National Aluminium Company Ltd
National Aluminium Company Ltd
CommoditiesIncorporated in 1981, National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) manufactures and sells Alumina and Aluminium[1]
NATIONALUM trades at a PE of 12x with strong ROE of 29% and is virtually debt-free, but the stock has already rallied 101% in 1 year, leaving limited margin of safety. Sales growth of 6% TTM is tepid relative to profit growth, suggesting margin expansion may be peaking.
Key Fundamentals
MidcapAluminiumMetals & MiningTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
6- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is almost debt free.
- Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.01%.
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 34.9% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 25.7%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 38.7%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NATIONALUM trades at a PE of 12x with strong ROE of 29% and is virtually debt-free, but the stock has already rallied 101% in 1 year, leaving limited margin of safety. Sales growth of 6% TTM is tepid relative to profit growth, suggesting margin expansion may be peaking.
- Debt-free balance sheet provides financial resilience through commodity cycles with debt-to-equity near zero
- Strong ROE of 29% last year and 26% average over 3 years indicates efficient capital deployment for a PSU
- Attractive PE of 12x is below typical market multiples, offering valuation comfort for a profitable commodity player
- Compounded profit CAGR of 35% over 5 years demonstrates consistent earnings momentum
- Healthy dividend yield of 2.78% with 38.7% payout ratio offers reliable income to shareholders
- 10-year compounded sales growth of 10% shows the company has steadily scaled revenues across cycles
- Market cap of Rs 66,670 crore gives it large-cap stability and institutional investor comfort
- Price-to-book of 3.21x is reasonable for a debt-free company generating 29% ROE
- Stock has surged 101% in 1 year and 67% CAGR over 3 years — momentum-driven rally raises mean-reversion risk
- TTM sales growth of only 6% versus 10% profit growth suggests margin expansion is doing the heavy lifting, which is unsustainable
- Analyst consensus is bearish with 38.46% recommending Sell versus only 30.77% Buy out of 13 analysts
- As a PSU, government directives on pricing, capex, and dividend policy can override shareholder value maximization
- Aluminium prices are globally cyclical and a downturn could compress margins sharply given 5-year sales CAGR of 15% but 10-year of only 10%
- ROE has fluctuated from 17% over 10 years to 29% last year, highlighting earnings volatility inherent in commodity businesses
- No listed cons from screener data suggests the market may be overlooking governance or operational risks typical of Navratna PSUs
- PB ratio of 3.21x means the stock is not cheap on an asset basis for a capital-intensive smelter operation
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- Exchange fine for LODR non-compliance May 28
BSE and NSE fined Nalco Rs 5.31 lakh each (total Rs 10.62 lakh) for non-compliance with SEBI LODR Regulation 17(1) in Q4FY26.
- Trading window closed for Q1FY27 Jun 22
Nalco shut its insider trading window from July 1 until 48 hours after Q1FY27 results are declared, per SEBI regulations.
- Management at investor forum Jun 10
Nalco management will attend the Systematix Promoters & Founders Forum 2026 in Mumbai on June 16, 2026. No UPSI to be shared.
- No promoter share encumbrance in FY26 Jun 5
President of India confirmed zero encumbrance on Nalco promoter shares during FY26, disclosed to BSE and NSE under SEBI norms.
- Executive Director superannuates May 31
Shri Sachidananda Jena, Executive Director (S&P), superannuated on May 31, 2026.
TL;DR: Recent newsflow for Nalco is largely routine and governance-related, with no major operational or earnings catalysts. The only headwind is a minor Rs 10.62 lakh regulatory fine for board composition non-compliance in Q4FY26, which is immaterial to financials but signals a governance gap. Investor engagement via conference attendance is a modest positive signal. Overall trend is flat with no clear directional catalyst until Q1FY27 results are out.
Quarterly Results
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,671 | 3,179 | 3,043 | 3,348 | 3,579 | 2,856 | 4,001 | 4,662 | 5,268 | 3,807 | 4,292 | 4,731 | 5,013 |
| Expenses | 2,931 | 2,600 | 2,666 | 2,592 | 2,491 | 1,935 | 2,469 | 2,351 | 2,525 | 2,329 | 2,370 | 2,558 | 2,663 |
| Operating Profit | 740 | 579 | 378 | 756 | 1,088 | 921 | 1,533 | 2,311 | 2,743 | 1,478 | 1,923 | 2,173 | 2,349 |
| OPM % | 20% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 38% | 50% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 46% | 47% |
| Other Income | 55 | 48 | 69 | 50 | 511 | 61 | 72 | 99 | 126 | 124 | 151 | 194 | 202 |
| Interest | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 24 |
| Depreciation | 255 | 170 | 186 | 154 | 240 | 174 | 180 | 286 | 88 | 178 | 174 | 182 | 211 |
| PBT | 539 | 455 | 256 | 650 | 1,350 | 804 | 1,420 | 2,105 | 2,748 | 1,415 | 1,892 | 2,126 | 2,316 |
| Tax % | 8% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 495 | 334 | 187 | 471 | 997 | 588 | 1,046 | 1,566 | 2,067 | 1,049 | 1,430 | 1,595 | 1,722 |
| EPS in Rs | 2.7 | 1.82 | 1.02 | 2.56 | 5.43 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 8.53 | 11.26 | 5.71 | 7.79 | 8.69 | 9.38 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,383 | 6,817 | 7,543 | 9,509 | 11,499 | 8,472 | 8,956 | 14,181 | 14,257 | 13,149 | 16,788 | 17,843 |
| Expenses | 5,510 | 5,858 | 6,464 | 8,113 | 8,607 | 7,985 | 7,174 | 9,665 | 11,917 | 10,348 | 9,280 | 9,915 |
| Operating Profit | 1,873 | 959 | 1,079 | 1,397 | 2,893 | 487 | 1,782 | 4,516 | 2,340 | 2,801 | 7,508 | 7,928 |
| OPM % | 25% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 16% | 21% | 45% | 44% |
| Other Income | 821 | 659 | 368 | 1,124 | 327 | 273 | 147 | 298 | 234 | 678 | 357 | 666 |
| Interest | 167 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 100 |
| Depreciation | 414 | 426 | 480 | 480 | 476 | 530 | 606 | 837 | 716 | 750 | 728 | 745 |
| PBT | 2,113 | 1,189 | 964 | 2,039 | 2,741 | 224 | 1,316 | 3,954 | 1,845 | 2,712 | 7,078 | 7,749 |
| Tax % | 37% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 37% | 39% | 1% | 25% | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% |
| Net Profit | 1,322 | 787 | 668 | 1,342 | 1,734 | 136 | 1,299 | 2,951 | 1,435 | 1,988 | 5,268 | 5,797 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.13 | 3.05 | 3.45 | 6.94 | 9.29 | 0.73 | 7.07 | 16.07 | 7.81 | 10.83 | 28.68 | 31.56 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 65% | 81% | 82% | 62% | 205% | 49% | 40% | 58% | 46% | 37% | 33% |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,289 | 1,289 | 966 | 966 | 933 | 933 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 |
| Reserves | 11,509 | 11,906 | 9,239 | 9,537 | 9,552 | 9,054 | 9,761 | 11,634 | 12,208 | 13,470 | 16,887 | 20,685 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 51 | 45 | 67 | 12 | 102 | 77 | 105 | 96 | 182 | 60 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,380 | 3,515 | 4,245 | 4,064 | 4,596 | 4,549 | 3,928 | 4,646 | 4,396 | 4,751 | 4,895 | 4,881 |
| Total Liabilities | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 26,544 |
| Fixed Assets | 6,645 | 6,596 | 7,144 | 7,139 | 7,286 | 7,485 | 7,660 | 7,343 | 7,303 | 7,383 | 7,748 | 7,650 |
| CWIP | 550 | 688 | 566 | 915 | 883 | 1,427 | 1,575 | 2,235 | 3,269 | 4,573 | 4,936 | 6,296 |
| Investments | 950 | 1,011 | 1,260 | 710 | 257 | 331 | 560 | 375 | 359 | 342 | 774 | 533 |
| Other Assets | 8,032 | 8,416 | 5,531 | 5,849 | 6,722 | 5,306 | 4,913 | 7,322 | 6,696 | 6,938 | 9,424 | 12,065 |
| Total Assets | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 26,544 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 520 | 881 | 1,436 | 1,590 | 2,409 | -349 | 2,199 | 3,958 | 908 | 2,719 | 5,806 | 6,438 |
| Investing | 566 | 314 | 1,550 | -490 | -532 | 873 | -1,404 | -2,619 | -334 | -2,000 | -3,971 | -4,200 |
| Financing | -506 | -544 | -3,616 | -1,100 | -1,731 | -677 | -601 | -1,140 | -924 | -739 | -1,758 | -2,206 |
| Net Cash Flow | 580 | 651 | -630 | 1 | 146 | -153 | 195 | 199 | -350 | -20 | 78 | 32 |
| Free Cash Flow | 217 | 330 | 674 | 765 | 1,649 | -1,195 | 992 | 2,685 | -617 | 1,075 | 4,641 | 4,413 |
| CFO/OP | 54 | 129 | 153 | 148 | 119 | -51 | 129 | 104 | 71 | 120 | 100 | 105 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 6 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 411 | 352 | 389 | 288 | 231 | 463 | 411 | 324 | 213 | 252 | 353 | 261 |
| Days Payable | 155 | 213 | 284 | 232 | 245 | 211 | 262 | 287 | 146 | 206 | 137 | 114 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 262 | 151 | 114 | 66 | -7 | 258 | 156 | 39 | 69 | 50 | 221 | 152 |
| Working Capital Days | 8 | 10 | -24 | -11 | -28 | -9 | 11 | -10 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 0 |
| ROCE % | — | 9% | 9% | 11% | 26% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 14% | 17% | 44% | 40% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1981, National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) manufactures and sells Alumina and Aluminium[1]