Muthoot Finance Ltd
Muthoot Finance Ltd
Financial Services F&OMuthoot Finance is NBFC engaged in the business of providing gold loans. The company predominately operates in Southern India[1]
Muthoot Finance trades at an attractive PE of 11.8x despite delivering 99% TTM profit growth and a consistent 24% ROE over 10 years. With 55% of analysts rating it a Buy and a 10-year sales CAGR of 20%, the stock offers compelling value for a gold loan franchise of this scale.
Key Fundamentals
LargecapNBFCFinancial ServicesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
4- Company is expected to give good quarter
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 22.7% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.7%
- Company's median sales growth is 19.6% of last 10 years
Weaknesses
1- Stock is trading at 3.21 times its book value
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
Muthoot Finance trades at an attractive PE of 11.8x despite delivering 99% TTM profit growth and a consistent 24% ROE over 10 years. With 55% of analysts rating it a Buy and a 10-year sales CAGR of 20%, the stock offers compelling value for a gold loan franchise of this scale.
- TTM profit growth of 99% signals exceptional earnings momentum, far outpacing the 5-year CAGR of 23%
- PE of 11.8x is deeply undervalued for a company delivering 31% ROE in the last year
- 10-year compounded profit CAGR of 29% demonstrates sustained long-term earnings power
- TTM sales growth of 54% indicates accelerating loan book expansion well above the 10-year median of 19.7%
- 55% of analysts (11 out of 20) have a Buy rating, reflecting broad Street confidence
- 3-year stock CAGR of 37% shows strong price momentum and re-rating potential
- Consistent dividend payout of 17.7% with 0.96% yield provides income support at current levels
- Market cap of Rs 1,26,463 crore provides institutional-grade liquidity and index eligibility
- Stock trades at 3.21x book value, which is elevated for an NBFC and limits margin of safety
- 20% of analysts (4 out of 20) have a Sell rating, indicating meaningful disagreement on valuation
- Dividend yield of only 0.96% is below fixed deposit rates, offering limited downside protection
- 5-year stock CAGR of only 16% versus 10-year CAGR of 27% suggests the easy re-rating may be behind us
- Gold price dependency — a sharp correction in gold prices from current highs could compress AUM and margins
- Regulatory risk as RBI has tightened gold loan LTV norms in the past; any new curbs could slow the 54% sales growth
- ROE of 31% last year is above the 10-year average of 24%, suggesting possible mean reversion in profitability
- Concentrated business model in gold loans exposes earnings to a single collateral class unlike diversified NBFCs
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Stock corrects 31% from high Jun 10
Shares fell 4% to ₹2,870.45, a 9-month low, correcting 31% from the 52-week high of ₹4,149 hit on January 29, 2026.
- Asset quality weakens on reclassification Jun 10
RBI-directed shift from loan-level to borrower-level classification led to higher provisions and increased credit costs in Q4FY26.
- Market share loss risk Jun 10
Equirus Securities flags risks of market share losses due to aggressive entry of deep-pocketed AAA/AA+ rated NBFCs and banks into gold loans.
- Tonnage and customer base decline Jun 10
Quarter-on-quarter decline in gold tonnage and active loan accounts, while peers like MGFL and FEDFINA reported improving trends.
- Growth estimates cut for FY28 Jun 10
Equirus revised growth estimates to 30% YoY for FY27 but only 10% YoY for FY28, citing rising competitive intensity.
- Strong gold loan growth Jun 10
Gold loan growth was strong in Q4FY26, with NIM expansion supported by higher yields, lower cost of funds, and lending rate hikes in select schemes.
- New gold loan guidelines positive Jun 10
Chairman George Jacob Muthoot views new RBI gold loan guidelines positively, expecting them to accelerate formalisation and strengthen confidence in organised players.
- Customs duty hike aids growth Jun 10
Equirus expects customs duty hike to aid 30% YoY growth in FY27, with further gold price rally remaining a key upside risk.
- Trading window closed from Jun 30 Jun 23
Muthoot Finance shuts trading window from June 30, 2026, until 48 hours after Q1FY26 results are announced, per SEBI regulations.
TL;DR: Muthoot Finance delivered mixed Q4FY26 results with strong gold loan growth but deteriorating asset quality and declining tonnage/customer base. Key risks include rising competition from larger NBFCs/banks and potential market share losses, evidenced by a 31% stock correction from highs. NIM expansion and new RBI gold loan guidelines provide some support. The trend is deteriorating near-term as competitive intensity builds, though FY27 growth of 30% is still expected before a sharp slowdown to 10% in FY28.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,275 | 3,472 | 3,606 | 3,820 | 4,164 | 4,474 | 4,929 | 5,190 | 5,622 | 6,450 | 7,283 | 8,188 | 9,289 |
| Expenses | 829 | 847 | 805 | 872 | 1,121 | 1,226 | 1,324 | 1,405 | 1,549 | 1,441 | 1,480 | 1,426 | 1,528 |
| Financing Profit | 1,355 | 1,389 | 1,467 | 1,536 | 1,596 | 1,653 | 1,798 | 1,885 | 1,961 | 2,654 | 3,232 | 3,843 | 4,606 |
| Fin. Margin % | 41% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 41% | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Other Income | 23 | 37 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 19 | 29 | 32 | 6 | 35 | 50 | 20 | 3 |
| Interest | 1,091 | 1,236 | 1,335 | 1,412 | 1,447 | 1,595 | 1,807 | 1,900 | 2,111 | 2,355 | 2,571 | 2,919 | 3,155 |
| Depreciation | 23 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 38 | 40 | 24 |
| PBT | 1,355 | 1,407 | 1,470 | 1,534 | 1,585 | 1,646 | 1,802 | 1,886 | 1,932 | 2,654 | 3,244 | 3,822 | 4,584 |
| Tax % | 26% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 1,009 | 1,045 | 1,095 | 1,145 | 1,182 | 1,196 | 1,321 | 1,392 | 1,444 | 1,974 | 2,412 | 2,823 | 3,397 |
| EPS in Rs | 24.25 | 25.46 | 26.39 | 27.49 | 28.37 | 28.99 | 31.67 | 34.6 | 36.81 | 50.22 | 60.29 | 69.84 | 83.43 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,336 | 4,936 | 5,935 | 6,714 | 7,594 | 9,684 | 11,531 | 12,186 | 11,898 | 15,062 | 20,214 | 31,209 |
| Expenses | 1,110 | 1,268 | 1,554 | 1,656 | 1,747 | 2,207 | 2,255 | 2,490 | 2,747 | 3,622 | 5,481 | 5,822 |
| Financing Profit | 1,112 | 1,381 | 2,007 | 2,927 | 3,305 | 4,298 | 5,167 | 5,428 | 4,926 | 5,988 | 7,272 | 14,388 |
| Fin. Margin % | 26% | 28% | 34% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 45% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 46% |
| Other Income | 1 | 5 | 3 | 67 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 52 | 75 | 101 | 110 | 54 |
| Interest | 2,114 | 2,288 | 2,374 | 2,132 | 2,543 | 3,180 | 4,109 | 4,268 | 4,225 | 5,452 | 7,461 | 11,000 |
| Depreciation | 84 | 59 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 59 | 67 | 70 | 78 | 92 | 116 | 137 |
| PBT | 1,029 | 1,327 | 1,959 | 2,942 | 3,260 | 4,260 | 5,131 | 5,410 | 4,923 | 5,996 | 7,266 | 14,305 |
| Tax % | 35% | 38% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 672 | 818 | 1,200 | 1,844 | 2,103 | 3,169 | 3,819 | 4,031 | 3,670 | 4,468 | 5,352 | 10,607 |
| EPS in Rs | 16.86 | 20.41 | 30.03 | 45.74 | 51.86 | 78.25 | 94.83 | 100 | 89.98 | 108 | 133 | 264 |
| Div. Payout % | 36% | 29% | 20% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 11% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 398 | 399 | 399 | 400 | 401 | 401 | 401 | 401 | 401 | 401 | 401 | 401 |
| Reserves | 4,686 | 5,223 | 6,139 | 7,457 | 9,531 | 11,428 | 15,174 | 18,384 | 21,264 | 24,706 | 28,965 | 38,729 |
| Borrowing | 19,621 | 18,854 | 22,177 | 23,891 | 30,128 | 40,952 | 50,414 | 54,569 | 55,804 | 68,125 | 99,383 | 1,51,806 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,292 | 2,918 | 3,469 | 1,925 | 1,675 | 2,085 | 2,638 | 2,946 | 2,664 | 3,221 | 4,085 | 4,817 |
| Total Liabilities | 26,996 | 27,395 | 32,184 | 33,672 | 41,734 | 54,867 | 68,627 | 76,300 | 80,134 | 96,453 | 1,32,835 | 1,95,754 |
| Fixed Assets | 269 | 235 | 257 | 251 | 259 | 314 | 327 | 342 | 386 | 482 | 682 | 721 |
| CWIP | 7 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 39 | 52 | 67 | 89 | 13 | 10 |
| Investments | 20 | 49 | 97 | 177 | 211 | 630 | 809 | 523 | 546 | 712 | 2,401 | 550 |
| Other Assets | 26,700 | 27,100 | 31,820 | 33,237 | 41,241 | 53,894 | 67,453 | 75,382 | 79,135 | 95,170 | 1,29,739 | 1,94,472 |
| Total Assets | 26,996 | 27,395 | 32,184 | 33,672 | 41,734 | 54,867 | 68,627 | 76,300 | 80,134 | 96,453 | 1,32,835 | 1,95,754 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | -479 | 108 | -2,186 | -1,432 | -4,824 | -4,970 | -7,814 | -1,596 | -2,804 | -13,605 | -26,525 | -47,393 |
| Investing | 21 | -43 | -177 | -126 | -162 | -385 | 37 | 410 | 180 | 48 | -1,375 | 2,458 |
| Financing | 249 | -1,102 | 3,027 | 824 | 6,351 | 9,193 | 9,712 | 3,445 | 395 | 11,809 | 30,041 | 49,320 |
| Net Cash Flow | -209 | -1,036 | 664 | -734 | 1,364 | 3,838 | 1,935 | 2,260 | -2,229 | -1,749 | 2,142 | 4,385 |
| Free Cash Flow | -503 | 80 | -2,240 | -1,467 | -4,901 | -5,062 | -7,904 | -1,691 | -2,944 | -13,826 | -26,740 | -47,543 |
| CFO/OP | -4 | 13 | -30 | -8 | -62 | -52 | -70 | -2 | -16 | -105 | -168 | -172 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE % | 13% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 29% | 28% | 23% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 31% |
Documents
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Company Information
Muthoot Finance is NBFC engaged in the business of providing gold loans. The company predominately operates in Southern India[1]