Blue Dart Express Ltd
Blue Dart Express Ltd
ServicesBlue Dart Express Limited, incorporated in 1988, is involved in transportation and door-to-door distribution of time-sensitive shipments, through an integrated ground and air transportation network. The company is regarded as South Asia’s leading courier and integrated air express package distribution company. [1]
Blue Dart Express trades at a premium PE of 46.7x with declining stock returns (-20% in 1 year) despite moderate sales growth of 7% TTM. Strong ROE track record of 18% over 3 years and dominant market position justify a hold, but current valuation leaves limited margin of safety.
Key Fundamentals
MicrocapLogistics Solution ProviderLogistics & CargoTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 18.3%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.4%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Blue Dart Express trades at a premium PE of 46.7x with declining stock returns (-20% in 1 year) despite moderate sales growth of 7% TTM. Strong ROE track record of 18% over 3 years and dominant market position justify a hold, but current valuation leaves limited margin of safety.
- Strong 3-year ROE of 18% and 5-year ROE of 25% demonstrate consistent capital efficiency and competitive moat in express logistics
- Compounded sales growth of 13% over 5 years reflects structural tailwinds from e-commerce penetration in India
- TTM profit growth of 18% shows earnings recovery momentum after a period of margin compression
- 83.33% of analysts (5 out of 6) rate the stock a Buy, indicating strong institutional conviction
- Healthy dividend payout of 22.4% with 0.51% yield provides income floor for investors in a capital-intensive sector
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 9% demonstrates long-term revenue durability through multiple economic cycles
- 5-year compounded profit growth of 19% outpaces sales growth of 13%, indicating operating leverage in the business model
- Stock has delivered -20% returns over 1 year and -12% CAGR over 3 years, severely underperforming broader markets
- PE of 46.7x is extremely elevated for a logistics company with only 7% TTM sales growth, implying a PEG ratio above 6x
- Price-to-book of 6.5x leaves no valuation cushion and prices in significant future growth that may not materialize
- 3-year compounded profit CAGR of -8% indicates earnings have actually declined over the medium term despite revenue growth
- 10-year stock CAGR of -2% means long-term shareholders have destroyed wealth on a real-return basis after adjusting for inflation
- Last year ROE dropped to 17% from the 5-year average of 25%, signaling potential structural margin deterioration
- Market cap of Rs 11,612 crore with 10-year profit CAGR of only 4% suggests the stock is priced for a growth trajectory it has not delivered
- Only 6 analysts cover the stock, indicating limited institutional research depth and potential liquidity concerns for large positions
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- DHL confirms 75% promoter stake Jun 17
DHL Express confirmed it holds 75% stake in Blue Dart Express with no encumbrance on shares for FY26, indicating stable promoter holding.
- XBRL filing re-submitted unaudited Jun 2
Blue Dart re-submitted Q4FY26 results as unaudited following an NSE observation. Financial data remains unchanged.
- IEPF share transfer deadline set May 28
Shares with unclaimed dividends for seven years will be transferred to IEPF. Investors must claim unpaid dividends from 2018-2019 by September 6, 2026.
TL;DR: No material headwinds or positive catalysts emerged in the recent news flow for Blue Dart. All three developments are routine corporate governance and compliance updates — stable 75% promoter holding, a minor filing correction, and a standard IEPF transfer notice. The absence of operational or financial news suggests a quiet period; investors should watch for upcoming audited results and volume/pricing trends in the logistics sector for directional cues.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,217 | 1,238 | 1,324 | 1,383 | 1,323 | 1,343 | 1,448 | 1,512 | 1,417 | 1,442 | 1,549 | 1,616 | 1,533 |
| Expenses | 1,017 | 1,047 | 1,102 | 1,170 | 1,097 | 1,141 | 1,230 | 1,272 | 1,204 | 1,246 | 1,297 | 1,335 | 1,311 |
| Operating Profit | 199 | 191 | 223 | 213 | 226 | 202 | 218 | 239 | 213 | 196 | 252 | 281 | 222 |
| OPM % | 16% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% |
| Other Income | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | -33 | 12 |
| Interest | 15 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| Depreciation | 96 | 99 | 111 | 111 | 113 | 118 | 121 | 121 | 124 | 121 | 131 | 145 | 140 |
| PBT | 97 | 82 | 98 | 108 | 105 | 72 | 85 | 109 | 81 | 66 | 109 | 79 | 73 |
| Tax % | 28% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 26% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
| Net Profit | 69 | 61 | 73 | 89 | 78 | 53 | 63 | 81 | 55 | 49 | 81 | 68 | 49 |
| EPS in Rs | 29.27 | 25.83 | 30.79 | 37.46 | 32.78 | 22.51 | 26.48 | 34.14 | 23.24 | 20.58 | 34.3 | 28.8 | 20.59 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,272 | 2,563 | 2,690 | 2,799 | 3,174 | 3,175 | 3,288 | 4,410 | 5,172 | 5,268 | 5,720 | 6,141 |
| Expenses | 2,048 | 2,157 | 2,348 | 2,447 | 2,888 | 2,701 | 2,602 | 3,410 | 4,235 | 4,415 | 4,844 | 5,190 |
| Operating Profit | 224 | 406 | 342 | 352 | 286 | 475 | 686 | 1,000 | 938 | 853 | 876 | 951 |
| OPM % | 10% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
| Other Income | 25 | 35 | 26 | 20 | 19 | -49 | -6 | -5 | 32 | 51 | 38 | -2 |
| Interest | 11 | 43 | 45 | 40 | 43 | 117 | 111 | 87 | 67 | 78 | 82 | 86 |
| Depreciation | 44 | 102 | 104 | 114 | 128 | 347 | 430 | 395 | 394 | 433 | 485 | 536 |
| PBT | 194 | 296 | 219 | 217 | 134 | -39 | 140 | 512 | 508 | 393 | 347 | 327 |
| Tax % | 34% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 7% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 23% | 27% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 129 | 197 | 140 | 145 | 90 | -42 | 102 | 382 | 371 | 301 | 252 | 247 |
| EPS in Rs | 54.51 | 82.95 | 58.93 | 60.99 | 37.83 | -17.64 | 42.91 | 161 | 156 | 127 | 106 | 104 |
| Div. Payout % | 294% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 33% | 0% | 35% | 37% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 24% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| Reserves | 284 | 358 | 406 | 508 | 554 | 467 | 568 | 848 | 1,156 | 1,344 | 1,535 | 1,753 |
| Borrowings | 332 | 397 | 491 | 418 | 573 | 530 | 1,522 | 1,066 | 1,120 | 1,073 | 1,007 | 1,142 |
| Other Liabilities | 349 | 486 | 477 | 553 | 661 | 1,620 | 783 | 891 | 923 | 1,021 | 1,097 | 1,208 |
| Total Liabilities | 988 | 1,265 | 1,397 | 1,503 | 1,811 | 2,641 | 2,897 | 2,829 | 3,223 | 3,461 | 3,663 | 4,127 |
| Fixed Assets | 216 | 453 | 471 | 518 | 654 | 1,665 | 1,583 | 1,437 | 1,437 | 1,823 | 1,814 | 2,035 |
| CWIP | 25 | 21 | 67 | 99 | 91 | 18 | 7 | 69 | 439 | 74 | 77 | 27 |
| Investments | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 207 | 171 | 307 | 386 | 413 |
| Other Assets | 721 | 790 | 860 | 885 | 1,066 | 958 | 1,158 | 1,115 | 1,176 | 1,257 | 1,386 | 1,652 |
| Total Assets | 988 | 1,265 | 1,397 | 1,503 | 1,811 | 2,641 | 2,897 | 2,829 | 3,223 | 3,461 | 3,663 | 4,127 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 153 | 361 | 225 | 317 | 243 | 364 | 750 | 860 | 717 | 847 | 735 | 810 |
| Investing | 32 | -149 | -228 | -190 | -280 | -193 | -529 | 11 | -514 | -375 | -300 | -315 |
| Financing | -126 | -95 | -33 | -152 | 79 | -340 | -235 | -772 | -291 | -401 | -434 | -424 |
| Net Cash Flow | 60 | 118 | -36 | -25 | 42 | -169 | -14 | 99 | -89 | 71 | 2 | 72 |
| Free Cash Flow | 94 | 252 | 57 | 119 | -44 | 167 | 590 | 689 | 147 | 585 | 488 | 498 |
| CFO/OP | 102 | 116 | 91 | 114 | 113 | 90 | 113 | 100 | 93 | 107 | 94 | 98 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 47 | 41 | 49 | 55 | 56 | 61 | 57 | 48 | 45 | 46 | 50 | 55 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 47 | 41 | 49 | 55 | 56 | 61 | 57 | 48 | 45 | 46 | 50 | 55 |
| Working Capital Days | 8 | 0 | -18 | -17 | -22 | -37 | -74 | -49 | -23 | -47 | -23 | -11 |
| ROCE % | 32% | 48% | 31% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 31% | 26% | 19% | 16% | 17% |
Documents
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Company Information
Blue Dart Express Limited, incorporated in 1988, is involved in transportation and door-to-door distribution of time-sensitive shipments, through an integrated ground and air transportation network. The company is regarded as South Asia’s leading courier and integrated air express package distribution company. [1]