Coal India Ltd
Coal India Ltd
Energy F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapCoalEnergyInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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54 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY11–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 6.47%.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 37.9%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 46.8%
Weaknesses
1- Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -2.00%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Coal India Ltd is the world's largest coal producer with a market cap of ~₹2.55 lakh crore, trading at a PE of 8.2x with FY25 EPS of ₹27.61 and a total dividend of ₹26.50 per share (payout ratio ~96%). Revenue stood at ₹1,43,369 crore in FY25 while net profit declined 6% YoY to ₹35,302 crore, reflecting e-auction price softness even as production reached 781 MT.
- Exceptionally low PE of 8.2x versus broader market multiples, indicating undemanding valuation for a Maharatna PSU with ₹2.55 lakh crore market cap
- Dividend yield of ~5.12% with FY25 total payout of ₹26.50 per share (265% of face value), representing a payout ratio of approximately 96%
- Strong 3-year ROE track record of 38.2% and 5-year average ROE of 42%, demonstrating high capital efficiency for a mining business
- Massive ₹68,000 crore capex plan over FY27-FY30 to expand capacity, strengthen infrastructure, and diversify into solar (target 3,000 MW by FY28)
- India's coal import dependence has fallen to 42% in FY25 from 47% in FY17, driven by higher domestic production — positioning CIL as the primary beneficiary of import substitution
- FY26 production target of 875 MT and offtake target of 900 MT implies ~12% volume growth over FY25 actual production of 781 MT
- Subsidiary listing plans (MCL and SECL IPOs) could unlock significant value from individual mine-level valuations
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 20% and stock CAGR of 23% over 3 years demonstrate strong medium-term wealth creation
- FY25 net profit declined 6% YoY to ₹35,302 crore and TTM compounded profit growth is negative at -6%, signalling earnings pressure
- E-auction realisations fell 7% in Q1FY25 to ₹5,589 crore as auction premiums normalised from post-COVID highs, compressing margins
- FY25 production of 781 MT missed the internal target of 838 MT by 7%, raising execution credibility concerns
- India's average coal plant PLF is projected to fall from ~69% in FY25 as coal shifts from baseload to flexible balancing by FY32, indicating structural demand risk from renewables
- Promoter (Government of India) holding decreased by 2% in the last quarter, signalling potential further stake dilution via OFS
- 10-year stock CAGR of only 2% despite strong recent years, reflecting long periods of value erosion and cyclicality
- Revenue growth has slowed to 6% TTM and 7% over 3 years, suggesting limited pricing power in the regulated fuel supply agreement segment
- Renewable energy capacity at just 247 MW as of December 2025 against a 3,000 MW FY28 target highlights early-stage diversification with execution risk
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- YTD production down 4.3% Aug 1
Despite strong July numbers, Coal India's year-to-date production fell 4.3%, indicating cumulative output challenges in FY27 so far.
- Q1FY27 production drops 7% Jul 27
Coal India's Q1FY27 coal production fell 7% YoY to 169.63 MT, suggesting operational or seasonal constraints despite rising offtake.
- Safety concerns persist Aug 7
FY26 BRSR filing discloses 11 employee fatalities and Scope 1 emissions of 281.90 Mn MT, highlighting ongoing safety and ESG risks.
- July offtake surges 17.4% Aug 1
Coal India's July 2026 off-take rose 17.4% YoY to 63.7 million tonnes, with production up 8.4% to 50.4 MT, signalling strong demand recovery.
- Q1FY27 revenue up 8% Jul 27
Consolidated revenue rose 8% to ₹46,255 crore in Q1FY27, with PAT of ₹8,850 crore (up 0.7% YoY), showing steady profitability.
- Dual dividends announced Jul 27
Board declared ₹5.50/share interim dividend for FY27 (record date Jul 31) and ₹5.25/share final dividend for FY26 (record date Sep 4), totalling ₹10.75/share.
- E-auction prices up 41% Aug 1
July 2026 SWMA e-auction realizations rose 41% over notified prices with 33% allocation rate; North Coalfield achieved 100% allocation.
- Renewable energy expansion Jul 27
Board approved ₹22.2 lakh investment in CRAUL rights issue for solar/wind projects in Rajasthan; 200 MW solar commissioned at Khavda, Gujarat on Jul 15.
- ArcelorMittal syn-gas MoU signed Aug 12
Non-binding MoU with AMNS on Aug 12 to explore syn-gas utilization from coal gasification at Paradip with CCUS technology; feasibility study to follow.
- Eyeing Wealth Minerals Chile Aug 11
Coal India reportedly considering acquisition of Canada-based Wealth Minerals' Chile division for international expansion; no financial terms disclosed.
- 52nd AGM set for Aug 31 Aug 7
AGM scheduled for August 31, 2026 via VC/OAVM, with agenda covering dividend declarations, director appointments, and cost auditor ratification.
- Director HR changes Jul 28
Dr. Vinay Ranjan ceased as Director (HR) on Jul 28; Mukesh Choudhary given additional charge for three months. ED C. Jayadev also retired on Aug 1.
- Independent Director appointed Jul 18
Smt. Sona Kumari appointed as non-official Independent Director for three years effective July 18, 2026, by the Ministry of Coal.
- No new promoter encumbrances Jul 27
Coal India confirms promoters created no new encumbrances on shareholdings during FY26, maintaining clean promoter holding structure.
TL;DR: Coal India shows strong demand momentum with July offtake surging 17.4% and e-auction premiums of 41%, while Q1FY27 revenue grew 8% to ₹46,255 crore. However, production remains a concern with Q1 output down 7% and YTD down 4.3%, creating a demand-supply gap. Shareholder returns are robust with ₹10.75/share in combined dividends, and diversification into renewables and coal gasification is progressing. The trend is cautiously positive if production catches up to demand in H2, but sustained output shortfalls could pressure margins.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 35,983 | 32,776 | 36,154 | 38,213 | 36,465 | 31,182 | 36,859 | 37,825 | 42,919 | 30,187 | 34,924 | 46,490 | 46,255 |
| Expenses | 22,431 | 22,738 | 23,183 | 26,826 | 22,126 | 22,565 | 24,541 | 26,034 | 30,331 | 23,471 | 25,593 | 33,817 | 34,186 |
| Operating Profit | 13,552 | 10,038 | 12,971 | 11,388 | 14,339 | 8,617 | 12,317 | 11,790 | 12,588 | 6,716 | 9,331 | 12,673 | 12,069 |
| OPM % | 38% | 31% | 36% | 30% | 39% | 28% | 33% | 31% | 29% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 26% |
| Other Income | 1,538 | 2,074 | 2,489 | 2,318 | 1,970 | 1,642 | 2,214 | 4,106 | 1,760 | 2,350 | 2,680 | 5,244 | 2,281 |
| Interest | 178 | 182 | 227 | 232 | 209 | 208 | 226 | 241 | 265 | 287 | 321 | 344 | 327 |
| Depreciation | 1,527 | 1,594 | 1,723 | 1,892 | 1,952 | 1,898 | 2,513 | 2,782 | 2,307 | 2,664 | 2,218 | 2,947 | 2,303 |
| PBT | 13,385 | 10,336 | 13,510 | 11,582 | 14,147 | 8,153 | 11,792 | 12,873 | 11,776 | 6,115 | 9,473 | 14,627 | 11,719 |
| Tax % | 22% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 10,498 | 8,049 | 10,292 | 8,530 | 10,944 | 6,275 | 8,491 | 9,593 | 8,788 | 4,263 | 7,166 | 10,908 | 8,850 |
| EPS in Rs | 17.08 | 13.06 | 16.64 | 13.91 | 17.78 | 10.21 | 13.8 | 15.58 | 14.27 | 7.07 | 11.61 | 17.59 | 14.36 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 74,120 | 77,861 | 78,164 | 85,244 | 99,586 | 96,080 | 90,026 | 1,09,715 | 1,38,252 | 1,44,762 | 1,69,177 | 1,68,400 | 1,57,856 |
| Expenses | 56,777 | 59,147 | 65,716 | 75,956 | 74,579 | 74,500 | 71,398 | 84,995 | 94,020 | 96,791 | 1,26,075 | 1,31,228 | 1,17,067 |
| Operating Profit | 17,343 | 18,714 | 12,448 | 9,288 | 25,007 | 21,581 | 18,628 | 24,721 | 44,232 | 47,971 | 43,102 | 37,172 | 40,789 |
| OPM % | 23% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 25% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 32% | 33% | 25% | 22% | 26% |
| Other Income | 6,570 | 5,939 | 5,316 | 4,975 | 5,834 | 6,444 | 3,742 | 3,866 | 6,560 | 8,396 | 14,037 | 16,104 | 12,555 |
| Interest | 9 | 388 | 410 | 430 | 264 | 503 | 642 | 541 | 684 | 819 | 884 | 1,216 | 1,278 |
| Depreciation | 2,320 | 2,826 | 2,907 | 3,063 | 3,450 | 3,451 | 3,718 | 4,429 | 6,833 | 6,735 | 9,092 | 10,137 | 10,132 |
| PBT | 21,584 | 21,440 | 14,446 | 10,770 | 27,127 | 24,071 | 18,009 | 23,616 | 43,275 | 48,813 | 47,163 | 41,923 | 41,933 |
| Tax % | 36% | 33% | 36% | 35% | 36% | 31% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 13,727 | 14,267 | 9,280 | 7,038 | 17,464 | 16,700 | 12,702 | 17,378 | 31,723 | 37,369 | 35,450 | 31,071 | 31,186 |
| EPS in Rs | 21.73 | 22.59 | 14.95 | 11.34 | 28.34 | 27.12 | 20.61 | 28.17 | 51.54 | 60.69 | 57.61 | 50.46 | 50.63 |
| Div. Payout % | 95% | 121% | 133% | 146% | 46% | 44% | 78% | 60% | 47% | 42% | 46% | 53% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 6,316 | 6,316 | 6,207 | 6,207 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 |
| Reserves | 34,037 | 28,517 | 18,311 | 13,971 | 20,292 | 25,994 | 30,355 | 36,980 | 54,680 | 76,567 | 95,558 | 1,12,939 |
| Borrowings | 408 | 1,199 | 3,014 | 1,538 | 2,210 | 6,434 | 5,884 | 3,514 | 4,331 | 6,523 | 9,146 | 14,072 |
| Other Liabilities | 70,505 | 77,528 | 91,054 | 1,03,754 | 1,04,356 | 1,11,430 | 1,18,649 | 1,32,780 | 1,56,222 | 1,47,217 | 1,47,311 | 1,50,782 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,11,267 | 1,13,560 | 1,18,587 | 1,25,471 | 1,33,021 | 1,50,020 | 1,61,051 | 1,79,436 | 2,21,396 | 2,36,470 | 2,58,177 | 2,83,956 |
| Fixed Assets | 16,115 | 22,082 | 23,811 | 27,574 | 32,618 | 36,784 | 42,405 | 46,677 | 64,547 | 75,668 | 82,148 | 87,252 |
| CWIP | 5,159 | 4,553 | 8,585 | 10,273 | 9,658 | 8,328 | 10,490 | 12,897 | 17,622 | 18,960 | 22,385 | 23,413 |
| Investments | 2,813 | 2,906 | 1,483 | 1,704 | 3,170 | 1,973 | 5,950 | 8,921 | 7,139 | 7,110 | 7,591 | 10,226 |
| Other Assets | 87,179 | 84,018 | 84,708 | 85,920 | 87,576 | 1,02,936 | 1,02,206 | 1,10,942 | 1,32,087 | 1,34,731 | 1,46,054 | 1,63,066 |
| Total Assets | 1,11,267 | 1,13,560 | 1,18,587 | 1,25,471 | 1,33,021 | 1,50,020 | 1,61,051 | 1,79,436 | 2,21,396 | 2,36,470 | 2,58,177 | 2,83,956 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 14,382 | 13,154 | 16,461 | 21,115 | 16,356 | 4,977 | 10,592 | 41,107 | 35,734 | 18,103 | 30,237 | 43,215 |
| Investing | 894 | 8,154 | 455 | -7,747 | -7,896 | 1,033 | 182 | -25,715 | -23,465 | -4,486 | -11,114 | -33,955 |
| Financing | -15,026 | -19,587 | -17,598 | -13,564 | -10,885 | -4,791 | -8,453 | -13,441 | -13,704 | -13,899 | -13,308 | -11,801 |
| Net Cash Flow | 250 | 1,721 | -682 | -196 | -2,426 | 1,219 | 2,321 | 1,951 | -1,436 | -282 | 5,815 | -2,541 |
| Free Cash Flow | 9,480 | 7,368 | 7,785 | 12,586 | 9,356 | -612 | -260 | 29,111 | 20,523 | 1,353 | 15,958 | 30,783 |
| CFO/OP | 138 | 112 | 204 | 307 | 105 | 48 | 86 | 189 | 103 | 62 | 97 | 129 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 42 | 54 | 58 | 27 | 20 | 55 | 80 | 38 | 34 | 33 | 27 | 31 |
| Inventory Days | 375 | 541 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Days Payable | 50 | 215 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 367 | 380 | 58 | 27 | 20 | 55 | 80 | 38 | 34 | 33 | 27 | 31 |
| Working Capital Days | 0 | 9 | -23 | -59 | -34 | 23 | 54 | -3 | -11 | 25 | -4 | 4 |
| ROCE % | 52% | 57% | 46% | 45% | 107% | 72% | 46% | 54% | 78% | 64% | 48% | 35% |
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Company Information
Coal India Ltd is mainly engaged in mining and production of Coal and also operates Coal washeries. The major consumers of the company are power and steel sectors. Consumers from other sectors include cement, fertilizers, brick kilns