CCL Products (India) Ltd
CCL Products (India) Ltd
Fast Moving Consumer GoodsCCL Products (India) is engaged in the production, trading and distribution of Coffee. The Company has business operations mainly in India, Vietnam and Switzerland countries.(Source : 202003 Annual Report Page No:119)
CCL Products delivers strong revenue growth (29% CAGR over 5 years) backed by consistent ROE of 18% and active debt reduction. However, at a PE of 39.6x and PB of 6.55x, valuations are stretched, warranting a moderate-confidence BUY for investors with a 2-3 year horizon.
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapTea & CoffeeConsumer GoodsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is expected to give good quarter
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 21.8%
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 6.65 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
CCL Products delivers strong revenue growth (29% CAGR over 5 years) backed by consistent ROE of 18% and active debt reduction. However, at a PE of 39.6x and PB of 6.55x, valuations are stretched, warranting a moderate-confidence BUY for investors with a 2-3 year horizon.
- TTM sales growth of 44% indicates a strong demand acceleration in the instant coffee export market
- 5-year compounded sales CAGR of 29% demonstrates sustained top-line momentum well above FMCG sector averages
- Consistent ROE of 17-18% over 3, 5, and 10-year periods reflects efficient capital allocation and stable profitability
- Stock CAGR of 40% over the past 1 year shows strong market confidence and price momentum
- Company has actively reduced debt, improving balance sheet quality and lowering financial risk
- 63.64% of analyst ratings are Buy (7 out of 11 analysts), reflecting broad Street consensus
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 17% and profit CAGR of 12% demonstrate long-term structural growth in the global coffee outsourcing opportunity
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 21.8% signals management confidence in sustained cash generation
- PE ratio of 39.6x is expensive relative to the 25% TTM profit growth, implying a PEG ratio above 1.5x
- Price-to-book of 6.55x is elevated for a manufacturing-heavy business, leaving limited margin of safety
- Profit CAGR of 11% over 3 years significantly lags sales CAGR of 29%, suggesting margin compression or rising input costs
- Dividend yield of just 0.24% offers negligible income support at current elevated valuations
- 9.09% of analysts rate the stock a Sell, indicating not all Street participants are convinced at current levels
- 5-year profit CAGR of 16% versus sales CAGR of 29% shows operating leverage has not fully translated to bottom-line growth
- Market cap of Rs 15,607 crore on what appears to be sub-Rs 400 crore annual profit implies the stock is pricing in several years of flawless execution
- 10-year stock CAGR of 17% versus recent 1-year return of 40% suggests recent rally may have front-loaded future returns
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Freeze-dried capacity near full Jun 8
Freeze-dried coffee capacity is already running at relatively high utilisation levels, limiting scope for a sharp increase in its higher-margin contribution.
- Geopolitical logistics disruption risk Jun 8
Geopolitical tensions are affecting logistics to some extent, though CCL's supply chain sourcing from Brazil and Southeast Asia remains relatively insulated.
- EBITDA growth capped at 15% Jun 8
CEO Praveen Jaipuriar indicated management is maintaining EBITDA growth guidance at ~15% for FY27 rather than pushing to 20-25% levels, suggesting a conservative ceiling.
- Strong Q4FY26 revenue up 46% Jun 8
Q4FY26 turnover reached ₹1,226.39 crore vs ₹839.65 crore YoY, with EBITDA up 16% to ₹193.76 crore and net profit up 12% to ₹114.53 crore on 18% volume growth.
- Coffee prices down 23% from highs Jun 8
Global coffee prices have declined over 23% from record highs with better Brazilian crop expected, easing raw material costs and encouraging customers to sign long-term contracts.
- 15% volume & earnings growth guided Jun 8
CEO confirmed ~15% growth guidance in both volumes and earnings for FY27, with capacity utilization at 65% providing significant headroom for expansion.
- Stock surged 9%, hit 52-week high Jun 8
Shares jumped 9% to ₹1,171.50 with 12x average volume (3.16 million shares traded); stock hit 52-week high of ₹1,216.80 on May 7 and is up 32% over the past year.
- Cost-plus model shields margins Jun 8
CCL procures coffee against confirmed customer orders on a cost-plus basis, preserving EBITDA per kilogram rather than percentage margins amid commodity volatility.
- Continental brand gaining share Jun 8
Domestic Continental brand continues to gain market share with expansion into key markets like Delhi and Mumbai; small-pack business expected to continue supporting profitability.
- Axis Direct Buy at ₹1,185 target Jun 8
Axis Direct maintains a Buy rating with a target price of ₹1,185 per share, citing margin recovery and improved supply conditions.
- Q1 demand remained strong Jun 8
CCL Products reported strong demand during Q1 FY27 as highlighted by CNBC TV18, reflecting positive business momentum continuing from Q4FY26.
- Multiple investor meets scheduled Jun 16
CCL Products participating in three investor conferences between Jun 15-19: NBIE Virtual (Jun 15), Systematix Forum Mumbai (Jun 16), and Ashika Group virtual meet (Jun 19).
TL;DR: CCL Products is firing on most cylinders with 46% Q4FY26 revenue growth, 18% volume growth, and a 15% guidance for FY27 supported by 65% capacity utilization and a protective cost-plus model. The 23% decline in global coffee prices from highs is a clear tailwind for margins and customer contract visibility. Key risks are limited to freeze-dried capacity constraints and a conservative management ceiling on EBITDA growth. The trend is improving with easing input costs and strong demand continuing into Q1 FY27.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 520 | 655 | 608 | 664 | 727 | 773 | 738 | 758 | 836 | 1,056 | 1,127 | 1,051 | 1,224 |
| Expenses | 407 | 549 | 498 | 554 | 609 | 643 | 601 | 634 | 673 | 897 | 930 | 866 | 1,033 |
| Operating Profit | 113 | 106 | 110 | 111 | 118 | 130 | 137 | 124 | 163 | 159 | 197 | 185 | 192 |
| OPM % | 22% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% |
| Other Income | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Interest | 11 | 15 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 27 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 30 |
| Depreciation | 10 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 39 | 40 |
| PBT | 95 | 69 | 70 | 67 | 70 | 87 | 87 | 72 | 106 | 94 | 127 | 116 | 123 |
| Tax % | 10% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 7% |
| Net Profit | 85 | 61 | 61 | 63 | 65 | 71 | 74 | 63 | 102 | 72 | 101 | 100 | 115 |
| EPS in Rs | 6.41 | 4.56 | 4.57 | 4.76 | 4.88 | 5.35 | 5.54 | 4.72 | 7.63 | 5.43 | 7.55 | 7.51 | 8.58 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 881 | 932 | 976 | 1,138 | 1,081 | 1,139 | 1,242 | 1,462 | 2,071 | 2,654 | 3,106 | 4,457 |
| Expenses | 709 | 727 | 744 | 899 | 836 | 853 | 945 | 1,131 | 1,671 | 2,208 | 2,551 | 3,724 |
| Operating Profit | 171 | 205 | 232 | 239 | 245 | 286 | 298 | 331 | 400 | 445 | 555 | 733 |
| OPM % | 19% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 16% |
| Other Income | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Interest | 14 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 34 | 78 | 113 | 129 |
| Depreciation | 27 | 28 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 47 | 49 | 57 | 64 | 98 | 98 | 152 |
| PBT | 134 | 167 | 189 | 202 | 209 | 225 | 235 | 261 | 305 | 276 | 352 | 461 |
| Tax % | 30% | 27% | 29% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% |
| Net Profit | 94 | 122 | 135 | 148 | 155 | 166 | 182 | 204 | 284 | 250 | 310 | 388 |
| EPS in Rs | 7.06 | 9.18 | 10.12 | 11.14 | 11.64 | 12.47 | 13.7 | 15.36 | 21.35 | 18.73 | 23.24 | 29.07 |
| Div. Payout % | 21% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 30% | 40% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 20% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| Reserves | 395 | 483 | 602 | 713 | 812 | 902 | 1,061 | 1,224 | 1,471 | 1,647 | 1,941 | 2,318 |
| Borrowings | 229 | 210 | 142 | 311 | 416 | 469 | 559 | 655 | 920 | 1,622 | 1,815 | 1,324 |
| Other Liabilities | 111 | 81 | 78 | 83 | 166 | 112 | 142 | 164 | 180 | 240 | 459 | 657 |
| Total Liabilities | 762 | 801 | 848 | 1,134 | 1,422 | 1,509 | 1,788 | 2,070 | 2,597 | 3,536 | 4,241 | 4,326 |
| Fixed Assets | 340 | 417 | 393 | 371 | 383 | 724 | 798 | 882 | 1,257 | 1,252 | 1,622 | 2,027 |
| CWIP | 53 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 424 | 100 | 149 | 160 | 54 | 501 | 450 | 3 |
| Investments | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Other Assets | 367 | 382 | 453 | 535 | 613 | 684 | 841 | 1,028 | 1,286 | 1,783 | 2,169 | 2,293 |
| Total Assets | 762 | 801 | 848 | 1,134 | 1,422 | 1,509 | 1,788 | 2,070 | 2,597 | 3,536 | 4,241 | 4,326 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 105 | 161 | 102 | 145 | 162 | 91 | 171 | 116 | 173 | 55 | 290 | 858 |
| Investing | -19 | -87 | -20 | -247 | -175 | -88 | -153 | -192 | -307 | -527 | -415 | -70 |
| Financing | -93 | -82 | -84 | 129 | 42 | -37 | 64 | 9 | 164 | 559 | 53 | -757 |
| Net Cash Flow | -8 | -8 | -2 | 27 | 29 | -35 | 82 | -67 | 30 | 86 | -72 | 32 |
| Free Cash Flow | 84 | 74 | 84 | -78 | -80 | 2 | 16 | -74 | -159 | -458 | -128 | 788 |
| CFO/OP | 86 | 97 | 67 | 84 | 89 | 50 | 66 | 47 | 52 | 19 | 57 | 124 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 47 | 50 | 61 | 58 | 79 | 86 | 88 | 80 | 78 | 68 | 81 | 67 |
| Inventory Days | 116 | 99 | 121 | 97 | 123 | 170 | 198 | 262 | 187 | 185 | 208 | 131 |
| Days Payable | 29 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 13 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 44 | 32 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 134 | 142 | 174 | 150 | 168 | 240 | 272 | 319 | 241 | 230 | 246 | 166 |
| Working Capital Days | 45 | 37 | 81 | 89 | 43 | 103 | 59 | 77 | 58 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| ROCE % | 23% | 26% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 16% |
Documents
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Company Information
CCL Products (India) is engaged in the production, trading and distribution of Coffee. The Company has business operations mainly in India, Vietnam and Switzerland countries.(Source : 202003 Annual Report Page No:119)