IFCI Ltd
IFCI Ltd
Financial ServicesIFCI, previously known as Industrial Finance Corporation of India, is an Indian Government owned non banking finance company established to cater to the long-term finance needs of the industrial sector. [1]
IFCI Ltd trades at a PE of 53.3x with only 2% ROE and near-zero sales growth over 5 years, making it expensive relative to fundamentals. While the stock has delivered a 94% CAGR over 3 years driven by sentiment and turnaround hopes, weak profitability and no dividend payout suggest limited margin of safety at current levels.
Key Fundamentals
SmallcapFinancial InstitutionFinancial ServicesTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
1- Debtor days have improved from 43.9 to 34.6 days.
Weaknesses
3- Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
- The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -0.13% over past five years.
- Company has a low return on equity of 2.35% over last 3 years.
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
IFCI Ltd trades at a PE of 53.3x with only 2% ROE and near-zero sales growth over 5 years, making it expensive relative to fundamentals. While the stock has delivered a 94% CAGR over 3 years driven by sentiment and turnaround hopes, weak profitability and no dividend payout suggest limited margin of safety at current levels.
- Stock has delivered an exceptional 3-year CAGR of 94%, indicating strong momentum and investor interest in the turnaround story
- 1-year stock return of 43% suggests continued positive sentiment and potential re-rating by the market
- Compounded profit growth of 42% over 3 years shows the company is on a recovery trajectory from earlier losses
- TTM revenue growth of 10% indicates improving top-line traction after years of stagnation
- Debtor days improved from 43.9 to 34.6 days, reflecting better working capital management and collection efficiency
- ROE has turned positive at 2% last year versus negative 6% over 5 years, signaling a shift from loss-making to profitability
- Market cap of Rs 22,697 Cr provides reasonable liquidity for institutional participation in a government-backed financial institution
- PE ratio of 53.3x is extremely expensive for a company with only 2% ROE, offering poor earnings yield relative to risk
- 5-year compounded sales growth is effectively 0% (-0.13%), indicating no structural business growth despite market tailwinds
- 3-year average ROE of just 2.35% is far below the cost of equity, destroying shareholder value on a risk-adjusted basis
- Zero dividend yield despite reporting repeated profits suggests retained earnings are not being deployed productively or management lacks confidence in sustainability
- Price-to-book of 2.58x is unjustified for a financial institution generating sub-3% return on equity
- 10-year compounded sales growth is negative at -7%, reflecting a structurally shrinking loan book over the long term
- 10-year compounded profit growth of -5% shows the recent turnaround has not yet offset a decade of value destruction
- Zero analyst coverage with no buy, hold, or sell ratings indicates lack of institutional research interest and potential governance or transparency concerns
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Weekly RSI signals caution Jun 15
Despite the rally, weekly RSI is bearish and KST indicator shows bearish signals, suggesting potential short-term overextension after 43.39% monthly gain.
- NSE IPO buzz drives 20% surge Jun 12
IFCI hit 52-week high of ₹84.57 with 20% upper circuit lock, adding ₹3,800 crore to market cap, driven by NSE IPO DRHP filing expected by June 15 via IFCI's 52.86% stake in SHCIL which holds 4.4% in NSE.
- 7.22% surge to new 52-week high Jun 15
IFCI reached ₹90.43 intraday high with 3.75% gap-up opening, outperforming Finance sector's 3.42% gain by 3 percentage points on continued momentum.
- Exceptional multi-timeframe returns Jun 15
Stock gained 23.01% in one week, 43.39% over one month, 58.76% over three months, and 71.35% YTD versus Sensex returns of 4.22%, 1.85%, 2.77%, and -10.08% respectively.
- Trading above all moving averages Jun 15
IFCI trades above 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages with weekly MACD, monthly MACD, and Bollinger Bands all signaling bullish momentum.
- ₹124 crore block trades executed Jun 12
Three NSE block trades totalling ₹124.06 crores covering 14.7 million shares at prices ranging from ₹84.08 to ₹84.57, indicating large institutional activity.
- No share encumbrance in FY26 Jun 5
Government of India confirmed no encumbrance on IFCI shares for FY26 under SEBI SAST Regulation 31(4), other than previously disclosed items.
TL;DR: IFCI is in a powerful rally phase, surging 71.35% YTD driven primarily by the anticipated NSE IPO where it holds indirect exposure via SHCIL. The stock has hit successive 52-week highs with strong volume confirmation and trades above all key moving averages. Key risk is the parabolic nature of the move with weekly RSI already bearish, making it vulnerable to sharp pullbacks if NSE IPO timelines slip. The trend remains firmly bullish as long as the NSE IPO catalyst stays on track with the DRHP filing expected imminently.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 414 | 320 | 607 | 454 | 605 | 388 | 617 | 459 | 414 | 407 | 735 | 456 | 470 |
| Expenses | 418 | 290 | -74 | 230 | 269 | 210 | 353 | 211 | -80 | 215 | 243 | 326 | 314 |
| Financing Profit | -166 | -114 | 535 | 78 | 201 | 43 | 130 | 117 | 359 | 88 | 385 | 27 | 54 |
| Fin. Margin % | -40% | -36% | 88% | 17% | 33% | 11% | 21% | 25% | 87% | 22% | 52% | 6% | 11% |
| Other Income | 12 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 107 | 17 | 167 | -2 | 1 | 36 | 17 | 6 | -4 |
| Interest | 162 | 144 | 145 | 146 | 136 | 135 | 135 | 131 | 134 | 104 | 107 | 103 | 102 |
| Depreciation | 18 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
| PBT | -172 | -128 | 520 | 71 | 287 | 40 | 275 | 94 | 340 | 103 | 381 | 13 | 27 |
| Tax % | 40% | 1% | 66% | 45% | 45% | 318% | 33% | 109% | 23% | 39% | 17% | -66% | -24% |
| Net Profit | -241 | -129 | 174 | 39 | 157 | -88 | 185 | -9 | 260 | 62 | 317 | 21 | 34 |
| EPS in Rs | -1.16 | -0.64 | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.61 | -0.41 | 0.32 | -0.12 | 0.84 | 0.15 | 0.53 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,864 | 4,465 | 3,582 | 4,322 | 2,821 | 2,880 | 2,082 | 1,556 | 1,699 | 1,988 | 1,879 | 2,069 |
| Expenses | 1,010 | 1,509 | 1,850 | 1,714 | 1,962 | 1,463 | 2,961 | 2,108 | 986 | 715 | 694 | 1,097 |
| Financing Profit | 681 | 357 | -647 | 463 | -944 | -34 | -2,026 | -1,496 | 72 | 702 | 650 | 555 |
| Fin. Margin % | 18% | 8% | -18% | 11% | -33% | -1% | -97% | -96% | 4% | 35% | 35% | 27% |
| Other Income | 82 | 168 | 99 | 38 | 311 | 21 | 14 | 39 | 28 | 130 | 182 | 55 |
| Interest | 2,173 | 2,599 | 2,380 | 2,144 | 1,803 | 1,451 | 1,147 | 943 | 642 | 571 | 535 | 416 |
| Depreciation | -11 | 24 | 61 | 63 | 63 | 81 | 72 | 66 | 74 | 81 | 83 | 86 |
| PBT | 775 | 501 | -609 | 439 | -696 | -94 | -2,085 | -1,523 | 26 | 751 | 749 | 524 |
| Tax % | 28% | 24% | -47% | 5% | -32% | 137% | -8% | 16% | 559% | 68% | 53% | 17% |
| Net Profit | 575 | 394 | -308 | 418 | -476 | -223 | -1,912 | -1,761 | -120 | 241 | 349 | 435 |
| EPS in Rs | 3.23 | 2.18 | -2.27 | 2.26 | -2.88 | -1.36 | -10.24 | -8.71 | -0.95 | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| Div. Payout % | 46% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,662 | 1,662 | 1,662 | 1,696 | 1,696 | 1,696 | 1,896 | 2,103 | 2,196 | 2,490 | 2,694 | 2,694 |
| Reserves | 5,561 | 5,639 | 5,208 | 4,193 | 3,661 | 3,553 | 1,842 | 715 | 1,571 | 2,045 | 5,996 | 6,250 |
| Borrowing | 26,767 | 28,598 | 23,919 | 20,665 | 16,394 | 12,566 | 11,041 | 7,095 | 6,020 | 5,367 | 3,714 | 3,523 |
| Other Liabilities | 2,980 | 3,247 | 3,493 | 4,244 | 4,291 | 4,623 | 5,585 | 5,574 | 7,152 | 9,016 | 13,319 | 14,103 |
| Total Liabilities | 36,970 | 39,146 | 34,282 | 30,798 | 26,042 | 22,439 | 20,364 | 15,487 | 16,939 | 18,918 | 25,724 | 26,570 |
| Fixed Assets | 1,935 | 1,860 | 1,823 | 1,721 | 1,701 | 1,720 | 1,762 | 1,741 | 1,764 | 1,734 | 1,700 | 1,486 |
| CWIP | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| Investments | 6,330 | 6,860 | 5,150 | 7,363 | 5,580 | 3,963 | 5,504 | 6,541 | 7,700 | 8,678 | 15,323 | 15,081 |
| Other Assets | 28,700 | 30,420 | 27,306 | 21,712 | 18,760 | 16,752 | 13,089 | 7,190 | 7,464 | 8,493 | 8,678 | 10,004 |
| Total Assets | 36,970 | 39,146 | 34,282 | 30,798 | 26,042 | 22,439 | 20,364 | 15,487 | 16,939 | 18,918 | 25,724 | 26,570 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 263 | -5 | 802 | -972 | 444 | 635 | -438 | -257 | -336 | 12 | -984 | 280 |
| Investing | 7 | 77 | -8 | 195 | -23 | -33 | -103 | -30 | -59 | -155 | -70 | 25 |
| Financing | -409 | -316 | -29 | 43 | -234 | 196 | 193 | 73 | 465 | 404 | 415 | -149 |
| Net Cash Flow | -138 | -245 | 765 | -734 | 186 | 798 | -348 | -213 | 70 | 261 | -638 | 156 |
| Free Cash Flow | 270 | 71 | 794 | -1,003 | 405 | 603 | -545 | -288 | -383 | -24 | -1,011 | 313 |
| CFO/OP | 14 | 5 | 49 | -35 | 63 | 48 | 50 | 46 | -39 | 6 | -79 | 36 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE % | 7% | 4% | -6% | 6% | -12% | -4% | -43% | -56% | -6% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
Documents
Frequently Asked Questions about IFCI Ltd
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Company Information
IFCI, previously known as Industrial Finance Corporation of India, is an Indian Government owned non banking finance company established to cater to the long-term finance needs of the industrial sector. [1]