Bajaj Auto Ltd
Bajaj Auto Ltd
Consumer Discretionary F&OBajaj Auto, the flagship company of Bajaj Group, is a two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company that exports to 79 countries across several countries in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and many more. Its headquarter is in Pune, India. It has acquired 48% of the KTM Brand which manufactures sports and super sports two-wheelers, which was 14% in 2007 when the company first acquired KTM. [1]
Bajaj Auto delivers strong earnings growth (TTM profit CAGR 48%) with consistent ROE of 26-29% over 3 years, supported by 57% analyst buy ratings. However, the stock trades at a premium valuation of 7.25x book value, warranting some caution at current levels.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapBikesAutomobilesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.3%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 49.4%
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 7.02 times its book value
- Working capital days have increased from 10.4 days to 67.6 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Bajaj Auto delivers strong earnings growth (TTM profit CAGR 48%) with consistent ROE of 26-29% over 3 years, supported by 57% analyst buy ratings. However, the stock trades at a premium valuation of 7.25x book value, warranting some caution at current levels.
- Exceptional TTM profit growth of 48% indicates strong earnings momentum and operational leverage
- Consistent ROE track record at 26% over 3 years and 29% last year, well above cost of equity
- Compounded sales CAGR of 23% TTM shows robust top-line demand across domestic and export markets
- 57% of 37 analysts rate the stock a Buy, reflecting broad institutional confidence
- Healthy dividend payout of 49.4% with 1.49% yield provides regular income alongside capital appreciation
- 10-year stock CAGR of 14% and 3-year CAGR of 30% demonstrate sustained long-term wealth creation
- 5-year compounded sales growth of 18% and profit growth of 17% show structural business expansion beyond cyclical upticks
- Market cap of Rs 2,81,315 crore provides large-cap stability and institutional liquidity
- Stock trades at 7.25x price-to-book, significantly above historical averages for auto ancillary peers
- Working capital days deteriorated sharply from 10.4 days to 67.6 days, signaling potential cash conversion issues
- PE ratio of 26.6x is elevated for a two-wheeler manufacturer, pricing in much of the near-term growth
- 18.9% of analysts (7 out of 37) have a Sell rating, indicating meaningful bearish dissent
- 10-year profit CAGR of only 10% versus TTM of 48% suggests current growth rate may not be sustainable long-term
- Dividend yield of 1.49% is modest relative to the premium valuation multiple being paid
- 5-year stock CAGR of 19% trails the 3-year CAGR of 30%, implying recent re-rating may face mean reversion
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Ransomware attack on systems Jun 23
Bajaj Auto reported a ransomware attack affecting company and subsidiary systems. Incident was managed and notified to CERT, but no details on financial impact or operational disruption were disclosed.
- 5-day losing streak, underperformance Jun 11
Stock hit fifth consecutive decline trading at ₹10,139, down 2.48% in the last month vs 1.22% decline in Nifty Auto. Trading volume of 89,993 shares was well below the 3.63 lakh daily average.
- May sales miss expectations May 27
May sales of 4.61 lakh units grew 20% YoY but came marginally below CNBC-TV18 poll expectations of 24% growth to 4.78 lakh units.
- Q4 record profit, 32% revenue growth May 27
Standalone net profit rose 34% YoY to record ₹2,746 crore in Q4FY26, revenue grew 32% YoY to ₹16,006 crore, and EBITDA surged 36% to ₹3,323 crore with margins expanding 59 bps to 20.76%.
- Strong May sales, exports surge 34% Jun 01
Total sales reached 4,61,257 units in May 2026, up 20% YoY. Exports surged 34% to 2,13,226 units with two-wheeler exports up 30% and CV exports up 65%.
- Geojit upgrades to Buy, ₹11,735 target Jun 01
Geojit upgraded Bajaj Auto to Buy with ₹11,735 target based on 26x FY28E adjusted EPS. Axis Securities also raised target to ₹11,410 from ₹10,790.
- ₹150/share dividend declared for FY26 Jun 01
Board declared ₹150 per share final dividend (1,500% of face value) for FY26 with record date May 29 and payment by July 24, 2026.
- ₹5,633 crore share buyback approved May 27
Shareholders approved buyback of up to 46,94,000 shares (1.68% of paid-up capital) worth ₹5,633 crore, the company's second buyback in three years.
- 52-week high, strong returns May 27
Stock hit fresh 52-week high of ₹10,831.45, gaining 12% in one month, 20% in six months, and 135% over three years.
- GST appeal won in Guwahati Jun 09
Commissioner (Appeals) set aside a tax demand of ₹3.52 crore plus interest and penalty in Bajaj Auto's favor.
- ₹500 crore NCD issuance by subsidiary Jun 23
Bajaj Auto Credit Limited allotted 50,000 secured NCDs worth ₹500.19 crore on private placement basis, listed on NSE on June 23, 2026.
- Institutional block trades (~₹187 crore) Jun 19
Three block trades recorded between May 26-Jun 19: ₹107.36 crore at ₹10,532, ₹51.78 crore at ₹10,267, and ₹27.99 crore at ₹9,985 per share, signaling institutional portfolio rebalancing.
- Senior management restructuring May 29
Ms. Baminee Viswanat and Mr. Vijay Jerome ceased to be part of senior management effective June 1, 2026 due to organizational restructuring.
- Investor conferences in early June May 28
Bajaj Auto attended Bank of America (Jun 2), Morgan Stanley (Jun 3), and Citi (Jun 4) investor conferences in Mumbai with no UPSI to be shared.
TL;DR: Bajaj Auto is in strong fundamental shape with record Q4FY26 profits, 32% revenue growth, and robust export momentum driving 20% sales growth in May 2026. Shareholder returns are aggressive with a ₹150/share dividend and ₹5,633 crore buyback. Key risks include a recent ransomware incident with unclear impact, a brief mid-June correction, and May sales slightly missing Street expectations. The trend remains firmly bullish with analyst upgrades and multi-year high valuations, though the stock's PE of 28.8x leaves limited room for execution misses.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,929 | 10,312 | 10,838 | 12,165 | 11,555 | 11,932 | 13,247 | 13,169 | 12,646 | 13,133 | 15,735 | 16,204 | 17,832 |
| Expenses | 7,272 | 8,380 | 8,708 | 9,750 | 9,271 | 9,562 | 11,174 | 10,418 | 10,289 | 10,340 | 12,906 | 12,475 | 14,757 |
| Operating Profit | 1,657 | 1,932 | 2,130 | 2,415 | 2,284 | 2,370 | 2,073 | 2,751 | 2,358 | 2,793 | 2,829 | 3,730 | 3,075 |
| OPM % | 19% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 23% | 17% |
| Other Income | 595 | 351 | 552 | 356 | 444 | 335 | 399 | 348 | 392 | 509 | 576 | 359 | 1,894 |
| Interest | 16 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 75 | 120 | 147 | 224 | 287 | 314 | 344 |
| Depreciation | 76 | 87 | 92 | 93 | 93 | 95 | 98 | 102 | 119 | 118 | 119 | 119 | 289 |
| PBT | 2,160 | 2,184 | 2,584 | 2,666 | 2,606 | 2,564 | 2,299 | 2,876 | 2,484 | 2,961 | 2,999 | 3,656 | 4,336 |
| Tax % | 21% | 25% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 24% | 40% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 19% |
| Net Profit | 1,705 | 1,644 | 2,020 | 2,033 | 2,011 | 1,942 | 1,385 | 2,196 | 1,802 | 2,210 | 2,122 | 2,750 | 3,492 |
| EPS in Rs | 60.25 | 58.11 | 71.39 | 71.78 | 72.05 | 69.55 | 49.61 | 78.62 | 64.52 | 79.15 | 75.99 | 98.38 | 131 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 21,595 | 22,574 | 21,755 | 25,210 | 30,358 | 29,919 | 27,741 | 33,145 | 36,455 | 44,870 | 50,995 | 62,905 |
| Expenses | 17,467 | 17,781 | 17,326 | 20,364 | 25,160 | 24,809 | 22,803 | 27,886 | 29,991 | 36,106 | 41,440 | 49,844 |
| Operating Profit | 4,128 | 4,793 | 4,429 | 4,846 | 5,198 | 5,109 | 4,938 | 5,259 | 6,465 | 8,765 | 9,555 | 13,061 |
| OPM % | 19% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 21% |
| Other Income | 228 | 1,194 | 1,468 | 1,404 | 2,028 | 1,832 | 1,570 | 2,671 | 1,703 | 1,700 | 1,472 | 2,704 |
| Interest | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 60 | 389 | 1,169 |
| Depreciation | 267 | 307 | 307 | 315 | 266 | 246 | 259 | 270 | 286 | 365 | 414 | 645 |
| PBT | 4,083 | 5,679 | 5,588 | 5,933 | 6,956 | 6,692 | 6,241 | 7,652 | 7,842 | 10,040 | 10,224 | 13,952 |
| Tax % | 31% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 24% |
| Net Profit | 3,026 | 4,061 | 4,079 | 4,219 | 4,928 | 5,212 | 4,857 | 6,166 | 6,060 | 7,708 | 7,325 | 10,574 |
| EPS in Rs | 105 | 140 | 141 | 146 | 170 | 180 | 168 | 213 | 214 | 276 | 262 | 384 |
| Div. Payout % | 48% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 35% | 67% | 83% | 66% | 65% | 29% | 80% | 39% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 289 | 289 | 289 | 289 | 289 | 289 | 289 | 289 | 283 | 279 | 279 | 280 |
| Reserves | 10,806 | 13,731 | 17,567 | 20,136 | 22,944 | 21,373 | 26,984 | 29,570 | 29,079 | 28,683 | 34,909 | 38,552 |
| Borrowings | 112 | 118 | 120 | 121 | 125 | 126 | 121 | 123 | 124 | 1,912 | 9,364 | 22,713 |
| Other Liabilities | 4,758 | 3,102 | 3,661 | 4,595 | 5,476 | 4,722 | 6,207 | 5,129 | 5,651 | 8,470 | 9,557 | 15,678 |
| Total Liabilities | 15,966 | 17,240 | 21,638 | 25,141 | 28,834 | 26,510 | 33,602 | 35,111 | 35,136 | 39,344 | 54,110 | 77,223 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,448 | 2,026 | 2,002 | 1,878 | 1,764 | 1,699 | 1,668 | 1,836 | 2,842 | 3,217 | 3,677 | 13,362 |
| CWIP | 255 | 52 | 42 | 56 | 48 | 60 | 16 | 77 | 85 | 35 | 61 | 120 |
| Investments | 8,985 | 11,067 | 15,477 | 18,895 | 20,603 | 19,914 | 24,687 | 26,634 | 26,183 | 28,087 | 28,914 | 24,642 |
| Other Assets | 4,277 | 4,095 | 4,117 | 4,312 | 6,420 | 4,837 | 7,232 | 6,564 | 6,026 | 8,005 | 21,459 | 39,099 |
| Total Assets | 15,966 | 17,240 | 21,638 | 25,141 | 28,834 | 26,510 | 33,602 | 35,111 | 35,136 | 39,344 | 54,110 | 77,223 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 2,114 | 3,690 | 3,267 | 4,328 | 2,487 | 3,850 | 3,120 | 4,197 | 5,277 | 6,558 | -1,406 | 2,597 |
| Investing | -380 | -68 | -3,610 | -1,954 | -273 | 1,766 | -2,869 | 276 | 1,211 | -72 | -1,053 | -7,034 |
| Financing | -1,644 | -3,384 | -190 | -1,885 | -2,074 | -6,247 | -20 | -4,056 | -7,181 | -6,167 | 4,230 | 5,079 |
| Net Cash Flow | 90 | 238 | -532 | 488 | 140 | -630 | 231 | 417 | -692 | 319 | 1,771 | 642 |
| Free Cash Flow | 1,819 | 3,419 | 3,070 | 4,145 | 2,379 | 3,570 | 2,866 | 3,680 | 4,304 | 5,847 | -2,273 | 1,885 |
| CFO/OP | 82 | 115 | 108 | 124 | 86 | 108 | 90 | 112 | 111 | 102 | 14 | 46 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 12 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 31 | 21 | 36 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 20 |
| Inventory Days | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 28 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 54 |
| Days Payable | 43 | 49 | 56 | 68 | 63 | 56 | 85 | 54 | 58 | 64 | 66 | 76 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -11 | -20 | -22 | -31 | -17 | -16 | -22 | -19 | -18 | -28 | -29 | -1 |
| Working Capital Days | -22 | -4 | -2 | -21 | -4 | -9 | 0 | -3 | -9 | -30 | -6 | 68 |
| ROCE % | 40% | 45% | 35% | 31% | 30% | 30% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 34% | 28% | 28% |
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about Bajaj Auto Ltd
What does Bajaj Auto Ltd do?
Where is Bajaj Auto Ltd (BAJAJ-AUTO) listed?
Which sector does Bajaj Auto Ltd belong to?
What is the market capitalisation of Bajaj Auto Ltd?
What is the PE ratio of Bajaj Auto Ltd?
What is the 52-week high and low of Bajaj Auto Ltd?
Does Bajaj Auto Ltd pay dividends?
What is the Return on Equity (ROE) of Bajaj Auto Ltd?
How can I research Bajaj Auto Ltd on Tapetide?
Company Information
Bajaj Auto, the flagship company of Bajaj Group, is a two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company that exports to 79 countries across several countries in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and many more. Its headquarter is in Pune, India. It has acquired 48% of the KTM Brand which manufactures sports and super sports two-wheelers, which was 14% in 2007 when the company first acquired KTM. [1]