AIA Engineering Ltd
AIA Engineering Ltd
IndustrialsAIA manufactures high-chrome grinding media, liners and diaphragms, collectively known as mill internals. These are used for crushing and grinding operations in the cement, power utility & aggregates and mining industries. [1]
AIA Engineering trades at a PE of 33.3x with consistent 17% ROE but faces serious working capital deterioration (261 to 537 days) and weak sales growth of just 3% TTM. The stock's 43% one-year price rally has priced in much of the positivity, making risk-reward unfavorable for fresh entry.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapCastings & ForgingsIndustrial ProductsTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
2- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is almost debt free.
Weaknesses
5- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.93% over past five years.
- Earnings include an other income of Rs.485 Cr.
- Dividend payout has been low at 13.0% of profits over last 3 years
- Debtor days have increased from 77.7 to 96.5 days.
- Working capital days have increased from 261 days to 537 days
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
AIA Engineering trades at a PE of 33.3x with consistent 17% ROE but faces serious working capital deterioration (261 to 537 days) and weak sales growth of just 3% TTM. The stock's 43% one-year price rally has priced in much of the positivity, making risk-reward unfavorable for fresh entry.
- Consistent ROE of 17% maintained over 1, 3, and 5-year periods indicates strong capital efficiency and earnings quality
- Company is virtually debt-free, providing significant financial flexibility and resilience during downturns
- Compounded profit growth of 22% TTM significantly outpaces sales growth, reflecting margin expansion and operating leverage
- Stock CAGR of 18% over 5 years and 17% over 10 years demonstrates sustained long-term wealth creation
- 50% of analysts rate the stock a Buy (6 out of 12 ratings), indicating majority consensus tilts positive
- Market cap of Rs.43,590 Cr provides adequate liquidity and institutional interest for a mid-to-large cap industrial name
- 10-year compounded profit growth of 12% is respectable for a niche industrial player with cyclical end-markets
- Debt reduction trajectory further strengthens balance sheet and lowers financial risk during commodity price volatility
- Working capital days have ballooned from 261 to 537 days, signaling severe cash conversion cycle deterioration and potential collection issues
- Debtor days increased from 77.7 to 96.5 days, indicating worsening receivables quality and customer payment discipline
- Sales growth of just 3% TTM and negative 3-year CAGR of -3% indicates stagnating topline momentum
- Other income of Rs.485 Cr inflates reported earnings, masking weaker core operating performance
- PE of 33.3x is expensive for a company delivering sub-10% sales growth over 5 years (8.93%)
- Dividend payout of only 13% of profits over 3 years with a yield of 0.35% offers negligible income return to shareholders
- 25% of analysts rate the stock a Sell (3 out of 12), reflecting meaningful bearish dissent on valuation
- Price-to-book of 5.27x is elevated for an industrial business with single-digit revenue growth
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- US anti-dumping duties effective May 26
Anti-dumping duty of 6.91% and countervailing duty of 3.16% on high chrome grinding media imports from India effective from June 12, 2025, potentially impacting US market competitiveness.
- Shipping disruption persists May 27
West Asia conflict caused steep rise in freight rates; although moderated, route changes still add 10-15 days to shipping duration, affecting the two-thirds of revenue from exports.
- Realization guidance lower than Q4 May 27
Q4FY26 realization stood at ₹178/kg but management guided sustainable realization at ~₹165/kg, implying potential pricing pressure ahead.
- Modest volume growth at 2% May 27
Q4FY26 sales volume grew only 2% YoY to 70,138 MT, indicating volume acceleration has not yet materialized despite strong margin performance.
- Q4 PAT surges 38% YoY May 27
Consolidated net profit jumped 37.9% YoY to ₹393 crore in Q4 FY26; revenue grew 9.4% to ₹1,266 crore, making it the strongest and most profitable quarter of the year.
- EBITDA margin expands 200bps May 27
Operating EBITDA rose 17.4% YoY to ₹371 crore with margin improving to 29.3% from 27.3%, aided by favorable product mix and operating leverage.
- Latam mill optimization breakthrough May 27
Successfully completed trial of new grinding solution with a Latin American miner that could reduce power consumption by ~15%; another trial expected in 2-3 months, opening significant volume growth runway through FY30.
- ₹16 dividend, 800% payout May 26
Board recommended ₹16/share dividend (800% on face value) for FY26 with record date September 5, 2026, and payment by October 14, 2026.
- Stock hits 52-week high May 27
Shares surged 9% to ₹4,496.30, surpassing previous 52-week high of ₹4,200; ICICI Securities set target of ₹4,915 at 30x FY28E EPS of ₹164 with BUY rating.
- FY26 profit up 19.7% May 27
Full-year net profit rose 19.7% to ₹1,269 crore; EBITDA margin expanded 465bps to 39.5% from 34.8% in FY25 on a debt-free balance sheet.
- Strong order book at ₹868 crore May 27
Order book stood at ₹868 crore as of April 1, 2026, providing near-term revenue visibility; management expects FY27 to deliver accelerating earnings.
- Board governance strengthened May 29
Malay Dalal appointed Independent Director for 5 years with 99.9996% shareholder approval; Bhadresh Shah reappointed as MD for 5 years from October 1, 2026.
- ₹18.24 crore block trade on NSE Jun 10
Institutional block trade of ~40,573 shares executed at ₹4,494.80/share totaling ₹18.24 crore, indicating routine institutional activity without directional signal.
- Q4 FY26 investor call released May 27
Audio recording of investor call discussing Q4 and FY26 financial results made available on company website.
TL;DR: AIA Engineering is firing on all cylinders with Q4 FY26 delivering 38% profit growth, significant margin expansion, and a Latam mill optimization breakthrough that could unlock multi-year volume growth. The debt-free balance sheet, ₹868 crore order book, and analyst upgrades support a strong bullish thesis. Key risks include US anti-dumping duties, guided realization decline from ₹178 to ₹165/kg, and still-modest 2% volume growth. The trend is clearly improving, with FY27 expected to be a year of accelerating earnings as commissioned projects stabilize.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,274 | 1,240 | 1,295 | 1,169 | 1,150 | 1,020 | 1,044 | 1,066 | 1,157 | 1,039 | 1,048 | 1,067 | 1,266 |
| Expenses | 958 | 897 | 913 | 858 | 853 | 731 | 769 | 783 | 855 | 733 | 751 | 777 | 904 |
| Operating Profit | 316 | 343 | 382 | 311 | 297 | 289 | 276 | 283 | 302 | 306 | 297 | 290 | 363 |
| OPM % | 25% | 28% | 30% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Other Income | 64 | 60 | 62 | 84 | 77 | 83 | 91 | 72 | 98 | 114 | 99 | 132 | 140 |
| Interest | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 5 |
| Depreciation | 23 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| PBT | 346 | 371 | 412 | 361 | 344 | 341 | 337 | 327 | 363 | 386 | 360 | 378 | 468 |
| Tax % | 23% | 26% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 16% |
| Net Profit | 268 | 273 | 324 | 280 | 260 | 259 | 256 | 259 | 285 | 305 | 277 | 293 | 393 |
| EPS in Rs | 28.43 | 28.87 | 34.25 | 29.64 | 27.62 | 27.52 | 27.51 | 27.78 | 30.56 | 32.69 | 29.73 | 31.55 | 42.14 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 2,182 | 2,097 | 2,246 | 2,445 | 3,070 | 2,970 | 2,881 | 3,567 | 4,909 | 4,854 | 4,287 | 4,420 |
| Expenses | 1,593 | 1,484 | 1,607 | 1,906 | 2,406 | 2,285 | 2,220 | 2,841 | 3,663 | 3,513 | 3,134 | 3,164 |
| Operating Profit | 589 | 613 | 639 | 540 | 664 | 685 | 661 | 726 | 1,245 | 1,340 | 1,154 | 1,256 |
| OPM % | 27% | 29% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 28% |
| Other Income | 83 | 101 | 104 | 122 | 121 | 142 | 170 | 156 | 235 | 281 | 343 | 485 |
| Interest | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 26 | 37 |
| Depreciation | 70 | 66 | 72 | 66 | 79 | 98 | 94 | 92 | 93 | 100 | 103 | 113 |
| PBT | 594 | 641 | 662 | 585 | 694 | 719 | 730 | 781 | 1,362 | 1,488 | 1,368 | 1,592 |
| Tax % | 27% | 29% | 31% | 24% | 26% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 20% |
| Net Profit | 431 | 457 | 457 | 444 | 511 | 590 | 566 | 620 | 1,056 | 1,137 | 1,060 | 1,269 |
| EPS in Rs | 45.69 | 48.44 | 48.43 | 47 | 54.16 | 62.59 | 60.02 | 65.7 | 112 | 120 | 114 | 136 |
| Div. Payout % | 18% | 37% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 43% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Reserves | 2,065 | 2,304 | 2,698 | 2,990 | 3,495 | 3,682 | 4,225 | 4,736 | 5,672 | 6,639 | 6,908 | 8,007 |
| Borrowings | 99 | 184 | 140 | 123 | 128 | 127 | 193 | 10 | 503 | 461 | 491 | 10 |
| Other Liabilities | 367 | 278 | 333 | 426 | 391 | 334 | 321 | 361 | 437 | 375 | 416 | 502 |
| Total Liabilities | 2,549 | 2,785 | 3,190 | 3,559 | 4,033 | 4,162 | 4,758 | 5,125 | 6,630 | 7,494 | 7,833 | 8,538 |
| Fixed Assets | 551 | 672 | 670 | 671 | 845 | 890 | 811 | 790 | 1,003 | 1,110 | 1,175 | 1,233 |
| CWIP | 46 | 38 | 43 | 97 | 60 | 32 | 161 | 210 | 107 | 92 | 77 | 16 |
| Investments | 637 | 946 | 960 | 1,092 | 1,145 | 1,418 | 809 | 1,055 | 2,254 | 3,043 | 3,919 | 4,302 |
| Other Assets | 1,314 | 1,128 | 1,518 | 1,699 | 1,984 | 1,821 | 2,977 | 3,070 | 3,266 | 3,249 | 2,663 | 2,987 |
| Total Assets | 2,549 | 2,785 | 3,190 | 3,559 | 4,033 | 4,162 | 4,758 | 5,125 | 6,630 | 7,494 | 7,833 | 8,538 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 307 | 595 | 231 | 294 | 190 | 679 | 598 | -40 | 868 | 903 | 1,162 | 592 |
| Investing | -257 | -449 | -16 | -196 | -162 | -310 | -351 | 101 | -1,212 | -819 | -203 | -124 |
| Financing | -83 | -208 | -91 | -158 | 0 | -429 | 67 | -267 | 395 | -211 | -743 | -660 |
| Net Cash Flow | -33 | -63 | 124 | -60 | 27 | -60 | 314 | -205 | 51 | -127 | 217 | -193 |
| Free Cash Flow | 125 | 418 | 151 | 157 | -9 | 548 | 475 | -165 | 675 | 693 | 1,027 | 491 |
| CFO/OP | 85 | 125 | 61 | 84 | 56 | 121 | 118 | 17 | 94 | 92 | 123 | 69 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 66 | 75 | 80 | 90 | 84 | 80 | 81 | 82 | 64 | 66 | 70 | 97 |
| Inventory Days | 220 | 199 | 263 | 209 | 234 | 242 | 241 | 304 | 215 | 212 | 214 | 270 |
| Days Payable | 57 | 50 | 68 | 60 | 52 | 42 | 53 | 49 | 46 | 31 | 41 | 47 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 229 | 223 | 275 | 239 | 266 | 279 | 269 | 337 | 233 | 247 | 243 | 320 |
| Working Capital Days | 119 | 107 | 133 | 132 | 154 | 149 | 136 | 191 | 102 | 129 | 118 | 537 |
| ROCE % | 29% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 21% |
Documents
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Company Information
AIA manufactures high-chrome grinding media, liners and diaphragms, collectively known as mill internals. These are used for crushing and grinding operations in the cement, power utility & aggregates and mining industries. [1]