National Aluminium Company Ltd
National Aluminium Company Ltd
Metals & MiningKey Fundamentals
MidcapAluminiumMetals & MiningInsights
BetaAI-extracted from concalls & annual reports · figures as reported, with sources
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39 extracted metrics + investor summaries across FY15–FY26.
Tapetide Score
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Technical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
5- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is almost debt free.
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 34.9% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 25.7%
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.7%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
National Aluminium Company (NALCO) is a Navratna PSU trading at a PE of 11x with a market cap of ~₹70,233 crore. The company is virtually debt-free, has delivered 5-year profit CAGR of ~35%, and posted its highest-ever net profit of ₹5,816 crore in FY26. However, it operates in a cyclical commodity sector where aluminium and alumina price volatility directly impacts earnings.
- Virtually debt-free balance sheet with negligible debt-to-equity, providing financial resilience through commodity cycles
- Strong 5-year compounded profit growth of 35% CAGR, with TTM profit growth at 18% indicating sustained earnings momentum
- Attractive valuation at PE of 11x compared to broader market multiples, with healthy dividend yield of 2.87% and consistent ~40% payout ratio
- 3-year average ROE of 26% and last year ROE of 29%, demonstrating efficient capital deployment for a PSU
- Massive capacity expansion planned — ₹28,000-30,000 crore investment for a new 0.5 MT smelter and 1,000 MW captive power plant by 2030-31, which could nearly double aluminium production
- Near-term alumina refinery expansion of 1 MT by FY26 taking total alumina capacity towards 3.2 MT by FY28, boosting volume visibility
- Stock has delivered 62% CAGR over 3 years and 100% returns over the past 1 year, reflecting strong re-rating momentum
- Q1 FY27 consolidated net profit surged ~91% YoY to ₹2,003 crore, supported by elevated LME aluminium prices averaging ~$3,154/tonne
- Highly cyclical business — aluminium prices corrected 17% from the April 2026 peak of $3,670/tonne to ~$3,019, directly compressing margins
- TTM sales growth of only 9% versus profit growth of 18% suggests margin expansion is price-driven rather than volume-driven, making earnings vulnerable to price reversals
- Government holds ~51.28% promoter stake, creating overhang risk from potential stake sales or disinvestment to meet fiscal targets
- Alumina realizations expected to decline to $320-340/tonne range due to global alumina surplus, pressuring the chemicals segment
- Capex of ₹28,000-30,000 crore over 3-4 years represents significant execution risk for a company with current market cap of ~₹70,233 crore
- Price-to-book of 3.43x is elevated for a commodity PSU, leaving limited margin of safety if aluminium prices mean-revert to sub-$2,500 levels
- 10-year compounded sales CAGR of only 10% highlights the inherently slow volume growth in a capital-intensive smelting business
- Stock's 100% 1-year return has already priced in much of the commodity upcycle, increasing downside risk if LME prices soften materially
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- SEBI fine for board non-compliance Jul 29
NALCO seeks waiver of Rs 5.31 lakh fine imposed by BSE and NSE for non-compliance with Regulation 17(1) of SEBI LODR Regulations for Q4 FY26.
- Q1FY27 profit surges 88% YoY Aug 1
Standalone net profit of ₹2,002.38 crore in Q1FY27, up 88% YoY. Board recommended final dividend of Re.1.00 per share for FY25-26.
- Record revenue and PAT in FY26 Aug 7
NALCO reported record Revenue of ₹17,843.05 crore and PAT of ₹5,815.76 crore for FY 2025-26, to be presented at 45th AGM on August 31, 2026.
- 3.2 MT alumina capacity by FY28 Aug 3
Multi-year expansion targeting 3.2 million tonne alumina capacity by FY28, with capex rising from ₹1,500-1,800 crore in FY27 to ₹2,500 crore in FY28 and ₹4,000-7,000 crore annually at full scale.
- New smelter and power plant by FY30 Aug 3
500,000 ton smelter and 1000 MW power plant targeted operational by FY30. Q1 export shipment disruptions fully resolved with no pending shipments.
- BRSR filed for FY 2025-26 Aug 7
NALCO submitted its Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report for FY 2025-26 covering ESG disclosures across 9 core BRSR attributes.
- Q1FY27 earnings call scheduled Jul 28
Q1FY27 results conference call set for August 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM IST, hosted by Systematix Institutional Equities.
TL;DR: NALCO is delivering strong financial performance with record FY26 revenue of ₹17,843 crore and Q1FY27 profit up 88% YoY, signaling robust aluminium market conditions. The company is backing this with aggressive capacity expansion targeting 3.2 MT alumina by FY28 and a new 500K ton smelter by FY30. The only risk is a minor SEBI governance lapse. The trend is clearly improving with earnings momentum and a well-funded growth roadmap.
Quarterly Results
| Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 3,179 | 3,043 | 3,348 | 3,579 | 2,856 | 4,001 | 4,662 | 5,268 | 3,807 | 4,292 | 4,731 | 5,013 | 5,302 |
| Expenses | 2,600 | 2,666 | 2,592 | 2,491 | 1,935 | 2,469 | 2,351 | 2,525 | 2,329 | 2,370 | 2,558 | 2,663 | 2,595 |
| Operating Profit | 579 | 378 | 756 | 1,088 | 921 | 1,533 | 2,311 | 2,743 | 1,478 | 1,923 | 2,173 | 2,349 | 2,708 |
| OPM % | 18% | 12% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 38% | 50% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 46% | 47% | 51% |
| Other Income | 48 | 69 | 50 | 511 | 61 | 72 | 99 | 126 | 124 | 151 | 194 | 202 | 174 |
| Interest | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 24 | 10 |
| Depreciation | 170 | 186 | 154 | 240 | 174 | 180 | 286 | 88 | 178 | 174 | 182 | 211 | 182 |
| PBT | 455 | 256 | 650 | 1,350 | 804 | 1,420 | 2,105 | 2,748 | 1,415 | 1,892 | 2,126 | 2,316 | 2,690 |
| Tax % | 27% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Net Profit | 334 | 187 | 471 | 997 | 588 | 1,046 | 1,566 | 2,067 | 1,049 | 1,430 | 1,595 | 1,722 | 2,003 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.82 | 1.02 | 2.56 | 5.43 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 8.53 | 11.26 | 5.71 | 7.79 | 8.69 | 9.38 | 10.91 |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7,383 | 6,817 | 7,543 | 9,509 | 11,499 | 8,472 | 8,956 | 14,181 | 14,257 | 13,149 | 16,788 | 17,843 | 19,338 |
| Expenses | 5,510 | 5,858 | 6,464 | 8,113 | 8,607 | 7,985 | 7,174 | 9,665 | 11,917 | 10,348 | 9,280 | 9,915 | 10,185 |
| Operating Profit | 1,873 | 959 | 1,079 | 1,397 | 2,893 | 487 | 1,782 | 4,516 | 2,340 | 2,801 | 7,508 | 7,928 | 9,153 |
| OPM % | 25% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 16% | 21% | 45% | 44% | 47% |
| Other Income | 821 | 659 | 368 | 1,124 | 327 | 273 | 147 | 298 | 234 | 678 | 357 | 666 | 721 |
| Interest | 167 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 100 | 101 |
| Depreciation | 414 | 426 | 480 | 480 | 476 | 530 | 606 | 837 | 716 | 750 | 728 | 745 | 749 |
| PBT | 2,113 | 1,189 | 964 | 2,039 | 2,741 | 224 | 1,316 | 3,954 | 1,845 | 2,712 | 7,078 | 7,749 | 9,023 |
| Tax % | 37% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 37% | 39% | 1% | 25% | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% | — |
| Net Profit | 1,322 | 787 | 668 | 1,342 | 1,734 | 136 | 1,299 | 2,951 | 1,435 | 1,988 | 5,268 | 5,797 | 6,751 |
| EPS in Rs | 5.13 | 3.05 | 3.45 | 6.94 | 9.29 | 0.73 | 7.07 | 16.07 | 7.81 | 10.83 | 28.68 | 31.56 | 36.77 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 65% | 81% | 82% | 62% | 205% | 49% | 40% | 58% | 46% | 37% | 36% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Capital | 1,289 | 1,289 | 966 | 966 | 933 | 933 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 |
| Reserves | 11,509 | 11,906 | 9,239 | 9,537 | 9,552 | 9,054 | 9,761 | 11,634 | 12,208 | 13,470 | 16,887 | 20,685 |
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 51 | 45 | 67 | 12 | 102 | 77 | 105 | 96 | 182 | 60 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,380 | 3,515 | 4,245 | 4,064 | 4,596 | 4,549 | 3,928 | 4,646 | 4,396 | 4,751 | 4,895 | 4,881 |
| Total Liabilities | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 26,544 |
| Fixed Assets | 6,645 | 6,596 | 7,144 | 7,139 | 7,286 | 7,485 | 7,660 | 7,343 | 7,303 | 7,383 | 7,651 | 7,551 |
| CWIP | 550 | 688 | 566 | 915 | 883 | 1,427 | 1,575 | 2,235 | 3,269 | 4,573 | 5,033 | 6,395 |
| Investments | 950 | 1,011 | 1,260 | 710 | 257 | 331 | 560 | 375 | 359 | 342 | 774 | 533 |
| Other Assets | 8,032 | 8,416 | 5,531 | 5,849 | 6,722 | 5,306 | 4,913 | 7,322 | 6,696 | 6,938 | 9,424 | 12,065 |
| Total Assets | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 26,544 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating | 520 | 881 | 1,436 | 1,590 | 2,409 | -349 | 2,199 | 3,958 | 908 | 2,719 | 5,806 | 6,438 |
| Investing | 566 | 314 | 1,550 | -490 | -532 | 873 | -1,404 | -2,619 | -334 | -2,000 | -3,971 | -4,200 |
| Financing | -506 | -544 | -3,616 | -1,100 | -1,731 | -677 | -601 | -1,140 | -924 | -739 | -1,758 | -2,206 |
| Net Cash Flow | 580 | 651 | -630 | 1 | 146 | -153 | 195 | 199 | -350 | -20 | 78 | 32 |
| Free Cash Flow | 217 | 330 | 674 | 765 | 1,649 | -1,195 | 992 | 2,685 | -617 | 1,075 | 4,641 | 4,413 |
| CFO/OP | 54 | 129 | 153 | 148 | 119 | -51 | 129 | 104 | 71 | 120 | 100 | 105 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor Days | 6 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 411 | 352 | 389 | 288 | 231 | 463 | 411 | 324 | 213 | 252 | 353 | 261 |
| Days Payable | 155 | 213 | 284 | 232 | 245 | 211 | 262 | 287 | 146 | 206 | 137 | 114 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 262 | 151 | 114 | 66 | -7 | 258 | 156 | 39 | 69 | 50 | 221 | 152 |
| Working Capital Days | 8 | 10 | -24 | -11 | -28 | -9 | 11 | -10 | 4 | 6 | -7 | -6 |
| ROCE % | — | 9% | 9% | 11% | 26% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 14% | 17% | 44% | 40% |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1981, National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) manufactures and sells Alumina and Aluminium[1]