Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
Energy F&OKey Fundamentals
LargecapRefineries & MarketingPetroleum ProductsInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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47 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY06–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
3- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.64%.
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 28.6%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 31.5%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
BPCL trades at a PE of ~8x with a market cap of ₹1,37,552 crore, offering a dividend yield of 5.56%. The company reported a sharp 50% decline in standalone PAT to ₹13,337 crore in FY25 from ₹26,859 crore in FY24, though FY26 has seen a strong recovery with PAT rising 75% YoY to ₹23,303 crore. Refining throughput reached a record 41.15 MMT in FY26 and sales hit 55.72 MMT, but GRM volatility and government pricing controls remain structural overhangs.
- Attractive valuation at PE of ~8x, well below broader market multiples, reflecting significant earnings potential if margins sustain
- High dividend yield of 5.56% with a consistent payout ratio of 31.5%, providing income support to shareholders
- Strong 3-year ROE track record of 29%, indicating efficient capital utilization despite cyclical earnings
- Record refinery throughput of 41.15 MMT and total sales of 55.72 MMT achieved in FY26, demonstrating operational efficiency at 107% capacity utilization
- Aggressive capex of ₹25,000 crore planned for FY27 (up 35% YoY), with major petrochemicals expansion at Bina refinery expected by May 2028, diversifying revenue streams
- FY26 PAT recovered sharply to ₹23,303 crore (up 75% YoY from ₹13,275 crore in FY25), showing earnings resilience after a down year
- Compounded profit growth of 107% over 3 years and 16% over 5 years reflects structural earnings improvement from the FY22 lows
- India's fuel demand growing steadily with domestic sales rising from 51.04 MMT in FY24 to 52.40 MMT in FY25, providing volume tailwinds for the largest retail fuel network
- FY25 standalone PAT fell 50% to ₹13,337 crore from ₹26,859 crore in FY24, demonstrating extreme earnings volatility inherent to the business
- GRM declined sharply to $4.88/bbl in Q1 FY26 from $7.86/bbl in Q1 FY25, highlighting vulnerability to global refining margin cycles
- Government retains 52.98% stake with implicit pricing control on petrol, diesel, and LPG — under-recoveries on LPG remain a recurring drag on profitability
- Stock CAGR of just 5% over 10 years and -1% over 1 year, significantly underperforming broader indices despite periodic earnings spikes
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54x with heavy capex commitments of ₹25,000 crore in FY27 could strain the balance sheet if margins compress again
- Compounded sales growth has been -1% over 3 years, indicating top-line stagnation despite volume increases, as crude price volatility distorts revenue
- Privatization shelved indefinitely since 2022, removing a potential re-rating catalyst and keeping the company subject to government policy directives on fuel pricing
- TTM profit growth is -12%, indicating the most recent earnings trajectory is declining even as the market prices in cyclical recovery
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Q1FY27 net loss ₹3,962 crore Jul 22
BPCL reported standalone net loss of ₹3,962.13 crore in Q1FY27, reversing from ₹3,191.49 crore profit in Q4FY26. EBITDA turned negative at ₹40.77 billion due to suppressed marketing margins.
- High spot market oil dependence Jul 23
Spot market oil purchases surged to 69% in the June quarter from 44% a year ago, exposing BPCL to greater price volatility. Russian crude processing rose to 38%, raising geopolitical supply risk.
- BRSR highlights decarbonization progress Aug 3
BPCL published its FY2025-26 sustainability report showcasing decarbonization milestones, renewable energy expansion, and CSR investments of ₹267.17 crore.
- ₹5,000 crore NCD issuance approved Aug 18
Board approved secured/unsecured NCD issuance up to ₹5,000 crore in up to 10 tranches within one year, strengthening funding flexibility for capex and operations.
- Investor meets at EMKAY, Motilal Aug 7
BPCL scheduled analyst meetings on Aug 12 and Aug 19, 2026 in Mumbai at EMKAY Confluence and Motilal Oswal Global Investor Conference.
- 73rd AGM set for Aug 27 Aug 3
AGM agenda includes digital payments expansion, new director appointments, and cost auditor fee ratification.
- New Chief Procurement Officer appointed Aug 1
Amit Kumar appointed as CPO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Kani Amudhan N who superannuated.
- CMD Khanna gets extended charge Jul 30
Ministry of Petroleum extended additional charge of Director (Refineries) to CMD Sanjay Khanna, consolidating leadership roles.
- Q1FY27 earnings call audio posted Jul 23
Audio recording of unaudited Q1FY27 results conference call held July 23, 2026 made available per SEBI compliance.
- ₹22.72 crore block trade on NSE Jul 20
Approximately 730,294 shares traded at ₹311.10 per share in an institutional block deal worth ₹22.72 crore.
TL;DR: BPCL faces a challenging near-term outlook after posting a steep ₹3,962 crore net loss in Q1FY27 driven by negative marketing margins, while increased spot market procurement (69%) raises cost volatility risk. On the positive side, the ₹5,000 crore NCD approval provides funding headroom and sustainability initiatives signal long-term positioning. The trend is deteriorating on profitability, and recovery hinges on marketing margin normalization and crude price stability in coming quarters.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,12,985 | 1,03,044 | 1,15,499 | 1,16,555 | 1,13,095 | 1,02,785 | 1,13,166 | 1,11,230 | 1,12,551 | 1,04,946 | 1,19,029 | 1,18,701 | 1,51,277 |
| Expenses | 97,200 | 90,104 | 1,09,300 | 1,07,600 | 1,07,468 | 98,268 | 1,05,710 | 1,03,494 | 1,02,874 | 95,185 | 1,07,343 | 1,09,067 | 1,55,332 |
| Operating Profit | 15,785 | 12,941 | 6,199 | 8,955 | 5,627 | 4,517 | 7,456 | 7,737 | 9,678 | 9,761 | 11,687 | 9,634 | -4,055 |
| OPM % | 14% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4.4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | -2.7% |
| Other Income | 1,003 | 911 | 919 | 403 | 807 | 1,278 | 548 | 1,061 | 1,840 | 1,375 | 687 | 940 | 3,535 |
| Interest | 1,071 | 1,190 | 920 | 967 | 889 | 923 | 861 | 919 | 758 | 833 | 657 | 705 | 627 |
| Depreciation | 1,614 | 1,605 | 1,830 | 1,722 | 1,686 | 1,779 | 1,810 | 1,982 | 1,889 | 1,958 | 1,979 | 2,031 | 2,069 |
| PBT | 14,103 | 11,056 | 4,367 | 6,669 | 3,859 | 3,094 | 5,333 | 5,897 | 8,872 | 8,345 | 9,737 | 7,838 | -3,216 |
| Tax % | 25% | 25% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 28% | -42% |
| Net Profit | 10,644 | 8,244 | 3,181 | 4,790 | 2,842 | 2,297 | 3,806 | 4,392 | 6,839 | 6,191 | 7,188 | 5,625 | -1,873 |
| EPS in Rs | 24.53 | 19 | 7.33 | 11.04 | 6.55 | 5.29 | 8.77 | 10.12 | 15.76 | 14.27 | 16.57 | 12.96 | -4.32 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,42,598 | 1,87,815 | 2,01,251 | 2,35,895 | 2,98,226 | 2,84,572 | 2,30,171 | 3,46,791 | 4,73,187 | 4,48,083 | 4,40,272 | 4,55,228 | 4,93,954 |
| Expenses | 2,32,818 | 1,74,844 | 1,87,468 | 2,20,578 | 2,83,113 | 2,75,597 | 2,09,170 | 3,27,654 | 4,62,288 | 4,04,001 | 4,14,870 | 4,14,026 | 4,66,927 |
| Operating Profit | 9,780 | 12,971 | 13,783 | 15,317 | 15,112 | 8,975 | 21,001 | 19,137 | 10,899 | 44,082 | 25,401 | 41,202 | 27,027 |
| OPM % | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3.1% | 9% | 6% | 2.3% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 5% |
| Other Income | 2,117 | 1,913 | 2,721 | 2,927 | 2,975 | 1,393 | 7,489 | 4,939 | 2,554 | 3,032 | 3,629 | 4,399 | 6,536 |
| Interest | 1,180 | 680 | 696 | 1,186 | 1,764 | 2,637 | 1,723 | 2,606 | 4,263 | 4,149 | 3,591 | 2,953 | 2,823 |
| Depreciation | 3,027 | 2,072 | 2,108 | 2,885 | 3,418 | 4,080 | 4,334 | 5,434 | 6,369 | 6,771 | 7,257 | 7,856 | 8,036 |
| PBT | 7,690 | 12,132 | 13,700 | 14,174 | 12,905 | 3,652 | 22,432 | 16,037 | 2,821 | 36,194 | 18,182 | 34,791 | 22,704 |
| Tax % | 34% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 34% | 0% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 26% | — |
| Net Profit | 5,082 | 8,089 | 9,507 | 9,792 | 8,528 | 3,666 | 17,320 | 11,682 | 2,131 | 26,859 | 13,337 | 25,843 | 17,132 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.08 | 18.64 | 20.1 | 20.76 | 17.98 | 7.04 | 37.26 | 26.93 | 4.91 | 61.91 | 30.74 | 59.57 | 39.48 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 25% | 49% | 46% | 48% | 106% | 102% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 32% | 29% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 723 | 656 | 1,311 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 1,967 | 2,093 | 2,129 | 2,129 | 2,136 | 4,273 | 4,273 |
| Reserves | 21,839 | 27,138 | 29,508 | 34,652 | 36,798 | 34,565 | 51,462 | 49,776 | 51,393 | 73,499 | 77,112 | 95,898 |
| Borrowings | 25,492 | 23,388 | 35,725 | 37,659 | 44,839 | 65,476 | 54,532 | 64,534 | 69,376 | 54,599 | 61,101 | 54,424 |
| Other Liabilities | 38,268 | 35,241 | 42,541 | 46,078 | 53,322 | 48,852 | 52,891 | 71,089 | 65,240 | 72,184 | 75,898 | 94,021 |
| Total Liabilities | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,138 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
| Fixed Assets | 29,109 | 25,358 | 33,684 | 45,539 | 49,315 | 60,175 | 64,098 | 83,901 | 86,675 | 86,798 | 88,628 | 93,624 |
| CWIP | 15,787 | 17,459 | 16,834 | 9,875 | 13,654 | 17,757 | 17,037 | 15,433 | 16,249 | 20,204 | 26,387 | 32,911 |
| Investments | 7,712 | 9,401 | 21,327 | 23,725 | 24,907 | 27,029 | 26,768 | 23,616 | 26,778 | 26,631 | 26,531 | 30,136 |
| Other Assets | 33,714 | 34,203 | 37,241 | 41,217 | 49,050 | 45,900 | 53,075 | 64,578 | 58,436 | 68,785 | 76,837 | 91,945 |
| Total Assets | 86,322 | 86,422 | 1,09,086 | 1,20,356 | 1,36,926 | 1,50,860 | 1,60,978 | 1,87,529 | 1,88,138 | 2,02,418 | 2,18,382 | 2,48,616 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 20,742 | 11,119 | 9,041 | 11,068 | 10,157 | 7,881 | 23,455 | 20,336 | 12,466 | 35,936 | 23,678 | 50,769 |
| Investing | -10,536 | -9,233 | -15,274 | -7,066 | -10,451 | -11,135 | -2,474 | -8,138 | -7,806 | -10,521 | -19,180 | -26,067 |
| Financing | -9,792 | -1,332 | 4,804 | -4,218 | 207 | 3,583 | -13,981 | -17,672 | -4,402 | -25,427 | -6,241 | -24,940 |
| Net Cash Flow | 414 | 555 | -1,429 | -215 | -87 | 329 | 7,000 | -5,474 | 257 | -12 | -1,743 | -238 |
| Free Cash Flow | 9,754 | 947 | -417 | 3,384 | -344 | -4,289 | 14,403 | 12,643 | 3,960 | 26,391 | 8,574 | 31,476 |
| CFO/OP | 240 | 111 | 94 | 93 | 86 | 108 | 129 | 115 | 121 | 101 | 109 | 143 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 29 | 34 | 45 | 41 | 32 | 32 | 52 | 51 | 32 | 42 | 43 | 51 |
| Days Payable | 22 | 19 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 37 | 20 | 27 | 29 | 41 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 12 | 19 | 30 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 14 |
| Working Capital Days | -19 | -18 | -31 | -19 | -13 | -30 | -33 | -29 | -20 | -21 | -27 | -34 |
| ROCE % | 17% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 32% | 16% | 26% |
Documents
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Company Information
Bharat Petroleum Corporation is a public sector company which is engaged in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products.[1]