GAIL
GAIL
Energy F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapGasEnergyTapetide Score
Data-driven rating, 0–100. How it works →
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 41.3%
Weaknesses
1- Company has a low return on equity of 11.3% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
GAIL (India) Ltd has a market capitalisation of about ₹1,13,092 crore. It trades at a P/E of 11.6x and a P/B of 1.28x, with a dividend yield of 3.16% and a dividend payout of 41.3%. Profit has compounded at 15% over 10 years and 10% over 3 years. However, 3-year sales CAGR is -1%, return on equity fell to 9% last year against a 10-year average of 13%, and the stock returned 0% over the past year.
- Valuation looks modest at a P/E of 11.6x and a P/B of 1.28x. For a company with a ₹1,13,092 crore market cap, that implies limited premium expectations.
- Dividend yield of 3.16%, backed by a steady payout ratio of 41.3%, gives a meaningful cash return to shareholders.
- Profit has compounded at 15% over 10 years, ahead of the 11% 10-year sales CAGR. This points to better margins or operating leverage over the long run.
- 3-year profit CAGR of 10% contrasts with a -1% 3-year sales CAGR. Earnings grew despite flat-to-declining revenue, which suggests the company managed costs or its business mix well.
- 5-year sales CAGR of 20% shows the company can grow the top line when gas prices and volumes are favourable.
- The stock has compounded at 13% over 3 years and 11% over 5 years, and dividends come on top of those price returns.
- TTM sales growth of 4% is a slight recovery from the -1% 3-year sales trend.
- Return on equity fell to 9% last year, below the 3-year average of 11%, the 5-year average of 12% and the 10-year average of 13%. Capital efficiency is steadily declining.
- 3-year average ROE of 11.3% is low and may be close to or below the cost of equity for a capital-intensive business.
- 3-year sales CAGR of -1% shows the top line has stalled. Revenue is highly exposed to gas price swings and pass-through pricing.
- TTM profit growth of only 1% suggests earnings momentum has slowed sharply from the 10% 3-year profit CAGR.
- The stock returned 0% over 1 year, so it has not rerated despite a low 11.6x P/E.
- 5-year profit CAGR of 4% trails the 20% 5-year sales CAGR, which points to margin compression over that period.
- 10-year stock CAGR of 9% is below the 15% 10-year profit CAGR. The valuation multiple has contracted over time, possibly because of regulatory and state-ownership concerns.
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- LNG above $20 hurts demand Sep 14
At an energy forum in Bangkok, GAIL Chairman Deepak Gupta warned that LNG prices above $20/mmBtu are cutting gas demand in India. As India's largest gas distributor, GAIL faces pressure on volume growth and on India's energy transition plans.
- Middle East hits industrial gas Sep 21
In an April 26 report, India Ratings said the Middle East conflict has reduced LNG shipments and led to curtailed gas supplies to industrial customers. This may hurt GAIL Gas industrial volumes in the near term, though higher-margin CNG with priority allocation should partly offset it.
- Weak 12-month stock performance Sep 22
Even after a 27%+ rally over six months, GAIL shares are down about 5% over 12 months. Shares also gave up an early 1% gain to trade around ₹172.24 (down 0.2%) on Sep 22.
- UBS lifts target to ₹215 Sep 22
UBS kept its 'Buy' rating and raised its target from ₹205 to ₹215, implying 25% upside, valuing GAIL at 12x FY28 consolidated earnings. It also raised consolidated EBITDA estimates by 16% for FY27 and 3% for FY28.
- Transmission share of EBITDA rising Sep 22
UBS expects transmission to contribute 45% of standalone EBITDA in FY27 and 52% in FY28. It cites resilient domestic gas demand and healthy LNG arrivals, with lower Henry Hub prices and higher crude adding upside for the commodity businesses.
- GAIL Gas IPO unlocks value Sep 21
GAIL Gas has begun appointing up to four book-running lead managers for an IPO of up to ₹3,100 crore, after PNGRB approved the transfer of 6 CGD areas from GAIL on Sep 17 (consideration about ₹1,500 crore). GAIL Gas posted FY26 turnover of ₹12,681 crore, up from ₹12,229 crore, and operates in 16 geographical areas across nine states.
- Strong analyst consensus Sep 22
Per Bloomberg, 21 of 32 analysts rate GAIL 'Buy', 9 'Hold' and 2 'Sell'. The consensus target of ₹195.23 implies about 13% upside from ₹172.61, and ICICI Securities and Kotak also have ₹215 targets.
- Manoj Kumar Sharma joins as Director (Projects) Sep 18
The board approved Manoj Kumar Sharma as Additional Director (Projects) on Sep 18, following an MoPNG nomination dated Sep 17, with tenure running to April 30, 2031. He has 30+ years of experience, including heading IOCL's 5,700+ km Eastern Region pipeline network.
- Rajeev Kumar named Govt director Sep 30
The Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas nominated Shri Rajeev Kumar as Government Nominee Director, effective September 30, 2026.
- Investor and analyst meets Sep 14
GAIL held analyst meetings at the UBS India Summit in Mumbai on Sep 10. It also hosted an investor meet in New Delhi on Sep 21 as part of the Asia Energy Security Field Trip.
- Joint statutory auditors for FY27 Sep 9
As directed by the CAG, Ravi Rajan & Co. LLP and Arun K Agarwal & Associates were appointed joint statutory auditors for FY2026-27.
TL;DR: GAIL's outlook is improving: transmission is set to make up about half of standalone EBITDA by FY28, UBS raised its target to ₹215 (25% upside), and the GAIL Gas IPO of up to ₹3,100 crore could unlock subsidiary value. The main risks are LNG prices above $20/mmBtu cutting demand and Middle East-related supply curbs hitting industrial gas volumes. The stock is up 27%+ over six months but still down about 5% over a year. Upcoming catalysts include progress on GAIL Gas's draft prospectus filing and any easing in LNG prices that lifts pipeline volumes.
Quarterly Results
| Particulars | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 32,789 | 32,986 | 34,698 | 32,756 | 34,738 | 33,889 | 36,835 | 36,440 | 35,311 | 35,537 | 35,173 | 35,577 | 41,198 |
| Expenses | 30,128 | 29,405 | 30,490 | 28,908 | 29,948 | 29,952 | 33,665 | 32,914 | 31,642 | 32,077 | 32,246 | 34,123 | 34,100 |
| Operating Profit | 2,660 | 3,580 | 4,208 | 3,849 | 4,790 | 3,937 | 3,169 | 3,526 | 3,669 | 3,460 | 2,927 | 1,453 | 7,098 |
| OPM % | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 4.1% | 17% |
| Other Income | 529 | 595 | 915 | 651 | 685 | 643 | 3,211 | 674 | 566 | 516 | 683 | 1,250 | 475 |
| Interest | 185 | 200 | 176 | 159 | 209 | 188 | 169 | 174 | 213 | 234 | 254 | 263 | 319 |
| Depreciation | 722 | 837 | 872 | 1,241 | 1,152 | 922 | 939 | 786 | 993 | 1,177 | 1,192 | 474 | 987 |
| PBT | 2,283 | 3,138 | 4,075 | 3,099 | 4,114 | 3,470 | 5,272 | 3,240 | 3,029 | 2,565 | 2,165 | 1,966 | 6,268 |
| Tax % | 21% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 1,793 | 2,442 | 3,193 | 2,474 | 3,183 | 2,690 | 4,084 | 2,506 | 2,382 | 1,989 | 1,729 | 1,481 | 4,671 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.73 | 3.72 | 4.86 | 3.75 | 4.84 | 4.1 | 6.21 | 3.79 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.67 | 2.26 | 7.1 |
Profit & Loss
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 60,557 | 52,053 | 48,552 | 54,496 | 76,190 | 72,518 | 57,372 | 92,770 | 1,45,668 | 1,33,228 | 1,41,902 | 1,41,598 | 1,47,485 |
| Expenses | 54,926 | 47,517 | 42,531 | 46,695 | 66,252 | 63,495 | 50,127 | 77,608 | 1,38,168 | 1,18,914 | 1,26,489 | 1,30,096 | 1,32,546 |
| Operating Profit | 5,631 | 4,536 | 6,021 | 7,802 | 9,938 | 9,022 | 7,245 | 15,161 | 7,500 | 14,314 | 15,412 | 11,502 | 14,939 |
| OPM % | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Other Income | 945 | 731 | 1,212 | 948 | 1,719 | 3,796 | 2,833 | 2,925 | 2,822 | 2,672 | 5,223 | 3,023 | 2,924 |
| Interest | 652 | 822 | 509 | 295 | 159 | 309 | 179 | 202 | 365 | 719 | 740 | 964 | 1,070 |
| Depreciation | 1,433 | 1,496 | 1,541 | 1,527 | 1,667 | 2,080 | 2,174 | 2,420 | 2,702 | 3,672 | 3,799 | 3,835 | 3,829 |
| PBT | 4,492 | 2,949 | 5,183 | 6,928 | 9,831 | 10,429 | 7,725 | 15,464 | 7,256 | 12,595 | 16,096 | 9,725 | 12,964 |
| Tax % | 32% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 33% | 9% | 20% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 22% | — |
| Net Profit | 3,160 | 1,874 | 3,374 | 4,805 | 6,553 | 9,515 | 6,143 | 12,304 | 5,596 | 9,903 | 12,463 | 7,582 | 9,870 |
| EPS in Rs | 4.67 | 2.76 | 4.98 | 7.09 | 9.68 | 13.93 | 9.21 | 18.4 | 8.54 | 15.06 | 18.93 | 11.53 | 15.03 |
| Div. Payout % | 24% | 37% | 56% | 43% | 25% | 31% | 36% | 36% | 59% | 37% | 40% | 48% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,268 | 1,268 | 1,691 | 2,255 | 2,255 | 4,510 | 4,440 | 4,440 | 6,575 | 6,575 | 6,575 | 6,575 |
| Reserves | 32,754 | 35,135 | 37,614 | 39,424 | 43,749 | 44,758 | 48,742 | 59,674 | 58,352 | 70,422 | 78,422 | 82,474 |
| Borrowings | 18,291 | 9,052 | 6,553 | 3,876 | 2,224 | 6,912 | 7,873 | 9,216 | 17,816 | 21,794 | 21,595 | 24,831 |
| Other Liabilities | 17,355 | 13,608 | 12,433 | 15,798 | 20,199 | 18,754 | 19,975 | 23,254 | 25,062 | 25,944 | 26,583 | 26,688 |
| Total Liabilities | 69,669 | 59,063 | 58,291 | 61,353 | 68,426 | 74,934 | 81,030 | 96,584 | 1,07,805 | 1,24,735 | 1,33,176 | 1,40,569 |
| Fixed Assets | 33,976 | 29,946 | 30,092 | 30,480 | 32,700 | 38,230 | 41,160 | 44,572 | 49,697 | 55,188 | 58,836 | 68,667 |
| CWIP | 13,806 | 3,688 | 4,126 | 5,938 | 9,738 | 11,666 | 13,400 | 15,490 | 16,646 | 23,627 | 27,421 | 24,072 |
| Investments | 1,272 | 9,844 | 10,125 | 10,452 | 10,722 | 9,893 | 13,058 | 16,408 | 17,248 | 21,910 | 22,765 | 26,233 |
| Other Assets | 20,615 | 15,584 | 13,948 | 14,482 | 15,267 | 15,145 | 13,413 | 20,114 | 24,214 | 24,010 | 24,155 | 21,597 |
| Total Assets | 69,669 | 59,063 | 58,291 | 61,353 | 68,426 | 74,934 | 81,030 | 96,584 | 1,07,805 | 1,24,735 | 1,33,176 | 1,40,569 |
Cash Flow
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 4,214 | 3,960 | 6,024 | 8,769 | 7,984 | 8,345 | 8,993 | 9,420 | 3,205 | 12,586 | 15,727 | 11,249 |
| Investing | -2,809 | -904 | -334 | -2,660 | -5,701 | -8,299 | -4,640 | -5,490 | -7,453 | -8,226 | -6,615 | -8,856 |
| Financing | -3,058 | -3,028 | -5,275 | -5,252 | -3,364 | 281 | -3,471 | -3,917 | 2,972 | -3,457 | -8,941 | -2,750 |
| Net Cash Flow | -1,653 | 29 | 415 | 858 | -1,081 | 328 | 882 | 13 | -1,276 | 902 | 171 | -358 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,498 | 2,500 | 4,029 | 5,370 | 443 | -890 | 3,309 | 2,481 | -5,548 | 98 | 7,818 | 2,451 |
| CFO/OP | 93 | 103 | 120 | 130 | 102 | 121 | 142 | 84 | 64 | 111 | 118 | 113 |
Ratios
| Particulars | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 19 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 22 |
| Inventory Days | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 16 |
| Days Payable | 26 | 25 | 27 | 35 | 24 | 25 | 37 | 28 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 19 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 12 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| Working Capital Days | -12 | -17 | -10 | -24 | -5 | -10 | -24 | -6 | -6 | -8 | -7 | -14 |
| ROCE % | 10% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 23% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 10% |
Insights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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64 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY00–FY27.
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about GAIL
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1984, GAIL, a Government of India undertaking, is an integrated natural gas company in India. It owns over 11,500 km of natural gas pipelines, over 2300 km of LPG pipelines, six LPG gas-processing units and a petrochemicals facility. It also has a joint-venture interest in Petronet LNG Ltd, Ratnagiri Gas and Power Pvt Ltd, and in the CGD business in several cities. GAIL has wholly owned subsidiaries in Singapore and the US for expanding its presence outside India in the segments of LNG, petrochemical trading and shale gas assets.
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