Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Energy F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapRefineries & MarketingPetroleum ProductsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 28.5%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.0%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
BPCL trades at a compelling PE of 5.1x with a dividend yield of 5.71%, offering deep value in the energy space. Strong 3-year ROE of 29% and 98% compounded profit CAGR over 3 years support the earnings recovery thesis, though cyclicality and lack of sales growth remain concerns.
- Extremely low PE of 5.1x indicates deep value relative to broader market averages of 20-22x
- Attractive dividend yield of 5.71% provides strong income support and downside protection
- Robust 3-year ROE of 29% demonstrates efficient capital utilization despite being a PSU
- Compounded profit CAGR of 98% over 3 years reflects massive earnings recovery cycle
- 58% of analysts (18 out of 31) rate the stock a Buy, signaling consensus bullishness
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 12% shows consistent long-term earnings trajectory
- Price-to-book of 1.33x is reasonable for a company generating 29% ROE, implying undervaluation
- TTM profit growth of 92% indicates current earnings momentum remains strong
- Compounded sales CAGR of -1% over 3 years indicates stagnant topline growth
- Stock CAGR of -2% over 1 year shows near-term price weakness despite strong earnings
- 25.81% of analysts (8 out of 31) have a Sell rating, a notably high proportion
- 5-year stock CAGR of only 5% despite 16% profit CAGR suggests persistent valuation compression
- As a government-controlled OMC, BPCL faces regulatory risk on fuel pricing with no control over margins
- TTM sales growth of just 3% suggests limited volume or pricing expansion in current cycle
- Dividend payout of 26% is modest given PSU status, indicating potential government dividend extraction pressure
- Cyclical nature of refining margins means current 29% ROE is unlikely to be sustained in a downturn
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Mumbai refinery shutdown Nov 2025 Jun 08
BPCL will shut its 120,000 bpd crude unit at the 200,000 bpd Mumbai refinery for 3-4 weeks in November 2025, reducing 60% of the refinery's crude processing capacity during that period.
- Mozambique project capital exposure Jun 05
BPCL seeks shareholder approval for related party transactions worth up to USD 1,290.50 million and a guarantee of USD 1,920 million for its Mozambique LNG project, representing significant capital commitment and geopolitical risk.
- Brazil FPSO consortium contract signed Jun 01
BPCL subsidiary IBV Brasil Petroleo LTDA signed an FPSO contract for the BM-SEAL-11 Concession involving a USD 2.8 billion investment, expanding upstream E&P presence internationally.
- ₹387 cr piping contract awarded May 30
DEE Development Engineers secured a ₹386.86 crore manufacturing and piping supply contract from BPCL, to be executed by 18 February 2028, indicating ongoing capex and refinery expansion activity.
- ₹51 cr block trade on NSE Jun 17
A block trade of approximately 16.06 lakh shares at ₹318.45 per share worth ₹51.13 crore was recorded on NSE, indicating institutional-level portfolio rebalancing.
- Investor meetings scheduled June May 28
BPCL will hold analyst and institutional investor meetings in Mumbai on June 2, 3, and 5, 2026, signalling routine engagement with the investment community.
- New HR Director appointed May 27
Shri Pushp Kumar Nayar appointed as Director (Human Resources) effective May 27, 2026, bringing over 35 years of experience to the leadership team.
- Share dematerialisation window opened Jun 05
BPCL opened a special window until February 4, 2027, for transfer and dematerialisation of physical securities purchased before April 1, 2019.
- ED Biofuels superannuates Jun 01
Executive Director Shri Manoj K. (Biofuels & Major Projects, E&P) superannuated effective May 31, 2026, a routine leadership transition.
TL;DR: BPCL is actively expanding its international upstream presence with a USD 2.8 billion Brazil FPSO contract and continued commitment to the Mozambique LNG project (USD 3.2 billion in approvals sought). Domestically, the planned November shutdown of its Mumbai refinery's 120,000 bpd crude unit poses a near-term throughput headwind. The stock saw institutional block activity at ₹318.45 suggesting steady institutional interest. Overall trend is stable with international diversification progressing but large capital commitments and refinery downtime remain key risks to monitor.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,18,115 | 1,12,985 | 1,03,044 | 1,15,499 | 1,16,555 | 1,13,095 | 1,02,785 | 1,13,166 | 1,11,230 | 1,12,551 | 1,04,946 | 1,19,029 | 1,18,701 |
| Expenses | 1,07,031 | 97,200 | 90,104 | 1,09,300 | 1,07,600 | 1,07,468 | 98,268 | 1,05,710 | 1,03,494 | 1,02,874 | 95,185 | 1,07,343 | 1,09,067 |
| Operating Profit | 11,085 | 15,785 | 12,941 | 6,199 | 8,955 | 5,627 | 4,517 | 7,456 | 7,737 | 9,678 | 9,761 | 11,687 | 9,634 |
| OPM % | 9% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Other Income | 523 | 1,003 | 911 | 919 | 403 | 807 | 1,278 | 548 | 1,061 | 1,840 | 1,375 | 687 | 940 |
| Interest | 1,148 | 1,071 | 1,190 | 920 | 967 | 889 | 923 | 861 | 919 | 758 | 833 | 657 | 705 |
| Depreciation | 1,605 | 1,614 | 1,605 | 1,830 | 1,722 | 1,686 | 1,779 | 1,810 | 1,982 | 1,889 | 1,958 | 1,979 | 2,031 |
| PBT | 8,854 | 14,103 | 11,056 | 4,367 | 6,669 | 3,859 | 3,094 | 5,333 | 5,897 | 8,872 | 8,345 | 9,737 | 7,838 |
| Tax % | 22% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 28% |
| Net Profit | 6,870 | 10,644 | 8,244 | 3,181 | 4,790 | 2,842 | 2,297 | 3,806 | 4,392 | 6,839 | 6,191 | 7,188 | 5,625 |
| EPS in Rs | 15.84 | 24.53 | 19 | 7.33 | 11.04 | 6.55 | 5.29 | 8.77 | 10.12 | 15.76 | 14.27 | 16.57 | 12.96 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,42,598 | 1,87,815 | 2,01,251 | 2,35,895 | 2,98,226 | 2,84,572 | 2,30,171 | 3,46,791 | 4,73,187 | 4,48,083 | 4,40,272 | 4,55,228 |
| Expenses | 2,32,818 | 1,74,844 | 1,87,468 | 2,20,578 | 2,83,113 | 2,75,597 | 2,09,170 | 3,27,654 | 4,62,288 | 4,04,001 | 4,14,870 | 4,14,026 |
| Operating Profit | 9,780 | 12,971 | 13,783 | 15,317 | 15,112 | 8,975 | 21,001 | 19,137 | 10,899 | 44,082 | 25,401 | 41,202 |
| OPM % | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 9% |
| Other Income | 2,117 | 1,913 | 2,721 | 2,927 | 2,975 | 1,393 | 7,489 | 4,939 | 2,036 | 3,032 | 3,629 | 4,399 |
| Interest | 1,180 | 680 | 696 | 1,186 | 1,764 | 2,637 | 1,723 | 2,606 | 3,745 | 4,149 | 3,591 | 2,953 |
| Depreciation | 3,027 | 2,072 | 2,108 | 2,885 | 3,418 | 4,080 | 4,334 | 5,434 | 6,369 | 6,771 | 7,257 | 7,856 |
| PBT | 7,690 | 12,132 | 13,700 | 14,174 | 12,905 | 3,652 | 22,432 | 16,037 | 2,821 | 36,194 | 18,182 | 34,791 |
| Tax % | 34% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 34% | 0% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 5,082 | 8,089 | 9,507 | 9,792 | 8,528 | 3,666 | 17,320 | 11,682 | 2,131 | 26,859 | 13,337 | 25,843 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.08 | 18.64 | 20.1 | 20.76 | 17.98 | 7.04 | 37.26 | 26.93 | 4.91 | 61.91 | 30.74 | 59.57 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 25% | 49% | 46% | 48% | 106% | 102% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 12% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 723 | 656 | 1,311 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 2,093 | 2,129 | 2,129 | 2,136 | 4,273 | 4,273 |
| Reserves | 21,839 | 27,138 | 29,508 | 34,652 | 36,798 | 34,565 | 51,462 | 49,776 | 51,393 | 73,499 | 77,112 | 95,898 |
| Borrowings | 25,492 | 23,388 | 35,725 | 37,659 | 44,839 | 65,476 | 54,532 | 64,534 | 69,376 | 54,599 | 61,101 | 54,424 |
| Other Liabilities | 38,268 | 35,241 | 42,541 | 46,078 | 53,322 | 48,852 | 52,891 | 71,089 | 65,210 | 72,184 | 75,898 | 94,021 |
| Total Liabilities | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,109 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
| Fixed Assets | 29,109 | 25,358 | 33,684 | 45,539 | 49,315 | 60,175 | 64,098 | 83,901 | 86,675 | 86,798 | 88,628 | 1,10,141 |
| CWIP | 15,787 | 17,459 | 16,834 | 9,875 | 13,654 | 17,757 | 17,037 | 15,433 | 16,249 | 20,204 | 26,387 | 16,394 |
| Investments | 7,712 | 9,401 | 21,327 | 23,725 | 24,907 | 27,029 | 26,768 | 23,616 | 26,778 | 26,631 | 26,531 | 30,136 |
| Other Assets | 33,714 | 34,203 | 37,241 | 41,217 | 49,050 | 45,900 | 53,075 | 64,578 | 58,406 | 68,785 | 76,837 | 91,945 |
| Total Assets | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,109 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 20,742 | 11,119 | 9,041 | 11,068 | 10,157 | 7,881 | 23,455 | 20,336 | 12,466 | 35,970 | 23,678 | 50,769 |
| Investing | -10,536 | -9,233 | -15,274 | -7,066 | -10,451 | -11,135 | -2,474 | -8,138 | -7,806 | -10,554 | -19,180 | -26,067 |
| Financing | -9,792 | -1,332 | 4,804 | -4,218 | 207 | 3,583 | -13,981 | -17,672 | -4,402 | -25,427 | -6,241 | -24,940 |
| Net Cash Flow | 414 | 555 | -1,429 | -215 | -87 | 329 | 7,000 | -5,474 | 257 | -12 | -1,743 | -238 |
| Free Cash Flow | 9,754 | 947 | -417 | 3,384 | -344 | -4,289 | 14,403 | 12,643 | 4,514 | 26,425 | 8,574 | 31,733 |
| CFO/OP | 240 | 111 | 94 | 93 | 86 | 108 | 129 | 115 | 121 | 101 | 109 | 143 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 29 | 34 | 45 | 41 | 32 | 32 | 52 | 51 | 32 | 42 | 43 | 51 |
| Days Payable | 22 | 19 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 37 | 20 | 27 | 29 | 41 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 12 | 19 | 30 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 14 |
| Working Capital Days | -19 | -18 | -31 | -19 | -13 | -30 | -33 | -29 | -20 | -21 | -27 | -32 |
| ROCE % | 17% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 32% | 16% | 26% |
Documents
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Company Information
Bharat Petroleum Corporation is a public sector company which is engaged in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products.[1]