National Aluminium Company Ltd
National Aluminium Company Ltd
CommoditiesKey Fundamentals
MidcapAluminiumMetals & MiningTechnical Indicators
Key Insights
Strengths
4- Company has reduced debt.
- Company is almost debt free.
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 108% CAGR over last 5 years
- Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 46.8%
Growth Rate
AI Analysis — Bull vs Bear
NALCO has delivered exceptional 108% profit CAGR over 5 years and trades at a reasonable PE of 12.3x, but the stock has already surged 191% in the last year, pricing in much of the upside. With mixed analyst sentiment (33% sell ratings) and modest 3-year sales CAGR of just 6%, the risk-reward at current levels favours patience over fresh entry.
- Virtually debt-free balance sheet provides significant financial resilience through aluminium price cycles, reducing bankruptcy risk to near zero
- Compounded profit CAGR of 108% over 5 years demonstrates strong operating leverage and cost discipline as aluminium prices recovered
- Last year ROE of 33% is exceptional and well above the 10-year average of 14%, indicating peak-level capital efficiency
- PE ratio of 12.3x is attractive relative to broader market multiples, offering a margin of safety if earnings sustain
- Healthy dividend payout ratio of 46.8% with a current yield of 2.55% provides meaningful income support for investors
- TTM sales growth of 20% signals a strong ongoing demand environment for aluminium and alumina products
- Being a Navratna PSU with captive bauxite mines and integrated operations gives NALCO a structural cost advantage over private peers
- 10-year stock CAGR of 26% shows the company has been a consistent long-term wealth creator despite commodity cyclicality
- Stock has surged 191% in just 1 year, significantly increasing the risk of mean reversion or sharp correction from current levels
- 3-year compounded sales CAGR of only 6% suggests underlying volume and revenue growth is modest, with recent profits driven more by price than demand
- Price-to-book ratio of 3.82x is elevated for a commodity producer, implying the market is pricing in peak-cycle earnings sustainability
- 33.33% of analysts (4 out of 12) rate the stock a Sell, reflecting meaningful institutional scepticism at current valuations
- Aluminium is a deeply cyclical commodity — current 33% ROE is well above the 10-year average of 14%, suggesting earnings are near a cyclical peak
- As a government-owned enterprise, NALCO faces risks of policy-driven capital allocation, dividend mandates, and slower decision-making versus private peers
- TTM profit growth of 58% will create a high base effect, making year-over-year comparisons increasingly difficult in FY25-26
- Global aluminium prices are sensitive to China's demand slowdown and potential oversupply, which could compress margins from current elevated levels
This is AI-generated analysis, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
AI News Digest
- SEBI fine for compliance breach Mar 17
BSE and NSE imposed a Rs 5.42 lakh fine on NALCO for non-compliance with SEBI regulations regarding board composition. The company cited government control over director appointments as the reason.
- Record production, 1.4MT alumina target Apr 2
NALCO set an FY26 alumina sales target of 1.4 million tonnes, backed by record-breaking production across bauxite, alumina, and aluminium segments.
- SEBI Q4 FY26 compliance filed Apr 8
NALCO submitted its quarterly compliance certificate under SEBI Depositories Regulations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, confirming proper dematerialization processes.
- Four directors exit board Mar 31
Director Sanjay Lohiya (IAS) stepped down effective April 1, 2026 following a transfer, and three independent directors — Ms. Trupti Patel, Dr. Ajay Narang, and Shri Patel Sanjaykumar — ceased tenure on March 31, 2026.
TL;DR: NALCO is operationally strong, targeting 1.4 million tonnes of alumina sales in FY26 on the back of record production numbers across segments. The key risk is governance — a SEBI fine and the departure of four board members in quick succession point to board instability tied to government-controlled appointments. The production momentum is encouraging, but investors should watch for timely board reconstitution and continued regulatory compliance.
Quarterly Results
| Dec 2022 | Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depreciation | 157 | 255 | 170 | 186 | 154 | 240 | 174 | 180 | 286 | 88 | 178 | 174 | 182 |
| EPS in Rs | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.82 | 1.02 | 2.56 | 5.43 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 8.53 | 11.26 | 5.71 | 7.79 | 8.69 |
| Expenses | 2,849 | 2,931 | 2,600 | 2,666 | 2,592 | 2,491 | 1,935 | 2,469 | 2,351 | 2,525 | 2,329 | 2,370 | 2,558 |
| Interest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 60 |
| Net Profit | 256 | 495 | 334 | 187 | 471 | 997 | 588 | 1,046 | 1,566 | 2,067 | 1,049 | 1,430 | 1,595 |
| OPM % | 14% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 38% | 50% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 46% |
| Operating Profit | 448 | 740 | 579 | 378 | 756 | 1,088 | 921 | 1,533 | 2,311 | 2,743 | 1,478 | 1,923 | 2,173 |
| Other Income | 61 | 55 | 48 | 69 | 50 | 511 | 61 | 72 | 99 | 126 | 124 | 151 | 194 |
| PBT | 347 | 539 | 455 | 256 | 650 | 1,350 | 804 | 1,420 | 2,105 | 2,748 | 1,415 | 1,892 | 2,126 |
| Sales | 3,297 | 3,671 | 3,179 | 3,043 | 3,348 | 3,579 | 2,856 | 4,001 | 4,662 | 5,268 | 3,807 | 4,292 | 4,731 |
| Tax % | 26% | 8% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% |
Profit & Loss
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | TTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depreciation | 414 | 426 | 480 | 480 | 476 | 530 | 606 | 837 | 716 | 750 | 728 | 622 |
| Div. Payout % | 34% | 65% | 81% | 82% | 62% | 205% | 49% | 40% | 58% | 46% | 37% | — |
| EPS in Rs | 5.13 | 3.05 | 3.45 | 6.94 | 9.29 | 0.73 | 7.07 | 16.07 | 7.81 | 10.83 | 28.68 | 33.45 |
| Expenses | 5,510 | 5,858 | 6,464 | 8,113 | 8,607 | 7,985 | 7,174 | 9,665 | 11,917 | 10,348 | 9,280 | 9,782 |
| Interest | 167 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 108 |
| Net Profit | 1,322 | 787 | 668 | 1,342 | 1,734 | 136 | 1,299 | 2,951 | 1,435 | 1,988 | 5,268 | 6,142 |
| OPM % | 25% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 16% | 21% | 45% | 46% |
| Operating Profit | 1,873 | 959 | 1,079 | 1,397 | 2,893 | 487 | 1,782 | 4,516 | 2,340 | 2,801 | 7,508 | 8,317 |
| Other Income | 821 | 659 | 368 | 1,124 | 327 | 273 | 147 | 298 | 234 | 678 | 357 | 595 |
| PBT | 2,113 | 1,189 | 964 | 2,039 | 2,741 | 224 | 1,316 | 3,954 | 1,845 | 2,712 | 7,078 | 8,181 |
| Sales | 7,383 | 6,817 | 7,543 | 9,509 | 11,499 | 8,472 | 8,956 | 14,181 | 14,257 | 13,149 | 16,788 | 18,098 |
| Tax % | 37% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 37% | 39% | 1% | 25% | 22% | 27% | 26% | — |
Balance Sheet
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Sep 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borrowings | 0 | 0 | 51 | 45 | 67 | 12 | 102 | 77 | 105 | 96 | 182 | 56 |
| CWIP | 550 | 688 | 566 | 915 | 883 | 1,427 | 1,575 | 2,235 | 3,269 | 4,573 | 4,936 | 5,374 |
| Equity Capital | 1,289 | 1,289 | 966 | 966 | 933 | 933 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 | 918 |
| Fixed Assets | 6,645 | 6,596 | 7,144 | 7,139 | 7,286 | 7,485 | 7,660 | 7,343 | 7,303 | 7,383 | 7,748 | 7,592 |
| Investments | 950 | 1,011 | 1,260 | 710 | 257 | 331 | 560 | 375 | 359 | 342 | 774 | 561 |
| Other Assets | 8,032 | 8,416 | 5,531 | 5,849 | 6,722 | 5,306 | 4,913 | 7,322 | 6,696 | 6,938 | 9,424 | 11,477 |
| Other Liabilities | 3,380 | 3,515 | 4,245 | 4,064 | 4,596 | 4,549 | 3,928 | 4,646 | 4,396 | 4,751 | 4,895 | 5,112 |
| Reserves | 11,509 | 11,906 | 9,239 | 9,537 | 9,552 | 9,054 | 9,761 | 11,634 | 12,208 | 13,470 | 16,887 | 18,918 |
| Total Assets | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 25,005 |
| Total Liabilities | 16,178 | 16,710 | 14,501 | 14,613 | 15,147 | 14,548 | 14,709 | 17,276 | 17,627 | 19,235 | 22,882 | 25,005 |
Cash Flow
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFO/OP | 54 | 129 | 153 | 148 | 119 | -51 | 129 | 104 | 71 | 120 | 100 |
| Financing | -506 | -544 | -3,616 | -1,100 | -1,731 | -677 | -601 | -1,140 | -924 | -739 | -1,758 |
| Investing | 566 | 314 | 1,550 | -490 | -532 | 873 | -1,404 | -2,619 | -334 | -2,000 | -3,971 |
| Operating | 520 | 881 | 1,436 | 1,590 | 2,409 | -349 | 2,199 | 3,958 | 908 | 2,719 | 5,806 |
| Free Cash Flow | 217 | 330 | 674 | 765 | 1,649 | -1,195 | 992 | 2,685 | -617 | 1,075 | 4,641 |
| Net Cash Flow | 580 | 651 | -630 | 1 | 146 | -153 | 195 | 199 | -350 | -20 | 78 |
Ratios
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 262 | 151 | 114 | 66 | -7 | 258 | 156 | 39 | 69 | 50 | 221 |
| Days Payable | 155 | 213 | 284 | 232 | 245 | 211 | 262 | 287 | 146 | 206 | 137 |
| Debtor Days | 6 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Inventory Days | 411 | 352 | 389 | 288 | 231 | 463 | 411 | 324 | 213 | 252 | 353 |
| ROCE % | — | 9% | 9% | 11% | 26% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 14% | 17% | 44% |
| Working Capital Days | 8 | 10 | -24 | -11 | -28 | -9 | 11 | -10 | 4 | 6 | -7 |
Documents
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Company Information
Incorporated in 1981, National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) manufactures and sells Alumina and Aluminium[1]