Blue Star Ltd
Blue Star Ltd
Consumer Discretionary F&OBlue star manufacturers air purifiers, air coolers, water purifiers, cold storage and speciality products. The Company offers turnkey solutions in MEP (Mechanical, Electrical, Plumbing, and Fire-fighting) Projects. It is the largest after-sales service provider for air conditioning and commercial refrigeration products in the country. [1] [2]
Blue Star Ltd has delivered exceptional 5-year profit CAGR of 49% and consistent ROE of ~19%, but the stock trades at a steep PE of 66.5x and 10x book value with TTM profit declining 5%. At a market cap of Rs 34,554 Cr, the current valuation leaves limited margin of safety despite strong long-term fundamentals.
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapHousehold AppliancesConsumer GoodsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has delivered good profit growth of 49.4% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.0%
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 9.90 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Blue Star Ltd has delivered exceptional 5-year profit CAGR of 49% and consistent ROE of ~19%, but the stock trades at a steep PE of 66.5x and 10x book value with TTM profit declining 5%. At a market cap of Rs 34,554 Cr, the current valuation leaves limited margin of safety despite strong long-term fundamentals.
- Outstanding 5-year compounded profit growth of 49% CAGR demonstrates strong earnings momentum and operational leverage
- Consistent ROE averaging 19% over 10 years signals disciplined capital allocation and durable competitive advantage
- 5-year stock CAGR of 33% reflects sustained wealth creation and market confidence in the business model
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 24% indicates robust demand tailwinds in Indian cooling and air conditioning market
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 33% shows shareholder-friendly management while retaining capital for growth
- 48% of analysts rate the stock a Buy with total 12 buy recommendations out of 25, indicating majority positive consensus
- 10-year stock CAGR of 23% demonstrates the company's ability to compound wealth across multiple market cycles
- 3-year compounded sales growth of 16% confirms acceleration in revenue trajectory above the 10-year average of 13%
- PE ratio of 66.5x is extremely elevated, pricing in several years of perfect execution with no room for disappointment
- TTM profit growth has turned negative at -5%, signaling potential earnings deceleration after years of strong growth
- Stock trades at 10x book value, making it one of the most expensive names in the consumer discretionary space
- TTM sales growth has slowed sharply to just 4% compared to 3-year CAGR of 16%, indicating demand moderation
- 20% of analysts rate the stock a Sell (5 out of 25 ratings), reflecting meaningful skepticism at current levels
- Dividend yield of just 0.5% offers negligible income support for investors paying premium valuations
- Last year ROE of 17% has declined from the 5-year average of 20%, suggesting return profile may be peaking
- 1-year stock return of only 4% indicates the market has already begun re-rating the stock lower relative to earlier momentum
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Middle East war hurts operations Jun 4
Blue Star faces challenges in the Middle East due to war conditions and cost increases, impacting international business segment.
- Expensive valuation at 61.6 PE Jun 4
Stock trades at PE ratio of 61.6 and PB ratio of 9.46, with experts noting current valuations are expensive despite long-term potential.
- FY26 dividend of ₹8.5/share Jun 5
Blue Star announced a final dividend of ₹8.5 per share for FY26 with record date fixed for July 17, 2026.
- Experts recommend long-term accumulation Jun 4
Stock near 50% retracement level at ₹1,612.80, with analysts viewing it as a good accumulation zone for patient investors with 123.77% three-year gains.
- Stock surges 2.03% on momentum Jun 4
Shares rose 2.03% to ₹1,612.80 with market cap of ₹33,243.80 crore, showing strong fundamentals for long-term growth.
- Multiple analyst meets in June Jun 9
Blue Star scheduled analyst/investor meetings on June 15, 17, 22, and 29 across Mumbai and New York, including the Elara Consumer Conference.
TL;DR: Blue Star is rewarding shareholders with an ₹8.5/share dividend and actively engaging investors through multiple analyst meets in June. The stock has delivered strong 123.77% three-year returns but trades at elevated valuations (61.6 PE). Middle East headwinds from war conditions pose a risk to international operations. The trend is consolidating near support levels with experts viewing current prices as an accumulation opportunity for long-term investors.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,624 | 2,226 | 1,890 | 2,241 | 3,328 | 2,865 | 2,276 | 2,807 | 4,019 | 2,982 | 2,422 | 2,925 | 4,072 |
| Expenses | 2,445 | 2,081 | 1,768 | 2,086 | 3,086 | 2,628 | 2,127 | 2,599 | 3,740 | 2,784 | 2,240 | 2,705 | 3,746 |
| Operating Profit | 179 | 145 | 123 | 155 | 242 | 238 | 149 | 209 | 279 | 199 | 182 | 220 | 326 |
| OPM % | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Other Income | 179 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 10 | -44 | 45 |
| Interest | 18 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 23 |
| Depreciation | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 35 | 35 | 41 | 43 | 46 | 48 |
| PBT | 317 | 114 | 95 | 134 | 214 | 226 | 131 | 179 | 249 | 163 | 132 | 108 | 300 |
| Tax % | 29% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 225 | 83 | 71 | 100 | 160 | 169 | 96 | 132 | 194 | 121 | 99 | 81 | 227 |
| EPS in Rs | 11.7 | 4.33 | 3.44 | 4.88 | 7.81 | 8.21 | 4.68 | 6.45 | 9.42 | 5.88 | 4.82 | 3.92 | 11.04 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,182 | 3,798 | 4,385 | 4,639 | 5,235 | 5,360 | 4,264 | 6,064 | 7,977 | 9,685 | 11,968 | 12,402 |
| Expenses | 3,014 | 3,631 | 4,162 | 4,372 | 4,887 | 5,077 | 4,024 | 5,717 | 7,478 | 9,017 | 11,089 | 11,472 |
| Operating Profit | 168 | 167 | 223 | 266 | 348 | 283 | 240 | 347 | 500 | 669 | 879 | 930 |
| OPM % | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
| Other Income | -34 | 66 | 34 | 22 | 26 | 40 | 62 | 36 | 195 | 44 | 83 | 24 |
| Interest | 49 | 43 | 38 | 29 | 48 | 29 | 65 | 46 | 55 | 58 | 49 | 72 |
| Depreciation | 43 | 57 | 61 | 64 | 75 | 88 | 92 | 86 | 85 | 98 | 128 | 179 |
| PBT | 43 | 132 | 159 | 196 | 251 | 206 | 145 | 251 | 555 | 557 | 785 | 703 |
| Tax % | -18% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 32% | 32% | 33% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 54 | 106 | 123 | 144 | 190 | 144 | 101 | 168 | 401 | 414 | 591 | 527 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.01 | 5.82 | 6.44 | 7.5 | 9.87 | 7.44 | 5.21 | 8.71 | 20.79 | 20.18 | 28.75 | 25.66 |
| Div. Payout % | 83% | 56% | 58% | 67% | 51% | 67% | 38% | 57% | 29% | 35% | 31% | 33% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 41 | 41 | 41 |
| Reserves | 438 | 612 | 738 | 774 | 854 | 763 | 866 | 998 | 1,311 | 2,569 | 3,024 | 3,390 |
| Borrowings | 398 | 365 | 221 | 376 | 348 | 520 | 510 | 554 | 662 | 243 | 381 | 810 |
| Other Liabilities | 1,322 | 1,530 | 1,672 | 2,068 | 2,130 | 2,137 | 2,154 | 2,741 | 3,455 | 3,758 | 4,803 | 4,335 |
| Total Liabilities | 2,175 | 2,525 | 2,650 | 3,236 | 3,351 | 3,439 | 3,549 | 4,313 | 5,447 | 6,611 | 8,249 | 8,576 |
| Fixed Assets | 257 | 259 | 356 | 392 | 400 | 444 | 384 | 433 | 859 | 1,165 | 1,536 | 1,768 |
| CWIP | 22 | 16 | 34 | 25 | 41 | 67 | 72 | 152 | 83 | 127 | 123 | 65 |
| Investments | 36 | 242 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 295 | 162 | 148 | 267 | 432 | 457 |
| Other Assets | 1,860 | 2,007 | 2,250 | 2,806 | 2,895 | 2,911 | 2,799 | 3,565 | 4,357 | 5,053 | 6,158 | 6,285 |
| Total Assets | 2,175 | 2,525 | 2,650 | 3,236 | 3,351 | 3,439 | 3,549 | 4,313 | 5,447 | 6,611 | 8,249 | 8,576 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 215 | 257 | 159 | 19 | 258 | 457 | 350 | 87 | 243 | 289 | 688 | 154 |
| Investing | -49 | -48 | 69 | -88 | -65 | -88 | -238 | -67 | -178 | -524 | -463 | -359 |
| Financing | -190 | -195 | -203 | 51 | -181 | -167 | -70 | -82 | -76 | 365 | -162 | 137 |
| Net Cash Flow | -24 | 13 | 25 | -18 | 13 | 202 | 42 | -62 | -11 | 130 | 63 | -68 |
| Free Cash Flow | 180 | 208 | 52 | -73 | 180 | 376 | 367 | -131 | 26 | -144 | 322 | -169 |
| CFO/OP | 143 | 173 | 70 | 24 | 84 | 192 | 150 | 36 | 67 | 64 | 99 | 35 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 82 | 76 | 78 | 75 | 78 | 57 | 69 | 72 | 71 | 74 | 60 | 63 |
| Inventory Days | 79 | 104 | 97 | 152 | 119 | 116 | 143 | 125 | 127 | 106 | 131 | 83 |
| Days Payable | 146 | 211 | 191 | 228 | 211 | 211 | 260 | 223 | 223 | 198 | 209 | 113 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 15 | -31 | -16 | -2 | -14 | -38 | -48 | -26 | -25 | -18 | -18 | 33 |
| Working Capital Days | -12 | -17 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -13 | -1 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 33 |
| ROCE % | 15% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 21% |
Documents
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Company Information
Blue star manufacturers air purifiers, air coolers, water purifiers, cold storage and speciality products. The Company offers turnkey solutions in MEP (Mechanical, Electrical, Plumbing, and Fire-fighting) Projects. It is the largest after-sales service provider for air conditioning and commercial refrigeration products in the country. [1] [2]