Happy Forgings Ltd
Happy Forgings Ltd
Industrial ProductsKey Fundamentals
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BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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48 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY18–FY26.
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 9.75 times its book value
- Dividend payout has been low at 12.9% of profits over last 3 years
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Happy Forgings Ltd is a mid-cap industrial forging company with a market capitalization of approximately ₹19,200 crore, trading at a PE of 58.3x and a PB of 8.98x. FY26 revenue grew 9.8% YoY to ₹1,546 crore with EBITDA margins expanding to 30.4%, while Q1 FY27 showed acceleration with 27% revenue growth and 39% PAT growth. The stock has delivered 115% returns over the past year, reflecting premium valuations relative to its earnings growth trajectory.
- Q1 FY27 revenue surged 27% YoY with PAT jumping 39%, indicating strong growth acceleration after a moderate FY26
- EBITDA margin expanded to 31.3% in Q1 FY27 (up 275 bps YoY), demonstrating improving operational leverage and pricing power
- Compounded profit CAGR of 28% over 5 years reflects consistent earnings compounding in a capital-intensive sector
- Very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x as of mid-2026, giving the company significant balance sheet headroom for capex and acquisitions
- Secured ₹160 crore European industrial order, signaling export diversification and global competitiveness
- Management guided 18% volume growth, supported by diversification into industrial, off-highway, and passenger vehicle segments
- Compounded sales CAGR of 21% over 5 years shows sustained top-line momentum through multiple cycles
- Gross profit margin expanded to 60.7% in Q1 FY27 (up 276 bps YoY), indicating favorable product mix and value-addition
- Stock trades at 58.3x PE, which is elevated relative to the sector PE of ~67.6x and well above the 5-year profit CAGR of 28%, limiting margin of safety
- Price-to-book ratio of 8.98x is extremely high for a capital-intensive forging business, implying significant growth expectations already priced in
- FY26 full-year revenue growth decelerated to 9.8% YoY (from 21% 5-year CAGR), suggesting cyclical moderation in core segments
- Dividend payout has been low at 12.9% of profits over the last 3 years with a yield of just 0.2%, offering minimal income to shareholders
- ROE declined to 15% in the last year from a 5-year average of 18%, indicating diminishing returns on incremental capital deployed
- TTM sales growth of 16% lags the 115% stock price appreciation over 1 year, suggesting valuation has run ahead of fundamentals
- Q1 FY26 showed only 3.6% YoY growth in both revenue and EBITDA, highlighting vulnerability to quarterly demand fluctuations
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of just 9% is modest for a stock commanding near-60x earnings multiple
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Record Q1FY27 revenue, PAT up 39% Aug 4
Happy Forgings reported record Q1FY27 revenue of ₹449 crore (up 27% YoY) with PAT surging 39.2% to ₹91.6 crore and EBITDA margin above 30%.
- Strong volume growth outlook ahead Aug 5
Management expects strong volume growth for the current year while maintaining EBITDA margins at FY2026 levels, with possibility of further margin improvement beyond FY2026.
- ₹4 dividend, key directors reappointed Jul 27
47th AGM approved ₹4 per share final dividend for FY26 and reappointed MD Ashish Garg and WTD Megha Garg, signalling leadership continuity.
- Analyst meet scheduled Aug 14 Aug 11
Happy Forgings will hold investor meetings in Mumbai on August 14, 2026, organized by Equirus Securities, covering publicly available information.
- Q1FY27 earnings call recording posted Aug 5
Audio recording of the August 5, 2026 earnings conference call discussing quarter ended June 30, 2026 results made available on company website.
- Q1FY27 earnings call announced Jul 28
Company scheduled earnings conference call for August 5, 2026 to discuss financial and operational performance for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
TL;DR: Happy Forgings is delivering strong execution with record quarterly revenue, robust 39% profit growth, and healthy 30%+ EBITDA margins in Q1FY27. No material headwinds are visible in the recent news flow. Management guidance for continued volume growth with stable-to-improving margins suggests the positive momentum is likely to sustain through FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 330 | 343 | 342 | 343 | 341 | 361 | 354 | 352 | 354 | 377 | 391 | 424 | 449 |
| Expenses | 230 | 249 | 247 | 246 | 244 | 256 | 253 | 250 | 253 | 262 | 271 | 291 | 309 |
| Operating Profit | 100 | 94 | 95 | 97 | 98 | 105 | 101 | 102 | 101 | 116 | 120 | 133 | 141 |
| OPM % | 30% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Other Income | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| Interest | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Depreciation | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 26 |
| PBT | 85 | 74 | 78 | 87 | 86 | 97 | 87 | 90 | 89 | 99 | 104 | 111 | 123 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 64 | 55 | 58 | 66 | 64 | 71 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 79 | 84 | 91 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.16 | 6.17 | 6.15 | 6.98 | 6.77 | 7.58 | 6.85 | 7.18 | 6.97 | 7.79 | 8.37 | 8.86 | 9.69 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 585 | 860 | 1,197 | 1,358 | 1,409 | 1,546 | 1,642 |
| Expenses | 426 | 629 | 856 | 971 | 1,002 | 1,076 | 1,132 |
| Operating Profit | 159 | 231 | 341 | 388 | 407 | 471 | 510 |
| OPM % | 27% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 31% |
| Other Income | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 31 | 32 |
| Interest | 12 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| Depreciation | 36 | 38 | 54 | 65 | 77 | 89 | 95 |
| PBT | 117 | 192 | 280 | 324 | 360 | 402 | 436 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 86 | 142 | 209 | 243 | 267 | 302 | 327 |
| EPS in Rs | 966 | 15.9 | 23.32 | 25.79 | 28.38 | 31.97 | 34.71 |
| Div. Payout % | 0% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 13% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 9 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Reserves | 636 | 770 | 970 | 1,594 | 1,831 | 2,109 |
| Borrowings | 153 | 240 | 219 | 143 | 228 | 330 |
| Other Liabilities | 76 | 102 | 119 | 130 | 138 | 175 |
| Total Liabilities | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
| Fixed Assets | 415 | 456 | 678 | 744 | 908 | 1,108 |
| CWIP | 40 | 212 | 75 | 127 | 123 | 237 |
| Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 237 |
| Other Assets | 419 | 461 | 573 | 1,016 | 1,105 | 1,050 |
| Total Assets | 874 | 1,130 | 1,326 | 1,886 | 2,215 | 2,633 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 60 | 80 | 209 | 189 | 292 | 445 |
| Investing | -59 | -166 | -172 | -470 | -320 | -497 |
| Financing | 0 | 83 | -37 | 281 | 40 | 65 |
| Net Cash Flow | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Free Cash Flow | -32 | -111 | 35 | -5 | 12 | -16 |
| CFO/OP | 59 | 53 | 80 | 71 | 92 | 114 |
Ratios
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 103 | 94 | 94 | 96 | 110 | 93 |
| Inventory Days | 176 | 173 | 112 | 137 | 143 | 134 |
| Days Payable | 55 | 42 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 34 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 225 | 226 | 175 | 199 | 226 | 193 |
| Working Capital Days | 82 | 76 | 71 | 102 | 97 | 77 |
| ROCE % | — | 22% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 18% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in July 1979, Happy Forgings Limited is an Indian manufacturer specializing in designing and manufacturing heavy forgings and high-precision machined components.[1]