Asian Paints Ltd
Asian Paints Ltd
Consumer Discretionary F&OAsian Paints is the largest home decor company in India. The 80+yr old company has major brands like Asian Paints, Apco, etc under its umbrella. The co. is into wall paints, wall coverings, waterproofing, texture painting, wall stickers, mechanized tools, adhesives, modular kitchens, sanitaryware, lightings, soft furnishings, and uPVC windows.
Asian Paints trades at a demanding PE of 60.1x with sluggish near-term sales growth of 5% TTM, but its consistent ROE of 22-25% and dominant market position justify a premium. The stock's 3-year CAGR of -6% suggests the market has already de-rated it, limiting further downside but offering limited upside until earnings growth accelerates.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapPaintsConsumer GoodsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 61.4%
Weaknesses
2- Stock is trading at 12.0 times its book value
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 10.4% over past five years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Asian Paints trades at a demanding PE of 60.1x with sluggish near-term sales growth of 5% TTM, but its consistent ROE of 22-25% and dominant market position justify a premium. The stock's 3-year CAGR of -6% suggests the market has already de-rated it, limiting further downside but offering limited upside until earnings growth accelerates.
- Consistent ROE averaging 24-25% over 5 and 10 years demonstrates superior capital efficiency and a durable competitive moat
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 61.4% provides income support with a 1% dividend yield at current levels
- Compounded profit growth of 13% TTM shows earnings recovery is underway after a muted period
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of 10% reflects long-term demand tailwinds from urbanisation and premiumisation in India
- Market cap of Rs 2,62,053 crore makes it the undisputed leader in decorative paints with pricing power and distribution strength
- 46% of analysts recommend a Buy (16 out of 35 ratings), indicating moderate street confidence in medium-term upside
- 10-year stock CAGR of 11% demonstrates long-term wealth creation capability despite recent underperformance
- PE of 60.1x is extremely expensive relative to 13% TTM profit growth, implying a PEG ratio of ~4.6x which signals overvaluation
- Price-to-book of 12.37x means investors pay a steep premium over net asset value, leaving little margin of safety
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of just 1% indicates near stagnation in topline momentum
- 3-year stock CAGR of -6% and 5-year CAGR of -2% show sustained underperformance and investor fatigue
- TTM sales growth of only 5% lags nominal GDP growth, suggesting market share pressure from Grasim and JSW Paints
- 23% of analysts recommend Sell (8 out of 35), a notably high bear camp for a large-cap consumer staple
- ROE has declined from 25% (5-year average) to 22% last year, indicating early signs of return compression
- 5-year compounded profit CAGR of 7% underperforms the broader Nifty 50 earnings growth over the same period
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- West Asia war risks flagged May 28
MD Amit Syngle flagged West Asia conflict as near-term demand uncertainty; raw material cost impact ~20% but only 11% passed on via price hikes, leaving margins exposed.
- Sell ratings from Goldman, Citi Jun 01
Goldman Sachs (TP ₹2,575) and Citi (TP ₹2,500) maintain Sell ratings citing macro headwinds, competitive intensity, and margin compression risks. CLSA notes ~20% price hike needed vs only 10-11% taken.
- Elevated competitive intensity persists Jun 14
MD Syngle acknowledged in annual report that competitive intensity, commodity movements, and supply-chain risks remain dynamic in FY27; new entrants continue to pressure pricing.
- Rich valuation at 53x PE Jun 01
Stock trades at FY27 P/E of 53x with 8 out of 38 analysts maintaining Sell ratings; one bear sees stock slipping below ₹2,000. Stock down 2.5% YTD despite recent recovery.
- Crude oil near $105/bbl May 24
Brent crude trading near $105/bbl amid US-Iran tensions threatening Strait of Hormuz; crude derivatives account for 30-35% of paint industry raw material costs.
- Q4 profit surges 69% YoY May 28
Consolidated net profit jumped 69.3% YoY to ₹1,172 crore in Q4FY26; revenue rose 10.8% to ₹9,247 crore, beating Bloomberg estimates of ₹1,055 crore profit and ₹8,781 crore revenue.
- 12-quarter high volume growth May 30
Decorative paints delivered 12.4% volume growth in Q4FY26, a 12-quarter high with double-digit growth in each month across rural and urban markets.
- EBITDA margin expands 214bps Jun 01
EBITDA margin expanded to 19.3% from 17.2% YoY; gross margin hit multi-quarter high of 44.8%. Management maintains 18-20% EBITDA margin guidance for FY27.
- 8-10% volume growth guided FY27 May 30
Management guided for 8-10% volume growth in FY27 supported by El Niño painting days, extended festive season, and encouraging April-May demand trends.
- ₹23 final dividend declared Jun 09
Board recommended ₹23/share final dividend for FY26, taking total FY26 dividend to ₹27.50/share. Record date June 23, AGM on July 9, 2026.
- Nomura raises target to ₹3,600 Jun 01
Nomura raised TP to ₹3,600 (35% upside) with Buy rating; Nuvama raised to ₹3,470 (29% upside); JM Financial raised to ₹2,815. Nomura expects 13% earnings CAGR through FY29.
- FY26 profit up 18.3% May 29
Full-year standalone net profit rose 18.3% to ₹4,244 crore; consolidated profit up 18% to ₹4,325 crore. Operating cash flow surged 64% to ₹6,761 crore.
- 6,000 retail touchpoints added Jun 14
Company added nearly 6,000 retail touchpoints in FY26; new products contributed 16% of revenues. Premiumisation strategy driving value growth across waterproofing, wood finishes, and premium coatings.
- Promoters confirm no encumbrance Jun 20
Asian Paints promoters declared no encumbrance on shares for FY26, confirming SEBI compliance.
- Trading window closed for Q1FY27 Jun 17
Trading window closed from June 19, 2026 until two days after Q1FY27 results declaration per insider trading code.
- Smiti Holding pledge disclosure Jun 16
Promoter entity Smiti Holding disclosed pledge and release of equity shares filed with BSE and NSE on June 15, 2026.
- BRSR filed for FY26 Jun 12
Asian Paints filed Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for FY25-26 reporting zero fines and improved ESG metrics.
- Milind Sarwate re-appointed director May 29
Board approved re-appointment of Milind Sarwate as Independent Director for five years from October 2026, subject to shareholder approval.
- Analyst meets scheduled Mumbai May 26
Company scheduled analyst and investor meets in Mumbai on June 1, 2026; promoter briefing on June 26 for FY26 performance discussion.
TL;DR: Asian Paints delivered a strong Q4FY26 with 69% profit growth, 12-quarter high volumes, and meaningful margin expansion to 19.3%. The company guided 8-10% volume growth for FY27 with mid-teen sales growth from price hikes, drawing bullish calls from Nomura (₹3,600 TP) and Nuvama (₹3,470 TP). Key risks include incomplete pass-through of ~20% input cost inflation (only 11% hiked), West Asia conflict impact on crude-linked raw materials, and persistent competitive intensity. The trend is improving from FY26 lows but FY27 will test whether price hikes sustain demand momentum.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 8,787 | 9,182 | 8,479 | 9,103 | 8,731 | 8,970 | 8,028 | 8,549 | 8,359 | 8,939 | 8,531 | 8,867 | 9,247 |
| Expenses | 6,923 | 7,061 | 6,762 | 7,047 | 7,039 | 7,276 | 6,788 | 6,913 | 6,923 | 7,314 | 7,028 | 7,086 | 7,460 |
| Operating Profit | 1,865 | 2,121 | 1,716 | 2,056 | 1,691 | 1,694 | 1,240 | 1,637 | 1,436 | 1,625 | 1,503 | 1,781 | 1,787 |
| OPM % | 21% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Other Income | 104 | 228 | 194 | 186 | 212 | 193 | 25 | 193 | -60 | 229 | 237 | 69 | 197 |
| Interest | 39 | 46 | 51 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 63 | 56 | 53 | 44 | 44 | 48 | 59 |
| Depreciation | 220 | 198 | 209 | 220 | 226 | 228 | 242 | 256 | 301 | 301 | 305 | 313 | 310 |
| PBT | 1,710 | 2,105 | 1,651 | 1,968 | 1,624 | 1,604 | 959 | 1,518 | 1,022 | 1,509 | 1,392 | 1,489 | 1,614 |
| Tax % | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 31% | 26% | 27% | 28% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 1,258 | 1,575 | 1,232 | 1,475 | 1,275 | 1,187 | 694 | 1,128 | 701 | 1,117 | 1,018 | 1,074 | 1,185 |
| EPS in Rs | 12.87 | 16.16 | 12.57 | 15.09 | 13.1 | 12.2 | 7.24 | 11.58 | 7.22 | 11.47 | 10.36 | 11.05 | 12.22 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 13,615 | 14,271 | 15,062 | 16,825 | 19,240 | 20,211 | 21,713 | 29,101 | 34,489 | 35,495 | 33,906 | 35,584 |
| Expenses | 11,372 | 11,546 | 12,068 | 13,621 | 15,475 | 16,049 | 16,857 | 24,298 | 28,229 | 27,910 | 27,899 | 28,884 |
| Operating Profit | 2,243 | 2,725 | 2,994 | 3,204 | 3,765 | 4,162 | 4,856 | 4,804 | 6,260 | 7,585 | 6,006 | 6,700 |
| OPM % | 16% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 19% |
| Other Income | 142 | 213 | 338 | 336 | 274 | 350 | 332 | 296 | 431 | 821 | 350 | 728 |
| Interest | 42 | 49 | 37 | 41 | 110 | 102 | 92 | 95 | 144 | 205 | 227 | 195 |
| Depreciation | 266 | 276 | 335 | 360 | 622 | 780 | 791 | 816 | 858 | 853 | 1,026 | 1,229 |
| PBT | 2,077 | 2,614 | 2,960 | 3,138 | 3,306 | 3,629 | 4,304 | 4,188 | 5,689 | 7,348 | 5,103 | 6,003 |
| Tax % | 31% | 32% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 27% |
| Net Profit | 1,427 | 1,803 | 2,016 | 2,098 | 2,208 | 2,774 | 3,207 | 3,085 | 4,195 | 5,558 | 3,710 | 4,395 |
| EPS in Rs | 14.54 | 18.19 | 20.22 | 21.26 | 22.48 | 28.2 | 32.73 | 31.59 | 42.81 | 56.92 | 38.23 | 45.09 |
| Div. Payout % | 42% | 41% | 51% | 41% | 47% | 43% | 55% | 61% | 60% | 58% | 65% | 61% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 |
| Reserves | 4,646 | 6,429 | 7,508 | 8,314 | 9,375 | 10,034 | 12,710 | 13,716 | 15,896 | 18,632 | 19,304 | 21,276 |
| Borrowings | 418 | 323 | 560 | 533 | 1,320 | 1,118 | 1,093 | 1,587 | 1,933 | 2,474 | 2,290 | 3,929 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,754 | 3,711 | 4,241 | 4,820 | 5,459 | 4,889 | 6,456 | 7,560 | 7,854 | 8,698 | 8,665 | 9,218 |
| Total Liabilities | 8,914 | 10,559 | 12,405 | 13,763 | 16,249 | 16,138 | 20,355 | 22,958 | 25,779 | 29,901 | 30,355 | 34,519 |
| Fixed Assets | 2,660 | 3,416 | 3,304 | 3,732 | 6,497 | 6,272 | 5,859 | 5,519 | 5,770 | 7,147 | 9,220 | 9,640 |
| CWIP | 196 | 107 | 258 | 1,405 | 210 | 140 | 183 | 426 | 1,020 | 2,698 | 1,254 | 1,849 |
| Investments | 1,588 | 2,712 | 2,652 | 2,141 | 2,569 | 2,019 | 4,737 | 3,248 | 4,262 | 4,588 | 4,725 | 7,062 |
| Other Assets | 4,471 | 4,324 | 6,192 | 6,485 | 6,974 | 7,707 | 9,577 | 13,765 | 14,728 | 15,468 | 15,156 | 15,968 |
| Total Assets | 8,914 | 10,559 | 12,405 | 13,763 | 16,249 | 16,138 | 20,355 | 22,958 | 25,779 | 29,901 | 30,355 | 34,519 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 1,188 | 2,243 | 1,527 | 2,113 | 2,470 | 3,038 | 3,683 | 986 | 4,193 | 6,104 | 4,424 | 7,088 |
| Investing | -465 | -866 | -681 | -1,556 | -918 | -518 | -541 | -317 | -1,282 | -2,548 | -941 | -1,328 |
| Financing | -576 | -849 | -756 | -1,379 | -1,117 | -2,871 | -650 | -1,808 | -2,140 | -2,982 | -3,753 | -2,377 |
| Net Cash Flow | 147 | 528 | 90 | -822 | 434 | -351 | 2,492 | -1,138 | 771 | 573 | -270 | 3,383 |
| Free Cash Flow | 750 | 1,441 | 860 | 705 | 1,336 | 2,661 | 3,422 | 475 | 2,774 | 3,613 | 2,604 | 5,604 |
| CFO/OP | 81 | 112 | 82 | 100 | 92 | 97 | 98 | 45 | 91 | 105 | 97 | 129 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 32 | 30 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 32 | 44 | 49 | 49 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| Inventory Days | 123 | 108 | 138 | 117 | 119 | 127 | 134 | 142 | 121 | 122 | 142 | 118 |
| Days Payable | 84 | 84 | 101 | 95 | 90 | 80 | 119 | 96 | 71 | 79 | 81 | 79 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 70 | 54 | 72 | 60 | 65 | 79 | 59 | 94 | 99 | 93 | 107 | 84 |
| Working Capital Days | 11 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 34 | 37 | 57 | 54 | 49 | 52 | 38 |
| ROCE % | 42% | 42% | 38% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 29% | 34% | 38% | 26% | 26% |
Documents
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Company Information
Asian Paints is the largest home decor company in India. The 80+yr old company has major brands like Asian Paints, Apco, etc under its umbrella. The co. is into wall paints, wall coverings, waterproofing, texture painting, wall stickers, mechanized tools, adhesives, modular kitchens, sanitaryware, lightings, soft furnishings, and uPVC windows.