | 343 | 342 | 343 | 341 | 361 | 354 | 352 | 354 | 377 | 391 | 424 | 449 |
| Expenses | 230 | 249 | 247 | 246 | 244 | 256 | 253 | 250 | 253 | 262 | 271 | 291 | 309 |
| Operating Profit | 100 | 94 | 95 | 97 | 98 | 105 | 101 | 102 | 101 | 116 | 120 | 133 | 141 |
| OPM % | 30% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Other Income | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| Interest | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Depreciation | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 26 |
| PBT | 85 | 74 | 78 | 87 | 86 | 97 | 87 | 90 | 89 | 99 | 104 | 111 | 123 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 64 | 55 | 58 | 66 | 64 | 71 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 79 | 84 | 91 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.16 | 6.17 | 6.15 | 6.98 | 6.77 | 7.58 | 6.85 | 7.18 | 6.97 | 7.79 | 8.37 | 8.86 | 9.69 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 585 | 860 | 1,197 | 1,358 | 1,409 | 1,546 | 1,642 |
| Expenses | 426 | 629 | 856 | 971 | 1,002 | 1,076 | 1,132 |
| Operating Profit | 159 | 231 | 341 | 388 | 407 | 471 | 510 |
| OPM % | 27% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 31% |
| Other Income | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 31 | 32 |
| Interest | 12 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| Depreciation | 36 | 38 | 54 | 65 | 77 | 89 | 95 |
| PBT | 117 | 192 | 280 | 324 | 360 | 402 | 436 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 86 | 142 | 209 | 243 | 267 | 302 | 327 |
| EPS in Rs | 966 | 15.9 | 23.32 | 25.79 | 28.38 | 31.97 | 34.71 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 13% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Reserves | 636 | 770 | 970 | 1,594 | 1,831 | 2,109 |
| Borrowings | 153 | 240 | 219 | 143 | 228 | 330 |
| Other Liabilities | 76 | 102 | 119 | 130 | 138 | 175 |
| Total Liabilities | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
| Fixed Assets | 415 | 456 | 678 | 744 | 908 | 1,108 |
| CWIP | 40 | 212 | 75 | 127 | 123 | 237 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 237 |
| Other Assets | 419 | 461 | 573 | 1,016 | 1,105 | 1,050 |
| Total Assets | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 60 | 80 | 209 | 189 | 292 | 445 |
| Investing | -59 | -166 | -172 | -470 | -320 | -497 |
| Financing | 0 | 83 | -37 | 281 | 40 | 65 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Free Cash Flow | -32 | -111 | 35 | -5 | 12 | -16 |
| CFO/OP | 59 | 53 | 80 | 71 | 92 | 114 |
Ratios
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 103 | 94 | 94 | 96 | 110 | 93 |
| Inventory Days | 176 | 173 | 112 | 137 | 143 | 134 |
| Days Payable | 55 | 42 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 34 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 225 | 226 | 175 | 199 | 226 | 193 |
| Working Capital Days | 82 | 76 | 71 | 102 | 97 | 77 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 18% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in July 1979, Happy Forgings Limited is an Indian manufacturer specializing in designing and manufacturing heavy forgings and high-precision machined components.[1]