Coal India Ltd
Coal India Ltd
Energy F&OCoal India Ltd is mainly engaged in mining and production of Coal and also operates Coal washeries. The major consumers of the company are power and steel sectors. Consumers from other sectors include cement, fertilizers, brick kilns
Coal India offers compelling value at a PE of 8.8x with a 5.96% dividend yield and 3-year ROE of 38%. While TTM profit decline of -12% is concerning, majority analyst consensus (54% Buy) and strong capital return policy support accumulation at current levels.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapCoalEnergyTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 6.00%.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 38.2%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 47.1%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Coal India offers compelling value at a PE of 8.8x with a 5.96% dividend yield and 3-year ROE of 38%. While TTM profit decline of -12% is concerning, majority analyst consensus (54% Buy) and strong capital return policy support accumulation at current levels.
- Attractive valuation at PE of 8.8x, significantly below broader market average of 20-22x
- High dividend yield of 5.96% with consistent payout ratio of 47.1%, providing strong income support
- Exceptional 3-year ROE of 38% and 5-year ROE of 42% indicating efficient capital allocation
- 54% of analysts rate it a Buy with total 13 Buy ratings out of 24, reflecting positive street consensus
- Stock CAGR of 25% over 3 years demonstrates strong price momentum and re-rating potential
- Compounded sales growth of 13% over 5 years shows steady volume and realization improvement
- Market cap of Rs 2,74,272 crore provides deep liquidity and index weight for institutional investors
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 20% reflects structural earnings improvement over a full cycle
- TTM compounded profit has declined -12%, signaling near-term earnings pressure from rising costs or e-auction softness
- 3-year compounded profit growth is -1%, indicating earnings have stagnated after the post-COVID spike
- 20.83% of analysts rate it a Sell, with 5 out of 24 analysts bearish on structural energy transition risks
- 10-year stock CAGR of only 4% highlights prolonged periods of underperformance and value traps
- Last year ROE dropped to 29% from 3-year average of 38%, suggesting declining return trajectory
- Secular ESG and energy transition headwinds could compress PE multiples further from already low 8.8x
- TTM sales growth of 17% has not translated into profit growth (-12% TTM), indicating margin compression
- 10-year compounded profit growth of only 8% lags the broader market earnings growth of 12-14%
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Production drops 11.6% in May Jun 1
Coal India output fell 11.6% YoY to 56.1 MT in May 2026 vs 63.5 MT, with declines across MCL, WCL, BCCL, and ECL subsidiaries. Coal inventories at power plants dropped to 16-17 days vs normal 24 days amid record 270.82 GW peak power demand.
- 40 lakh tonnes coal missing Jun 14
Union coal minister revealed nearly 40 lakh tonnes of coal are missing, creating widespread concern across the industry and expected volatility for Coal India stock.
- Govt 2% OFS supply overhang May 27
Government sold 2% stake (12.32 crore shares) at ₹412 floor price, causing a 6.49% intraday drop to ₹428.40. Promoter holding reduced from 63.13% to 61.13%, raising ₹5,549 crore.
- BSE fines ₹5.45 lakh May 27
BSE imposed a ₹5.45 lakh fine on Coal India for Q4FY26 non-compliance with SEBI LODR regulations regarding board appointments.
- ESG limits foreign investment May 28
Foreign investors and green-focused funds continue avoiding Coal India due to ESG restrictions on carbon-emitting businesses, limiting global institutional participation.
- Strong Q4FY26 financials Jun 5
Consolidated net profit rose 12.9% YoY to ₹10,839 crore with revenue up 5.75% to ₹46,490 crore. EBITDA hit ₹12,300 crore (26.5% margin), up 8% YoY and 57% QoQ.
- Record 35 MT coal auction offer Jun 5
Coal India offered a record 35 MT of high-GCV coal under linkage auction on June 12, targeting sponge iron sector to curb imports. Also offered 57.8 MT under short-term and 69.2 MT under medium/long-term auctions in Jan-May.
- OFS oversubscribed 8.14x May 27
Institutional investors bid ₹19,000 crore (45.15 crore shares) at indicative price of ₹436.69, demonstrating strong investor confidence. Government exercised full green shoe option.
- Offtake rises to record 66.7 MT Jun 1
Despite production decline, May offtake grew 2.2% YoY to 66.7 MT, the highest monthly level since August last year, indicating robust demand from power and industrial sectors.
- Consistent dividend yield ~5.8-7.2% May 29
Coal India maintains quarterly dividend policy since 2021 with projected FY27 dividend of ₹29.6/share. At OFS floor price of ₹412, implied yield is 7.2%, beating SBI's highest FD rate of 6.45%.
- Subsidiary listing value unlock May 28
Deven Choksey highlighted potential value unlocking through separate listing of 10 subsidiaries including Mahanadi Coalfields, projecting stock could double in 4 years from current levels.
- Record power demand supports coal Jun 1
India's peak power demand hit record 270.82 GW on May 21, with coal accounting for ~70% of power generation, reinforcing Coal India's strategic importance in energy security.
- Cost auditor appointed FY27 Jun 16
Coal India appointed M/s Bandyopadhyaya Bhaumik & Co. as cost auditor for FY 2026-27 standalone financial statements.
- Technical resistance at ₹458-473 Jun 14
Analysts identify key resistance at ₹458 and ₹473 with strong support at ₹427-420 zone, recommending wait-and-see approach until price declares direction.
- Special window for share transfer Jun 11
Coal India announced a special window for re-lodgement of physical share transfer requests, published in Financial Express and Aajkal on June 11, 2026.
- SWMA e-auction 84.2 LT in May Jun 1
Coal India disclosed provisional SWMA e-auction allocation of 84.20 lakh tonnes in May 2026 and 201.94 lakh tonnes cumulative for FY27 (Apr-May).
- ED (HR) retires on superannuation Jun 1
Shri Goutam Banerjee relinquished charge as Executive Director (HR) effective June 1, 2026, upon attaining superannuation.
- ₹17.44 cr block trade on NSE Jun 1
Institutional block trade of approximately 374,843 shares executed at ₹465.35 per share on NSE, totaling ₹17.44 crore.
- FY27 production target 815 MT Jun 1
Coal India set FY27 production target of 815 MT despite slow start, with coal requirement projected at 906 MT. Management focused on reducing inventory levels in May.
TL;DR: Coal India delivered strong Q4FY26 financials (PAT +12.9%, revenue +5.75%) and its OFS saw 8.14x oversubscription reflecting institutional confidence, but May production fell 11.6% amid record power demand creating near-term supply concerns. The stock offers compelling 5.8-7.2% dividend yield and trades at an attractive 8-9x PE, with potential subsidiary listings as a catalyst. Key risks are the 40 lakh tonne coal shortage revelation, ESG-driven foreign investor avoidance, and whether production can recover to meet the 815 MT FY27 target as power demand hits record highs.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 38,152 | 35,983 | 32,776 | 36,154 | 38,213 | 36,465 | 31,182 | 36,859 | 37,825 | 35,842 | 30,187 | 34,924 | 46,490 |
| Expenses | 28,819 | 22,431 | 22,738 | 23,183 | 26,826 | 22,126 | 22,565 | 24,541 | 26,034 | 23,321 | 23,471 | 25,593 | 33,817 |
| Operating Profit | 9,333 | 13,552 | 10,038 | 12,971 | 11,388 | 14,339 | 8,617 | 12,317 | 11,790 | 12,521 | 6,716 | 9,331 | 12,673 |
| OPM % | 24% | 38% | 31% | 36% | 30% | 39% | 28% | 33% | 31% | 35% | 22% | 27% | 27% |
| Other Income | 2,291 | 1,538 | 2,074 | 2,489 | 2,318 | 1,970 | 1,642 | 2,214 | 4,106 | 1,760 | 2,350 | 2,680 | 5,244 |
| Interest | 195 | 178 | 182 | 227 | 232 | 209 | 208 | 226 | 241 | 265 | 287 | 321 | 344 |
| Depreciation | 1,860 | 1,527 | 1,594 | 1,723 | 1,892 | 1,952 | 1,898 | 2,513 | 2,782 | 2,307 | 2,664 | 2,218 | 2,947 |
| PBT | 9,569 | 13,385 | 10,336 | 13,510 | 11,582 | 14,147 | 8,153 | 11,792 | 12,873 | 11,709 | 6,115 | 9,473 | 14,627 |
| Tax % | 28% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 6,869 | 10,498 | 8,049 | 10,292 | 8,530 | 10,944 | 6,275 | 8,491 | 9,593 | 8,734 | 4,263 | 7,166 | 10,908 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.16 | 17.08 | 13.06 | 16.64 | 13.91 | 17.78 | 10.21 | 13.8 | 15.58 | 14.19 | 7.07 | 11.61 | 17.59 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 74,120 | 77,861 | 78,164 | 85,244 | 99,586 | 96,080 | 90,026 | 1,09,715 | 1,38,252 | 1,44,762 | 1,43,369 | 1,68,400 |
| Expenses | 56,777 | 59,147 | 65,716 | 75,956 | 74,579 | 74,500 | 71,398 | 84,995 | 94,020 | 96,791 | 96,305 | 1,27,158 |
| Operating Profit | 17,343 | 18,714 | 12,448 | 9,288 | 25,007 | 21,581 | 18,628 | 24,721 | 44,232 | 47,971 | 47,064 | 41,242 |
| OPM % | 23% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 25% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 24% |
| Other Income | 6,570 | 5,939 | 5,316 | 4,975 | 5,834 | 6,444 | 3,742 | 3,866 | 6,560 | 8,396 | 9,932 | 12,034 |
| Interest | 9 | 388 | 410 | 430 | 264 | 503 | 642 | 541 | 684 | 819 | 884 | 1,216 |
| Depreciation | 2,320 | 2,826 | 2,907 | 3,063 | 3,450 | 3,451 | 3,718 | 4,429 | 6,833 | 6,735 | 9,145 | 10,137 |
| PBT | 21,584 | 21,440 | 14,446 | 10,770 | 27,127 | 24,071 | 18,009 | 23,616 | 43,275 | 48,813 | 46,966 | 41,923 |
| Tax % | 36% | 33% | 36% | 35% | 36% | 31% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 13,727 | 14,267 | 9,280 | 7,038 | 17,464 | 16,700 | 12,702 | 17,378 | 31,723 | 37,369 | 35,302 | 31,071 |
| EPS in Rs | 21.73 | 22.59 | 14.95 | 11.34 | 28.34 | 27.12 | 20.61 | 28.17 | 51.54 | 60.69 | 57.37 | 50.46 |
| Div. Payout % | 95% | 121% | 133% | 146% | 46% | 44% | 78% | 60% | 47% | 42% | 46% | 53% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 6,316 | 6,316 | 6,207 | 6,207 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 | 6,163 |
| Reserves | 34,037 | 28,517 | 18,311 | 13,971 | 20,292 | 25,994 | 30,355 | 36,980 | 54,680 | 76,567 | 92,942 | 1,12,939 |
| Borrowings | 408 | 1,199 | 3,014 | 1,538 | 2,210 | 6,434 | 5,884 | 3,514 | 4,331 | 6,523 | 9,146 | 14,072 |
| Other Liabilities | 70,505 | 77,528 | 91,054 | 1,03,754 | 1,04,356 | 1,11,430 | 1,18,649 | 1,32,780 | 1,56,222 | 1,47,217 | 1,50,735 | 1,52,487 |
| Total Liabilities | 1,11,267 | 1,13,560 | 1,18,587 | 1,25,471 | 1,33,021 | 1,50,020 | 1,61,051 | 1,79,436 | 2,21,396 | 2,36,470 | 2,58,985 | 2,85,660 |
| Fixed Assets | 16,115 | 22,082 | 23,811 | 27,574 | 32,618 | 36,784 | 42,405 | 46,677 | 64,547 | 75,668 | 82,865 | 91,846 |
| CWIP | 5,159 | 4,553 | 8,585 | 10,273 | 9,658 | 8,328 | 10,490 | 12,897 | 17,622 | 18,960 | 22,385 | 15,834 |
| Investments | 2,813 | 2,906 | 1,483 | 1,704 | 3,170 | 1,973 | 5,950 | 8,921 | 7,139 | 7,110 | 7,591 | 10,226 |
| Other Assets | 87,179 | 84,018 | 84,708 | 85,920 | 87,576 | 1,02,936 | 1,02,206 | 1,10,942 | 1,32,087 | 1,34,731 | 1,46,144 | 1,67,754 |
| Total Assets | 1,11,267 | 1,13,560 | 1,18,587 | 1,25,471 | 1,33,021 | 1,50,020 | 1,61,051 | 1,79,436 | 2,21,396 | 2,36,470 | 2,58,985 | 2,85,660 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 14,382 | 13,154 | 16,461 | 21,115 | 16,356 | 4,977 | 10,592 | 41,107 | 35,734 | 18,103 | 29,200 | 43,215 |
| Investing | 894 | 8,154 | 455 | -7,747 | -7,896 | 1,033 | 182 | -25,715 | -23,465 | -4,486 | -10,076 | -33,955 |
| Financing | -15,026 | -19,587 | -17,598 | -13,564 | -10,885 | -4,791 | -8,453 | -13,441 | -13,704 | -13,899 | -13,308 | -11,801 |
| Net Cash Flow | 250 | 1,721 | -682 | -196 | -2,426 | 1,219 | 2,321 | 1,951 | -1,436 | -282 | 5,815 | -2,541 |
| Free Cash Flow | 9,480 | 7,368 | 7,785 | 12,586 | 9,356 | -612 | -260 | 29,111 | 20,523 | 1,353 | 15,960 | 31,191 |
| CFO/OP | 138 | 112 | 204 | 307 | 105 | 48 | 86 | 189 | 103 | 62 | 87 | 116 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 42 | 54 | 58 | 27 | 20 | 55 | 80 | 38 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 |
| Inventory Days | 375 | 541 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Days Payable | 50 | 215 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 367 | 380 | 58 | 27 | 20 | 55 | 80 | 38 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 |
| Working Capital Days | 0 | 9 | -23 | -59 | -34 | 23 | 54 | -3 | -11 | 25 | -14 | 11 |
| ROCE % | 52% | 57% | 46% | 45% | 107% | 72% | 46% | 54% | 78% | 64% | 48% | 35% |
Documents
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Company Information
Coal India Ltd is mainly engaged in mining and production of Coal and also operates Coal washeries. The major consumers of the company are power and steel sectors. Consumers from other sectors include cement, fertilizers, brick kilns